QB Gardner Minshew - Jacksonville Jaguars

6-1, 225Born: 5-16-1996College: Washington StateDrafted: Round 6, pick 2019

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Week 11: at Indianapolis Colts

All QB vs IND

FBG says: Tough matchup. Nick Foles is primed to take the field for the first time since the first quarter of Week 1 when he suffered a broken collarbone. He will be a welcomed site after this Jaguars offense absolutely collapsed in their last outing before the bye. Foles should look to pick up right where he left off, as his last play was a touchdown pass to D.J. Chark. Chark has been the clear top option on an almost weekly basis, handily leading the team in all receiving categories. While his target share may take a slight dip with Dede Westbrook returning from injury this week, Chark remains a big-play threat who showed great chemistry with Foles throughout the preseason and early in Week 1. Westbrook is coming off a shoulder/neck injury that sidelined him in Week 8, so he could be eased back into this game but will be a much-welcomed slot target for Foles. Leonard Fournette has also been schemed into this passing offense on a much more regular basis than past seasons as he has already exceeded career highs for targets (51) and receptions (40), so it will be interesting to see if that continues with Foles under center. The Indianapolis passing defense showed up last week as they held the Dolphins to just 169 passing yards with no touchdowns and an interception. While this group has been inconsistent at times, they have now allowed just three passing touchdowns while snatching four interceptions across their last five games--including outings against Deshaun Watson and Patrick Mahomes. Their secondary, overall, has been solid despite a few weak spots at cornerback--notably Rock Ya-Sin as their most exploitable guy in the secondary. Cornerback Pierre Desir has missed three straight weeks with a hamstring strain and is questionable to suit up this week--however, Desir was struggling to start the season and backup Marvell Tell has played at a similar level for the past three weeks. Chark should have the talent to win his matchup on the outside, but the other Jaguars receivers could struggle here. Play from the Colts safeties and linebackers alike has also been decent. With the leadership from Darius Leonard, these Colts linebackers have been tough on opposing pass-catching running backs, allowing just two backs to finish with over 30 receiving yards in a game this season while allowing no receiving touchdowns to running backs since Week 1.

Recent Stats and Projections

WEEKOPPoSNAPCMPATTYDTDINTRSHYDTDFumLPts
7 at CIN 82 15 32 255 1 0 9 48 0 0 20.55
8 vs NYJ 76 22 34 279 3 0 8 28 0 1 27.75
9 vs HOU 67 27 47 309 0 2 4 34 0 2 14.85
11 at IND PROJ-Tremblay * 0 0 * * * 0 * * * *
11 at IND PROJ-Bloom * 0 0 * * * 0 * * * *

Weekly Performance vs QB 1, QB 12, QB 24

Percentile ranks

Gardner Minshew's percentile rank in each category, among QB with more than 50 fantasy points.

Recent Game Summaries

2019 Week 9 vs HOU (27 / 47 / 309 / 0 / 2 pass, 4 / 34 / 0 rush)

With Nick Foles' imminent return to practice, Minshew had an opportunity to take the starting job for good against Houston. Overall, he looked very much like a rookie sixth rounder. In his defense, the Texans seemed extremely well-prepared for the Jaguar offense. The Texans were all over the Jaguars' two-man route combinations from two-back sets. Coverage overall on the back end seemed to hold up well, as Minshew clearly wasn't comfortable with what he was seeing. Any positive plays they had came off improvisation, and the team had no down-to-down consistency at all. Once the game script got out of hand in the second half, and the Jaguars were forced to throw often, the wheels came off the passing offense. Everything turned into improvisation instead of playing within structure, and the result was a boatload of negative plays (sacks and turnovers). His interceptions looked to be straight up inaccurate throws, with the ball sailing high over his receiver on both.

