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WR Ted Ginn - New Orleans Saints

5-11, 185Born: 4-12-1985College: Ohio StateDrafted: Round 1, pick 2007

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Week 14: at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

All WR vs TB

FBG says: Good matchup. Drew Brees, in the midst of arguably his most efficient season ever, flopped against a swarming Dallas defense last Thursday night. The Cowboys persistently broke down his pocket and blanketed his receivers downfield, leaving almost no room for success. These games will happen, though, even to elite quarterbacks, and need to be taken with a grain of salt. Brees remains quite possibly the NFL's most efficient passer, leading the league in completion rate and sitting third in adjusted yards per attempt, even while throwing to a host of practice-squad types. His Week 14 outlook is worlds better, taking on a Tampa Bay defense that doesn't rush the passer nor cover well. It's hard to find an answer here for Michael Thomas, who blew past this secondary for 180 yards on 16 catches in the season opener. His volume ebbs and flows based on game script, but Thomas has caught 87% of his targets on the year and can be trusted to produce when needed. Behind him, there's little consistency or projectability, though plenty of upside - if only in Tre'Quan Smith. The rookie was invisible last Thursday, failing to catch his only target, but has averaged 16.9 yards per reception and scored on 4 of his first 34 NFL looks. Ultimately, game flow will tell the tale of this unit's fantasy success, and another low-volume blowout would probably doom it. But Brees is masterful at maximizing his opportunity, so there are high ceilings in play for him, Thomas, Smith, and Alvin Kamara. The Buccaneers have shown marked improvement in pass defense over the last two months. Of course, they had nowhere to go but up after allowing an average of 367 yards over the season's first 5 games. But the turnaround has been impressive nonetheless - that number has dropped to just 239 over the last seven. In Week 13 they allowed Cam Newton to throw for 300 and 2 scores, but intercepted him 4 times and held explosive rookie D.J. Moore in check (44 yards on 8 targets). Despite the strong numbers they've put up of late, this isn't a prohibitive fantasy matchup and the defense is propped up due to the inability to stop the run. Quarterbacks are still completing plenty of passes and throwing touchdowns at a strong rate, while receivers keep piling up yardage on shorter throws. But the big, back-breaking completions are drying up, and this is no longer a free space for fantasy purposes.

Weekly Performance vs WR 1, WR 12, WR 24, WR 36

Percentile ranks

Ted Ginn's percentile rank in each category, among WR with more than 50 fantasy points.

Recent Game Summaries

2018 Week 4 vs NYG (3 / 0 / 0 / 0 rec, 1 / 1 / 0 rush)

The term boom or bust gets thrown around a lot with players in the NFL, but Ginn was a prime example of the bust end of the spectrum this week. He had flourished in the offense to this point with Brees throwing the ball a lot in the first 3 weeks but floundered this week when there was more competition for targets. With Cameron Meredith stepping up and receiving more attention, Ginn is going to be even more dependent on the big play going forward. He did not catch any of his 3 targets this week and may lose out on even more work with the return of Ingram next week.

2018 Week 3 vs ATL (6 / 3 / 12 / 1 rec, 1 / 20 / 0 rush)

This game was all about spreading the ball around and Ginn got his chance early. It was Ginn who scored the first touchdown of the game on the first drive. Brees rolled right on play action and Ginn streaked out into the flat. They completed a short pass and Ginn stiff armed his defender to the ground before walking into the end zone. There was no help on the outside and the safety was busy providing help on Michael Thomas on the other side. Ginn is usually a boom or bust candidate and relies on the big play to score. This week he muscled up and scored one in tight after breaking a tackle. He was very quiet the rest of the game and the only other play worth noting was a 6-yard catch near the end of the first quarter. But the Saints ended up punting on that drive.

2018 Week 2 vs CLE (7 / 4 / 55 / 0 rec)

The final stat line may not show it, but Ginn did not have a great game. Brees narrowly missed him on a shot down the field for their first attempt, and then Ginn fumbled the next pass that came his way right at the line of scrimmage. This was early in the second quarter and right around mid-field. The rest of the game was full of failed shots down the field, a few quick outs, and one big play. That big play came in the form of 42-yard completion where Ginn caught the ball 16-yard down the middle of the field and then ran another 26 before being tackled. This was a huge moment in the game as it came right after the Browns had tied the score and it helped set up the eventual game winning field goal for the Saints. Ginn overcame his early fumble and made a play during crunch time. There has been no clear cut second receiver thus far for the Saints, but in regard to production it has easily been Ginn.

2018 Week 1 vs TB (6 / 5 / 68 / 1 rec, 1 / 5 / 0 rush)

The ball was flying all over the place this week and Ginn managed to cash in. It was Tampa Bay who had receivers haul in touchdowns of 50+ yards, but Ginn showed he has not lost a step when he ran past his man for an easy 28-yard touchdown. On the first play of the second quarter, Ginn simply ran past his man and Brees laid a beautiful ball right into the bread basket for an easy touchdown. Ginn caught 5 of his 6 targets but was competing with Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara who accounted for 2/3 of all completions and most of the yards. Ginn is a threat over the top on every single play and it was a little surprising they did not take more shots down the field with him, especially when they were trailing late in the game.

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Schedule

14@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
15@ Carolina Panthers
16vs Pittsburgh Steelers
17vs Carolina Panthers