WR John Brown - Buffalo Bills
|5-10, 179||Born: 4-3-1990||College: Pittsburg State||Drafted: Round 3, pick 2014|
Week 11: at Miami Dolphins - $6400
FBG says: Good matchup. Josh Allen has made minor strides as an NFL passer in his second season, but he's still not producing any fantasy gold with his arm. Allen is fully capable of tough downfield completions, but remains a serious work in progress on the delivery. Throwing just 32 passes a game, there's not much productivity in this attack (213 yards and 1.1 touchdown). Allen hasn't thrown an interception since Week 5, but has flirted with several. He still puts more than his share of erratic balls into the air. Of course, that's also sometimes a blessing for big-play wideout John Brown, who's quietly served as a solid fantasy starter. Brown hasn't reached 100 yards since Week 1, but he's yet to fall below 51 in any game as Allen's most consistent target by far. Slot specialist Cole Beasley flashes with a big play in most games, but beyond that, this attack is anyone's guess. Newcomer Zay Jones could work his way into the mix this week, and speedy Robert Foster saw his snaps double last Sunday. Last year, Allen and Foster connected for 425 yards over the final 6 weeks. Altogether, this certainly isn't a deep unit, and its ceiling isn't great with such low volume and efficiency. Beyond Brown, there's little fantasy payoff here. On paper, the Miami pass defense has improved mightily over the past 5 weeks, allowing opponents just 6.6 yards per attempt on a 57% completion rate. But it must be noted that they built those numbers against a comically weak quarterback schedule: Case Keenum, Josh Allen, Mason Rudolph, Sam Darnold, and Brian Hoyer (without TY Hilton, even). In other words, they actually allowed that run of passers to meet (or even exceed) their low expectations. With top cornerback Xavien Howard on injured reserve, there's little proven talent or even continuity in the secondary. Eric Rowe and Ken Crawley have long been beatable down the field, and safety Bobby McCain remains a liability as well. Opponents have attacked the Dolphins on all levels; nine different pass-catchers have topped 75 yards through 9 games. In this matchup back in Week 7, John Brown turned 6 targets into 83 yards and a touchdown. With Howard on the shelf, it's hard to find any Dolphin who projects to slow him.
Recent Stats and Projections
Weekly Performance vs WR 1, WR 12, WR 24, WR 36
John Brown's percentile rank in each category, among WR with more than 50 fantasy points.
Recent Game Summaries
2019 Week 10 vs CLE (11 / 5 / 77 / 0 rec - 12.7 points, $6000)
John Brown continued his strong season on Sunday against the Browns. Brown was the leader in targets for Buffalo with 11 targets and was consistently open during the game. Brown played all over the field, including on the outside and in the middle of the field. He had opportunities for more, but Josh Allen missed him on a slant route on fourth down and threw too far behind him on a deep back shoulder play. Brown has been over 50 yards every week this season and should have a good matchup next week at Miami.
2019 Week 9 vs WAS (7 / 4 / 76 / 0 rec - 11.6 points, $6100)
John Brown had a solid game against Washington in week nine but missed out on multiple opportunities for a bigger game. Brown was quiet early in the game because of a heavy emphasis on the running game, but saw more action in the second half. He was targeted on the perimeter in the red zone which he caught and was tackled inside the five. Brown also got two other deep targets, mistiming his jump on one and dropping the other. Brown did have an excellent catch along the sideline on a third down scramble drill with Josh Allen that helped Buffalo run out the clock. He continued to be the best receiver on Buffalo, leading the Bills in receiving the past four games, and produced more than 50 receiving yards in every game this season. He will travel to Cleveland next week.
2019 Week 8 vs PHI (8 / 5 / 54 / 0 rec - 10.4 points, $5900)
John Brown had a strong first half but turned in a quiet second half against the Philadelphia Eagles. Brown was the best threat in the Buffalo offense early in the game, working both the perimeter and interior of the field, including a diving catch on a comeback along the sideline. Brown was quiet in the second half because of a combination of heavy winds and Josh Allen errant throws. For example, Brown won on a deep in route on fourth down in the second half, but Allen was late on the throw which allowed the Philadelphia corner to make a recovery play on the ball. Brown will have a good matchup next week against Washington.