2019 Week 8 vs NYJ (22 / 34 / 279 / 3 / 0 pass, 8 / 28 / 0 rush)

Gardner Minshew had his worst two-game stretch in Weeks 6 & 7, but he rebounded in Week 8 and had perhaps his best performance all season. He finished the game 22/34 for 279 yards and three touchdowns, and also added on 28 yards on the ground. It was Minshew's first three-touchdown game of his career and it was a result of a drastic improvement in pocket movement and awareness from the rookie. Instead of getting happy feet and bailing from pressure too early, he stayed tough in the pocket, set his feet and delivered strike after strike. He saw mostly man coverage on Sunday and was able to hit his wideouts with both touch and velocity passes to take advantage of open windows. His three touchdowns were the result of good chemistry between him and his wide receivers, as well as a keen ability to extend plays and create positive gains when the structure of a play breakdown. The best examples of these were Minshew's second and third touchdowns -- a 70-yard pass to Chris Conley and a eight-yard yard pass to DJ Chark. On the pass to Conley, Minshew was designed to sprint out to his right but a blitzing Jamal Adams met him on the edge. He sidestepped Adams and then threw a touch pass to Conley while on the move, with Conley taking the catch all the way for a score. On the throw to Chark, Minshew once again evaded Jets defenders but this time it was more than just ont blitzing safety. As the play progressed, no receivers found themselves open so Minshew broke to his right. He was met in space by two Jets defenders but was able to find space behind the LOS to avoid them before tossing a perfelctly placed pass to Chark for a score.

2019 Week 7 vs CIN (15 / 32 / 255 / 1 / 0 pass, 9 / 48 / 0 rush)

Gardner Minshew had somewhat of a bounce-back game compared to his putrid performance against the New Orleans Saints in Week 7. He finished the game with a meager 15/32, but threw for 255 yards and one touchdown without any turnovers.  He delivered mostly accurate passes to all levels of the field on Sunday, especially on inside breaking routes over the middle. Thanks to this, he threw five passes that gained 20+ yards. He was let down by a few drops, but the team's lone offensive touchdown was a perfectly placed touched pass to Keelan Cole in the corner of the end zone.  But some of the negatives were still there. Minshew bailed from far too many clean pockets when there was no need to, and too many times he did not let his feet settle down before he threw a pass. He has looked jittery the last 2 weeks and will need to fix this moving forward to improve his completion percentage and overall effectiveness.  He did once again provide some fantasy value with his running ability, totaling 48 yards on nine carries. When defenses aren't playing contain, he has the ability to hurt them with his legs.

2019 Week 6 vs NO (14 / 29 / 163 / 0 / 1 pass, 2 / 1 / 0 rush)

Rookie quarterback Gardner Minshew had by far his worst game of the season thanks to the way the Saints defense played him. They confused him with pre-snap looks and then contained him inside of the pocket, preventing him from extending plays and giving his wideouts more time to get open. He had been successful playing a backyard style in previous weeks, but the Saints defense simply did not let that happen. Most of the success in previous weeks has been due to defenses predominantly running single high coverage, allowing him to connect with DJ Chark successfully in one-on-one matchups. Minshew finished the game 14/29 passing for 163 yards with an interception. It was the first time in his NFL career that he ended a game without throwing a touchdown, and it was clear from the game's first drive that he was going to struggle on Sunday.  Moving forward Minshew will have to improve his happy feet in the pocket when he feels like scrambling and extending a play. Instead he needs to stand firm in the pocket and take what the defenses give him. On Sunday, he failed to do this.

2019 Week 5 vs CAR (26 / 44 / 374 / 2 / 0 pass, 7 / 42 / 0 rush)

Rookie quarterback Gardner Minshew continued his hot streak against the Panthers, dissecting†one of the NFL's top pass defenses throughout the game and making†big play after big play for the Jacksonville offense. He finished the game 26/44 passing for 374 yards and two touchdowns and threw three passes for 20+ yards. As a passer, he showed great accuracy to the outside and on his deep ball and once again made defenders look silly when evading them in the pocket on a few occasions.†He and DJ Chark continue to show a great connection, with the two of them continuing to hook up deep when they get single man coverage on the outside. On the other hand, Minshew was pressing a bit when it came to making those types of plays in the pocket and this led to one of his fumbles. Too often he was trying to do too much and was not focusing on ball security. As for his other fumbles, one came on a muffed handoff and another was due to left guard Andrew Norwell being pushed into his lap as he was attempting a pass. Minshew showed more good than bad on Sunday, but the ball security needs to improve.

