The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. These are players that will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. In an attempt to point out these players, we asked our staff to look through the top 150 players and identify players that should underperform their draft position.
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Player Receiving 10 Votes
Thomas Rawls, Seattle
Mike Brown: Rawls was everyone's favorite player late last season, but the injury he suffered is still having repercussions today. While we've been teased by Christine Michael's talents before, it appears that this time he means it. And that's bad news for Rawls, who may not quite measure up to Michael in terms of pure football talent. Throw in the injury and the high price tag for Rawls, and it's a guy I'm steering clear of entirely.
Ryan Hester: Rawls burst on to the scene last season in the wake of Marshawn Lynch’s injury. With Lynch’s retirement, it seemed as though Rawls would easily hold on to the team’s feature back job. But a late season ankle injury and the team drafting three other running backs made Rawls’ prospects look bleak. But it’s another back – Christine Michael – who looks to cut into Rawls’ workload. Michael, a player with incredible measureables and metrics, seems to have finally gotten his act together. He’s running hot in the preseason so far. Between Michael’s emergence and Rawls’ injury still potentially limiting him from being the 2015 version of himself, he’s not worth a pick at his current RB13 position.
Andy Hicks: Most will be all over Thomas Rawls as a borderline RB1 choice this year. I feel he will be overvalued for a number of reasons. First of all the Seahawks were more than comfortable passing the ball once Marshawn Lynch and Thomas Rawls went down last year. A more balanced offense will result in fewer carries, especially with Rawls likely to have to share with Christine Michael and possibly 3 rookies as well. There is no guarantee that Rawls will be the number 1 back and even if he is there are many options to go to for a variety of situations. Rawls has been out the entire preseason with various ailments allowing Michael to run and impress with the ones. I'd rather take a shot in a much later round on Michael than a 3rd rounder on Rawls.