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RB James Develin - New England Patriots

6-3, 251Born: 7-23-1988College: BrownDrafted: ---

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Week 20: at Kansas City Chiefs

All RB vs KC

FBG says: Good matchup. The Patriots offense was firing on all cylinders in their Divisional round victory over the Chargers, starting with Sony Michel who was fed 24 carries for 129 yards and three touchdowns--the best stat line of his short career. Michel was relied upon heavily as the Patriots built their lead into a game script that ended up heavily favoring the run. The blocking was spectacular both from his offensive line and tight ends as Michel routinely found plenty of room to run. When given the opportunities, Michel has typically run very well this season. Averaging 4.5 yards per attempt in the regular season, Michel ran for over 100 yards in four of the 12 full games he played in, scoring touchdowns in five of those games. This Patriots offense has been predicated on Michel for most of the season, as he has surprisingly been one of the more reliable and predictable Patriots running backs, averaging just over 16 carries per game. The last time these two teams met, Michel feasted on the Chiefs defense to the tune of 106 yards and two touchdowns--his only game of the regular season with multiple rushing touchdowns. James White remains the preferred running back on passing downs and has routinely out-snapped Michel in nearly every game this season, but Michel is the clear lead option in this backfield from a rushing perspective. The only caution with Michel would be the potential game script of this AFC Championship matchup that has plenty of shootout potential as the Patriots keep pace with the top offense in the NFL. The Chiefs defense struggled against the run throughout the regular season, but they showed no difficulty at all in shutting down what had been a powerful Colts rushing offense last week. They held Colts running backs to a meager 70 rushing yards and no touchdowns after giving up the fifth-most rushing yards per game to running backs (114) during the regular season. A game script dictated by excellent play from this Chiefs secondary and offense was what really caused most of this success against the run though--as the Colts running backs attempted only 12 rushes leading to an average of nearly six yards per rush attempt. This Chiefs personnel up front can still be exploited by a powerful offensive line, which is exactly what the Patriots have. With consistency across all five positions and particular strengths at guard, the Patriots have the advantage in the trenches when it comes to opening up running lanes. The Chiefs still have a significant weakness at linebacker as well, which can only add to the upside for Sony Michel. As long as he is given the opportunities, Michel should be set up for success in this one despite the flashy showing from this Chiefs defense last week.

Recent Stats and Projections

16 vs BUF 36 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
17 vs NYJ 26 0 0 0 1 1 2 0 0 0.2
19 vs LAC 27 2 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.5
20 at KC PROJ-Dodds * 1 * * 1 * * * *
20 at KC PROJ-Tremblay * 1 * * 1 * * * *
20 at KC PROJ-Bloom * 0 * * 0 * * * *

Weekly Performance vs RB 1, RB 12, RB 24, RB 36

Percentile ranks

James Develin's percentile rank in each category, among RB with more than 50 fantasy points.

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