QB Josh Allen - Buffalo Bills

6-5, 233Born: 5-21-1996College: WyomingDrafted: Round 1, pick 2018

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From the upgrade/downgrade report (Mon Nov 11): Allen missed on some key plays and his team came up short, but he was a strength for fantasy teams on the back of two rushing touchdowns with Miami up next, but then he faces a run of tough pass defenses - Denver, Dallas, Baltimore, Pittsburgh, and New England.

Week 11: at Miami Dolphins - $7800

All QB vs MIA

FBG says: Good matchup. Josh Allen has made minor strides as an NFL passer in his second season, but he's still not producing any fantasy gold with his arm. Allen is fully capable of tough downfield completions, but remains a serious work in progress on the delivery. Throwing just 32 passes a game, there's not much productivity in this attack (213 yards and 1.1 touchdown). Allen hasn't thrown an interception since Week 5, but has flirted with several. He still puts more than his share of erratic balls into the air. Of course, that's also sometimes a blessing for big-play wideout John Brown, who's quietly served as a solid fantasy starter. Brown hasn't reached 100 yards since Week 1, but he's yet to fall below 51 in any game as Allen's most consistent target by far. Slot specialist Cole Beasley flashes with a big play in most games, but beyond that, this attack is anyone's guess. Newcomer Zay Jones could work his way into the mix this week, and speedy Robert Foster saw his snaps double last Sunday. Last year, Allen and Foster connected for 425 yards over the final 6 weeks. Altogether, this certainly isn't a deep unit, and its ceiling isn't great with such low volume and efficiency. Beyond Brown, there's little fantasy payoff here. On paper, the Miami pass defense has improved mightily over the past 5 weeks, allowing opponents just 6.6 yards per attempt on a 57% completion rate. But it must be noted that they built those numbers against a comically weak quarterback schedule: Case Keenum, Josh Allen, Mason Rudolph, Sam Darnold, and Brian Hoyer (without TY Hilton, even). In other words, they actually allowed that run of passers to meet (or even exceed) their low expectations. With top cornerback Xavien Howard on injured reserve, there's little proven talent or even continuity in the secondary. Eric Rowe and Ken Crawley have long been beatable down the field, and safety Bobby McCain remains a liability as well. Opponents have attacked the Dolphins on all levels; nine different pass-catchers have topped 75 yards through 9 games. In this matchup back in Week 7, John Brown turned 6 targets into 83 yards and a touchdown. With Howard on the shelf, it's hard to find any Dolphin who projects to slow him.

Recent Stats and Projections

WEEKOPPoSNAPCMPATTYDTDINTRSHYDTDFumLSalPtsFP/$
7 vs MIA 56 16 26 202 2 0 4 32 0 0 7700 21.28 2.76
8 vs PHI 62 16 34 169 2 0 8 45 0 1 7700 17.26 2.24
9 vs WAS 62 14 20 160 1 0 8 12 1 0 7700 17.60 2.29
10 at CLE 69 22 41 266 0 0 6 28 2 0 7500 25.44 3.39
11 at MIA PROJ-Dodds * 18 30 * * * 7 * * * * * *
11 at MIA PROJ-Tremblay * 17 28 * * * 9 * * * * * *
11 at MIA PROJ-Bloom * 17 26 * * * 6 * * * * * *

Weekly Performance vs QB 1, QB 12, QB 24

Percentile ranks

Josh Allen's percentile rank in each category, among QB with more than 50 fantasy points.

Recent Game Summaries

2019 Week 10 vs CLE (22 / 41 / 266 / 0 / 0 pass, 6 / 28 / 2 rush - 25.44 points, $7500)

Josh Allen struggled in the passing game against the Browns on Sunday in a loss. Allen too frequently misses easy throws, largely because of inaccuracy, and did so on Sunday, including throws on third down and a fourth down slant pass to John Brown that should have been an easy completion but instead resulted in a turnover on downs. Allen has made progressions as a passer this season, including reducing his turnovers but still struggles to consistently create scoring opportunities through the air. He also missed a deep target to Isaiah McKenzie which could have been a score, the type of target that he misses weekly. Allen did score twice on the ground, including a designed quarterback draw and a quarterback sneak from the goal line. Allen did fumble again, but the ball was recovered by the Bills. He will get a good matchup next week at Miami.

