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WR Chris Hogan - New England Patriots

6-1, 215Born: 10-24-1988College: MonmouthDrafted: ---

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Photo: Geoff Burke, US Presswire

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Week 15: at Pittsburgh Steelers

All WR vs PIT

FBG says: Good matchup. Even with a line and receiving corps that's been turned upside-down, Tom Brady continues to post eerily similar numbers to his 2017. He's averaging a solid 285 yards and 1.8 touchdowns a game and looks to be hitting his fantasy stride, even with Rob Gronkowski disappointing the fantasy world so sorely. Gronkowski is still dominating matchups and winning jump balls, and is fresh off his best game of the season, catching all 8 targets for 107 yards and 1 touchdown last Sunday. But Brady has actually been more successful looking for Josh Gordon (18.0 yards per catch) down the field and James White (5.8 receptions a week) underneath. Gordon has acclimated nicely to this offense, averaging 82 yards over his last 7 games. He's nicely papered over a thin receiving corps that features slot specialist Julian Edelman and little else. White makes for a reliable and dynamic check-down option, and if Gronkowski's Week 14 is a sign of things to come, this should remain one of football's most explosive attacks. Brady's track record against the Pittsburgh defense, which changes little from year to year, is definitely a reason for optimism. Over their last 3 meetings, he's completed 71% of his passes at 8.8 yards per attempt, with 6 touchdowns to just 1 interception. The Pittsburgh pass defense looked dominant over a midseason stretch of favorable scheduling but has come back to earth during the last two weeks. Since allowing just 187 yards per game from Weeks 6-12, they've given up 299 to Philip Rivers and 322 to Derek Carr, with 4 touchdowns and no interceptions. (In fact, they've only picked off a single pass over the last 183 attempts.) Last week was particularly disappointing, as Carr methodically marched down the field with strong downfield throws in the Raiders' upset. In general, this is a solid group, boasting a dynamic pass rush that's capable of disrupting just about any pocket. But the secondary remains shaky at best in coverage. Joe Haden can no longer win matchups consistently and loses downfield too often, and the safeties, installed mostly for run support, provide little help. On any given week, the Steelers' blitzing scheme can wreak havoc on a quarterback and pressure him into an inefficient day. But Tom Brady's surgical style - coupled with Josh Gordon's and Rob Gronkowski's downfield games - project nicely for Week 15.

Recent Stats and Projections

WEEKOPPoSNAPRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDFumLPts
12 at NYJ 28 0 0 0 2 2 47 0 0 4.7
13 vs MIN 32 0 0 0 2 2 20 0 0 2
14 at MIA 34 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
15 at PIT PROJ-Dodds * 0 * * 1 * * * *
15 at PIT PROJ-Tremblay * 0 * * 1 * * * *
15 at PIT PROJ-Bloom * 0 * * 1 * * * *

Weekly Performance vs WR 1, WR 12, WR 24, WR 36

Percentile ranks

Chris Hogan's percentile rank in each category, among WR with more than 50 fantasy points.

Recent Game Summaries

2018 Week 6 vs KC (4 / 4 / 78 / 0 rec)

Hogan had two key catches in the 4th quarter than helped set up Patriots scores. Beyond that, his outing was fairly muted, as he is clearly lower on the totem pole for targets. This may well be his biggest yardage day of the year.

2018 Week 5 vs IND (4 / 3 / 34 / 0 rec)

Though he played a full complement of snaps, Hogan's dwindling importance continued with Julian Edelman back. In fact, his "biggest" play of the game was a drop that turned into an interception. Truly a microcosm of Hogan's slow season.

2018 Week 4 vs MIA (1 / 1 / 25 / 0 rec)

Hogan was once again invisible, with one target to show for his efforts on the day. With Julian Edelman coming back and Josh Gordon getting acclimated, he may not have a big role in the offense going forward.

2018 Week 3 vs DET (4 / 3 / 31 / 0 rec)

Once again, Chris Hogan was nearly invisible, further showing that he's having trouble separating. With Julian Edelman and Josh Gordon due back soon, he may continue to have a bit role.

2018 Week 2 vs JAX (5 / 3 / 42 / 2 rec)

Though the stat line may be misleading at first glance, Hogan wasn't targeted heavily during the game. Part of it was good defense/lack of separation, and part was pressure from the defensive pass rush. Either way, he did salvage two scores. The first was a short in route from the 7 yard line, while the second saw him wide open on a small slant with open road ahead. Hogan still hasn't had a heavy involvement game through two weeks, and with only two more games til Julian Edelman is back, he will need to show more.

2018 Week 1 vs HOU (5 / 1 / 11 / 0 rec)

Hogan had a fairly disappointing day, as he wasn't targeted much, and didn't separate as well as normal. With a thin WR corps and Julian Edelman on suspension, he should kick things into gear, but his Week 2 matchup doesn't get any easier.

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New England Patriots Team Links

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Footballguys Articles

The Sharp Report Week 2
  Ryan Zamichieli - September 12
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True Fantasy Points: 2018 Wide Receiver Projections - Footballguys
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21 Overvalued Wide Receivers - Footballguys
  FBG Staff - August 15
High-Variance Players: WR Chris Hogan - Footballguys
  FBG Staff - August 14
Pick-a-Player: Hogan, Jones, or Landry - Footballguys
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Overvalued Players: Wide Receivers - Footballguys
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Buy Low, Sell High: Week 15
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Week 14 Wide Receiver Tiers
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New Reality No.125: 2019 Free Agent Wide Receivers
  Chad Parsons - December 3

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Schedule

15@ Pittsburgh Steelers
16vs Buffalo Bills
17vs New York Jets