RB Melvin Gordon III - Denver Broncos

6-1, 215Born: 4-13-1993College: WisconsinDrafted: Round 1, pick 15 (2015)

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Photo: Orlando Jorge Ramirez, USA TODAY Sports

Summary

Melvin Gordon stays in the AFC West by signing with the Denver Broncos in free agency. He began his career with the Chargers as a first-round pick in the 2015 NFL draft but had a bit of an up-and-down career there. Gordon struggled to stay healthy with the Chargers, only playing a full 16-game season once in his pro career. In that season (2017), Gordon ran for over 1,000 yards and it's the only time he's been able to hit the number. Last year, Gordon was holding out for a new contract (that he obviously didn't get from the Chargers) and only appeared in 12 contests. The Broncos felt good enough about Gordon that they paid him a contract that pays him $8 million per year, a mark that's good enough to make him the sixth-highest paid running back in the league. The team clearly has the intent to make Gordon the starter and the lead back under new offensive coordinator Pat Shurmur. Looking back through Shurmur's history, he regularly uses only one running back as the bell-cow back while the second-string running back barely touches the ball. That means Gordon is in for a workload where he could get over 300 touches in 2020. It is going to be interesting to see how Phillip Lindsay works into the mix here. A back-to-back 1,000 yard rusher to begin his career, Lindsay now sees himself looking up the depth chart with Gordon at the top. Shurmur has never really used a running-back-by-committee as an OC or head coach, but Lindsay is too good to just put on the shelf. Gordon is a better pass-catcher than Lindsay, he's better in the red zone and he's better on third down. In 2019, Lindsay converted around 25 percent of his carries on third down while Gordon converted about 50 percent of such carries. Gordon is the clear lead back and could be in for a big workload, but Lindsay's presence does cloud the projection for his fantasy value. We see Gordon as a RB2 with upside for Fantasy GMs in 2020. (May 9)

FBG Staff Rankings

RB Redraft - 20, 16, 17, 17, 18, 18, 19, 20, 20, 22, 22
Overall Redraft - 31, 18, 21, 27, 32, 36, 39, 41, 43, 44, 44
RB Redraft PPR - 19, 13, 16, 16, 17, 17, 17, 18, 18, 19, 19, 19, 19, 20, 20, 21, 21
Overall Redraft PPR - 33, 21, 25, 28, 31, 32, 32, 34, 37, 37, 39, 39, 41, 41, 42, 43, 50
RB Dynasty - 17, 9, 17, 17, 18, 18, 19, 20, 25
Overall Dynasty - 44, 22, 34, 37, 41, 48, 59

Stats and Projections

YEARGRSHYDTDTARGRECYDTDFumL
2017 LAC 16 284 1105 8 83 58 476 4
2018 LAC 12 175 885 10 66 50 490 4
2019 LAC 12 162 612 8 55 42 296 1 3
2020 PROJ-Dodds 14.9 190.0 * * 47.0 * * *
2020 PROJ-Henry 15.0 195.0 * * 50.0 * * *
2020 PROJ-Wood 14.0 190.0 * * 45.0 * * *
2020 PROJ-Tremblay 16.0 191.0 * * 55.3 * * *
2020 PROJ-Consensus 15.0 191.9 * * 49.0 * * *

* - Footballguys Insiders can see full projections on this page. See just below for how to sign up.

Weekly Performance vs RB 1, RB 12, RB 24, RB 36

Percentile ranks

Melvin Gordon III's percentile rank in each category, among RB with more than 50 fantasy points.

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Average Draft Position

Overall: 30
RB: 17
Overall-PPR: 38
RB-PPR: 20

Denver Broncos Team Links

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Footballguys Articles

Could Melvin Gordon be Your Ticket to a Title?
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  FBG Staff - August 8
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  Adam Harstad - August 5
The Gut Check No.509: The 2020 Running Back Draft Guide Supreme
  Matt Waldman - August 3
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Backfield Breakdown: The Indianapolis Colts
  FBG Staff - July 30
Least-Favorite Player to Draft in Round 3
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Updated Best Ball RB Tiers
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On The Clock: What To Do At Pick 1.12
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2020 Schedule

1vs Tennessee Titans
2@ Pittsburgh Steelers
3vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
4@ New York Jets
5@ New England Patriots
6vs Miami Dolphins
7vs Kansas City Chiefs
8--- BYE WEEK ---
9@ Atlanta Falcons
10@ Las Vegas Raiders
11vs Los Angeles Chargers
12vs New Orleans Saints
13@ Kansas City Chiefs
14@ Carolina Panthers
15vs Buffalo Bills
16@ Los Angeles Chargers
17vs Las Vegas Raiders