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Dynasty Trade Value Chart: October

Quantifying Long-Term Player Values for Dynasty Leagues

The dynasty trade value chart is tailored specifically to a 12-team PPR league that starts one quarterback, two running backs, three wide receivers, one tight end and a flex. It is meant to serve primarily as a guide for trades but is also a great resource during startup drafts. If the players and picks on each side of the trade offer add up to approximately the same number, the trade would be considered even. If you receive a trade offer that sends you players with a higher total number value than the players you are giving up, that is a trade offer worth strongly considering.  

The Top 75 overall players are ranked and detailed below with each player's dynasty trade value listed after his name. The approximate value of 2018 rookie picks is detailed next. Finally, the article also charts the top players at each position and a includes more detail about how much of each player's value is short-term versus long-term.

 

The Top 75 Overall

  1. Mike Evans (46) Targets are down from last year but still a supremely talented young wide receiver paired long-term with a young franchise quarterback.
  2. Le'Veon Bell (42) Nobody provides more value on a short-term basis. The only question is how long he is able to stay healthy.
  3. Ezekiel Elliott (40) Likely to serve a suspension at some point and the Cowboys offensive line is surprisingly mediocre. The increased involvement as a pass catcher helps his value, however.
  4. Leonard Fournette (40) The rookie has exceeded the hype, scoring a touchdown in every game and breaking off long runs despite facing 8-man boxes. If his ankles hold up should be a star going forward.
  5. Odell Beckham (40) The injury wipes out a year of Beckham’s prime. The quarterback and offensive line positions could be issues going forward. Potential buy-low opportunity for one of the most talented players in the league if contending team is desperate for production this year and willing to deal Beckham.
  6. David Johnson (38) The loss of a prime season is even more of a blow for a running back than a wide receiver. 
  7. Antonio Brown (36) Turns 30-years old this summer but shows no signs of slowing down anytime soon. 
  8. Kareem Hunt (35) Burst onto the scene with huge games to start his career. Has come back to earth a bit in recent weeks but should have serious value going forward as the workhorse back for Andy Reid.
  9. Todd Gurley (35) Looked like he could join the elite tier of running backs but lack of involvement in pass game over past two weeks is slightly concerning.
  10. DeAndre Hopkins (34) Has seen a huge rebound in his dynasty value due to the emergence of Deshaun Watson. 
  11. A.J. Green (34) One of the most talented players in the league, Green should be a top-6 fantasy wide receiver over the next few years at least.
  12. Julio Jones (34) Still hasn’t scored a touchdown and the injuries seem to be a constant concern. A freakish talent and still only 28-years old but there are some concerning similarities to Calvin Johnson at the same age.
  13. Michael Thomas (29) The Saints defense is much improved, which has led to less wild shootouts. Thomas is also adjusting to seeing extra attention and the opposition’s top cornerback every week. 
  14. Stefon Diggs (29) The talent is unquestionable. For Diggs to meet his potential, he needs to stay healthy and/or prove he can play effectively when at less than full strength. 
  15. Keenan Allen (29) Looks fully recovered from last season’s knee injury and is right back to racking up big reception numbers. 
  16. Melvin Gordon III (28) Has scored 19 touchdowns in his last 19 games and receiving production has helped him remain a top fantasy option despite low rushing totals. 
  17. T.Y. Hilton (26) Hilton has been surprisingly productive without Andrew Luck. When Luck is fully recovered, Hilton could be a top-5 fantasy receiver. 
  18. Rob Gronkowski (26) One of the all-time greats at tight end. The only question is how long he can stay healthy. 
  19. Devonta Freeman (25) The long-term contract extension to stay in Atlanta helps his value and he should be a solid fantasy RB1 for the next few years at least. 
  20. Corey Davis (22) Hamstring injury has marred his rookie season but he has flashed the talent that made him a top-5 draft choice.
  21. Amari Cooper (22) Arguably the most disappointing performance so far amongst all of the top fantasy picks. Now is either the time to buy low on a still-talented 23-year old receiver or a chance to sell before the bottom really drops out of his market (e.g. Sammy Watkins). 
  22. Brandin Cooks (22) Has been good but not the true #1 receiver his dynasty owners hoped with Chris Hogan seeing more red zone targets. 
