The first two entries in our DFS Tools Series -- The Data Dominator and Target Stats -- focused on finding and analyzing stats that best predict player opportunity. As those articles (and the accompanying videos) demonstrated, opportunity is often the driving factor behind fantasy performance. How many chances a player gets to rush, catch, or throw the ball should absolutely be your primary concern in DFS, but how efficient they’ll be with those opportunities clearly matters, especially when considering a player’s ceiling for use in GPPs.
We can use the player's past performance to help forecast potential efficiency, but the opposing defense plays an obvious role from week-to-week. The star of today’s show -- Footballguys’ Game Log Dominator -- is the tool I use to analyze both recent past performance and defensive match-up. An interesting side effect of using the Game Log Dominator for DFS last year was it helped provide a window into ownership percentage, which gave me an edge in tournament play.
2015 Use Case
As usual, before I show you how to use the Game Log Dominator, I’ll frame it with a use case from last season: