RB Marshawn Lynch - Oakland Raiders
|5-10, 223||Born: 4-22-1986||College: California||Drafted: Round 1, pick 2007|
News you need to know
General News (Fri Dec 7): will not come off injured reserve after the team designated offensive tackle Donald Penn to return, which is their maximum second player off the Reserve/Injured list.
Week 14: vs Pittsburgh Steelers
FBG says: Neutral matchup. The run game is virtually all that's worked for the Raiders in this lost season. Since Marshawn Lynch was placed on injured reserve in Week 7, they've taken a two-headed approach and ridden it to solid, efficient results. Doug Martin has averaged 58 yards a game in the marginal lead role, while Jalen Richard has racked up 7.3 yards per carry in relief. Martin doesn't have much explosiveness left just months from his 30th birthday, but benefits from the Raiders' quietly strong run blocking, currently graded at an A- by our Matt Bitonti. Richard offers less certainty but more explosiveness, and it's fair to wonder whether he'll pull closer to a timeshare as the season draws to a close. The Pittsburgh run defense, which opened the year in dominant fashion, has fallen on hard times. With top run-stuffer Stephon Tuitt in and out of the lineup and the inside linebacker play dipping, the Steelers have suddenly become a somewhat friendly fantasy matchup. Running backs have averaged 4.5 yards per carry over the last 4 weeks, well above the Steelers' season average, and 3 have topped 77 yards. Quick backs Christian McCaffrey (14 for 77 and 1 touchdown), Phillip Lindsay (14 for 110 and 1), and Justin Jackson (8 for 63 and 1) have found plenty of room through a handful of defensive breakdowns. On a positive note, it appears the fast, active L.J. Fort is cementing himself in the linebacker rotation. Fort actually out-snapped starter Jon Bostic 52-11 last week and was a menace all over the field, racking up 12 tackles as a linebacker/safety hybrid. His dynamism could only help a unit that's struggling to win in the gaps. This should be a matchup that would fit Jalen Richard more than Martin as the key to beating this defense is with speed, but one has to wonder if the Raiders will give Richard the touches as he has just seven carries over his last two games.
Recent Stats and Projections
Weekly Performance vs RB 1, RB 12, RB 24, RB 36
Marshawn Lynch's percentile rank in each category, among RB with more than 50 fantasy points.
Recent Game Summaries
2018 Week 6 vs SEA (13 / 45 / 0 rush, 5 / 3 / 14 / 0 rec)
Aside from a dropped pass where he just took his eye off of the ball, Lynch played fine. There were a couple classic Lynch runs where he was hit near the line and still somehow pushed forward for a gain of five yards. However, even when he was able to push the pile, it was still just for a minimal gain because he was consistently being hit near the line or in the backfield. Lynch popped off a 13-yard run off of right tackle early in the second half but otherwise didn't gain more than 5 yards on any of his runs. From a fantasy perspective, the lone positive for Lynch is that he was still on the field even when the Raiders were down big in the second half. In previous weeks, the Raiders went almost exclusively with Jalen Richard in these game scripts. Perhaps his continued involvement late was just resignation on the part of the team that a comeback wasn't going to happen and instead of really going into the two-minute offense, they decided to try get out of London with Derek Carr in one piece.
2018 Week 5 vs LAC (9 / 31 / 0 rush, 2 / 2 / 10 / 0 rec)
Lynch ran hard early and was able to consistently rip off small chunks of yards in on each run in the first quarter. He had a goal-to-go carry blown dead due to a false start. He left the field looking extremely frustrated after Carr threw an interception on 1st-and-goal from the 1-yard line. Those are the type of situations where calling Lynch's number should be automatic. Unfortunately, Lynch is game-script dependent and barely saw the field in the second half with the Raiders down big.
2018 Week 4 vs CLE (20 / 130 / 0 rush, 5 / 3 / 27 / 0 rec)
It was a vintage performance from Lynch, who ran with extreme power and physicality the entire game. The terrible officiating was a theme throughout the day and it bit Marshawn Lynch on a second-quarter run. He broke outside and a defender had a couple arms on him but it looked like Lynch was about to break free from the tackle for a long gain, maybe even a 70+ yard touchdown. However, the refs blew the play dead prematurely, leaving Lynch with a gain of just six yards. Lynch had a nice catch and run on a gain of 17. He made a sharp cut after the short catch to make the first defender miss and then pinballed through attempted tackles at the end of the run. Lynch broke off a 52-yard run on a pitch to the left sideline. He followed a pair of outstanding blocks by Martavis Bryant down the left sideline and showed solid speed to get the corner.