2019 Week 4 vs DEN (19 / 33 / 213 / 2 / 0 pass, 1 / 2 / 0 rush)

He took the Jaguars down the field on his second drive, picking up 50 yards through the air (one of them downfield to DJ Chark that would have been a huge play if not for pass interference). The drive stalled out inside the five however, and the Jaguars settled for a field goal. For the remainder of the first half, Minshew was under siege. The Jaguars could not block the Broncos' defensive front, allowing Denver to get their first three sacks of the season. He also almost threw an interception with 2:30 left in the first half on a target intended for Jeff Swaim. After Ronnie Harrison intercepted a Joe Flacco pass on the next drive, Minshew led a field goal drive that started with 43 seconds remaining in the first half. He started with some short passes to Dede Westbrook and Geoff Swaim. On the third play, he threw a perfect ball to DJ Chark on a vertical route for a touchdown. However, it was erased because of an Illegal Hands to the Face penalty on left tackle Cam Robinson. The penalty stalled the drive out, and the Jags were forced to settle for a field goal. While he did not put up huge passing numbers in the second half, he was a Houdini in the pocket ń routinely breaking the grasp of sacks to move around and find open receivers. The first came on a huge 3rd and 14 conversion, where he slipped a sack, rolled to his right, and threw back over the middle of the field to find Keelan Cole for the first down. On the touchdown pass that capped the drive off, he escaped two potential sacks while inside the pocket. He made subtle movements to evade and reset in very compressed space, never dropped his eyes, and found Ryquell Armstead wide open in the endzone after he converted his route upfield while Minshew was avoiding the rush. After struggling for most of the day on third down, he made two 3rd and medium conversions on a drive in the fourth quarter, a Shallow Cross to Marqise Lee and a quick Slant to DJ Chark. On the first play of the game-winning drive, he got hit in the legs, barely getting the ball off and getting up in obvious pain. On the next play, he got stripsacked from behind. He had the cognizance to pick the ball back up and get a pass off, getting crushed on the attempt, but making a short completion to DJ Chark (also drawing a Roughing the Passer in the process). He then hit Dede Westbrook for a Deep Out followed by a Comeback route to Chris Conley to get the ball into Josh Lambo's range for the game-winning field goal.

2019 Week 3 vs TEN (20 / 30 / 204 / 2 / 0 pass, 4 / 18 / 0 rush)

He started off fast, going 8/9 with two touchdowns. Picked up four after not seeing anything open down the field on his first dropback. He showed he has the ability to throw to the outside quadrants of the field, provided he can get his feet set. He hit a Deep Out to the short side of the field on 2nd and long on the first drive. He failed his first third down of the game, sailing the pass (an open quick Flat to James O'Shaughnessy). He made up for it on his next throw. An Adoree Jackson fumble gave the Jaguars the ball at the Tennessee 7-yard line. They ran a play-action fake and Minshew hit O'Shaughnessy for a wide-open touchdown. On the Jaguars' next drive, he made two fantastic throws to move the ball downfield for a touchdown. The first was Corner route to the wide-side of the field. He passed up a more open underneath target and opted to throw to a more covered Dede Westbrook, laying the ball up just over the coverage where only Westbrook could get it. A few plays later, he threw a 22-yard touchdown pass to DJ Chark on a fade route vs man coverage. Minshew dropped the ball in a bucket. The offense mostly stalled out for the remainder of the half. On the first play of the second half, Minshew again hit DJ Chark on a perfectly thrown fade off of play action. After that, the offense mostly slogged through the second half. He did make a key 3rd and 10 conversion on a Comeback along the left sideline to DJ Chark, they key play on a drive that ended with a field goal and put the game away for good.

2019 Week 2 vs HOU (23 / 33 / 213 / 1 / 0 pass, 6 / 56 / 0 rush)

Minshew's biggest struggles in his first career start came when the Texans were able to pressure him. Whether by sending extra blitzes or Whitney Mercilus whipping the left side of the offensive line, the Texans were in Minshew's face early and often. The pressure forced Minshew to rush an early throw to a wide open DJ Chark, with the pass falling incomplete despite the nearest defender several yards away from Chark. Minshew also fumbled three times, losing one of them, partially due to holding onto the ball too long and partially due to poor blocking. On the other hand, Minshew showed great poise and accuracy throughout the game. He escaped pressure to pick a first down with his legs on two pivotal third downs and one 4th and 10 at the end of the game. When throwing the ball, Minshew really didn't throw an inaccurate pass outside of his miss to Chark and another miss to Leonard Fournette our of the backfield. His downfield accuracy was on point and he gave his wideouts a chance to get yards after the catch. Minshew finished the game 23/33 passing for 213 yards and a touchdown pass. He needs to cleanup the fumbling issues, but he showed more food than bad in week 2.

2019 Week 1 vs KC (22 / 25 / 275 / 2 / 1 pass, 1 / 6 / 0 rush)

Minshew played most of the game in relief of Nick Foles and the sixth-round puck exceeded all expectations. After struggling with composure and accuracy in the preseason, Minshew looked calm, cool and collected at all points vs. the Chiefs, which is impressive considering he came off of the bench cold. He ended the game 22/25 for two touchdowns and one interception, which bounced off of Leonard Fournette's hands. If Minshew can continue to show good decision making and an ability to distribute the ball, the offense might not falter as much as some say during his rookie year.

More

Latest News

Jaguars | Gardner Minshew to the bench (Tue Nov 5, 01:49 PM) - Jacksonville Jaguars QB Gardner Minshew will be benched in favor of QB Nick Foles after the Week 10 bye.

Our View: No surprise here. Minshew turned the ball over too much in the last game and was seeing a decline in his play. Foles has the huge contract and will now get to see what he can do as the team is trying to make a push for the postseason.
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Jaguars | Jacksonville to make QB decision during bye (Sun Nov 3, 02:42 PM) - Jacksonville Jaguars QB Nick Foles (collarbone) is expected to return for the team's Week 11 game, and head coach Doug Marrone said he will take the bye week to decide whether Foles or QB Gardner Minshew will be the starting quarterback for that game.

Our View: Minshew had been playing well enough for the Jaguars to string together a few wins going into this week, but Foles experience will probably win out.
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Jaguars | Four turnovers for Gardner Minshew (Sun Nov 3, 01:33 PM) - Jacksonville Jaguars QB Gardner Minshew went 27-for-47 for 309 yards, zero touchdowns and two interceptions against the Houston Texans in Week 9. He also lost two fumbles during the game and rushed for 34 yards.

Our View: There's little question who will quarterback the Jaguars once Nick Foles is healthy, although there might not have been much of one before this game. Minshew had time to operate but failed to make plays against a secondary that has been in free fall lately. We might not see him again this year.
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Jacksonville Jaguars Team Links

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Footballguys Articles

The Best of Footballguys Week 11
  Matt Waldman - November 15
Roundtable Week 10
  FBG Staff - November 6
Roundtable Week 9
  FBG Staff - October 30
The Best of Footballguys Week 8
  Matt Waldman - October 24
The Top 10: Week 6
  Matt Waldman - October 7
Roundtable Week 5
  FBG Staff - October 2
The Top 10: Week 5
  Matt Waldman - September 30
Roundtable Week 4
  FBG Staff - September 26
The Top 10: Week 4
  Matt Waldman - September 23
The Top 10: Week 3
  Matt Waldman - September 16

Schedule

11@ Indianapolis Colts
12@ Tennessee Titans
13vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
14vs Los Angeles Chargers
15@ Oakland Raiders
16@ Atlanta Falcons
17vs Indianapolis Colts