With nearly all of the top free agents having signed, now is a great time to update both dynasty rankings and the dynasty trade value chart. Hopefully it will be a helpful tool in formulating trade offers in the lead up to the draft.
The free agency period provides a great window into how NFL franchises view not only the free agents that they signed but also the players already on their rosters. Which players did they chase and fall short for? Which positions did they focus their efforts upon? The teams that tried to sign WRs and RBs but came up short for example can provide some strong clues as to which teams will be looking to draft RBs and WRs early in the NFL draft. That needs to be taken into account as much as possible in determining how these players are valued.
The approach to ranking players now and projecting 2015 fantasy production does require some guesswork as to which positions teams will target in the draft (and how early). For example, Dallas is almost guaranteed to draft a RB with an early pick, so we shouldn't get too excited about Darren McFadden as the Cowboys lead back. On the other hand, Baltimore's intentions are much more difficult to discern. Justin Forsett signed a fairly modest three year deal and looks to be locked in as the lead back for now. However, it shouldn't be too much of a surprise if they bring in competition on the 1st or 2nd day of the draft. It is entirely possible that Forsett will be asked to reprise his role as the lead back again in 2015, but we need to use a little bit of caution in that projection due to the unknown impact a rookie could have. Thus, Forsett's ranking will split the difference to some extent to take into account the uncertainty regarding his eventual role. The ADP data from MFL10s has been a valuable tool in trying to figure out how to project the 2015 production of each player and has been factored into the value numbers.
The mid-February update of the dynasty trade value chart ran over 9,000 words discussing why players are valued as they are and what factors to look for in terms of their value rising or falling. This update will not be quite as lengthy and is best used in conjunction with the pre-free agency update as this version will not go as in-depth for players whose situation was not greatly impacted by free agency. This update is most focused upon players whose values were potentially impacted by free agency movement and the news of the past month.
The Top 75 Dynasty Players
1. Antonio Brown (50)- Brown, like most of the players near the top of the dynasty rankings did not see his value impacted by free agency. The safety in regards to surrounding circumstances lessening their value is what has earned the top players their high rankings after all. Owners can be confident that a change in circumstance is unlikely to negatively impact thier value as they are mostly immune to some of the situational factors that other can harm the value of lesser players. In terms of Browns' situation, Ben Roethlisberger did receive a long-term extension, but he wasn't going anywhere. Look for Brown to get his own rich extension next offseason.
2. Odell Beckham Jr. (49)- Nothing really changes for Beckham Jr. either, though Vereen provides another weapon for Eli Manning. If Victor Cruz is able to return to full health, he may put a small dent in the 2015 target totals for Beckham, Jr. but any negative impact is likely to be minimal and there are serious questions as to Cruz's ability to return to his pre-injury form.
3. Dez Bryant (46)- Since the last update, Bryant's value took a very temporary dip with some dynasty owners scared of the allegedly horrible video that was rumored to exist of an old Bryant incident outside of a Wal-Mart. It appears that there is nothing to that story however. The Cowboys chose Bryant over Murray in free agency and that bodes well for his chances of getting a long-term extension. The Cowboys are likely to target a RB early in the draft, so Murray's exit does little to impact Bryant's 2015 projections (though it may lead to just a few more targets).
4. Julio Jones (45)- The Falcons parted ways with Harry Douglas, but there is no impact on Jones.
5. Le'Veon Bell (45)- The Steelers signed DeAngelo Williams to serve as Bell's backup and it is likely he sees a few less snaps than he did in the 2nd half of 2014, but Bell is still projected to be the top RB in 2015 (and beyond) and Williams won't seriously impact Bell.
6. Mike Evans (45)- The Buccaneers parted ways with Josh McCown and look to be all but certain to select a QB #1 overall with Jameis Winston as the overwhelming favorite. Winston has a big, accurate arm and should help Evans continue to ascend towards the elite tier of fantasy WRs.
7. A.J. Green (44)- The Bengals focused on the defensive side of the ball in free agency but did retain OG Clint Boling to return the starting line intact. The return from injury of Tyler Eifert and Marvin Jones should take some of the pressure off of Green and lead to fewer double teams in 2015.
8. Rob Gronkowski (38)- The Patriots signed TE Scott Chandler to add to their depth at the position, but Gronkowski's role in the offense is obviously safe.
9. Demaryius Thomas (37)- The Broncos decided to use the franchise tag on Thomas so he will get another season with Peyton Manning. His future beyond 2015 remains murky however and that uncertainty is what separates him just a little from the elite tier of WRs.
10. Andrew Luck (36)- Luck gets a small boost as the additions of veterans Andre Johnson and Frank Gore should help. Johnson should be a big upgrade at WR2 in place of Reggie Wayne and Gore is a strong all-around back who should provide good pass protection and a solid option out of the backfield.
11. Randall Cobb (33)- Perhaps no player received quite as big a boost from free agency as Randall Cobb. Sticking with Aaron Rodgers in Green Bay instead of heading towards Jacksonville and Blake Bortles is clearly a boon for Cobb's dynasty owners. With a four year extension, Cobb is now the Packers WR with the longest deal as both Jordy Nelson and Davante Adams will hit free agency in three seasons. In terms of projecting forward, expect Cobb to remain the 1B option to Nelson's 1A for at least another season while Adams should become an increasing factor as the third option. Projecting forward, it is possible that Cobb becomes the true #1 in 2016 or 2017 as Nelson is likely to lose a step at some point.
12. Eddie Lacy (32)- In addition to retaining Cobb, the Packers also got a long-term deal done with arguably their best OL, Brian Bulaga. With the Packers 2014 offense essentially returning intact for 2015, expect Lacy to continue his strong production from the second half of the season. Longer term, Lacy is under contract for only two more years and the big deals for Bulaga and Cobb (in addition to those of Nelson and Rodgers) mean there is a chance that the Packers let Lacy test free agency. For now though, Lacy's value remains essentially unchanged.
13. Alshon Jeffery (31)- The departure of Brandon Marshall in a trade to the New York Jets boosts Jeffery's dynasty value a bit. He is now the undisputed #1 WR in Chicago. While that may lead to more attention from opposing defenses, it should also lead to an increase in targets that should more than offset the potential dip in efficiency due to seeing the opposition's top coverman. There is still a lot of uncertainty in Chicago with Cutler heading into a make or break season and Jeffery in a contract year himself. Marshall's departure should ensure that the Bears give Jeffery a big deal however as they cannot afford to lose him as well. Jeffery should be in Chicago a long time, but who will be throwing him the ball in 2016 and beyond?
