QB Jimmy Garoppolo - San Francisco 49ers
|6-2, 226||Born: 11-2-1991||College: Eastern Illinois||Drafted: Round 2, pick 2014|
News you need to know
From the upgrade/downgrade report (Mon Dec 2): Garoppolo had the conditions and a good Ravens secondary working against him, not to mention missing Joe Staley. He'll face the Saints, Falcons, and Rams in better conditions in the fantasy playoffs.
Week 14: at New Orleans Saints
FBG says: Tough matchup. As expected, the 49ers' run-dominant approach severely handcuffs the upside of its passing game. Jimmy Garoppolo has been passable as a Super Bowl-contending quarterback, completing 69% of his throws in full-on game manager mode. He's only topped 300 yards twice, though, with both coming against the Cardinals' awful pass defense. Through 12 games, those 2 matchups have accounted for 26% of his yardage and 38% of his touchdowns. There's some truly explosive talent mixed into this attack, particularly on the inside of the formation. Tight end George Kittle remains a matchup-proof fantasy star, and rookie slot man Deebo Samuel continues to make at least two or three splash plays a week. He put up 112 and 134 yards in Weeks 10 and 11, then caught long touchdowns in each of the last two. Emmanuel Sanders looms, as well, even though Samuel has cut deeply into his role. But without consistent volume in a conservative attack, their expectations need to be held in check. Game flow and gameplan will tell the tale; it's rare to see two or more erupt in the same week. The New Orleans pass defense is generally a strong one, boasting a true shutdown cornerback and a handful of rising stars around him. Last week, they recorded 9 sacks and allowed Matt Ryan just 6.2 yards per attempt. The Saints have allowed big raw yardage in a handful of games, but much of it has been boosted by garbage time. And with top cornerback Marshon Lattimore back in the lineup, this is again a daunting matchup for opponents' No. 1 wideouts. Lattimore has done fantastic recent work against the likes of Amari Cooper (48 yards), D.J. Chark (43), and Mike Evans (69 over 2 games). On the other side, Eli Apple is fresh off one of his worst games as a pro, losing repeatedly to the Falcons' Calvin Ridley. It's unclear just how much impact they'll have Sunday, though, as the 49ers work the slots much more often than the boundaries. The burden will be on safeties Marcus Williams and Vonn Bell to control the seams and keep Jimmy Garoppolo's slot targets from producing after the catch.
Recent Stats and Projections
Weekly Performance vs QB 1, QB 12, QB 24
Jimmy Garoppolo's percentile rank in each category, among QB with more than 50 fantasy points.
Recent Game Summaries
2019 Week 13 vs BAL (15 / 21 / 165 / 1 / 0 pass, 3 / 5 / 0 rush)
The weather conditions severely hampered Garoppolo's performance in myriad ways. Deebo Samuel wouldn't have required acrobatics to make his deep touchdown catch if Garoppolo hadn't have underthrown him by 10 yards. A slippery ball likely played a part in his fumble that set up Baltimore's first touchdown. Less obvious than these, though, were little things like the wind moving his ball sideways so as to not hit receivers in stride. Also, there were a couple of plays in which Garoppolo had receivers breaking wide open as he eluded the pass rush, but unsure footing caused him to miss the opportunity.
2019 Week 12 vs GB (14 / 20 / 253 / 2 / 0 pass, 2 / 1 / 0 rush)
Of Garoppolo's 14 completions, 7 went for 15 or more yards. Most of this damage was done in the middle of the field, with safety Adrian Amos and linebacker Blake Martinez being clearly beaten or seemingly befuddled on a constant basis. Of course, it's one thing to see clever scheming and poor defending; it's another to take advantage of it. And with pinpoint accurate passing, hitting receievers in stride on slants, crossers, and posts, Garoppolo did just that. Also of note is the fact that, along with all this good from Garoppolo, there was none of the superbad that rears its ugly head from time to time. He took a couple of sacks on third down instead of forcing throws, and two of his six incompletions were actually throwaways. Finally, Garoppolo saved his most clutch for last, converting two third downs -- one a 3rd-and-10 -- on a fourth quarter drive that ended any earthly chance of a Packers comeback.
2019 Week 11 vs ARI (34 / 45 / 424 / 4 / 2 pass, 1 / 7 / 0 rush)
Garoppolo threw two absolutely awful interceptions, both on 3rd down, and both inside Arizona's 25-yard line. On the first, he threw to a bracketed Emmanuel Sanders at the goal line, but it was actually a third defender, an underneath linebacker that he didn't see, who made the interception. On the second, Garoppolo high and behind Ross Dwelley, who helpfully tipped the ball into the waiting arms of safety Jalen Thompson. Despite how awful these were, they actually shed light on why he's still plenty good enough to have produced a 400-yard, 4-touchdown, game-winning performance. Namely, Garoppolo a) makes reads and gets the ball out as fast as anyone in the league, b) he's willing to throw as he's about to get hit, and c) he defaults towards pushing the ball downfield rather than checking down. These are good traits for an NFL quarterback, but they sometimes manifest themselves in hero throws that shouldn't be made; say, on 3rd-down in the red zone when you're about to gain or extend a second-half lead.
