RB Eddie Lacy, Free agent

HT: 5-11, WT: 231, Born: 1-1-1991, College: Alabama, Drafted: Round 2

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2014 Projections

GRSHYDY/RTDRECYDY/RTDFPT
David Dodds15.0275.011414.110.036.02707.51.0207
Bob Henry16.0290.012504.310.042.03107.41.0222
Jason Wood16.0300.013004.312.038.02757.21.0236
Maurile Tremblay16.0286.011894.210.039.03228.31.0217

Average draft position

Current as of August 25th. [Full ADP list]

Overall: M Forte (4), C Johnson (5), Eddie Lacy (6), P Manning (7), J Graham (8)
Position: A Peterson (3-RB3), M Forte (4-RB4), Eddie Lacy (6 - RB5), M Lynch (10-RB6), D Murray (13-RB7)
Click here for a comparison of these players.

PPR Average draft position

Current as of August 25th. [Full PPR ADP list]

Overall: M Forte (4), C Johnson (5), Eddie Lacy (6), D Thomas (7), J Graham (8)
Position: A Peterson (3-RB3), M Forte (4-RB4), Eddie Lacy (6 - RB5), D Murray (12-RB6), G Bernard (15-RB7)
Click here for a comparison of these players.


Best Case

Eddie Lacy had just 15 carries going into the fifth game of the season last year before taking over the starting role as Green Bay’s top running back. Even before Aaron Rodgers went down to injury, Lacy was solid numbers, increasing his performance each week once he was given the chance. When Rodgers went down, Lacy took the spotlight and ran, finishing in the top 10 for fantasy backs despite his slow start. With a full 16 games under his belt this season, Lacy could easily finish among the NFL’s best RBS this season. 1500 yards from scrimmage and double-digit TDS would not be out of the question.

Worst Case

The ‘sophomore slump’ kicks in for Lacy as Aaron Rodgers returns and turns the Packers back into the passing team we’ve all come to expect. Lacy proved he can carry the load last season, but Green Bay has a lot of other guys that want to prove themselves as well. DuJuan Harris would certainly have cut into Lacy’s debut if he were not on injured reserve and Johnathan Franklin will be looking to redeem himself after last year’s flame out. Most NFL teams are using a two back system and the Packers could easily downshift Lacy’s production in order to preserve him for the long haul. Let’s not forget that Lacy was an injury concern coming out of college and he was limited last season with a concussion early and an ankle injury late in the season.

Outlook

Last year’s stats really feel like a floor for Lacy as he heads into this season as the top back for the Packers. Last season’s offensive rookie of the year has a lot of upside, and the Packers have already committed to getting him the ball more this year. With a full season as the top back in Green Bay, 325 or even 350 touches could easily be possible for Lacy this season. Lacy is big enough to stay in for goal line carries as well, making him an excellent candidate for 10 or more touchdowns as well.


2014 Schedule

WeekOpponent


2013 Game Summaries

Week 1 - Rookie running back Eddie Lacy made his debut on Sunday and it was equal parts "good" and "bad". In terms of the positive, Lacy showed some great speed and vision as he ran, including on a 31 yard catch and run late in the first quarter. On the play, Lacy lined up as the single back in the backfield. After seemingly staying in to block, Lacy squirted out for a short dump pass behind the defensive line which was sucked in towards Rodgers. As Rodgers released the ball, both guards and the center broke off from blocking and formed a wedge to help clear Lacy's way. The rookie then slipped a pair of tackles, turned the run outside and accelerated upfield before getting tripped up on the five yard line. Lacy was briefly benched in the second quarter after a costly fumble. On that play Lacy was held up at the line of scrimmage and just didn't seem ready for the defensive linemen to start grabbing at the ball - not an unusual thing at the pro level, if not as common in college. Lacy didn't touch the ball again that quarter as James Starks got reps in his place. Lacy was back in the third quarter, and the Packers worked hard to keep the ground game going. In the third quarter, it was hard for Lacy to gain many yards as he was often hit at or near the line of scrimmage. However as the game reached the fourth quarter he started to gain more and more yards. Though he never broke a super-long run he seemed to wear at the Niners' defensive front. Lacy ran very hard and didn't shy away from contact and then capped off his day with a leaping touchdown from two yards out to give Green Bay the lead though they didn't hold onto it.

