TE Chris Herndon - New York Jets
|6-4, 252||Born: 2-23-1996||College: Miami (Fla.)||Drafted: Round 4, pick|
Week 14: at Buffalo Bills
FBG says: Bad matchup. Sam Darnold looks likely to return this week, and surprisingly, the Jets truly need him back under center. Darnold has suffered through a mostly poor rookie year, completing just 55% of his throws for just 4.5 adjusted net yards per attempt, third-lowest among 34 qualifying passers. But 39-year-old Josh McCown has been just as bad in relief, and Darnold isn't without promise. His arm talent has been as advertised, as he's flashed the ability to hit tight windows downfield. Still, he's been wildly erratic on far too many throws and shown a habit of firing into traffic he didn't seem to see. He's produced little beyond dump-offs and underneath slot routes, and none of his receivers have carved out any usable fantasy value. Even with solid volume, this is a low-efficiency, low-impact passing game that lacks real weapons. None of it usable in fantasy. On paper, the Buffalo pass defense has been historically great over the past month, allowing just 134 yards per game and picking off 6 passes. But it's worth noting the quarterbacks they've faced over that span: Mitchell Trubisky, Josh McCown, Blake Bortles, and Ryan Tannehill. That gives some perspective on the numbers, but doesn't take away from how stout this unit has become as they have allowed the fewest passing yards per game at just 203 on the year. This is definitely a talented, aggressive pass defense that often makes life difficult for opposing passers. Tre'Davious White has been an All-Pro shutdown guy all year, while safeties Jordan Poyer and Micah Hyde have been solid in downfield coverage and can swipe at the ball. Up front, a dynamic pass rush (31 sacks) comes from all angles and disrupts things further. The Bills have feasted on great matchups of late, but have also pushed a handful of top passers (Aaron Rodgers and Kirk Cousins, for example) into inefficient days.
Recent Stats and Projections
Weekly Performance vs TE 1, TE 12, TE 24
Chris Herndon's percentile rank in each category, among TE with more than 50 fantasy points.
Recent Game Summaries
2018 Week 13 vs TEN (6 / 2 / 31 / 0 rec)
Since Week 8, Herndon hasn't seen a red zone target, much less the end zone. He's still seeing targets, but that isn't translating to production, although that wasn't helped this week when a really impressive 28-yard catch and run at the end of the first half was called back by a flag for holding. That short pass was turned into a big gain due to Herndon's speed and nose for open field, and is worth noting even if it didn't stand. More often than not, though, Josh McCown struggled to give Herndon manageable balls to catch. Herndon has good athleticism and has shown nice hands, but right now it's hard to know what he brings to the table week to week despite being on the field for 70-75% of the offensive plays each game.
2018 Week 12 vs NE (8 / 7 / 57 / 0 rec)
Herndon saw an uptick in targets (8 compared to 4, 4 and 2 the previous three weeks before the bye) and caught all but one of them. The big tight end is proving to be the lone bright spot on the offense this season, and mixes in some good blocking with his pass-catching ability, which gets him on the field more than any other tight end and most other offensive players not on the offensive line.
2018 Week 10 vs BUF (4 / 3 / 34 / 0 rec)
For the second week in a row, the rookie tight end has led the Jets in receiving yards. Not only does he continue to show progress as a solid pass-catcher, but he ran some nice routes, can get yards after the catch and his blocking seems to be improving. His ceiling on Sunday seemed to be more scheme and quarterback, as he was able to get free a couple of times and McCown just didn't see him.
2018 Week 9 vs MIA (4 / 4 / 62 / 0 rec)
Still Sam Darnold's most reliable target, fellow rookie Herndon was about the only thing which didn't make Jets fans cry on Sunday, though he disappeared in the second half. The Jets were often trying to max protect Darnold, so either Herndon or another tight end was often held in, blocking.
2018 Week 8 vs CHI (2 / 1 / 16 / 1 rec)
If you are only going to get one catch, make it count -- something Herndon did against the Bears as his one catch was a 16-yard touchdown catch. That's three weeks in a row where he and rookie quarterback Sam Darnold have hooked up on a score. This week's version saw him go up the field on a corner route and get a step on the Bears Danny Trevathan to the goal line, where Darnold hit him with a perfect pass. Herndon lead all tight ends in terms of offensive snaps by a wide margin and is certainly the leading tight end in the offense.
2018 Week 7 vs MIN (7 / 4 / 42 / 1 rec)
This is the second game in a row where the rookie quarterback connected with the rookie tight end for a touchdown. The Jets hoped Herndon would develop into a solid receiving threat and with the injuries to receivers, it seems like they are hoping it happens now. Herndon could have had a second touchdown, but after a nice catch and a move up the sideline, he was forced out of bounds while diving for the pylon.
2018 Week 6 vs IND (2 / 2 / 56 / 1 rec)
Herndon didn't get targeted very often but he made what he got count, particularly on his 32-yard catch and run touchdown at the start of the third quarter. Herndon ran a very simple route down the sideline, and the coverage first bit on the playaction fake by Sam Darnold, then one defender fell as he tried to adjust. Herndon was wide open, as was fellow tight end Jordan Leggett.
2018 Week 4 vs JAX (1 / 1 / 18 / 0 rec)
Herndon actually had two big catches but his first -- a 33-yard deep ball -- was called back due to an Eric Tomlinson holding penalty. His second catch, during a drive at the end of the first half, was an athletic grab for 15 yards. Otherwise, while he was on the field for 65% of the offensive plays, he was rarely used.
2018 Week 3 vs CLE (2 / 2 / -1 / 0 rec)
It's a surprise it doesn't happen more often to the Jets, given their insistence on throwing screen passes and other tosses behind the line of scrimmage, but Herndon's longest catch was 8 yards in the wrong direction, as he was brought down well behind the line of scrimmage in the first quarter.
2018 Week 2 vs MIA (4 / 2 / 30 / 0 rec)
When Neal Sterling left with a head injury, it looked like Herndon would get the chance to step up. He did, but it didn't take as Herndon was tackled short of the end zone on the last play of the first half and fumbled the ball twice in the second half.
Latest NewsJets | Chris Herndon posts seven catches (Sun Nov 25, 10:44 PM) - New York Jets TE Chris Herndon racked up seven catches for 57 yards on eight targets in Week 12 against the New England Patriots. link to story
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|14||@ Buffalo Bills|
|15||vs Houston Texans|
|16||vs Green Bay Packers|
|17||@ New England Patriots|