The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. These are players that will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. In an attempt to point out these players, we asked our staff to look through the top 150 players and identify players that should underperform their draft position.
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Player Receiving 7 Votes
Thomas Rawls, Seattle
Haseley: At this point in the offseason, I am not ready to roll the dice on Thomas Rawls being a running back I can rely on. His ADP of RB13, 38 overall is too rich for my interest level at this time. If he can prove that he is healed from his ankle injury, I will gladly take him at this point in the draft, if not sooner. He's a star in the making with a great offense to increase his scoring chances.
Kuczynski: Last year Marshawn Lynch was battling age and injuries, so the Seahawks had to turn to a revolving door of replacement running backs to try to fill the void in the offense. Rawls seemingly had the most success accumulating 800 yards, but half of those yards came from two huge games (one of which was over 200 yards against the 49ers). The team also might not be totally convinced he can be the bell cow, considering they drafted three running backs this off season, including promising rookie CJ Prosise in the 3rd, and still have Christine Michael as well. The most concerning thing however is his fractured ankle in December- it will be a while before we can see if he was just a flash in the pan, or if he will even be ready to start the season.