  23. Joe Mixon (20) Mixon is obviously talented and seeing 20 touches per week. The Cincinnati offensive line is holding him back in the short term. The situation can change quickly, as we saw have seen with Todd Gurley, and Mixon looks to have an elite skillset. 
  24. Dez Bryant (20) Bryant is a frustrating week-to-week option because he can be shut down when facing an elite cornerback. 
  25. Travis Kelce (20) Kelce is one of the few tight ends that provides a major week-to-week advantage. The top pass catcher in a surprisingly explosive Kansas City offense. 
  26. Zach Ertz (20) Few offenses have exceeded expectations as much as the Eagles early in 2017. Carson Wentz looks like a legitimate franchise quarterback and Ertz is his favorite target. 
  27. Dalvin Cook (19) The ACL injury puts a dent in Cook’s dynasty value. He showed enough as a rookie to believe he can be a fantasy RB1 if he is able to make a full recovery. 
  28. Christian McCaffrey (16) The rushing production and usage (4.3 carries per game over his last four) has been a disappointment and may make it tough for McCaffrey to emerge as an elite fantasy running back. The weekly receiving production (37 catches in 6 games) makes him a very solid PPR option, however. 
  29. Jordan Howard (16) A slow start to the season was cause for concern but Howard has been excellent in his last four games. The minimal involvement as a pass catcher limits his PPR upside somewhat.
  30. DeVante Parker (16) Parker shows flashes of his potential but hasn’t been able to stay healthy long enough to really put it all together. Better quarterback play would help his cause. 
  31. Davante Adams (16) Adams is talented and has a chance over the final ten games of 2017 to prove he is capable of producing without Aaron Rodgers before he hits free agency. 
  32. Deshaun Watson (15) Maybe it is an overreaction to already rank Watson as the top dynasty quarterback but injuries to Aaron Rodgers and Andrew Luck open the door. Watson has been a revelation as a passer and his rushing upside separates him from the pack. 
  33. Derrick Henry (15) Henry shows flashes of big-time potential and it is exciting to think about what he could do if he eventually has the Tennessee backfield to himself. 
  34. Alshon Jeffery (15) Jeffery is the top wide receiver in one of the league’s best young offenses. Wentz has shown he will exploit mismatches and Jeffery’s production has suffered when facing top cornerbacks, which will be a regular occurrence in the NFC East.
  35. Allen Robinson (15) Robinson is set to hit free agency soon and getting out of Jacksonville would be a boon to his dynasty value.
  36. Jarvis Landry (15) He may not be as exciting as others but Landry just continues to produce. Averaging a healthy 7.6 perceptions this season.
  37. Aaron Rodgers (14) Rodgers is done for the season and turns 34-years old soon. It is hard to project how long these veteran quarterbacks will continue to play. The glass half empty take is that Rodgers is just 3.5 years younger than Tony Romo, who also suffered multiple serious upper-body injuries. The glass half full view is that Rodgers is almost 7 years younger than Tom Brady. 
  38. Andrew Luck (14) The timeline for Luck’s 2017 debut keeps getting pushed back. While his dynasty owners are likely impatient, a full recovery is most important. Luck should have another decade in the league and still has a very bright future.
  39. Evan Engram (14) Engram is basically a big wide receiver but is considered a tight end. His fantasy upside is immense. 
  40. Alvin Kamara (13) The emergence of the 22-year old Kamara made Adrian Peterson expendable. While Kamara is considered a third-down back only by many, he has 29 touches over the past two weeks and is averaging 6.3 yards per carry.
  41. Mike Williams (13) Finally made his 2017 debut in Week 6 and it has to be a positive sign that his back injury wasn’t season-ending. 
  42. Cam Newton (12) After a shaky start, Newton has been a fantasy force over the past month. He suddenly has a deep stable of weapons with Kelvin Benjamin looking healthier and the emergence of Devin Funchess and Christian McCaffrey. The Panthers offense could go to another level when Greg Olsen returns and if Curtis Samuel also emerges as a dangerous weapon.
  43. Jay Ajayi (12) The offseason talk of Ajayi’s emergence as a pass catcher has failed to materialize. He is still seeing a massive workload as a runner. 
  44. Doug Baldwin (12) The Seattle offense has struggled to score touchdowns. Baldwin is not an elite fantasy wide receiver when he isn’t finding the end zone regularly. 
  45. Kelvin Benjamin (12) Benjamin has put up at least 99 receiving yards in two of three games since Newton got his mojo back. 
