FBG says: Good matchup. Jordan Howard has taken the reigns of this rushing attack in Philadelphia and has been productive over the last six weeks. Over the last six games, Howard has averaged 4.3 yards-per-carry and has scored 5 touchdowns over those six games. Howard has out-touched the rookie Miles Sanders 93 to 42 over the last six weeks as this seems like his offense is moving towards the veteran. The Eagles strength is the offensive line and it may be getting even better as Jason Peters was a limited practice this week and if he is able to return it would be a significant upgrade for an already dominant line led by Jason Kelce and Brandon Brooks who might be the best center/right guard combination in the NFL.
The Patriots are a difficult run defense to figure out this season as while they have allowed the fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs on the season, they have struggled over the last three weeks allowing 70 yards to Le'Veon Bell, 131 yards to Nick Chubb, and 115 yards to Mark Ingram. A lot of their production has been due to the lack of touchdowns that they have allowed as they have allowed just one rushing touchdown to running backs on the season, and a soft schedule facing the likes of the Jets twice, Miami, a Giants team without Saquon Barkley, the Steelers in a blowout game script, and Washington which are some of the worst run offenses in the league combined with game scripts that forced the teams to abandon the run. If you look at yards-per-attempt, the Patriots are the 7th worst in the NFL allowing 4.7 yards per attempt. This is primarily due to the Patriots playing a Dime defense and having the game script that forces teams to have to abandon the run early. This is still a talented defense when they bring in the right personnel as Danny Shelton is a space-eater that allows Dont'a Hightower and Jamie Collins to clean up tackles. If the Eagles can keep this game close, Jordan Howard can have some success in this game.