A fantasy draft is all about obtaining the most value with each selection. There is value available throughout a draft, and grabbing it is one of the most important keys to a successful fantasy team. In an attempt to point out this value, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should outperform their draft position.
They gave us 12 names. That's a lot at quarterback.
If you want all of the players, keep on reading. If you just want the top guys, here are the four players who received the most votes:
- Carson Wentz - 6 votes
- Joe Burrow - 5 votes
- Jared Goff - 5 votes
- Matthew Stafford - 5 votes
NOTE: We know all these different opinions can be a lot. And certainly, not everyone agrees on everything.
If you want to cut straight to the chase and get our "Bottom Line" for where we project every player right down to the last yard, you can see that here. That's our Bottom Line and where we plant the Footballguys Flag for all these players.
If you'd like to see more detail about how the staff sees different players, here is every wide receiver who was mentioned and the reasons why.
Player Receiving 6 Votes
Carson Wentz, Philadelphia
Phil Alexander: Wentz deserves credit for his QB8 finish in 2019, considering he was down to former undrafted free agent, Greg Ward, as his WR1 by season's end. Philadelphia made it a point to surround Wentz with speed this off-season to emphasize his ability in the vertical passing game. With DeSean Jackson back healthy, Jalen Reagor now onboard, and a full season of Miles Sanders catching passes out of the backfield, Wentz has overall QB1 in his range of possible outcomes.
James Brimacombe: The Eagles passing offense was completely banged up during the second half of last season as Wentz really only had his two tight ends to rely on getting the ball to. Even with all the injuries to the wide receiver position, Wentz still found a way to lead the Eagles to the NFC East title and finish as the QB8 last season with over 600 passing attempts for 4,039 yards and 27 passing touchdowns. Heading into the 2020 season, the Eagles have been trying to build up the receiving talent for Wentz, adding Jalen Reagor, John Hightower, Quez Watkins in the draft. Add in Alshon Jeffery and DeSean Jackson coming back from injury along with J.J. Arcega-Whiteside with a potential rebound season. Don't forget about the emergence of Miles Sanders who caught 50 passes for 509 yards and 3 touchdowns and the best duo of tight ends in the league in Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert. Wentz has all the weapons heading into the year and has a great shot at finishing as a top-five quarterback this season.
Andrew Davenport: Despite playing with a decimated wide receiver corps Wentz pulled off a notable feat - he threw a touchdown pass in every single game in 2019. He also had multiple scores in half of his games, and it isn't as if his touchdown rate was remarkable as he was at only 4.4%. Yet he was very consistent as a performer and found fantasy success despite the limitations. Now, he'll have DeSean Jackson back, Jalen Reagor through the draft, and the further development of Miles Sanders. Obviously he's had some issues with injuries, but with the rosy outlook for the Eagles offense his scoring rate can easily spike, and when he's on the field he's a rock-solid producer that is being undervalued at his current draft slot.
David Dodds: Wentz threw for 4,039 yards and 27 touchdowns and finished as QB8 in 2019 despite getting just 490 yards from his leading wide receiver. The Eagles invested in a first-round pick (WR Jalen Reagor) and return a cast of veterans that missed games last season due to injuries. In 2017, with a full suite of weapons, Wentz finished with the 8th most quarterback fantasy points despite missing three games with an injury. He is a high-reward / low-risk player that should be on everyone's radar this season.
Chad Parsons: Wentz has two top-eight finishes over the past three years and yet the weapons still have not been ideal for the Eagles quarterback. Wentz has two of the best tight ends in the NFL with Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert, ideally a more healthy version of Alshon Jeffery and DeSean Jackson from a year ago (looking like Jackson is more likely than Jeffery early in the season), but the theme of the offseason was speed. Philadelphia splashed Round 1 of the draft with Jalen Reagor and then followed with John Hightower and Quez Watkins. J.J. Arcega-Whiteside was notably absent from a 2019 rookie season impact as well with a lingering injury. Plus Wentz has Miles Sanders entering his second season. Wentz is poised to make another top-8 (or better run) for a discounted sticker price.
Jason Wood: Carson Wentz has finished as the No. 8 fantasy quarterback in two of the last three seasons and was a No. 1 option in 2018 before getting hurt. When healthy, he's the perfect combination of a high floor and high upside. Although his injury history cannot be ignored, it's a misnomer to think any quarterback is a lock to play 16 games. Last year, Wentz was QB8 in spite of having the least productive receiving corps in the NFL over the last five seasons. The front office understandably made improving the receiving group a priority. First-round pick Jalen Reagor should start immediately. DeSean Jackson is healthy. And the team added three other rookie receivers who will fight for roster spots. The bar is so low, it's a guarantee the 2020 receivers are better than the 2019 unit. Yet, the team also has the most productive tight end duo in the league (Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert) and an excellent receiving back in Miles Sanders.
Players Receiving 5 Votes
Joe Burrow, Cincinnati
Phil Alexander: The Bengals have the makings of an underrated offense with Burrow at the helm. The No. 1 overall pick in this year's draft has command of the pocket and proven ability to read pro-style defenses. He'll be an upgrade on Andy Dalton in year-one, and Cincinnati has no shortage of pass-catching weapons in A.J. Green, Tyler Boyd, Joe Mixon, Tee Higgins, and John Ross. Burrow also ran the ball well last year at LSU, adding another fantasy-friendly dimension to his game.