"Mahomes will be one of the most polarizing quarterbacks of the 2018 fantasy preseason, because there are analysts like me who believe he will be an elite quarterback long-term and see enough flashes of those skills to expect a strong debut as a first-year starter... Expect Mahomes to generate bigger plays, greater red zone production in the passing game, and more diversity of production among receivers."
-- Matt Waldman, in our Value Plays series on quarterbacks.
If a film grinder like Matt is on board with what he has seen so far, eyebrows should raise. Mahomes has a cannon arm, above-average mobility, and is oozing confidence.
But the fantasy outlook of Patrick Mahomes II isn't based only on his own ability. There are plenty of reasons to be optimistic. Coaching, surrounding talent, and Mahomes' own tools will lead to a top-six quarterback in fantasy football this season.
Andy Reid's offensive accomplishments speak for themselves. He has made teams less talented than the 2018 Chiefs into top-tier offenses.
Reid has been an NFL head coach for 19 seasons. Below are the average finishes for his teams in various offensive categories:
- Point Differential: 9.7
- Yard Differential: 13.8
- Total Yards Rank: 14.1
- Total Points Rank: 11.1
- Passing Yards Rank: 15.5
- Passing Touchdowns Rank: 13.4
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