14. T.Y. Hilton (30)- The Colts signed Andre Johnson to a three year deal (though it is essentially a one year deal with a couple of team options attached due to the low guaranteed money) and that may cost Hilton a few targets. Luck had 616 pass attempts in 2014 though, so there should still be plenty of targets directed at Hilton who should remaing the Colts WR1 over Johnson (who turns 34 in July).
15. DeAndre Hopkins (30)- With the departure of Andre Johnson, Hopkins is now officially the go-to WR1 in Houston. The Texans resigned Ryan Mallett and brought in Brian Hoyer to compete for the starting QB job. While neither is particularly exciting for Hopkins owners, substandard QB play did not slow down Hopkins in 2014. Hopkins was able to gain 1,210 yards despite seeing only 127 targets. Expect the targets to increase by ~20 next season and for Hopkins to continue to ascend the dynasty WR rankings.
16. Cavlin Johnson (29)- The Lions offense returns mostly intact (with Theo Riddick expected to step in for Reggie Bush) but the bigger news for Johnson owners may be the departure of Ndamukong Suh on defense. The Lions offense was much more conservative in 2014 as the defense emerged as one of the league's best. If the defense should slide back towards the middle of the pack without Suh (and Nick Fairley), that may lead to more attempts for Stafford as the Lions need to put up more points to win.
17. Aaron Rodgers (28)- Rodgers would have been fine without Cobb, but his return gives Rodgers a little boost. Perhaps even more importantly, OT Brian Bulaga was brought back and Rodgers' OL (which started to really gel the 2nd half of 2014) remains intact. Rodgers with time to throw and Cobb, Jordy Nelson and Davante Adams to throw to is an exciting prospect for Packers fan and Rodgers dynasty owners.
18. Jordy Nelson (26)- The return of Cobb to Green Bay probably doesn't help Nelson's dynasty value. However, the status quo in Green Bay isn't a bad thing either for Nelson's dynasty value as he is coming off of a monster 2014 season in which he led the Packers with over 1,500 receiving yards.
19. Sammy Watkins (26)- The Bills' free agency moves don't bode particularly well for Sammy Watkins. The big move of course was the trade for LeSean McCoy who is likely to see a whole lot of carries in OC Greg Roman's run heavy offense. The additions of Percy Harvin at WR and Charles Clay at TE help the Bills offense, but are also probably going to cut into Watkins' targets. EJ Manuel appears the favorite to lead the Bills offense and that's not great news for Watkins either. While Watkins clearly has a ton of talent, his situation looks fairly bleak and owners may need to be patient with him. That could be a tough pill to swallow if Odell Beckham, Jr., Mike Evans, Kelvin Benjamin and other WRs from the 2014 class continue to produce big numbers early in their careers.
20. Jeremy Hill (24)- The Bengals retained OG Clint Boling with a 5-year contract extension and the 2014 OL returns intact. The Bengals will need to add a blocking TE to replace Jermaine Gresham, but it's basically status quo for Hill. Expect another strong season from Hill, but the presence of Giovani Bernard may limit his upside for the next two seasons.
21. Jamaal Charles (23)- The Chiefs lost talented C Rodney Hudson to the Raiders and the OL certainly has some question marks heading into 2015. At WR, the Chiefs swapped Jeremy Maclin in for Dwayne Bowe. Maclin's deep speed could help open up Charles and the run game a little bit, but overall the free agency period was a slight negative for Charles' prospects.
22. Kelvin Benjamin (22)- The Panthers did nothing to upgrade the WR2 position across from Benjamin, which isn't necessarily a bad thing for Benjamin's dynasty owners. Expect a relatively high draft pick at WR added to the mix, though the Panthers have some other glaring needs to address in the draft in addition to WR so it's no guarantee that the WR will come in the first couple rounds. Expect Benjamin to be a target hog again in 2015 and if he can become more efficient, he has the ability to shoot up the rankings even further.
23. Russell Wilson (21)- Wilson was one of the bigger winners in free agency as the addition of TE Jimmy Graham gives the Seahawks their first true red zone passing threat in years. Graham should help Wilson a great deal and adds a few TD passes to his projections for 2015 and beyond. Seattle again did a strong job of making savvy additions to the defense though, which should keep it running at an elite level. The defense and the return of Marshawn Lynch for at least another season means the Seattle offense is still likely to be pretty conservative, so don't expect a big jump in passing attempts for Wilson just yet.
24. Brandin Cooks (20)- Cooks was another of the biggest winners in free agency. Not only did Jimmy Graham (and his 124 targets) leave for Seattle, but the Saints also traded Kenny Stills (and his 85 targets) to Miami. That's over 200 targets departing New Orleans and Cooks is likely to pick up quite a few of them as his path (once quite murky) to huge target numbers suddenly looks quite clear. It's difficult to predict exactly how the Saints 2015 offense will look (expect them to add more weapons in the draft), but Cooks will almost certainly be a huge part of the puzzle going forward.
25. Jimmy Graham (20)- Graham was an unexpected loser (for fantasy purposes) in free agency going from one of the most pass happy offenses in the NFL to one of the most run heavy. On the positive side, he still gets to catch passes from one of the NFL's best QBs in Russell Wilson and Seattle's excellent run game should lead to some extra space off of play action. Plus, the ascending Wilson and Graham can grow together. On the whole though, the shocking trade from the Saints to the Seahawks was a negative for Graham's dynasty owners and knocks him down just a little and creates even more space between he and Rob Gronkowski at the top of the TE rankings.
26. DeMarco Murray (19)- All things considered, the landing spot in Philadelphia could have been much worse for Murray. He lands in a fantastic offensive system behind a strong offensive line and should be the lead back. It's certainly a step down from his situation in Dallas though. He is not likely to get nearly 400 touches sharing a backfield with both Ryan Mathews and Darren Sproles (and potentially another RB like Chris Polk as well). It will be very interesting to see just how many carries Murray is able to get and how much of a RBBC Chip Kelly desires. The insane 2014 season was almost certainly Murray's career year, but he is capable of multiple RB1 fantasy seasons going forward in Philadelphia. Overall, Murray's value remains fairly steady compared to before free agency as his landing spot could have been better (Dallas) and could have been worse (Jacksonville or Oakland).