2019 Week 9 vs WAS (14 / 20 / 160 / 1 / 0 pass, 8 / 12 / 1 rush - 17.6 points, $7700)

Josh Allen had a solid game against Washington on Sunday. The offense was more run heavy than in prior weeks, which limited Allen to only 20 attempts, but he was efficient, with a box score that should have been better, but included two drops by John Brown and a deep throw to Robert Foster who fell down on the play. Allen was effective in the game and continued to look to throw first when he was moving in the pocket, including big throws to John Brown and a near touchdown to Devin Singletary down the seam on a ball that was barely broken up. Allen had an easy touchdown on a whip route to Cole Beasley on a drive that was dominated by the run game and later converted a goal line sneak on fourth down after Frank Gore failed to convert on three straight carries at the one yard line. Allen did take two bad sacks in the red zone that forced Buffalo to settle for a field goal on the drive and recovered his own fumble on a quarterback keeper. Allen has been less mistake prone in the passing game in recent weeks, but still continues to fumble too frequently. Allen will have a good matchup next week against the Browns.

2019 Week 8 vs PHI (16 / 34 / 169 / 2 / 0 pass, 8 / 45 / 0 rush - 17.26 points, $7700)

Josh Allen struggled on Sunday against the Eagles. Allen struggled with ball security, including fumbling three times, two of which were in the pocket and a third on a running attempt which he lost. Allen ran frequently in the game, on both scrambles and designed runs, and was able to avoid big hits from defenders, something he has worked to avoid in recent weeks. He threw two touchdown passes. The first was to Cole Beasley in the red zone, where Allen moved from the pocket and kept his eyes up to see Beasley on a crossing route for an easy score. The second was to Devin Singletary on a flat pass where Singletary did the hard work after the catch for the score. Allen played the game in heavy winds, which resulted in some errant throws, including a missed deep ball to Robert Foster. He also missed a critical opportunity late in the game on a late throw to John Brown that was broken up by an Eagles defender. Allen will get a good matchup next week against Washington.

2019 Week 7 vs MIA (16 / 26 / 202 / 2 / 0 pass, 4 / 32 / 0 rush - 21.28 points, $7700)

Josh Allen came alive in the second half to beat the Dolphins after their offense bogged down early in the game. Buffalo has consistently thrown the ball on early downs to create easy opportunities for Allen this season and Sunday was a similar strategy. Allen moved the ball well to start the game but ground to a halt forcing Buffalo to settle for three field goals. Allen's volume was down as the Dolphins effectively ran the ball and controlled the clock throughout much of the game. Allen heated up in the second half, completing the first eight passes of the half and had big throws including a touch pass to Duke Williams on an over route, John Brown down the seam for a touchdown, and flat pass to Isaiah McKenzie in the flat. Allen also had a short touchdown on a quick flat route to Cole Beasley, before adding a two-point conversion on a designed quarterback run. Allen was more involved in the running game with designed runs this week and managed to avoid some of the bigger hits he has taken in prior weeks. Allen will get a good matchup against a Philadelphia secondary next week at home.

2019 Week 5 vs TEN (23 / 32 / 219 / 2 / 1 pass, 10 / 27 / 0 rush - 18.46 points, $7000)

Josh Allen started against the Titans after spending the week in the concussion protocol following a vicious hit last week against the Patriots. Allen was more effective this week, limiting his mistakes after an error-prone effort last week. Allen threw one interception, a late throw in traffic across the middle of the field, but otherwise was risk-averse. Allen missed a couple of short throws but played on time in good rhythm throughout much of the game. Buffalo has been very pass-heavy on early downs throughout the season and Sunday was no exception. This allowed Allen to get in rhythm with easy throws early in the game, particularly to John Brown. Allen had a quieter second half, in part because of heavy rains. Allen threw two touchdown passes, the first a throwback across the field on a play-action pass to Lee Smith in the red zone, and the second an RPO to Duke Williams on a skinny post. The RPO was a consistent threat in the game and created defined open reads for Allen. Allen also ran effectively, including several scrambles with slides that avoided contact. Allen will be off next week before a prime matchup against the Dolphins in week 7.

2019 Week 4 vs NE (13 / 28 / 153 / 0 / 3 pass, 5 / 26 / 1 rush - 11.72 points, $7400)

Josh Allen left the game against the New England Patriots after a hit to his head on a scramble. Before the injury, Allen struggled mightily with his accuracy, consistently missing open targets. Allen threw three bad interceptions. His first was a post to John Brown in double coverage. He then threw two targeting Zay Jones, the first off his back foot and the second on a scramble where he threw the ball across his body into traffic on a scramble. Allen performed better in the second half helping the Bills move the ball including finishing off a drive with a quarterback plunge over the line of scrimmage at the goal line. The Patriots deployed a defensive scheme intending to keep gap integrity in their pass rush which kept Allen in the pocket and did not allow him to create plays with his legs. Allen will look to return from the concussion protocol in a tough matchup at Tennessee. If he is held out of the game, he will have a bye week before facing Miami in week seven.

