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TE Charles Clay - Buffalo Bills

6-3, 245Born: 2-12-1989College: TulsaDrafted: Round 6, pick 2011

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Week 15: vs Detroit Lions

All TE vs DET

FBG says: Good matchup. Rookie Josh Allen continues to flash big, explosive traits as a pro quarterback. His mobility and footspeed have been huge for the Bills' anemic offense, and his arm is truly NFL-caliber. And his aggressive mindset has created a handful of big plays, plus a dynamic connection with fellow rookie wideout Robert Foster. Still, Allen remains an exceptionally raw passer. In terms of adjusted net yards per attempt, which factors in touchdowns, interceptions and sacks, he sits dead-last among 35 qualifying quarterbacks. Allen has averaged just 169 yards per start, with just 5 touchdowns on the season. He's paying off with his legs, but remains miles from fantasy relevance as a passer. Foster has emerged as the team's most dynamic receiver, racking up 330 yards over the last 4 weeks. He's broken loose for receptions of 47, 43, and 75 yards, and caught 7 of his 8 targets last Sunday. Foster is primarily a vertical threat, but certainly boasts the talent to unseat Zay Jones as the Bills' No. 1. Jones is a severely limited receiver, averaging an anemic 6.2 yards per target on the year. Altogether, there isn't nearly enough volume or efficiency here to produce a worthwhile fantasy starter, despite a few moments of dynamism between Allen and Foster. The Lions continue to struggle mightily against the pass. The raw numbers aren't terrible: they're allowing just 233 yards per game, good for 11th-best in football. But that's a deflated number, as the 5-8 Lions have faced just 31 attempts a game, second-fewest in the league. And from an efficiency standpoint, they've been a bottom-of-the-barrel unit. Opposing passers are completing 67% of those throws and producing 6.9 net yards per attempt (seventh-most). Their Week 10 drubbing by Allen Robinson and the Bears was extreme, but a great snapshot of their weaknesses, specifically tight coverage and downfield tackling. Aside from top cornerback Darius Slay, who's been good but not great this year, the Lions sorely lack talent in the secondary. Teez Tabor and Nevin Lawson have been targeted frequently and with great success, leading to Tabor's complete benching in Week 12. His replacement, Mike Ford, has been a step up but still nothing to fear. This group will breathe a little easier Sunday against erratic Bills rookie Josh Allen and his barren receiving corps, but remains very beatable by the big play. Robert Foster will see some downfield opportunity, and he faces some very winnable matchups beyond Slay.

Recent Stats and Projections

WEEKOPPoSNAPRECYDTDFumLPts
13 at MIA 45 1 9 0 0 0.9
14 vs NYJ 42 1 6 0 0 0.6
15 vs DET PROJ-Dodds * 2 * * * *
15 vs DET PROJ-Tremblay * 2 * * * *
15 vs DET PROJ-Bloom * 1 * * * *

Weekly Performance vs TE 1, TE 12, TE 24

Percentile ranks

Charles Clay's percentile rank in each category, among TE with more than 50 fantasy points.

Recent Game Summaries

2018 Week 14 vs NYJ (2 / 1 / 6 / 0 rec)

Charles Clay had a quiet game against the New York Jets, managing only a short reception for 6 yards. Clay also had a drop on an open crossing route that could have been a big gain. He was also targeted deep down the seam on a ball that was overthrown but drew an illegal contact penalty on the play. Clay will look to bounce back next week against Detroit.

2018 Week 13 vs MIA (2 / 1 / 9 / 0 rec)

Charles Clay had a quiet game against Miami outside of the last offensive play for Buffalo. Clay was the intended target on a Josh Allen scramble where Clay was wide open in the end zone. Allen threw the ball across the body while on the run and underthrew Clay. While working back to the ball, Clay dove for the pass instead of running to catch it, and the ball went through his hands. Clay is minimally involved in the offense of late and struggles to distinguish himself on the field.

2018 Week 9 vs CHI (0 / 0 / 0 / 0 rec)

Charles Clay exited the game with a hamstring injury and was not targeted. Logan Thomas stepped up in his absence, but Clay will look to return next week against the Jets.