2019 Week 10 vs SEA (24 / 46 / 248 / 1 / 1 pass, 2 / 1 / 0 rush)
Going into details about all the random events that conspired both for and against Garoppolo in this game would make this blurb far too long. Suffice it to say, losing Emmanuel Sanders midway through the second quarter didn't help. George Kittle being injured didn't help. Losing your center for a few plays, and his backup blowing a block in the interim that causes a strip-sack fumble recovery touchdown...didn't help. The endless parade of awful drops by his receivers didn't help, especially the long-gain-turned-interception that Kenrdick Bourne volleyball set into the air for Quandre Diggs to pick off. Having said all that, Garoppolo benefitted from multiple dropped interceptions, an actual interception that was nullified by a ticky-tack defensive holding penalty, and bad injury luck also befalling Seahawks defenders. Stripping away all the randomness, if such a thing can be done, what the film shows was a reversion to his inconsistent form from earlier in the season once Emmanuel Sanders left the game. Before then, he was placing the ball perfectly on slants and making good decisions. Afterwards, the bad decisions, pinpoint inaccuracy, and general "not being on the same page" with his receivers rose from the grave.
2019 Week 9 vs ARI (28 / 37 / 317 / 4 / 0 pass, 3 / 2 / 0 rush)
For the first time in a long time, Garoppolo showed a level of pinpoint accuracy we haven't seen since before his 2018 injury. This bit of renaissance was fully on display on all four of his touchdowns throws. On his first two touchdowns, he hit George Kittle in stride on a quick slant and hit Kendrick Bourne on a square-in through a tiny window. Putting the ball in a perfect spot on in-breaking routes has been a particular struggle for Garoppolo this season. On his final two touchdowns, he showed pinpoint accuracy on out-breaking routes, first to Emmanuel Sanders on a flat route out of the backfield, and then to Dante Pettis on a deep corner route. The latter, though wide open, may have actually been a better indicator of Garoppolo's performance because he had been consistently underthrowing those all season.
2019 Week 8 vs CAR (18 / 22 / 175 / 2 / 1 pass, 0 / 0 / 0 rush)
With the 49ers' running game meeting minimal resistance, Garoppolo wasn't asked to do much. This was especially true in the second half, where he only threw five passes. That said, when called upon early, he delivered, and the two demerits on his stat sheet weren't as bad as what he's capable of sometimes. Garoppolo's first touchdown was a perfectly threaded pass between two defenders at the goal line. He also perfectly executed a shovel pass to Matt Breida and a screen pass to Tevin Coleman, both in the red zone. And on third downs, he went 4-for-5, converting a first down on all 4 completions. With respect to his interception and safety, the former was more of a great play by all-world linebacker Luke Kuechly (in coverage against George Kittle), while the latter resulted from a blown block by Justin Skule, who'll be returning to the bench when Joe Staley returns in the next week or two.
2019 Week 7 vs WAS (12 / 21 / 151 / 0 / 1 pass, 4 / 20 / 0 rush)
Playing in a morass isn't conducive to fantasy output, but Garoppolo missed a couple of big opportunities nevertheless, mainly due to not adjusting properly for the wind. Going against the wind during the second and third quarter, Garoppolo a) floated a near-interception to George Kittle across the middle; b) tossed a softball to Kendrick Bourne on a quick slant that was also nearly intercepted; and c) threw an actual interception on an underthrown deep pass to Dante Pettis, who was wide open. Perhaps then it was overcompensation for wind when, in the fourth quarter, Garoppolo underthrew another deep touchdown -- this time to Bourne -- despite having a stiff breeze at his back. All of the above said, Garoppolo did move the chains via the pass when the 49ers absolutely needed it (usually to Kittle). He also used his legs more than usual, running for two first downs, and performing a Houdini-like sack escape early in the second quarter.
2019 Week 6 vs LAR (24 / 33 / 243 / 0 / 1 pass, 5 / 4 / 1 rush)
Garoppolo played well despite constantly being under pressure from the Rams pass rush. His passing stats would have been much more impressive if not for Marquise Goodwin dropping a wide open deep touchdown and Tevin Coleman dropping a wide open goal line touchdown. That said, both throws were perfect examples of the "general vs. pinpoint accuracy" phenomenon that's been getting chronicled in these recaps all season. Both were thrown accurately enough for Goodwin and Coleman to make the catches, but at the same time required them to make a pair of physically awkard catch attempts rather than ones in stride. Arguably, these two throws were as bad or worse than his red zone interception, as that one was more of a bad decision than a bad pass. Also concerning with respect to situational awareness, he lost a fumble midway through the fourth quarter due to lackadaisical ball security, thereby giving the Rams life when they were pretty much dead.
2019 Week 5 vs CLE (20 / 29 / 181 / 2 / 0 pass, 4 / -3 / 0 rush)
With a clear run-based game plan that found success early and often, Garoppolo wasn't tested much in this game. From a game film perspective, he did show improvement on a couple of things that have been mentioned in this space previously. First, as evidenced on both Matt Breida's receiving touchdown and Dante Pettis' dropped would-be touchdown, Garoppolo displayed pinpoint accuracy on in-breaking routes that he's been throwing behind receivers all season. Second, the risks he took throwing into coverage were far less risky than in previous weeks. No lofting it into triple coverage off his back foot; no throwing late and high across the middle; and so on.
