FBG says: Bad matchup. The Ravens continue to pace the league with football's most voluminous - and dominant - ground attack. No one pounds the ball nearly as often (37 times a game), nor does anyone produce more yardage per attempt (5.5) or per game (201) than Greg Roman's attack. Of course, quarterback Lamar Jackson is the catalyst as arguably the most dangerous running quarterback in NFL history. He's already topped 1,000 yards on the season, and in consistent fashion, putting up 60+ in 10 of 13 games. His presence tightly caps the upside of Mark Ingram, who's been solid (4.9 per carry) in his first year at a Raven, but hasn't drawn more than 15 carries since Week 5. Both, as well as complement Gus Edwards, benefit from a stout run-blocking line that's adept at creating holes inside. This offense will simply force the run whenever they're able to, dominating through both volume and efficiency, and they're a good bet to do so again Thursday. The Jets boast the league's best run defense by the numbers, but the Ravens' attack always presents a completely different animal.
Throughout their lost 2019 season, the Jets' strength has lay in their run defense. The 5-8 Jets face their share of rushing volume from opposing offenses, yet have allowed the league's fewest yards per rush (3.0) and per game (79). They haven't let a runner top 45 yards since Week 8, despite matchups with backs like Saquon Barkley, Josh Jacobs, Joe Mixon, and Derrius Guice. (That quartet combined to produce just 103 yards - 2.1 per carry - and a single touchdown.) Frankly speaking: to sit atop the entire league with such shaky, inexperienced linebackers is a tremendous testament to the Jets' defensive front. Nose tackle Steve McLendon remains one of the NFL's best-kept secrets, routinely tying up blockers and helping to blow up plays in the gaps. Rookies Quinnen Williams and Foley Fatukasi have played well alongside him, which has made life easier for the linebackers. Together, they've made this a near-shutdown unit that's never fun to face in fantasy. Even the Ravens' dominant ground game projects to scale down noticeably this week.