FBG says: Bad matchup. Sam Darnold continues to flash difference-making potential, as seen on last week's 26-yard touchdown strike to Robby Anderson. From the shotgun, Darnold stepped up through pressure while Anderson broke off his route into the open, and the in-stride throw resulted in an impressive touchdown. Still, consistency evades Darnold, who continues to struggle when hurried and send off too many errant throws. He's only been intercepted twice over the past five weeks, but has had several close calls. Last week, Darnold again struggled mightily to throw effectively down the field, hitting on just 2 of his 9 deep passes (15+ yards downfield). At least his connection with Anderson looks back on track. Anderson has recorded 86, 101, and 116 yards over the past 3 games, producing even without big-time deep balls. The free agent-to-be is playing for a contract, and he closed 2018 on a similar tear, so he looks like a matchup-proof play at the moment. Unfortunately, there's not much fantasy value anywhere else. Jamison Crowder (just 56 yards over the past 3 weeks) is locked into a low-impact slot role, while Demaryius Thomas and tight end Ryan Griffin are novelty pieces in this attack.
The Baltimore pass defense has been a tale of two units here in 2019. After a rocky start to the year, the team added cornerback Marcus Peters in the trade market and got Jimmy Smith back from injury at midseason. Over 7 games since, they've been football's stingiest group, giving up just 5.2 yards per opponent dropback and a league-low 5 touchdowns. Peters, Smith, and Marlon Humphrey make up an elite cornerback trio, and they've teamed to contain the likes of DeAndre Hopkins, Emmanuel Sanders, and John Brown in recent weeks. Earl Thomas is an ideal free safety behind them, proving an upgrade over even the rock-solid Eric Weddle. This secondary would be even more dominant if not for a hit-or-miss pass rush, though at least linebacker Matt Judon has been relentlessly disruptive throughout the year. All told, this is simply not an ideal get-right matchup for the Jets' struggling pass game. Sam Darnold will have his hands full looking for the gaps in this ultra-talented unit.