27. LeSean McCoy (19)- McCoy's surprise trade to Buffalo was one of the most interesting transactions of the entire offseason. Chip Kelly had obviously become a little bit disillusioned with McCoy and was unexcited by the prospect of his $10M cap number. Rex Ryan and the Bills quickly jumped at the opportunity to add McCoy and gave him a multi-year extension with plenty of guaranteed money to seal his approval of the deal. In Buffalo, McCoy should be a lock for 20 carries per game and will be the centerpiece of the Bills offense. Expect him to produce strong yardage totals and potentially double digit rushing TDs in 2015. However, new OC Greg Roman does not throw the ball to the backs much (Frank Gore had 11 receptions in 2014), so McCoy is unlikely to put up the huge PPR numbers that he did in his top seasons in Philadelphia. Overall, the move doesn't increase or decrease McCoy's value too much. The positive is that it guarantees him quite a few carries and the contract structure should pretty much guarantee him the lead back role for the next three seasons. The negative is that he moves to a less explosive offense and is unlikely to amass big receiving numbers.
28. Jordan Matthews (15)- Matthews is another young WR who comes out of free agency with increased dynasty value. The Eagles clearly wanted to retain Jeremy Maclin and were planning to do so. Only the huge $11M per year offer from the Chiefs caused him to leave Philadelphia. Maclin's exit creates an opportunity for Matthews to potentially graduate to the role of #1 WR in the Eagles high-powered offense. The move from Foles/Sanchez to Bradford shouldn't have much of an impact positive or negative on Matthews' production. It will be interesting to see if the Eagles make a move to add a WR in the 1st or 2nd round of the NFL draft however. It wouldn't necessarily hurt Matthews' dynasty value too much, but the addition of a big outside WR could cap Matthews' ceiling just a bit. If the Eagles don't add a WR early in the draft, Matthews will be in line for another bump in value.
29. Cam Newton (14)- Pretty much status quo for Newton as the Panthers grabbed a potential upgrade at OT with the signing of Michael Oher. The long-term extension signed by Greg Olsen is a positive as well. Expect the Panthers to look to upgrade both at OL and WR early in the draft and those additions will be key for Newton's progression as he badly needs an upgraded #2 WR and more talented protectors.
30. C.J. Anderson (13)- As expected, the Broncos stood pat in terms of additions at RB and Anderson still looks to be the man at the position. The Broncos did take some hits along the OL with Orlando Franklin leaving for a big contract in San Diego and the OL could use an injection of talent trough the draft.
31. Lamar Miller (12)- Miami stood pat at RB which is a positive for Miller. He looks like he will be the man again in 2015 but it will be interesting to see if the Dolphins add a mid-round RB to perhaps share some of the load.
32. Travis Kelce (12)- The Chiefs cut Anthony Fasano which opens the door for Kelce to be the full-time starter at TE going forward. The addition of Jeremy Maclin's speed on the outside could also help to open things up underneath for Kelce.
33. Keenan Allen (12)- The Chiefs sniffed around some WRs in addition to signing Jacoby Jones. While they did not add anyone of significance at the position, there is a little bit of a vibe out of San Diego that they aren't necessarily content or happy with Allen as the top WR. There is also some uncertainty regarding Philip Rivers' future with the team as he enters the final year of his contract. No reason for Allen's dynasty owners to panic, but there is some cause for concern about Allen's future and just how much upside he has.
34. Tre Mason (12)- Mason looks entrenched as the top back in St. Louis but the OL remains a concern as the Rams lost a couple guys in free agency and released both OT Jake Long and C Scott Wells. The Rams also traded QB Sam Bradford for QB Nick Foles and that may or may not be an upgrade. They have also been sniffing around Marcus Mariota a bit though they probably don't have the ammunition to move up and select him. The Rams offense has a lot of question marks, but Mason should get a shot in 2015 at locking down the job going forward.
35. Julius Thomas (12)- Thomas made it clear that he was going to chase the money in free agency and selected the Jaguars over the Seahawks and other suitors. Going from Peyton Manning to Blake Bortles is a pretty massive downgrade, but it was mostly baked into his dynasty value already as it became pretty clear that Denver did not have the money nor the motivation to try to keep Thomas. Thomas' dynasty value is now tied directly to the development of Bortles and as the young QB goes, so goes Thomas.
36. Matt Forte (11)- The Bears offense is in turmoil but Forte should again remain the focus. While the 102 receptions in 2014 will not be repeated, new OC Adam Gase has a reputation of adjusting his offense to match his player's strengths so expect Forte to continue to be productive catching the ball. Forte only ranks this low because of his age and questions about his production beyond 2015.
37. Marshawn Lynch (11)- The window to buy low on Lynch after the Super Bowl closed pretty quickly as he has now agreed to another new deal with Seattle. Instead of retiring, Lynch has agreed to come back for 2015 and the structure of his new contract even gives some hope for his owners for 2016 and beyond. Anyone who bought low on Lynch in February has to be feeling pretty good right now.
38. Emmanuel Sanders (11)- Free agency had little impact on Sanders who remains locked in as the #2 WR in Denver. The exit of TE Julius Thomas (replaced by Owen Daniels) may open up a few more red zone targets in 2015 though.
39. Arian Foster (11)- Foster is yet another of the group of RBs nearing the end of the road, but projected for at least one more top season. The exit of Andre Johnson may lead to a few more targets for Foster in the passing game.
40. Adrian Peterson (11)- While free agency brought clarity for most players, Peterson's situation still remains in flux. Will he suit up for the Vikings? Will he demand a trade to Arizona or elsewhere? Despite the uncertainty, Peterson has remained a fixture in the middle of the 2nd round of MFL10 drafts right alongside guys like Arian Foster and C.J. Anderson. Wherever he finally lands, he has a great shot to be a RB1 in 2015 and possibly beyond.
41. Carlos Hyde (11)- The 49ers sniffed around quite a few RBs in free agency (including C.J. Spiller) before settling on Reggie Bush. All things considered, this was pretty much a best case scenario for Hyde owners as Bush doesn't have much left in the tank. It was clear the 49ers wanted to add a change of pace back to slot in behind Hyde either in free agency or the draft. The signing of Bush probably means the 49ers are set at the position for 2015. While there is a lot of excitement about Hyde (who looked good in 2014), there are still questions about his PPR upside as he may end up being more of a two down back that doesn't produce a lot in the passing game.
42. Jeremy Maclin (10)- Maclin was a winner financially but his move to Kansas City was a definite blow to his dynasty owners as Maclin's value took a real hit. We've already seen Maclin in Andy Reid's offense for quite a few seasons and while he was productive, he never came close to producing at the level he did in 2014 under Chip Kelly. Expect 60-70 receptions, 950-1,000 yards and a handful of TDs per season going forward.
