FBG says: Tough matchup. At the moment, the Jaguars simply can't count on Leonard Fournette. Between his long-nagging ankle/foot woes and his recurring hamstring issue, Fournette's body simply isn't cooperating with his NFL plans. He'll almost certainly sit this Sunday, leaving T.J. Yeldon and Jamaal Charles in the backfield once again. Yeldon does not provide the same consistency that Fournette does and does not command the same respect that Fournette requires from opposing defenses which we saw last week as it put a significant amount of pressure on this offense not having a reliable running game. Jamaal Charles is just a name at this point, as he showed very little effectiveness on his five carries.
Houston's run defense has been fantastic through the start of 2018. They've faced their share of talented backs and strong offensive lines, but have yet to truly break. LeSean McCoy had moderate success last week running for 73 yards on 16 carries which was only the second time that we have seen a running back top 61 yards (Saquon Barkley). The line often borders on dominant, with J.J. Watt setting the edge like few can and underrated nose tackle D.J. Reader eating up inside space. They do a great job of freeing up inside linebackers Benardrick McKinney and Zach Cunningham to flow to the ball without having to chase much outside.