Week 2 - Lacy’s day was cut short by a brutal helmet-to-helmet hit by strong safety Brandon Meriweather. AT press time, the severity of the concussion and how long it will sideline the rookie is unknown.

Week 5 - In his first game since he suffered a concussion one play into the Week 2 game against Washington, Lacy ran hard and showed no remaining ill-effects from his injury, firing off runs of 4 yards, 4 yards and five yards to start his day. Even when there was very little room to run, Lacy was able to make himself small and find space anyway. On one run late in the first quarter, Lacy found himself facing some trash at the line of scrimmage. He nimbly picked his way through it as he popped through the hole and then instead of trying to string the run out wide, cut immediately upfield to gain positive yardage. He ended the 7 yard run with a solid hit on a defender, who he then dragged an extra yard. Lacy also showed good field awareness and quick thinking on an Aaron Rodgers fumble in the 4th quarter. The exchange was a bad one, with Rodgers handing the ball up way too high. Lacy bobbled and dropped the football, but reacted quickly and recovered the fumble. Overall, Lacy had a solid day, getting workmanlike yards but also showing some pop and speed to stretch runs out a little longer. Clearly the Packers are getting comfortable leaning on him as they are feeding him in all sorts of game situations.

Week 6 - Rookie Eddie Lacy has done an excellent job since he returned from his Week 2 concussion, re-establishing himself as the primary back in this offense. Lacy’s biggest play might have been the smallest one. Late in the fourth quarter, Lacy took a handoff on a 3rd and 3, cutting the ball to the outside edge and getting to the corner. After gaining the three yards needed for a first, instead of trying to force more yardage and risk a potential turnover, Lacy slid to let the clock keep running. Baltimore had no time outs and no way to stop the Packers from running the clock out. Up by just two points, conservative was a smart way to go for a rookie. Overall Lacy ran the ball well, hitting the hole hard and getting through it quickly. He also excelled in pass protection, allowing him to stay on the field more frequently—in this case for 87% of the offensive snaps. There is no doubt that Lacy is “the man” in Green Bay’s backfield.

Week 7 - Continuing his strong game from Week 6 against Baltimore, Eddie Lacy ran hard behind an offensive line which, at times, didn’t block all that well. Lacy is a strong runner and more than once ran into a group of would-be tacklers, get swallowed up and then emerge on the other side dragging them with him. A great example of this was a carry for five yards he executed with 6 minutes left in the first quarter. On the play, Lacy got the ball about five yards behind the line of scrimmage and the line didn’t hold long enough for him to get to the hole cleanly (in fact it almost appeared as if left tackle David Bakhtiari released his block too early and the defender was able to get into the gap to fill it). Lacy kept churning his legs as he disappeared into the pile. He quickly emerged, dragging defenders with him and gaining five yards when a weaker back might have been held to the line of scrimmage. When the line did hold a hole open, Lacy got through it quickly and showed his usual speed getting to the second level. While he isn’t a blazer by any stretch, he is fast enough to be dangerous once he’s past the line of scrimmage. He showed some strength again on his touchdown run from the one yard line, but also the ability to get small and through a slim gap. Lacy wore down the Cleveland front line and was instrumental in grinding the clock down as the game drew to a close. While he failed to reach 100 yards in this game and his yards per carry (just 3.7) is a bit of a concern, Lacy’s overall season average is a 4.2 and behind a line which can be streaky when blocking for the run, that’s pretty good.