43. Jarvis Landry (10)- Landry really emerged down the stretch of the 2014 season and looks to take on a bigger role in 2015. The Dolphins swapped out Mike Wallace, Charles Clay, Brian Hartline and Brandon Gibson for Kenny Stills and Jordan Cameron. Overall, more talent left than came in and that should increase the chances that Landry continues to see enough targets to rack up nearly 100 receptions in 2015. The hype has been slow to build for Landry, but expect it to continue to pick up steam.
44. Martavis Bryant (10)- Nothing changed in Pittsburgh and Bryant should step into the role of WR2 in 2015.
45. Martellus Bennett (9)- Bennett could end up being the primary beneficiary of Brandon Marshall's trade to the Jets. Bennett took advantage of Marshall and Jeffery struggling through injury-plagued 2014 seasons to post 90 receptions last season. He has a chance to put up similar totals in 2015 as he should move up to the #2 option in the Bears offense (assuming they pass on WR at #7 overall in the draft).
46. Brandon Marshall (9)- The move to the Jets probably hurts Marshall's value just a little bit. It's not necessarily that the move from Jay Cutler to Geno Smith is much of a downgrade, but the trade was yet another reminder that Marshall is not as highly valued in the NFL as he is on fantasy rosters. His act has worn thin now with three franchises and as he slows down in his 30s, he is a guy who could find himself completely out of a job. Teams are willing to put up with a lot of off field headaches when a player possesses elite physical talent, but that's not the case when that talent begins to erode.
47. Allen Robinson (9)- Like Julius Thomas, Robinson's dynasty value is intertwined with that of Blake Bortles. With Robinson, Thomas, Marqise Lee and Allen Hurns, Bortles has some decent talent to throw to. If Bortles doesn't make big strides however, all four of those guys could disappoint fantasy owners.
48. Giovani Bernard (9)- Nothing really changed in Cincinnati. Bernard is still stuck behind Jeremy Hill but is arguably the best change of pace back in the NFL.
49. Matt Ryan (9)- The Falcons swapped out Harry Douglas for Leonard Hankerson, which is probably a small downgrade. They also have done little to address the weakness of the OL.
50. Julian Edelman (8)- The Pats added Travaris Cadet in place of Shane Vereen, which is likely a talent downgrade. Edelman remains the #2 target in the offense behind Gronkowski.
51. Mark Ingram (8)- Ingram signed a four year deal to stay in New Orleans and with Pierre Thomas getting cut, looked poised to take on a slightly larger role. Then, despite a miserable salary cap situation, the Saints signed C.J. Spiller to an almost identical 4-year, $16M contract. While Ingram should again lead the team in carries, it's clear that the Saints want to employ a RBBC approach with Ingram, Spiller and Khiry Robinson all likely to play a role. Expect 1,000+ yards and possibly double-digit touchdown production from Ingram, but his lack of receptions and the likely RBBC limit his PPR upside in a major way.
52. Golden Tate (8)- The Lions offense lost Reggie Bush, but for the most part returns intact. None of the moves should have a major impact on Tate who is locked in as the #2 WR for the foreseeable future.
53. Ben Roethlisberger (8)- Roethlisberger signed a massive five year extension to stay in Pittsburgh. The commitment illustrates just how much faith the organization has in Roethlisberger and there is no question he is the franchise for the rest of the decade. The extension should also serve as a reminder that even though Roethlisberger is now in his 30s, he isn't going anywhere for a long time.
54. Teddy Bridgewater (8)- The Vikings traded for Mike Wallace to add a true deep threat for Bridgewater. While this is probably good news, it may take them out of the market for a 1st round WR which may hurt Bridgewater just a bit in the long run. The Adrian Peterson situation remains in flux and until that is resolved it's difficult to guess just how much more Bridgewater will be asked to take on in the Vikings offense.
55. Greg Olsen (8)- Olsen signed a three-year extension worth $22.5M and is now locked up for the next four seasons. While not quite Jimmy Graham money, the $7.5M per year deal is still a strong one and indicative of how important Olsen is to the Panthers offense. It also shows that the Panthers don't expect the 30-year-old Olsen to slow down too much in the coming years.
56. Michael Floyd (8)- The Cardinals worked out a deal with Larry Fitzgerald that will keep him in Arizona for two more years, which means Floyd will hit free agency before Fitzgerald does and may never get the chance to be the #1 WR in Arizona. Perhaps Floyd's dynasty owners should be hoping for a change of scenery at this point anyway.
57. Dwayne Allen (7)- The Andre Johnson signing is a mixed blessing. It's yet another mouth to feed in the deep Indy group of WRs and TEs, but Johnson has never been a big TD scorer and that is where Allen has made his mark thus far.
58. Latavius Murray (7)- Murray owners dodged a bullet in free agency as the Raiders added only Trent Richardson after being rumored to be interested in Demarco Murray and other top runners. If the Raiders don't address the RB position in the draft, Murray could be in for a big season because he made more big plays in his four game audition last season than Richardson has in three seasons.
59. Drew Brees (7)- Brees lost his go-to weapon in the red zone in Graham and the strange trade of Kenny Stills didn't make much sense as he seemed to develop a real rapport with Brees last season. The addition of CJ Spiller should offset some of those losses as he is a dynamic guy out of the backfield. Plus the Saints are now loaded with early draft picks and should add another weapon for Brees.
60. Matthew Stafford (7)- The big contracts for Stafford, Calvin Johnson and Golden Tate made it too hard for the Lions to match the monster Dolphins offer for Suh. Now, the offensive weapons will be asked to pick up some of the slack as the defense loses it's best player. The Lions could be headed towards more shootouts in 2015.
61. Donte Moncrief (7)- The addition of Andre Johnson is a blow for Moncrief believers. Barring injury, Moncrief has little chance of breaking into the starting lineup (the Colts often use two TEs and two WRs). Moncrief was always going to be more of a long-term project though and will require some patience on the part of his owners.
62. Davante Adams (7)- Perhaps no player dropped in the value rankings quite as much as Adams as so much of his value was dependent upon Cobb leaving Green Bay. Both Cobb and Nelson are locked up for the next three seasons, so Adams is probably going to hit free agency in 2018 having been behind the duo for his entire rookie contract. He may end up getting an extension in Green Bay and taking over for Nelson someday. Or he may take advantage of an injury to emerge. Or perhaps he'll just be so good that he'll force an equal three way split of targets. Most likely, he will have to take a back seat for a while and contribute the occasional big game while not being much involved in many others.
63. Zach Ertz (7)- Ertz has somewhat of an opening with Maclin departing to become a bigger part of the Eagles offense in his third season. The talent is there and Ertz just needs to get on the field. If Matthews moves out to Maclin's spot, Ertz could get more snaps in the slot. Overall, the Maclin departure helps Ertz's dynasty value a little bit.