2018 Week 3 vs MIA (19 / 64 / 1 rush, 4 / 3 / 22 / 0 rec)
Lynch took on a workhorse role and again managed 20+ touches. As always, he ran hard and was often able to earn an extra yard while muscling through contact. However, there was nothing easy and Lynch's longest run of the day went for just nine yards. Lynch leaped over the top for a 1-yard touchdown on one third-and-goal chance. He also had a reception on a third-and-goal screen, but the Dolphins read it well and stopped him well short of the end zone. Lynch's best play of the game was a 14-yard reception. He caught the ball eight yards downfield and violently ran over a defender to pick up a few extra yards. The picture of what to expect from Lynch looks pretty clear. He is getting solid volume and has cashed in on a short-yardage touchdown each of the first three weeks. But he has averaged between 3.4 and 3.7 yards per carry in each game, so the yardage totals have been underwhelming.
2018 Week 2 vs DEN (18 / 65 / 1 rush, 2 / 2 / 3 / 0 rec)
With a more favorable game script, the Raiders were able to feed Lynch for four quarters. He touched the ball 20 times but wasn't efficient, averaging under 3.5 yards per touch. He started off the game strong, with a powerful 6-yard run on the first play of the game where he carried two defenders for a few extra yard. Later on the opening drive, he broke through a big hole on the right side before being tripped up after a 10-yard gain. If he could have broken the shoestring tackle, he would have galloped for a 43-yard touchdown. Lynch had a 31-yard run called back due a holding penalty on a receiver blocking downfield. It was his most impressive run of the day. He dodged a defender in the backfield and was able to get to the outside and stiff arm a defender to pick up extra yards. Both of Lynch's targets came inside the 10-yard line. He nearly scored on a 7-yard catch but came up a yard short. He was able to punch it in two plays later, leaping over the pile for his second touchdown of the season.
2018 Week 1 vs LAR (11 / 41 / 1 rush, 2 / 2 / 8 / 0 rec)
Things couldn't have started better for Lynch and the Raiders. He carried the ball 4 times for 19 yards on the opening drive and also had a short catch, touching the ball on 5 of the first 7 plays. He capped it off with one of the toughest 10-yard touchdown runs you will ever see. Lynch was stood up at the five-yard line with a man clinging to one leg and he just kept churning his legs until the offensive linemen arrived to give him a push. He stayed on his feet and helped push the pile forward into the end zone. It was the type of tone-setting run that makes Lynch more valuable than his stats may suggest. Doug Martin came in and took all of the snaps on the second drive. Lynch came back out for the third drive and touched the ball four times on a long field goal drive. After those two drives, Lynch was barely used. He touched the ball just 4 times in the final 44 minutes of the game. The plan seemed to be to rotate Lynch and Martin every other series while also using Jalen Richard on obvious passing downs, in the two-minute offense, and when trailing. Perplexingly, the move to Richard came with the Raiders down just one score and 20 minutes still to play and Lynch played just 36% of the snaps.
Latest NewsRaiders | Marshawn Lynch won't return in 2018 (Thu Dec 6, 07:58 PM) - Oakland Raiders RB Marshawn Lynch (groin) will not come off injured reserve after the team designated OT Donald Penn to return, which is their maximum second player off IR. link to story
Oakland Raiders Team LinksDepth Chart Season Stats Targets Red Zone Game Logs
Footballguys ArticlesEyes of the Guru IDP Info, Week 8 - Footballguys
John Norton - October 24
The Best of Week 5 - Footballguys
Matt Waldman - October 4
Roundtable Week 4 - Footballguys
FBG Staff - September 27
The Top 10 Week 4
Matt Waldman - September 24
Roundtable Week 2 - Footballguys
FBG Staff - September 12
10 ADP Risers: Are we Sure we Have it Right? - Footballguys
Phil Alexander - August 23
High-Variance Players: RB Marshawn Lynch - Footballguys
FBG Staff - August 14
19 Value Plays at Running Back - Footballguys
FBG Staff - August 14
What's Going to Happen in the Oakland Backfield? - Footballguys
FBG Staff - July 14
Value Plays: Running Backs - Footballguys
FBG Staff - June 20
Articles from around the webSilva's Fantasy Top 150
Evan Silva - May 31
Jay Ajayi leads 2018 fantasy football draft bargains
James Koh - June 4
Preseason Preview: Running Backs
David Dorey - June 12
10 fantasy football stats that won't happen in 2018
Michael Fabiano - June 28
100 facts for the 2018 fantasy football season
Matthew Berry - June 28
Available Target Analysis: AFC
Jody Smith - June 29
Backfield Tiers: Usage Analysis
Will Weiler - July 1
RB Roundup: Analyzing the Committees
Jay Devineni - July 2
Making the Leap: Redskins' offense to rise with Alex Smith
Greg Rosenthal - July 2
Players to Target When Using Zero RB Strategy
Ryan Melosi - July 5
|14||vs Pittsburgh Steelers|
|15||@ Cincinnati Bengals|
|16||vs Denver Broncos|
|17||@ Kansas City Chiefs|