2019 Week 3 vs PIT (23 / 32 / 277 / 1 / 2 pass, 6 / 3 / 0 rush)
Garoppolo played a better game than the box score would have one believe. Both of his interceptions were on tipped balls. The absence of left tackle Joe Staley led to more pressure than he usually receives, but Garoppolo handled it with aplomb, repeatedly escaping sacks. He would have thrown for over 300 yards if not for a Deebo Samuel drop deep downfield in the third quarter.
2019 Week 2 vs CIN (17 / 25 / 297 / 3 / 1 pass, 4 / 8 / 0 rush)
Garoppolo's stats may have rebounded back to above-average against Cincinnati, but his non-box score performance did not. He can thank Kyle Shanahan's play design and play-calling for many of his long gainers, what with 49ers receivers running wide-open all over the field, and Bengals tacklers repeatedly engaging in defensive indifference. He also repeated many of his Week 1 mistakes, i.e., throwing behind receivers rather than hitting them in stride, as well as making incredibly ill-advised throws into double-(or triple-) coverage. Throwing for 297/3/1 was just about the floor of what Cincinnati offered up for the taking.
2019 Week 1 vs TB (18 / 27 / 166 / 1 / 1 pass, 2 / -2 / 0 rush)
Garoppolo's pick six may have been more of a great defensive play than a bad throw, but there were still plenty of bad throws to go around. Matt Waldman likes to distinguish between general accuracy and pinpoint accuracy. Garoppolo completely missed a couple times, but the vast majority of his errant throws were examples of pinpoint inaccuracy. No fewer than five times, Garoppolo had a situation in which throwing to his receiver in stride would have led to huge yardage, but he threw it to either the back hip or the back shoulder. One of the only times -- if not the only time -- he did not mess this up, he hit Richie James in stride deep downfield for a 39-yard touchdown.
Latest News49ers | Jimmy Garoppolo throws for 165 yards, TD (Sun Dec 1, 09:44 PM) - San Francisco 49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo completed 15-of-21 passes for 165 yards, one touchdown and no interceptions in the Week 13 loss against the Baltimore Ravens. link to story 49ers | Jimmy Garoppolo throws for 165 yards, TD (Sun Dec 1, 09:44 PM) - San Francisco 49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo completed 15-of-21 passes for 165 yards, one touchdown and no interceptions in the Week 13 loss against the Baltimore Ravens. link to story 49ers | Jimmy Garoppolo throws for 165 yards, TD (Sun Dec 1, 09:44 PM) - San Francisco 49ers QB Jimmy Garoppolo completed 15-of-21 passes for 165 yards, one touchdown and no interceptions in the Week 13 loss against the Baltimore Ravens. link to story 49ers | Jimmy Garoppolo throws for two scores (Mon Nov 25, 01:42 AM) - San Francisco 49ers UB Jimmy Garoppolo went 14-of-20 for 253 yards and two touchdowns in Week 12 against the Green Bay Packers. link to story
San Francisco 49ers Team LinksDepth Chart Season Stats Targets Red Zone Game Logs
Footballguys ArticlesStarting Stacks for Week 11
Scott Bischoff - November 14
The Top 10: Week 9
Matt Waldman - October 28
The Gut Check No.489: A 360-Look at the Emmanuel Sanders Trade
Matt Waldman - October 23
Starting Stacks for Week 1
Scott Bischoff - September 5
Roundtable Week 1
FBG Staff - September 4
On Second Thought: Quarterback Edition
Jason Wood - August 30
True Fantasy Points: 2019 Quarterback Projections
Danny Tuccitto - August 20
Dante Pettis and the Allure of Unknown Upside
Dave Larkin - June 13
Week 14 Quarterback Tiers
Sigmund Bloom - December 5
Dynasty Trade Value Chart: December
Dan Hindery - December 3
Articles from around the webWhat We Learned in 2018: Wide Receiver
- February 4
Best 2019 fantasy bye week replacements
Marcas Grant - April 18
Fantasy Football: Zachariason's Post-Draft Rookie Rankings
J.J. Zachariason - May 2
Fantasy Football: 2019 Staff Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft
Jonathan Margulis - May 20
Fantasy football mock drafts: Strategies from a 12-team PPR draft
Daniel Kelley - May 21
Why You Should Bet on Ben Roethlisberger to Lead the NFL in Passing Touchdowns
Jason Schandl - May 21
Fantasy Strength of Schedule: Quarterbacks
David Dorey - May 27
How Vegas projected win totals can influence fantasy potential
Scott Barrett - May 31
STOP UNDERVALUING MITCHELL TRUBISKY IN DYNASTY
Dale Crawford - June 1
Risk Assessment: Upside Players with Downside
Justin Weigal - June 3
|14||@ New Orleans Saints|
|15||vs Atlanta Falcons|
|16||vs Los Angeles Rams|
|17||@ Seattle Seahawks|