64. Desean Jackson (6)- Not much changed in Washington and Jackson is still the top WR.
65. Alfred Morris (6)- Roy Helu left and there's next to no competition for Morris at RB. Perhaps that should raise his dynasty value a little bit for now, but it probably just guarantees that the Redskins are going to bring in a back fairly early in the NFL draft.
66. Tyler Eifert (6)- Jermaine Gresham is still unsigned after the Raiders discovered a back injury that required surgery. While there's still a small chance Gresham could return to the Bengals, it's unlikely. The Bengals will likely look for a blocking TE in the draft, but it won't impact Eifert's value too much. If he can stay healthy, he will have an impact in the Bengals offense as the opportunity is certainly available.
67. Kenny Stills (6)- The trade to Miami was perplexing as a cap strapped Saints team traded an incredibly inexpensive, productive young player for a fairly expensive LB and a 3rd round pick. The fit in Miami is interesting and though Tannehill isn't Brees, the change of scenery could be good for Stills. He never really got a chance to be more than a bit player in New Orleans until Brandin Cooks went down and even then he played just a bit over half the snaps. He now has a chance to be an almost every down player in Miami as the team's primary deep threat and top outside WR. Stills could be as good or better than Mike Wallace was in the same role.
68. Isaiah Crowell (6)- The Browns were quiet in free agency and will look to improve primarily through the draft. If they don't add another RB in the draft, it will be left to Crowell and West to battle it out for the lead back role in 2015. Crowell showed a little bit more and probably has a leg up, though it could end up a RBBC. The Browns do not have too many glaring holes on the roster, so it wouldn't shock if they took a RB in the mid-rounds.
69. Andre Ellington (6)- The Cardinals did nothing in free agency to address the RB position, which should be good news for Ellington. However, all of the rumors about them being interested in Adrian Peterson are an ominous sign for Ellington. His value would obviously collapse if Peterson ends up in the desert. However, just the fact that the team is apparently interested in adding a top RB is bad news for Ellington owners as they could look to the draft for a top runner.
70. Austin Seferian-Jenkins (6)- The starting job is clearly Seferian-Jenkins' next season and he should be catching passes from Jameis Winston.
71. Eric Ebron (6)- Not much changed in Detroit. It's up to Ebron to put in the work to improve as he hopes to make a big leap in Year two.
72. Ryan Tannehill (5)- Going from Clay to Cameron feels like a little bit of a downgrade and swapping out Wallace for Stills is probably a lateral move at best. The Dolphins also cut Brian Hartline who was a quietly productive player in Miami. Tannehill needs to hope for some reinforcements in the draft because his stable of weapons looks pretty weak as the Dolphins poured all of their resources into signing Suh at DT.
73. Justin Forsett (5)- Forsett landing a three year deal to stay in Baltimore was pretty much a best case scenario for his dynasty owners. He had a strong season there in 2014 and staying put seemed to be his best bet to land a starting role in 2015. For now, that is the assumption and he should be able to hold of Lorenzo Taliaferro pretty easily. The disappointing Bernard Pierce was cut after getting a DUI, so there is little depth behind Forsett and Taliaferro. The Ravens will almost certainly draft a RB, but the question is how early. If it's in the first two or three rounds, Forsett could be looking at a RBBC. If it's a later pick, he may end up being the man again in 2015.
74. Jerick McKinnon (5)- McKinnon's short term value is almost entirely dependent upon what happens with Peterson. If Peterson stays, McKinnon will be a lightly used backup. If Peterson is traded, that's when things get interesting. Would it be a McKinnon/Asiata split again? Would McKinnon get the nod as the lead guy? Would the Vikings draft a RB early to replace Peterson?
75. Charles Clay (5)- Clay's big contract (over $7M per year with lots of guaranteed cash) is indicative of just how talented he is and how important the Bills thought he could be in their offense. From that perspective, free agency re-inforced the fact that Clay is a dynamic talent. On the other hand, he couldn't have landed in a much worse offensive situation. The Bills QB situation is a mess and OC Greg Roman didn't use Vernon Davis much in recent seasons in San Francisco.
Top 75 Breakdown Chart
The chart below details the top 75 dynasty players and lists both the overall value and the breakdown of 2015 and future value. I want to once again offer a quick explanation as to what each number means for those who are new to my articles. The 2015 number is simply the value of each player on a point per game basis vs. a "replacement level" player.
Let's look at the WR position for a more in-depth discussion of just what these numbers mean. In a 12 team PPR league that start 3 WRs and a flex, there will be approximately 44 WRs in starting lineups each week (36 plus about 2/3rds of the 12 flex spots). The worst starters will be projected for ~10.5 points. What does 10.5 points look like over a 16 game season? A stat line of 60-780-5 equals 168 points or about 10.5 PPG. That's essentially what we're talking about when discussing replacement level and does not add much value to your team. Anything above that does add at least some value. At the top of the value charts are players like Antonio Brown and Dez Bryant who project for ~20 PPG. In terms of full season projections, we're talking about some big numbers like 110-1,500-10 which would be 320 points. They could come in above that (as Brown has the past two seasons) but that is a pretty good over/under projection for an average game. So Brown and Bryant then give you a 9.5 point advantage in your matchup if your opponent has a replacement level starting WR and that is why you'll see both have a 2015 value of 9.5. And of course the values are calculated the same way for all of the other WRs. So Kelvin Benjamin and Brandin Cooks 2015 value of 4.5 means that they're currently projected to score about 15 PPG (240 points total if they play all 16).
The future value is calculated similarly. Each player's PPG projection for 2016 and beyond is multiplied by a number I've come up with called "Longevity Factor" that takes into account the player's age, injury history, contract situation, QB age, positional longevity, etc. If anyone has any comments, questions, critiques or suggestions about my methodology, please hit me up on twitter (@hindery) and I'd love to discuss.
