FBG says: Bad matchup. Lamar Jackson's development as a passer has been one of the biggest storylines of the 2019 season. Jackson's improved ability to lead a successful offense from the confines of the pocket has fostered a highly-efficient (6th best net yards per attempt) passing attack that has accounted for 26 scores through the air, tied for the most in the league. Although the Ravens rarely throw the ball, ranking 31st in total pass attempts this season, offensive coordinator Greg Roman has designed one of the league's most impressive passing attacks when called upon. Marquise "Hollywood" Brown and Mark Andrews dominate the production through the air, ranking first and second on the team in targets, receptions, receiving yards, and receiving touchdowns this season. Although Andrews only plays about half of the snaps each game, due to Baltimore's highly-specialized group of tight ends, he makes the most of his limited action. Andrews' target-rate when he is on the field is one of the highest in the NFL, and he should continue to post impressive receiving totals when he's on the field.
For the Buffalo Bills' defense, an incredibly easy schedule has fostered top-flight defensive metrics against the pass this season. The Bills have faced medial volume; however, they've allowed the 3rd fewest passing yards, to go along with an insane 9-to-8 touchdown to interception ratio through 12 games. Efficiency-wise, the Bills rank near the top of the NFL, allowing just 5.1 net yards per attempt thus far. However, last weekend, their defense was gashed through the air for over 350 yards and multiple scores by the Dallas Cowboys' top-ranked passing attack. In the front-seven, the Bills field a slightly-above-average pass-defending unit, with Jordan Phillips and Jerry Hughes leading the way in the trenches. Phillips has converted his pressures into sacks at an outrageous rate this season, with 7.5 sacks on 18 total pressures, making him look like a much more impressive pass-rusher than he truly has been. On the other hand, Hughes' pressure totals have been impressive, while he has struggled to convert them into sacks, with only 3.5 on the season. Tre'Davious White stands out as the team's best pass-defender, with four interceptions so far this season, tied for the third-most in the NFL. At cornerback, White regularly locks down his side of the field, making life difficult for seemingly every wide receiver he has shadowed this season. Expect him to follow Marquise "Hollywood" Brown around the field this weekend, leading to a long day at the office for Baltimore's impressive rookie. Although they have impressed this season against an easy schedule, expect the Baltimore Ravens to push the Bills' defense to the limits in Week 14, as great offense frequently trumps great defense in the modern NFL.