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QB Drew Brees

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QB Aaron Rodgers

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Outlook: It's Aaron Rodgers. Of course he's going to do well. The Packers struggled without him and nearly missed the playoffs. But he came back strong and won a tough road game against Chicago to lead his team to the playoffs. With a full off season to recover, Rodgers should be 100% by the time the season begins. A strong running game and some inexperience at WR might limit his upside, but Rodgers has always proven his favorite target is the open man. He always seems to find a way, and that shouldn't be any different this season. He may not make it back to the top two from a fantasy prospective, but a top five finish should well within his reach.


QB Matthew Stafford

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Outlook: Yet again, Matthew Stafford stands at a crossroads in his career. Is he really an elite NFL quarterback or just a guy who throws the ball to Calvin Johnson all the time. Can his competitive nature really take his team to the next level or is he just a guy who piles up the stats with nothing to show for it. This could be the season that he finally silences the critics. No matter what the outcome though, fantasy owners will be happy with the results. Stafford is a guy who likes to throw and throw and throw. With a stud like Calvin Johnson catching the ball and Reggie Bush finally getting the running game on track, Stafford will definitely put up solid numbers. But the addition of Golden Tate finally gives Stafford another weapon with some real experience. And rookie tight end Eric Ebron will make a nice complement to Brandon Pettigrew. Look for Stafford to mentally make a shift this season, setting him up for the next several seasons as the captain of Detroit's offense.


QB Andrew Luck

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Outlook: Andrew Luck is entering his third year in the league and second with the same coaching staff led by head coach Chuck Pagano and offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton. Luck amassed 4,374 yards passing in his rookie season, only to drop his yardage totals down to 3,822 with the same number of touchdown passes (23). Interestingly enough, he finished higher in fantasy rankings last year compared to 2012. Luck adds a rushing threat to his arsenal, rushing for 9 touchdowns in his first two years in the league. If he can put it all together and accumulate more passing touchdowns, he'll be near the top among fantasy quarterbacks. It is definitely possible for Luck to take the next step forward this year and become one of the elite quarterbacks in the league. The Colts will have a strong mix of talent in the receiving game for the 2014 season. The trio of wide receivers, Reggie Wayne, T.Y. Hilton and Hakeem Nicks will handle the majority of the load. There's also the combination of Dwayne Allen and Coby Fleener at tight end, who will provide additional weapons. The blueprint is in place for Luck to continue to rise to fame. He has always been a consistent and capable quarterback from a fantasy perspective with little to no risk. If there is any one quarterback in the league that is capable of taking his game to another level, it's Andrew Luck. The Colts have a bye in week 10, with five other teams. From a drafting standpoint, his bye week concern is moderate.


QB Tom Brady

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Outlook: Tom Brady had a rough 2013 - well still great for almost anyone else, but rough for him and the Patriots in general. Still, Brady was able to produce some amazing stats given he was missing almost all of his big weapons for most of the year. This year, the receivers who were inexperienced are less so and the Patriots are hoping Danny Amendola can stay healthy, and Julian Edelman can stay productive. Even if one or more of those things go wrong, Brady has proven he can be extremely effective despite that. On the plus side, Rob Gronkowski has been cleared for full practice and appears to be as healthy as he has ever been. This is great news for Brady and the offense as Gronk is clearly Brady's favorite weapon. We know that Brady's closer to the end of of his career than the beginning but Brady has a few more years left of productivity. We don't expect a huge dropoff this season, but he's not the top dog amongst fantasy quarterbacks anymore.


Projections

David Dodds's projections

PlayerCMPATTYDTDINTRSHYDTDRECYDTDFPT
Drew Brees404.0600.0478838.016.022.0441.00.000.0445.8
Aaron Rodgers360.0560.0443534.013.052.02243.00.000.0440.1
Andrew Luck369.0610.0443528.013.062.03382.00.000.0409.6
Matthew Stafford376.0630.0459931.019.034.01021.00.000.0394.1
Tom Brady395.0600.0452431.013.033.0330.00.000.0389.5

Chris Smith's projections

PlayerCMPATTYDTDINTRSHYDTDRECYDTDFPT

Bob Henry's projections

PlayerCMPATTYDTDINTRSHYDTDRECYDTDFPT
Aaron Rodgers369.0555.0460036.011.052.02301.00.000.0453.0
Drew Brees421.0630.0490035.015.018.0351.00.000.0434.5
Andrew Luck375.0610.0437027.010.060.03103.00.000.0409.5
Matthew Stafford374.0630.0462031.018.030.0802.00.000.0401.0
Tom Brady389.0630.0448030.010.032.0501.00.000.0395.0

Jason Wood's projections

PlayerCMPATTYDTDINTRSHYDTDRECYDTDFPT
Drew Brees435.0650.0500040.015.020.0551.00.000.0471.5
Aaron Rodgers371.0550.0451038.010.040.02252.00.000.0468.0
Andrew Luck375.0600.0450030.012.050.02202.00.000.0415.0
Tom Brady395.0625.0446532.09.030.0550.00.000.0402.8
Matthew Stafford376.0625.0466029.014.030.01001.00.000.0395.0

Maurile Tremblay's projections

PlayerCMPATTYDTDINTRSHYDTDRECYDTDFPT
Aaron Rodgers393.0625.0512932.018.043.01681.00.000.0435.2
Drew Brees415.0643.0494535.016.021.0401.00.000.0435.2
Andrew Luck363.0602.0435529.015.056.03033.00.000.0410.1
Matthew Stafford405.0667.0497831.021.030.0661.00.000.0405.5
Tom Brady397.0641.0448730.016.031.0441.00.000.0382.8