Rank | First | Last | 2015 | Future | Overall |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Antonio | Brown | 9.5 | 40.5 | 50 |
2 | Odell | Beckham | 9 | 40 | 49 |
3 | Dez | Bryant | 9.5 | 36 | 46 |
4 | Julio | Jones | 9 | 36 | 45 |
5 | Le’Veon | Bell | 9 | 36 | 45 |
6 | Mike | Evans | 7.5 | 37.5 | 45 |
7 | A.J. | Green | 8 | 36 | 44 |
8 | Rob | Gronkowski | 8 | 30 | 38 |
9 | Demaryius | Thomas | 9 | 28 | 37 |
10 | Andrew | Luck | 5.5 | 30 | 36 |
11 | Randall | Cobb | 6.5 | 27 | 33 |
12 | Eddie | Lacy | 7.5 | 24.5 | 32 |
13 | Alshon | Jeffery | 6.5 | 24 | 31 |
14 | T.Y. | Hilton | 6.5 | 24 | 30 |
15 | DeAndre | Hopkins | 5.5 | 24.75 | 30 |
16 | Calvin | Johnson | 8.5 | 20 | 29 |
17 | Aaron | Rodgers | 5 | 22.5 | 28 |
18 | Jordy | Nelson | 8.5 | 17.5 | 26 |
19 | Sammy | Watkins | 4 | 22 | 26 |
20 | Jeremy | Hill | 4 | 20 | 24 |
21 | Jamaal | Charles | 7.5 | 15 | 23 |
22 | Kelvin | Benjamin | 4.5 | 18 | 22 |
23 | Russell | Wilson | 2.5 | 18 | 21 |
24 | Brandin | Cooks | 4.5 | 16 | 20 |
25 | Jimmy | Graham | 5 | 15 | 20 |
26 | DeMarco | Murray | 6 | 12.5 | 19 |
27 | LeSean | McCoy | 6 | 12.5 | 19 |
28 | Jordan | Matthews | 4 | 10.5 | 15 |
29 | Cam | Newton | 2 | 12 | 14 |
30 | C.J. | Anderson | 4.5 | 8 | 13 |
31 | Lamar | Miller | 3.5 | 9 | 12 |
32 | Travis | Kelce | 2.5 | 10 | 12 |
33 | Keenan | Allen | 2.5 | 10 | 12 |
34 | Tre | Mason | 3 | 9 | 12 |
35 | Julius | Thomas | 3 | 8.75 | 12 |
36 | Matt | Forte | 6 | 5 | 11 |
37 | Marshawn | Lynch | 6 | 5 | 11 |
38 | Emmanuel | Sanders | 5 | 6 | 11 |
39 | Arian | Foster | 5.5 | 5 | 11 |
40 | Adrian | Peterson | 5.5 | 5 | 11 |
41 | Carlos | Hyde | 3 | 7.5 | 11 |
42 | Jeremy | Maclin | 2.5 | 7.5 | 10 |
43 | Jarvis | Landry | 2 | 8 | 10 |
44 | Martavis | Bryant | 2 | 8 | 10 |
45 | Martellus | Bennett | 3 | 6 | 9 |
46 | Brandon | Marshall | 3 | 6 | 9 |
47 | Allen | Robinson | 1 | 8 | 9 |
48 | Giovani | Bernard | 1.5 | 7 | 9 |
49 | Matt | Ryan | 2 | 6.75 | 9 |
50 | Julian | Edelman | 3.5 | 5 | 8 |
51 | Mark | Ingram | 2.5 | 6 | 8 |
52 | Golden | Tate | 2 | 6 | 8 |
53 | Ben | Roethlisberger | 2 | 6 | 8 |
54 | Teddy | Bridgewater | 0.5 | 7.5 | 8 |
55 | Greg | Olsen | 3 | 4.5 | 8 |
56 | Michael | Floyd | 1.5 | 6 | 8 |
57 | Dwayne | Allen | 1.5 | 6 | 7 |
58 | Latavius | Murray | 2 | 5 | 7 |
59 | Drew | Brees | 2 | 5 | 7 |
60 | Matthew | Stafford | 1.5 | 5.5 | 7 |
61 | Donte | Moncrief | 1 | 6 | 7 |
62 | Davante | Adams | 1 | 6 | 7 |
63 | Zach | Ertz | 1.5 | 5.25 | 7 |
64 | DeSean | Jackson | 2 | 4.5 | 6 |
65 | Alfred | Morris | 2 | 4.5 | 6 |
66 | Tyler | Eifert | 1 | 5.25 | 6 |
67 | Kenny | Stills | 1 | 5.25 | 6 |
68 | Isaiah | Crowell | 2 | 4 | 6 |
69 | Andre | Ellington | 1.5 | 4.5 | 6 |
70 | Austin | Seferian-Jenkins | 0.5 | 5.25 | 6 |
71 | Eric | Ebron | 0.5 | 5.25 | 6 |
72 | Ryan | Tannehill | 1 | 4.5 | 5 |
73 | Justin | Forsett | 2.5 | 3 | 5 |
74 | Jerick | McKinnon | 1.5 | 3.75 | 5 |
75 | Charles | Clay | 1 | 4 | 5 |
2015 Rookie Pick Value
1.01- 25
1.02- 22
1.03- 20
1.04- 17
1.05- 15
1.06- 12
1.07- 10
1.08- 8
1.09- 7
1.10- 6
1.11- 5
1.12- 5
2nd round (early)- 4
2nd round (mid)- 3
2nd round (late)- 2
3rd round- 1
QB Trade Value Chart
Rk | First | Last | Team | Contract | Age | 2015 | 2016+ | LF | FV | Total | rounded |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Andrew | Luck | IND | 2015 | 25 | 5.5 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 35.5 | 36 |
2 | Aaron | Rodgers | GB | 2019 | 31 | 5 | 5 | 4.5 | 22.5 | 27.5 | 28 |
3 | Russell | Wilson | SEA | 2015 | 26 | 2.5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 20.5 | 21 |
4 | Cam | Newton | CAR | 2015 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 14 |
5 | Matt | Ryan | ATL | 2018 | 30 | 2 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 6.75 | 8.75 | 9 |
6 | Ben | Roethlisberger | PIT | 2020 | 33 | 2 | 1.5 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
7 | Teddy | Bridgewater | MIN | 2017 | 22 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 7.5 | 8 | 8 |
8 | Drew | Brees | NO | 2016 | 36 | 2 | 2 | 2.5 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
9 | Matthew | Stafford | DET | 2017 | 27 | 1.5 | 1 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 7 | 7 |
10 | Ryan | Tannehill | MIA | 2015 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 6 |
11 | Tony | Romo | DAL | 2019 | 35 | 1.5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4.5 | 5 |
12 | Tom | Brady | NE | 2017 | 37 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
13 | Peyton | Manning | DEN | 2016 | 39 | 3 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 4 |
14 | Sam | Bradford | PHI | 2015 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4 |
15 | Philip | Rivers | SD | 2015 | 33 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 1.75 | 2.75 | 3 |
16 | Derek | Carr | OAK | 2017 | 24 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 4.5 | 2.25 | 2.75 | 3 |
17 | Eli | Manning | NYG | 2015 | 34 | 1 | 0.5 | 3 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3 |
18 | Joe | Flacco | BLT | 2017 | 30 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 4 | 2 | 2.5 | 3 |
19 | Colin | Kaepernick | SF | 2020 | 27 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 1.75 | 2.25 | 2 |
20 | Andy | Dalton | CIN | 2020 | 27 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 1.75 | 2.25 | 2 |
21 | Blake | Bortles | JAX | 2017 | 23 | 0 | 0.5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
22 | Jay | Cutler | CHI | 2020 | 32 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 1 | 1.5 | 2 |
23 | Carson | Palmer | ARZ | 2017 | 35 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 1 | 1.5 | 2 |
24 | Nick | Foles | STL | 2015 | 26 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 1 | 1.5 | 2 |
25 | Robert | GriffinIII | WAS | 2015 | 25 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.75 | 1.25 | 1 |
26 | Johnny | Manziel | CLV | 2017 | 22 | 0 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 |
RB Trade Value Chart
Rk | First | Last | Team | Contract | Age | 2015 | 2016+ | LF | FV | Total | Rounded |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Le’Veon | Bell | PIT | 2016 | 22.3 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 36 | 45 | 45 |
