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Offensive Tiers and ADP Bargains - Footballguys

Ranking NFL offenses as units and identifying valuable fantasy assets from each

This article started in 2015 as a two-part series called "Being a Fantasy Elitist" and then continued in 2016 and last year. The theme of the article is "you are judged by the company you keep."

The purpose of this exercise is to rank offenses and to convince fantasy drafters that a secondary option on an elite offense can deliver the equal or better value as a top option on a poor offense.

In fantasy football, the means in the event of a tie between two players (especially early in fantasy drafts), we should strive to avoid drafting the player on a bad offense because they're going to be weighed down by bad teammates or coaching schemes. It's not earth-shattering to say that when a team scores very few points, its players tend to score fewer fantasy points than those with a similar opportunity on higher-scoring teams.

Now that we have the basics, let's get into the tiers. Outside of using our own Matt Bitonti's offensive line rankings, these rankings are solely my own and opinion-based. For quarterbacks, I multiplied the score by three because of the position's importance to the whole offense. And because I don't want to provide an article without actionable advice, I've chosen my favorite player from each team factoring in their current ADP.

Feel free to reach out to me at either hester@footballguys.com or @RyanHester13, but just know that a half-point here, a full point there isn't going to change too much. These rankings are more of a litmus test than something to treat as gospel.

Fertile Fantasy Soil

Rank Team QB RB WR/TE OL OC Total Comments
1 PIT 4.5 5.0 5.0 4.5 3.0 31.0 Roethlisberger-Bell-Brown make for the narrow production funnel; new OC Randy Fichtner an unknown.
2 GB 5.0 3.0 3.0 4.5 4.5 30.0 Last year showed just how important Rodgers is; can he stay effective with lesser receivers?
3 NO 4.0 5.0 3.5 4.0 5.0 29.5 Sean Payton continues to be effective - in a multitude of ways. Kamara-Ingram highlight the group.
4 NE 5.0 3.5 3.5 2.0 5.0 29.0 Brady at the helm; Belichick driving the bus; Gronkowski scoring at will; but WRs are lacking.
4 LAR 3.5 5.0 4.0 4.5 5.0 29.0 Wunderkind Sean McVay turned this around fast. Goff is good; weapons are plenty; OL can make time.
4 PHI 4.0 3.5 4.0 5.0 4.5 29.0 What a difference a year makes; Wentz's progression and Pederson's scheme have made this an elite group.

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