2019 Week 3 vs CIN (23 / 36 / 243 / 1 / 1 pass, 9 / 46 / 0 rush - 19.32 points, $7500)

Josh Allen had a high variance game in a win against the Bengals. Allen was prone to mistakes during the game, including a bad intentional grounding that took the Bills out of field goal range, a fumbled snap, and throwing a bad interception while falling away from pressure. He was also fortunate a fumble on a carry bounced out of bounds before the Bengals recovered the ball. On the positive side, Allen threw well from the pocket and consistently made plays to get away from pressure. Allen's strength allowed him to break tackle attempts in the pocket on multiple occasions to extend plays. He was strong with his legs running, with both scrambles and designed runs, including a red zone rush that was stopped just short of the end zone on the game-winning drive. Allen showed good rapport with Cole Beasley in the short area of the field but missed a long touchdown chance to Zay Jones on an overthrow. Allen will need to limit his mistakes next week as a home underdog against the Patriots.

2019 Week 2 vs NYG (19 / 30 / 253 / 1 / 0 pass, 7 / 21 / 1 rush - 22.22 points, $7500)

Josh Allen had a strong performance in a week two win at the New York Giants. Allen has improved this season as a passer, showing more comfort in the pocket and the ability to make multiple progressions in the passing game. Last season, when Allen was forced to scramble, he frequently ran and was prone to bad decisions. Against the Giants, he made better decisions on the move, keeping his head up when he scrambled and made on target throws on multiple occasions. Allen scored a touchdown on the ground and through the air, the first a designed quarterback run in the red zone and the second an easy shovel pass to Isaiah McKenzie on an end-around. Allen could have had a bigger day, as Zay Jones dropped a touchdown in the end zone, and he overthrew John Brown on a 52-yard touchdown. He remains a threat on the ground, with 21 yards rushing, including a third down conversion scramble, but his growth as a passer and a strong relationship with John Brown can open the offense up to go with a strong defense. The Bills play their home opener against the Cincinnati Bengals in week three who were shredded this week by the 49ers.

2019 Week 1 vs NYJ (24 / 37 / 254 / 1 / 2 pass, 10 / 38 / 1 rush - 17.96 points, $6900)

Josh Allen struggled early against the New York Jets, before leading a fourth-quarter comeback win on the road in week one. Allen lost a fumble on a bad sack on the first drive of the game, then threw a pick-6 on a ball intended for Cole Beasley that deflected off his hands for an unlucky interception. Allen also threw another deflected interception and lost a second fumble but was able to overcome the errors in the second half. He capped off a scoring drive with a roll out for a red zone touchdown and taking the lead on a perimeter throw to John Brown where Brown worked back inside on the play for a contested-catch touchdown. Allen had a good rapport with Brown and Beasley during the game and was allowed to play up-tempo and in a pass-heavy game script from the start, where the first running back carry was on the fourth drive. He will return to the Meadowlands next week to face the New York Giants, who were shredded by Dak Prescott on Sunday.

More

Latest News

Bills | Josh Allen runs for pair of scores (Sun Nov 10, 04:43 PM) - Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen completed 22-of-41 passes for a career-high 266 yards, no touchdowns and no interceptions in Week 10 against the Cleveland Browns while running for 28 yards and two scores.

Our View: Allen was off on key fourth downs and not seeing open receivers at other key junctures. He had an excellent fantasy afternoon becasue he ran in two scores, but he couldn't execute often enough to get the win. He'll be a good play again next week vs. Miami.
link to story   

Bills | Josh Allen accounts for two TDs (Sun Nov 3, 04:51 PM) - Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen went 14-for-20 for 160 yards and one touchdown against the Washington Redskins in Week 9. He also rushed for 12 yards and one touchdown on eight carries during the game.

Our View: Allen was efficient early and finished a drive on a fourth down sneak, but didn't really need to break a sweat in this one. He'll be a worth a look for streaming teams against the Browns next week.
link to story   

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Schedule

11@ Miami Dolphins
12vs Denver Broncos
13@ Dallas Cowboys
14vs Baltimore Ravens
15@ Pittsburgh Steelers
16@ New England Patriots
17vs New York Jets