2 | Eddie | Lacy | GB | 2016 | 23.9 | 7.5 | 7 | 3.5 | 24.5 | 32 | 32 |
3 | Jeremy | Hill | CIN | 2017 | 22.1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 24 | 24 |
4 | Jamaal | Charles | KC | 2017 | 27.9 | 7.5 | 6 | 2.5 | 15 | 22.5 | 23 |
5 | DeMarco | Murray | PHI | 2019 | 26.8 | 6 | 5 | 2.5 | 12.5 | 18.5 | 19 |
6 | LeSean | McCoy | BUF | 2019 | 26.4 | 6 | 5 | 2.5 | 12.5 | 18.5 | 19 |
7 | C.J. | Anderson | DEN | 2015 | 23.8 | 4.5 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 12.5 | 13 |
8 | Lamar | Miller | MIA | 2015 | 23.6 | 3.5 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12.5 | 12 |
9 | Tre | Mason | SL | 2017 | 21.3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 12 |
10 | Matt | Forte | CHI | 2015 | 29 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 |
11 | Marshawn | Lynch | SEA | 2017 | 28.6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 |
12 | Arian | Foster | HST | 2016 | 28.3 | 5.5 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 10.5 | 11 |
13 | Adrian | Peterson | MIN | 2017 | 29.7 | 5.5 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 10.5 | 11 |
14 | Carlos | Hyde | SF | 2017 | 23.2 | 3 | 2.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 10.5 | 11 |
15 | Giovani | Bernard | CIN | 2016 | 23 | 1.5 | 2 | 3.5 | 7 | 8.5 | 9 |
16 | Mark | Ingram | NO | 2018 | 24.9 | 2.5 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8.5 | 8 |
17 | Latavius | Murray | OAK | 2016 | 23.8 | 2 | 2 | 2.5 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
18 | Alfred | Morris | WAS | 2015 | 26 | 2 | 1.5 | 3 | 4.5 | 6.5 | 6 |
19 | Isaiah | Crowell | CLV | 2016 | 21.9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
20 | Andre | Ellington | ARZ | 2016 | 25.8 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 4.5 | 6 | 6 |
21 | C.J. | Spiller | NO | 2018 | 27.3 | 2 | 1.5 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
22 | Justin | Forsett | BLT | 2017 | 29.1 | 2.5 | 2 | 1.5 | 3 | 5.5 | 5 |
23 | Jerick | McKinnon | MIN | 2017 | 22.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.75 | 5.25 | 5 |
24 | Jonathan | Stewart | CAR | 2017 | 27.7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
25 | Shane | Vereen | NYG | 2017 | 25.7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
26 | Frank | Gore | IND | 2017 | 31.5 | 2.5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3.5 | 4 |
27 | Joique | Bell | DET | 2016 | 28.3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
28 | Devonta | Freeman | ATL | 2017 | 22.7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
29 | Bishop | Sankey | TEN | 2017 | 22.2 | 0.5 | 1 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 3 | 3 |
30 | Theo | Riddick | DET | 2016 | 23.6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
31 | Knile | Davis | KC | 2016 | 23.2 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 1.5 | 2 | 2 |
32 | Ryan | Mathews | PHI | 2017 | 27.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 1 | 1.5 | 1 |
33 | Doug | Martin | TB | 2015 | 25.9 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | 1 |
34 | Terrance | West | CLV | 2017 | 23.9 | 0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 1 |
35 | Andre | Williams | NYG | 2017 | 22.3 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 1 |
36 | Christine | Michael | SEA | 2016 | 24.1 | 0 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 |
WR Trade Value Chart
Rk | First | Last | Team | Contract | Age | 2015 | 2016+ | LF | FV | Total | Rounded |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Antonio | Brown | PIT | 2017 | 26 | 9.5 | 9 | 4.5 | 40.5 | 50 | 50 |
2 | Odell | BeckhamJr. | NYG | 2017 | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 49 | 49 |
3 | Dez | Bryant | DAL | 2015 | 26 | 9.5 | 8 | 4.5 | 36 | 45.5 | 46 |
4 | Julio | Jones | ATL | 2015 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 4.5 | 36 | 45 | 45 |
5 | Mike | Evans | TB | 2017 | 21 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 5 | 37.5 | 45 | 45 |
6 | A.J. | Green | CIN | 2015 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 4.5 | 36 | 44 | 44 |
7 | Demaryius | Thomas | DEN | 2015 | 27 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 28 | 37 | 37 |
8 | Randall | Cobb | GB | 2018 | 24 | 6.5 | 6 | 4.5 | 27 | 33.5 | 33 |
9 | Alshon | Jeffery | CHI | 2015 | 25 | 6.5 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 30.5 | 31 |
10 | T.Y. | Hilton | IND | 2015 | 25 | 6.5 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 30.5 | 30 |
11 | DeAndre | Hopkins | HST | 2016 | 23 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 24.75 | 30.25 | 30 |
12 | Calvin | Johnson | DET | 2019 | 29 | 8.5 | 8 | 2.5 | 20 | 28.5 | 29 |
13 | Jordy | Nelson | GB | 2018 | 30 | 8.5 | 7 | 2.5 | 17.5 | 26 | 26 |
14 | Sammy | Watkins | BUF | 2017 | 22 | 4 | 5.5 | 4 | 22 | 26 | 26 |
15 | Kelvin | Benjamin | CAR | 2017 | 24 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 4 | 18 | 22.5 | 22 |
16 | Brandin | Cooks | NO | 2017 | 21 | 4.5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 20.5 | 20 |
17 | Jordan | Matthews | PHI | 2017 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 3.5 | 10.5 | 14.5 | 15 |
18 | Keenan | Allen | SD | 2016 | 23 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 4 | 10 | 12.5 | 12 |
19 | Emmanuel | Sanders | DEN | 2016 | 28 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 11 |
20 | Jeremy | Maclin | KC | 2019 | 27 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 3 | 7.5 | 10 | 10 |
21 | Jarvis | Landry | MIA | 2017 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
22 | Martavis | Bryant | PIT | 2017 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
23 | Brandon | Marshall | NYJ | 2018 | 31 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 9 |
24 | Allen | Robinson | JAX | 2017 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
25 | Julian | Edelman | NE | 2017 | 29 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 2 | 5 | 8.5 | 8 |
26 | Golden | Tate | DET | 2018 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
27 | Michael | Floyd | ARZ | 2015 | 25 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 6 | 7.5 | 8 |