Week 8 - It took Eddie Lacy a lot of carries—29 to be exact—to come even close to 100 yards on the ground. His 3.2 yards per carry average is a bit disappointing, but the fact that the Packers stuck with him—and the run game—despite a lack of success early on. The problem early was that right tackle Don Barclay was manhandled early on by the Vikings and the result was a lot of defenders hitting Lacy at or behind the line of scrimmage when he was running to the right side. Despite this, Lacy did a good job of shedding tackles and gaining positive yards when it often looked as if he was going to get tackled for a loss (though that did happen as well). By the end of the first quarter, the Packers began to shift Lacy’s runs away from Barclay and the rookie saw more success. Running up the middle and to the left were almost always more successful. For example, Lacy broke a 17-yard gain off the left guard during which the line created a massive hole for him to run through. The former Alabama back showed great speed getting to and through the hole, as well as the ability to get to the second level swiftly. Lacy was ten yards past the line of scrimmage before the Vikings even laid a hand on him. He continued to break off longer runs at the start of the second half, gaining 9, 11, 9 and 7 yards before the Vikings slowed him down. On all four of those runs, Lacy shed tackles and slipped through tiny holes on his way to large chunks of yards. Lacy’s touchdown showed off his strength as he bounced off of, and ran over, a defender on a short run across the goal line. The interesting thing about Lacy and his effect on the Packers offense is that defenses cannot just hang back and wait for the pass on early downs. Often, the Vikings would have a pair of linebackers creep a little forward or keep an extra eye on the backfield so that they could step up and shut Lacy down. Of course, that means less men rushing Rodgers which gives him more time to find receivers. The Packers are now a well balanced team—they can beat you with the pass or the run. Lacy is a big part of that success.

Week 9 - Every week seems like a “coming out party” for rookie Eddie Lacy, who absolutely should be in the conversation for Offensive Rookie of the Year and is certainly running with a chip on his shoulder to prove his doubters wrong. Despite facing stacked boxes the majority of the night, Lacy had positive yards on most of his runs early and set the tone by running hard and hitting the running lanes fast. He also got plenty of good blocking, especially early. On the fourth play of the game, Lacy too the ball around the edge for a big gain of 16-yards. While his own speed made a big difference, he was sprung by a tremendous block by left guard Josh Sitton which cleared the way. Good blocking also cleared the way on Lacy’s touchdown in the third quarter. On the play, Sitton pulled from the left side and sealed off the running lane with fullback John Kuhn so Lacy could get into the end zone virtually untouched. Lacy’s runs also showed off great patience and vision, such as on an 18-yard play out of the shotgun on the Packers’ second series. On the play, Lacy hesitated at the line, waiting for the hole to clear, then popped through the running lane for a big gain, the last three yards of which he carried multiple defenders. With the frequent stacked fronts, Lacy showed a lot of strength and athleticism in shedding tacklers and making defenders miss. At the end of the night, Lacy had an impressive 97-yards rushing after first contact. That’s a lot of broken tackles. If Rodgers is down for a length of time, Lacy will see a lot of work—and a lot of stacked fronts as well. It’s encouraging to see how effective he was Monday night in both of those situations.

Week 10 - The Philadelphia Eagles were not terribly concerned with replacement quarterback Seneca Wallace beating them through the air, and were even less impressed with backup Scott Tolzien so Eddie Lacy faced routinely faced six and seven man fronts, with a few eight man fronts mixed in for good measure. So Lacy was constantly dealing with defenders behind the line of scrimmage. Sometimes, he was able to overcome that and sometimes despite some impressive effort he failed to even get back to the line of scrimmage—such as on a 1st-and-10 late in the first quarter when the Packers were backed up on their six yard line and he dodged tacklers one and two, dragged tackler number three but couldn’t get past defenders four through six. When he gets solid blocking, Lacy is quick to the hole and hard to tackle once he gets past the line of scrimmage. The Packers do call some runs which require him to get around the edge and if he doesn’t get proper blocking on the play, he doesn’t quite have the speed to turn the corner. Lacy got a large amount of carries (for the Packers) on Sunday in part because Wallace went down and the team needed to try and keep some of the pressure off undrafted free agent quarterback Scott Tolzien’s shoulders. Lacy did a good job against stacked fronts, running tough and never giving up. He may not have had a great statistical day but he looked very good considering what he faced on every down in terms of defensive formations and inconsistent offensive line play.

Week 11 - Given how bad the New York Giants were to start the season, a lot of people don’t realize how good the Giants’ run defense has been in recent weeks. Coming into this game, the Giants run defense was ranked at 11th and allowed just 102.8 yards per game, with only six touchdowns so far this season. With undrafted free agent rookie quarterback Scott Tolzien under center, the Packers could expect a lot of stacked boxes, but they ran the ball with Lacy 14 times, seven in each half. Not quite enough to get him into rhythm but enough to show that the 1.9 yards per carry was legitimate. The Giants were not shy about stacking the box either. Lacy saw a six man front just once, and a seven man five times. He saw an eight man front three times, a nine man front four times and even a ten man front. The reason he kept seeing the high-number fronts was because the Packers have a tendency to put a receiver out wide, but then pull him inside at the snap. Of course, a defensive back comes with him—so now instead of a seven man front you get eight defenders or instead of eight you get nine. The Packers never accounted for this and kept running Lacy into the teeth of the defense where there was no room. The offensive line was outnumbered, so there were always defenders at the line of scrimmage if not behind it. Lacy ran hard but that Giants defense is no joke and they choked the Packers in the running lanes all day long. There was only so much Lacy or the blockers could do.