  46. Russell Wilson (11) The soon-to-be 29-year old quarterback is right in the middle of his prime years. It is frustrating that Seattle may be wasting them due to a substandard offensive line. 
  47. Demaryius Thomas (11) Thomas has been a very solid PPR option post-Peyton Manning but has just five touchdowns in 21 games since Manning retired.
  48. Tyreek Hill (11) Hill has at least four catches in every game this season. He is still reliant on long touchdowns to have any real fantasy value, however. 
  49. Mark Ingram II (10) Ingram has seen his touches tick up every week this season. He could be in for a big fantasy season if he can stay healthy. 
  50. Carlos Hyde (10) It is impossible to tell what San Francisco is thinking with Hyde. He sees 20+ touches per game early in the season and there is talk of an extension. Then out of nowhere he is splitting carries with Matt Breida and rumored to be on the trade block.
  51. Adam Thielen (10) Diggs gets most of the attention but Thielen is an excellent receiver and should have serious fantasy value moving forward. His 6.3 receptions per game put him on pace for over 100 on the season. 
  52. Golden Tate (10) Matthew Stafford’s favorite target remains a solid fantasy WR2. 
  53. Will Fuller V (10) All Will Fuller V does is catch touchdowns. In three games since returning from injury, he has scored 5 touchdowns despite just 8 catches for 154 yards. 
  54. Hunter Henry (10) After seeing no targets twice early in the season, Henry has been a solid fantasy producer each of the past three weeks. Still just 22-years old, Henry has a bright future. 
  55. Carson Wentz (9) Wentz has been one of the league’s best quarterbacks in his second season. He has improved in every area and looks like a long-term fantasy QB1.
  56. Dak Prescott (9) Prescott too has made a leap in his second season and looks like a long-term starting fantasy quarterback.
  57. Michael Crabtree (9) Crabtree has five touchdowns in five games and at least six receptions in all but one game. 
  58. David Njoku (9) Njoku has made a few spectacular plays as a rookie. It always takes tight ends a while so be patient. Njoku’s biggest issue going forward may be the lack of direction in the Browns organization.
  59. O.J. Howard (9) While patience is necessary for Howard owners, we are seeing some of our fears coming true. Howard is such a good all-around tight end, he is being tasked with blocking far too often to make a fantasy impact. 
  60. Jameis Winston (8) Winston has been up-and-down in his third season. He needs to get the turnovers under control. 
  61. Marcus Mariota (8) Mariota has been solid but hasn’t had the breakout fantasy season many were expecting. 
  62. Tom Brady (8) Brady is on pace for another 5,000-yard passing season. He is the top fantasy quarterback this season and really may be able to play another handful of years. 
  63. LeSean McCoy (8) McCoy has had a disappointing fantasy season to date, failing to find the end zone through five weeks. He turns 30-years old in the summer and has had a lot of carries in the NFL. 
  64. Lamar Miller (8) Miller looks headed toward a committee with D'Onta Foreman but in the suddenly explosive Houston offense, there could be enough scoring for Miller to make a fantasy impact even without a true workhorse role.
  65. Ameer Abdullah (8) The usage and talent are there for Abdullah but the Lions rushing offense has been broken for years. 
  66. Chris Hogan (8) Hogan has been an impact performer this season. The future is somewhat cloudy with the possible return of Julian Edelman and advancing age of Brady.
  67. Jordy Nelson (8) The loss of Aaron Rodgers is a real blow to Nelson’s dynasty value. At 32-years old, he only has a limited window as a top receiver. 
  68. Drew Brees (7) The Saints improved defense is good for Brees’ chances of making the playoffs again but not great news for his fantasy owners. 
  69. Tevin Coleman (7) Coleman is basically an injury handcuff to Freeman in the short-term. He hits free agency in less than two years.
  70. Devin Funchess (7) Funchess has emerged as one of Newton’s top targets and is still just 23-years old. 
  71. Kenny Golladay (7) If he gets healthy and looks like he did in the preseason, the hype train will pick up steam again.
  72. Sterling Shepard (7) Shepard could be the prime beneficiary of the injuries to Beckham and Brandon Marshall.
  73. Randall Cobb (7) The injury to Rodgers could mean a third straight mediocre fantasy season from Cobb. Still just 27-years old but the prime years are slipping away.
  74. John Ross (7) Ross has done nothing to disprove the injury-prone label he earned in college. Still way too early to give up on a top-10 pick. 
  75. Jordan Reed (7) There is always an injury issue of some sort with Reed. The upside is there if he ever gets healthy enough to play a full game.