28 | Donte | Moncrief | IND | 2017 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
29 | Davante | Adams | GB | 2017 | 22 | 1 | 1.5 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
30 | DeSean | Jackson | WAS | 2016 | 28 | 2 | 1.5 | 3 | 4.5 | 6.5 | 6 |
31 | Kenny | Stills | NO | 2016 | 23 | 1 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 5.25 | 6.25 | 6 |
32 | Torrey | Smith | SF | 2019 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
33 | Victor | Cruz | NYG | 2018 | 28 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
34 | John | Brown | ARZ | 2017 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 4 |
35 | Eric | Decker | NYJ | 2018 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
36 | Mike | Wallace | MIA | 2017 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
37 | Charles | Johnson | MIN | 2015 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
38 | Cody | Latimer | DEN | 2017 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
39 | Andre | Johnson | HST | 2016 | 33 | 2 | 1.5 | 1 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 4 |
40 | Percy | Harvin | NYJ | 2018 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4 |
41 | Larry | Fitzgerald | ARZ | 2018 | 31 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
42 | Marvin | Jones | CIN | 2015 | 25 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 1.75 | 2.25 | 2 |
43 | Kendall | Wright | TEN | 2015 | 25 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 1.75 | 2.25 | 2 |
44 | Marques | Colston | NO | 2016 | 32 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 2 |
45 | Vincent | Jackson | TB | 2016 | 32 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
46 | Roddy | White | ATL | 2017 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
47 | Michael | Crabtree | FA | 2014 | 27 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 1.5 | 2 | 2 |
48 | Marqise | Lee | JAX | 2017 | 23 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 1.5 | 2 | 2 |
49 | Josh | Gordon | CLV | 2017 | 24 | 0 | 4 | 0.5 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
50 | Justin | Blackmon | JAX | 2015 | 25 | 0.5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 2 |
51 | Robert | Woods | BUF | 2016 | 23 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 1 | 1.5 | 1 |
52 | Paul | Richardson | SEA | 2017 | 23 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 1 | 1.5 | 1 |
53 | Pierre | Garcon | WAS | 2016 | 28 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 1 | 1.5 | 1 |
54 | Brandon | LaFell | NE | 2016 | 28 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.75 | 1.25 | 1 |
55 | Cordarrelle | Patterson | MIN | 2016 | 24 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.75 | 1.25 | 1 |
56 | Justin | Hunter | TEN | 2016 | 24 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | 1 |
57 | Brian | Quick | SL | 2015 | 26 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | 1 |
58 | Rueben | Randle | NYG | 2015 | 24 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 1 | 1.5 | 1 |
59 | Stedman | Bailey | SL | 2016 | 24 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.25 | 0.75 | 1 |
60 | Marquess | Wilson | CHI | 2016 | 22 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 1 | 1.5 | 1 |
61 | Doug | Baldwin | SEA | 2016 | 26 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 1 | 1.5 | 1 |
62 | Terrance | Williams | DAL | 2016 | 25 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 1 | 1.5 | 1 |
63 | Steve | Smith | BLT | 2016 | 36 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.25 | 0.75 | 1 |
64 | Dwayne | Bowe | CLE | 2017 | 30 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | 1 |
TE Trade Value Chart
Rk | Tight | End | Team | Contract | Age | 2015 | 2016+ | LF | FV | Total | Rounded |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Rob | Gronkowski | NE | 2019 | 26 | 8 | 7.5 | 4 | 30 | 38 | 38 |
2 | Jimmy | Graham | SEA | 2017 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 20 | 20 |
3 | Travis | Kelce | KC | 2016 | 25 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 4 | 10 | 12.5 | 12 |
4 | Julius | Thomas | DEN | 2014 | 26 | 3 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 8.75 | 11.75 | 12 |
5 | Martellus | Bennett | CHI | 2016 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 9 |
6 | Greg | Olsen | CAR | 2015 | 30 | 3 | 1.5 | 3 | 4.5 | 7.5 | 8 |
7 | Dwayne | Allen | IND | 2015 | 25 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 6 | 7.5 | 7 |
8 | Zach | Ertz | PHI | 2016 | 24 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 5.25 | 6.75 | 7 |
9 | Tyler | Eifert | CIN | 2016 | 24 | 1 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 5.25 | 6.25 | 6 |
10 | Austin | Seferian-Jenkins | TB | 2017 | 22 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 5.25 | 5.75 | 6 |
11 | Eric | Ebron | DET | 2017 | 22 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 5.25 | 5.75 | 6 |
12 | Charles | Clay | MIA | 2014 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
13 | Jace | Amaro | NYJ | 2017 | 22 | 0.5 | 1 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 4 | 4 |
14 | Kyle | Rudolph | MIN | 2019 | 25 | 0.5 | 1 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 4 | 4 |
15 | Coby | Fleener | IND | 2015 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4 |
16 | Jordan | Cameron | CLV | 2014 | 26 | 1.5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3.5 | 3 |
17 | Jordan | Reed | WAS | 2016 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 3 |
18 | Josh | Hill | NO | 2015 | 25 | 1.5 | 1 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 3 |
19 | Delanie | Walker | TEN | 2016 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
20 | Antonio | Gates | SD | 2015 | 34 | 1.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 2 |
21 | Larry | Donnell | NYG | 2014 | 26 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3 | 1.5 | 2 | 2 |
22 | Mychal | Rivera | OAK | 2016 | 24 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.25 | 1.75 | 2 |
23 | Richard | Rodgers | GB | 2017 | 23 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | 1 | 1.5 | 2 |
24 | Jason | Witten | DAL | 2017 | 33 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | 1 |