2018 Week 8 vs NE (6 / 3 / 36 / 0 rec)

Clay saw a season-high six targets against New England, but struggled to make an impact. A well-designed fleaflicker target early in the game was wasted due to a poor throw from Derek Anderson. Clay's most notable individual play came on a low snare of a pass on a quick out route. Clay padded his total in garbage time with yards-after-catch. While the clear starter, Clay is averaging less than 10 yards-per-catch and has yet to find the end zone this season.

2018 Week 7 vs IND (5 / 3 / 14 / 0 rec)

Charles Clay had a catch across the middle where he lost a fumble. He was also targeted on a deep route along the perimeter, but the throw was off target. Clay remains a short area option in the Buffalo offense on low volume.

2018 Week 6 vs HOU (5 / 4 / 20 / 0 rec)

Charles Clay was used in multiple RPO plays and was used in the slot for a reception but continues to see only short area targets. Clay has shown the ability to make big plays but is not aided by Josh Allen's ball placements. Clay has had multiple opportunities in recent weeks to run after the catch but was forced to adjust to an inaccurate throw from Allen. Like the rest of the offense, Clay's upside is severely limited with the rudimentary game plan and the poor throws from Allen.

2018 Week 5 vs TEN (1 / 1 / 12 / 0 rec)

Charles Clay was only targeted once against Tennessee on a crossing route off play action. Clay was able to get behind the linebackers on a good play action fake by Josh Allen. Clay has become an ancillary option in a low volume passing attack.

2018 Week 4 vs GB (6 / 4 / 40 / 0 rec)

Charles Clay saw his largest involvement of the season. Clay was involved early, catching multiple third down conversions early in the game. Clay was able to show elusiveness on a run after a catch for a long gain of 17 yards.

2018 Week 3 vs MIN (3 / 2 / 18 / 0 rec)

Charles Clay caught two early passes, including a tight end screen. Clay is not getting a lot of opportunities in the passing game, because of low passing volume and additional usage of Jason Croom in the passing game.

2018 Week 2 vs LAC (3 / 2 / 29 / 0 rec)

Charles Clay had a better day against the Chargers, but still lacks for volume. Clay had a 21 yard catch and had a deep target on a play action pass, but the Buffalo offense is too inconsistent while attempting to get Logan Thomas and Jason Croom involved for Clay to see consistent enough usage for fantasy production at this point in Josh Allen's career.

2018 Week 1 vs BAL (2 / 0 / 0 / 0 rec)

Charles Clay was held without a catch on two targets. The offense was a putrid display and Clay was no different.

More

Buffalo Bills Team Links

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Footballguys Articles

The Top 10 Week 14 - Footballguys
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New Reality No.126: 2019 Free Agent Tight Ends
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The Top 10 Week 15
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Gameday Injury Expectations: Week 13 - Footballguys
  Jene Bramel - December 1
DFS Roundtable: Low-Cost Pass-Catchers
  Chad Parsons - November 29
Injury Expectations | Midweek Update | Week 13 - Footballguys
  Jene Bramel - November 28
Cutting the Cord: Week 13 - Footballguys
  Chad Parsons - November 27
Monday Injury Rounds: Week 13 - Footballguys
  Jene Bramel - November 25

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Silva's Fantasy Top 150
  Evan Silva - May 31
The best fantasy football draft strategy for 2018
  Michael Fabiano - June 7
Bills Fantasy Preview
  Evan Silva - June 9
Fantasy Football Draft Prep: Using consensus rankings to find this year's early sleepers
  Heath Cummings - June 18
Preseason Preview: Receivers
  David Dorey - June 18
Is Trey Burton the Next Travis Kelce?
  John Paulsen - June 19
Available Target Analysis: AFC
  Jody Smith - June 29
Top-250 Fantasy Football Rankings
  Mike Tagliere - July 16
Silva's Pre-Camp Top 150
  Evan Silva - July 24
Fantasy football sleepers: Low-ADP players worth a draft pick in 2018
  Scott Barrett - July 30

Schedule

15vs Detroit Lions
16@ New England Patriots
17vs Miami Dolphins