2019 Week 7 vs MIA (6 / 5 / 83 / 1 rec - 19.3 points, $5500)
John Brown had a strong game against the Dolphins on Sunday. Brown scored his first touchdown since week one, on a post down the seam on a well-thrown ball by Josh Allen. Brown also had a good reception on a deep dig route across the middle, where his speed was able to create separation on the route. Brown is consistently the number one option in the Buffalo offense and has a strong rapport with Josh Allen. He will get a good matchup against a week Philadelphia secondary next week.
2019 Week 5 vs TEN (5 / 5 / 75 / 0 rec - 12.5 points, $5100)
John Brown had a strong first half against Tennessee before quieting down later in the game. Brown had a good catch in the intermediate area of the field on the first play of the game and then another first down catch for a first down. He also had a strong catch along the sideline on a low ball. Brown came to Buffalo with the reputation as a deep speed threat but has consistently shown the ability to win in the short and intermediate areas of the field through five weeks, with a strong rapport with Josh Allen. Brown will be off next week before facing the Dolphins in week seven.
2019 Week 4 vs NE (11 / 5 / 69 / 0 rec - 11.9 points, $5300)
John Brown had a solid game against the New England Patriots on Sunday. Brown saw a lot of coverage from Stephon Gilmore and managed to beat him down the perimeter on a third and long reception. Brown had more success in the middle of the field, including a slant and an intermediate crossing route. He had two deeper targets, one an interception in double coverage that should not have been thrown, and a second a deep pass that was overthrown in good coverage. He also had the opportunity to throw a touchdown pass on a trick play, but T.J. Yeldon was unable to make a contested catch on the play. Brown will face the Titans in week five with questions about the health of Josh Allen.
2019 Week 3 vs CIN (5 / 4 / 51 / 0 rec, 1 / 4 / 0 rush - 9.5 points, $5500)
John Brown had a down day against the Bengals after two strong weeks. Brown caught a ball along the sideline on a scramble drill play for a long third down conversion. He also had a catch on a dig across the middle. He could have had a bigger day on a deep target at the goal line, but the ball was broken up by double coverage. He added a bad drop along the sideline on third down. He will be a critical target next week against the Patriots.
2019 Week 2 vs NYG (8 / 7 / 72 / 0 rec - 14.2 points, $5200)
John Brown was terrific again for the Buffalo Bills in a win against the New York Giants in week two. Brown consistently made plays including multiple third down conversions to help out Josh Allen. He could have had an enormous fantasy day but was overthrown by Josh Allen on what would have been a wide-open 52-yard touchdown. Brown has been the leading target receiver in both games of the season and has shown a good rapport with Allen. Brown will look to continue his strong play at home against the Bengals in week three.
2019 Week 1 vs NYJ (10 / 7 / 123 / 1 rec - 28.3 points, $4300)
John Brown was the leading wide receiver in his first game for the Buffalo Bills against the New York Jets in week one. Brown was terrific, consistently separating in coverage, especially running crossing and over routes. Brown drew two targets near the end zone that were both broken up by strong defensive plays but found the end zone on the go-ahead touchdown late in the fourth quarter. The play highlighted the relationship between Josh Allen and Brown, as Allen threw the ball into a contested coverage to Brown, letting him work back inside to catch the ball and break a tackle for a touchdown. Brown's skill set looked like an ideal match for Allen's strengths and that came to fruition in week one. Brown will look to continue his strong play in week two against the New York Giants defense that was carved up by Dak Prescott in week two
Latest NewsBills | John Brown posts 137 yards, two TDs (Sun Nov 17, 09:38 PM) - Buffalo Bills WR John Brown ended up with nine receptions for 137 yards and two touchdowns on 14 targets in Week 11 against the Miami Dolphins. link to story Bills | John Brown targeted 11 times (Sun Nov 10, 05:02 PM) - Buffalo Bills WR John Brown finished with five receptions for 77 yards on 11 targets in Week 10 against the Cleveland Browns. link to story Bills | John Brown on record pace (Thu Nov 7, 09:27 PM) - Buffalo Bills WR John Brown is on pace for a career-high 84 receptions and a career-high 1,206 receiving yards this season. Our View: Brown hasn't had a ceiling game since Week 1, but he has been consistent in PPR leagues and established himself as an everyweek WR3/Flex.
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|11||@ Miami Dolphins|
|12||vs Denver Broncos|
|13||@ Dallas Cowboys|
|14||vs Baltimore Ravens|
|15||@ Pittsburgh Steelers|
|16||@ New England Patriots|
|17||vs New York Jets|