Week 12 - It took a few carries but once Eddie Lacy got going against the Minnesota Vikings, he was hard to stop. While he once again faced seven and eight man fronts, Lacy kept his legs churning and gradually wore the defenders down. At that point, Lacy’s patience showed up and you could see him waiting for lanes to be created and blockers to line up. He was able to take advantage of both things and gain some good yardage. Lacy was incredibly hard to bring down once he got going and it repeatedly took two and three defenders to drag him down. The play often seemed to be whistled dead despite the fact that Lacy was still upright and dragging defenders forward. That’s exactly what he did on his touchdown as well. On the play, Lacy was wrapped up at the line of scrimmage but kept his legs churning and moving, dragging Vikings defenders the three yards into the end zone. Lacy also showed elusiveness in the open field both when he caught the ball in space as well as when he found himself at the second level on a run. All day long, Lacy got the tough yards his team needed, when they needed him to. He ran with determination and strength and would not be denied.

Week 13 - As the quarterback position has continued to descend into chaos, rookie running back Eddie Lacy has kept running hard, often facing heavily stacked fronts with little or no help from his offensive line. Sometimes he is successful, as he was in his 110 yard, one touchdown effort against the Minnesota Vikings. Other times, as was the case against the Detroit Lions on Thanksgiving, he struggles. Although, to be fair, the Packers never committed to the run the way they have when Lacy has been successful. There is only so much a back can do with ten carries. Of course, the defense also seemed to have even less respect for quarterback Matt Flynn than previous defenses had for either Scott Tolzien or Seneca Wallace. Lacy was constantly hit at or behind the line of scrimmage and made it even harder to be effective with the few carries he got. Lacy ran hard and even contributed by catching the ball, but his overall impact was limited by his lack of touches. He should have more success in the coming weeks against the hapless Atlanta Falcons run defense and the Dallas Cowboys.

Week 14 - The Atlanta Falcons came to shut down Eddie Lacy—to force Matt Flynn to beat them through the air (which as it turns out, was a bad plan) and not allow Lacy to grind them down. Lacy saw a lot of bodies at the line but still managed to break out some longer runs. He did a great job on an 11-yard run in the late first quarter when he saw his lane clogged and immediately cut to his right where there was plenty of space. He then turned upfield and delivered a nice hit to finish the run. At the end of the first quarter, Lacy scored a touchdown, tying the single season record for rushing touchdowns by a Green Bay Packers rookie. The Falcons redoubled their efforts in the second quarter and Lacy was much less effective. At the end of the half, Lacy came up limping from a tackle and then was late coming out of the locker room. While he continued to get carries, the rookie began struggling with the injury as time wore on. By the time the fourth quarter rolled around, he seemed to lack some of the pop he normally has on his runs. In fact, while normally the Packers might have run the clock down a bit more with the short lead, Lacy saw very little work until the last two minutes of the game. The Packers are hoping the ankle isn’t a long-term issue.

Week 15 - Eddie Lacy continues to make it very hard to choose between he and San Diego Chargers rookie Keenan Allen for Offensive Rookie of the Year. Lacy has been the backbone of the Packers offense each week and while his numbers aren’t always gaudy, he always keeps the chains moving. He runs hard, runs with power, shows good vision and speed—everything he does screams “lead back.” While he occasionally makes a bad read or adjustment, he’s a rookie and rookies make those mistakes. And really, those are few and far between. He also has outstanding patience, as he showed on the 60-yard run he had to kick off the second half. On the play, he took the handoff and went to his left. Instead of immediately outrunning his blockers when he saw open space, he allowed them to seal the edge and didn’t turn the afterburners on and outran the coverage. He lost steam after about 40 yards, but on the whole it was a very mature run from a young back. Even when the Packers were trailing by a huge amount, the offense continued to pound away with Lacy. Just because they trail does not mean they will abandon the gameplan early. It pays off as the defense got worn down late. Lacy capped off his day with a leaping (and game-winning) 1-yard touchdown with under two minutes left in the fourth quarter.

