Yesterday, we published the first installment in my True Fantasy Points (TFP) series, which evaluated quarterback projections. (Click here if you missed it.) In Part 2 today, I'm moving on to running backs. To calculate these TFP projections, we need a few things. First, we need each player's data for the following rate stats:
- Yards per Carry (YPC)
- Touchdowns per Carry (RuTD%)
- Receptions per Route Run (RPRR)
- Yards per Route Run (YPRR)
- Touchdowns per Route Run (TDPRR)
Second, we need the league averages for these rate stats. Third, we need math, which allows us to properly
regress each player's actual rates toward the league average rate. Finally, we need David Dodds' volume projections (i.e., attempts and routes run). Put all of this together and apply Footballguys' standard scoring system, and we've got a system to evaluate how close or far away Dodds' point projection for a player is from that player's TFP, which represents what he should
score based on his "true" yardage-gaining and touchdown-scoring skill. (If you'd like to read more about the method, click here
WANT TO SEE THE REST?
The full page you are accessing is only available to our Footballguys Insider PRO subscribers.
In addition to this page, we'll publish about 50,000 more pages of content this season that are just for our Footballguys Insider PROs. It's the ultimate edge to help you WIN YOUR LEAGUE.
ESPN's Matthew Berry says, "Footballguys Insider PRO is the best premium Football only site on the planet." We agree. To see more reasons why the Insider PRO is your ticket to the championship, click HERE.
Registration is simple and in seconds you'll be reading this article plus all the other Footballguys content available only to our Insider PROs. If you're uncertain about your current subscription status, click HERE.
Plus we have a MONEY BACK GUARANTEE so there's nothing to lose.
SIGN UP NOW and let's WIN YOUR LEAGUE.