FBG says: Tough matchup. At this point, it's safe to project video-game numbers for Patrick Mahomes just about every week. The phenom has opened 2019 with performances of 378 and 443 yards, with 7 touchdowns and no turnovers along the way. Week 3 will bring a much stiffer test than the Raiders did last Sunday, but that's not prohibitive at all. Against a similar Baltimore pass defense in Week 14 of last year, Mahomes racked up 377 and 2 scores. He's as matchup-proof a QB1 as the fantasy world has ever seen; a bad statistical day for Mahomes would probably resemble a strong one for 20-25 others. His cannon arm is a perfect match for the Chiefs' explosive receiving corps, which is packed with elite foot-speed and playmaking ability. Of course, tight end Travis Kelce remains the league's best, capable of excelling both underneath and up the seams. Linebackers and tight ends make for noticeable mismatches when Kelce gets moving upfield. He's caught 10 of his 17 targets thus far and has turned them into 195 yards and a score. (Mahomes also just missed him on a wide-open touchdown in Week 1.) And each week, even with Tyreek Hill sidelined, at least one Kansas City wideout makes sure to erupt. In Week 1, Sammy Watkins totaled 198 yards and 3 scores against the Jaguars' elite cornerback duo. He's been largely forgotten behind Kelce and Hill, but remains a deadly downfield weapon, winning with both speed and underrated power. Watkins was held in check Sunday, but speedy reserve Demarcus Robinson picked up the slack and then some (6 for 172 and 2 touchdowns). Explosive rookie Mecole Hardman also made his presence felt last week, with 61 yards and a touchdown of his own. All told, it's wise not to overthink this unit in fantasy. Mahomes is performing on his level of football right now, and every receiver on the roster has a weekly path to big value.
The Ravens' vaunted pass defense was solid against Kyler Murray and the Cardinals last Sunday. They registered nine hits on the rookie, sacking him three times and forcing more check-downs than Murray is used to. Most importantly, they limited the Cardinals when game flow forced them to pass. Big plays were their only undoing, with 4 different Cardinals recording at least one catch of 20+ yards. Still, this is one of football's most talented units, and there's no cause for concern. The Air Raid attack stretches defenses thin with four- and five-wide sets, and NFL teams are still learning how to work against this iteration. The secondary's depth chart is locked in, with Marlon Humphrey and Anthony Averett on the outside and Brandon Carr in the slot. Averett is the clear weak point here; he boasts far less of a track record than the others and finds himself picked on often. Humphrey is a rising star but had a handful of lapses last week against the Cardinals' spread attack. To be fair, he was playing after missing the week's practices with a back injury. Going forward, it's safe to assume this group will remain among fantasy's toughest matchups.