Week 16 - Lacy left the game in the fourth quarter on Sunday due to an ankle injury and didn’t return. His status remains in doubt as of press time, and head coach Mike McCarthy told ESPN’s Rob Demovsky,“Eddie's sore. He has been pretty much the whole season. So we're not going to practice until Thursday.” While he was in the game, all Lacy did was break a Green Bay Packers rookie rushing record of 1,105 yards, set by John Brockington in 1971. Lacy had a very solid day until his injury, flashing the speed, vision and strength Packers fans have come to admire. One of the more impressive aspects of Lacy’s game is his ability to “get small” when he hits the hole. The blockers don’t need to open up huge running lanes—Lacy can make due with a crack and he gets through that quickly before the defense can react. This week it seemed as if the offensive line had a much easier time keeping defenders from getting into the backfield, so Lacy had a head of steam when he hit the hole and then the second level. He has also begun to learn when to adjust to pressure and blocked lanes quickly, which lead to his 14-yard touchdown run late in the second quarter. The play looked like it was supposed to go off the right tackle, but the Steelers clogged up the lanes there. Earlier this season, Lacy might have hesitated and been tackled or tried to force the issue and run into the clogged lane. Now, Lacy saw the clogged lane and immediately ran to his left. He cut across the field, outrunning the defenders to the corner and turning upfield. One defender got in the way at the end of the run and Lacy leaped into the air, doing a complete spin and landing in the end zone for a score. Overall, Lacy has really improved on what was already an impressive set of skills and looks to be a huge part of the Green Bay offense going forward.

Week 17 - It’s been a tremendous season for Eddie Lacy, but he is definitely hurting and his game was hampered by his ankle injury. You could see him favoring the right ankle in between plays and everything he did seems a touch slower or more hesitant than normal. He gutted it out—especially when the offense leaned on him later in the game—but the injury sapped some of his explosiveness and overall speed, so he was pulled down more quickly than we are accustomed to seeing. Normally we see at least one big run from Lacy but since he was dealing with the injury, he had issues pushing through arm tackles and the trash at the line, and rarely reached the second level. When he did—such as in the third quarter on a 17-yard gain—he lacked the speed which normally allowed him to pull away from tacklers. All that being said, we still saw flashes of the greatness Lacy has brought to the table this year. On his 6-yard touchdown run, Lacy ran into the backs of his offensive line, but instead of trying to force his way through, bounced the run to the outside and headed for the corner of the end zone, outrunning several Bears on the way. Despite Lacy having a game during which he was clearly not 100%, in the fourth quarter, the Packers had their rookie run the ball nine times, compared to 13 passes. That’s faith and a sign that this team is sold on Lacy going forward.

Week 18 - Rookie running back Eddie Lacy clearly continued to be hampered by his ankle injury, still lacking some of the pop and speed he showed before the injury. He even seemed to hesitate a few times at the line or when he saw a clogged running lane, as if he wasn’t sure that he could slide through the seam as he had in the past. Despite that, Lacy ran tough, gutted it out through the game and more than once created positive yards where there appeared to be none. In fact, on his very first carry, Lacy found the defenders in the backfield, preventing a clean getaway on his off-tackle run. Lacy reversed field, outran a defensive lineman and dragged a tackler for a one-yard gain. Lacy also consistently showed great vision, such as on his last carry for the game in the middle of the fourth quarter. On the play, Lacy ran for the “4” hole (between the right guard and tackle) but saw the lane clogged. He then bounced the run outside where he saw open space. However two San Francisco defenders moved to intercept him. Seeing them, Lacy looked for other options and spotted blockers lining up a lane on the inside, so he took the ball there, cutting back against the grain and finding more clear space. The Niners stepped up again to cut him off, but Lacy was still able to gain another yard. If there was a ‘down side’ to Lacy’s Sunday, it was a critical dropped pass in the fourth quarter. Lacy ran a short out route and was wide open with no defender within ten yards of him, but he started to move before securing the ball and bobbled it. While this was not Lacy’s most effective game—and he was clearly hurt—he continues to show great instinct, vision and toughness on every carry.