2018 Rookie Picks

Future rookie pick value is always extremely difficult to quantify with any exactness because the value is so dependent upon the range of potential finishes of the team. For example, a projected “early 1st” that comes from a winless team with an awful roster and nobody else close in the standings with a great chance of landing at #1 overall is worth more than a projected “early 1st” that could realistically end up anywhere between 1st and 6th. Use your judgment and adjust the general values below based upon how likely the pick is to end up first overall, second overall, etc. 

The determination of how likely a pick is to end up #1 overall is especially important for 2018. Saquon Barkley looks like a special player who should immediately be a top-10 overall dynasty asset. There is still a long way to go, but there could be a real drop off in value to #2 overall (like the 2016 draft where the value drop from Ezekiel Elliott at 1.01 to Laquon Treadwell at 1.02 was huge). So the 1.01 may be worth 35 while the 1.04 is only worth 15. The values listed below will assume an “early 1st” has an equal chance of ending up being #1, 2, 3 or 4. Adjust accordingly if the pick is more or less likely to end up #1.

With those caveats out of the way, here is how the 2018 picks stack up in value:

  • Early 1st- 20
  • Mid 1st-13
  • Late 1st-9
  • Early 2nd-6
  • Mid-Late 2nd-4
  • 3rd-2

Quarterback

RankPlayer2017FutureValue
1 Deshaun Watson 2 13 15
2 Aaron Rodgers 0 14 14
3 Andrew Luck 1 13 14
4 Cam Newton 3 9 12
5 Russell Wilson 2 9 11
6 Carson Wentz 2 7 9
7 Dak Prescott 2 7 9
8 Jameis Winston 1 7 8
9 Marcus Mariota 1 7 8
10 Tom Brady 4 4 8
11 Drew Brees 3 4 7
12 Derek Carr 1 5 6
13 Matt Ryan 2 3 5
14 Matthew Stafford 1 4 5
15 Kirk Cousins 1 3 4
16 Patrick Mahomes II 0 4 4
17 Philip Rivers 1 2 3
18 Andy Dalton 1 2 3
19 Mitchell Trubisky 0 3 3
20 Ben Roethlisberger 1 1 2
21 Carson Palmer 2 0 2
22 Jared Goff 0 1 1
23 Alex Smith 0 1 1
24 Teddy Bridgewater 0 1 1
25 Tyrod Taylor 1 0 1
26 Trevor Siemian 0 1 1
27 Sam Bradford 0 1 1
28 Jimmy Garoppolo 0 1 1
29 DeShone Kizer 0 1 1
30 Blake Bortles 0 0 0
31 Eli Manning 0 0 0
32 Ryan Tannehill 0 0 0
33 Jacoby Brissett 0 0 0
34 C.J. Beathard 0 0 0
35 Joe Flacco 0 0 0
36 Case Keenum 0 0 0
37 Brett Hundley 0 0 0
38 Jay Cutler 0 0 0
39 Josh McCwon 0 0 0
40 Chad Kelly 0 0 0

Running Back

RankPlayer2017FutureValue
1 Le'Veon Bell 9 33 42
2 Ezekiel Elliott 5 35 40
3 Leonard Fournette 7 33 40
4 David Johnson 2 36 38
5 Kareem Hunt 7 28 35
6 Todd Gurley 7 28 35
7 Melvin Gordon III 7 21 28
8 Devonta Freeman 5 20 25
9 Joe Mixon 1 19 20
10 Dalvin Cook 0 19 19
11 Christian McCaffrey 2 14 16
12 Jordan Howard 3 13 16
13 Derrick Henry 1 14 15
14 Alvin Kamara 1 12 13
15 Jay Ajayi 3 9 12
16 Mark Ingram II 3 7 10
17 Carlos Hyde 3 7 10
18 LeSean McCoy 4 4 8
19 Lamar Miller 2 6 8
20 Ameer Abdullah 2 6 8
21 Tevin Coleman 1 6 7
22 Chris Thompson 1 4 5
23 D'Onta Foreman 0 5 5
24 Doug Martin 2 3 5
25 DeMarco Murray 2 3 5
26 Ty Montgomery 1 4 5
27 Jerick McKinnon 1 3 4
28 Marlon Mack 0 4 4
29 Tarik Cohen 0 4 4
30 C.J. Anderson 1 2 3
31 Samaje Perine 0 3 3
32 Aaron Jones 0 3 3
33 Duke Johnson Jr 1 2 3
34 James White 1 2 3
35 Giovani Bernard 1 2 3
36 Theo Riddick 1 2 3
37 Dion Lewis 1 2 3
38 LeGarrette Blount 1 1 2
39 Adrian Peterson 2 0 2
40 Mike Gillislee 1 1 2
41 Isaiah Crowell 1 1 2
42 C.J. Prosise 0 2 2
43 Matt Breida 0 2 2
44 Elijah McGuire 0 2 2
45 Chris Carson 0 2 2
46 Bilal Powell 1 1 2
47 Wayne Gallman 0 2 2
48 James Conner 0 2 2
49 Jonathan Stewart 1 0 1
50 Wendell Smallwood 0 1 1
51 Thomas Rawls 0 1 1
52 Marshawn Lynch 1 0 1
53 Darren McFadden 1 0 1
54 Frank Gore 1 0 1
55 Jamaal Williams 0 1 1
56 Orleans Darkwa 1 0 1
57 Rob Kelley 1 0 1
58 Eddie Lacy 1 0 1
59 Javorius Allen 1 0 1
60 Alex Collins 1 0 1

WIDE RECEIVER

RankPlayer2017FutureTotal
1 Mike Evans 6 40 46
2 Odell Beckham 0 40 40
3 Antonio Brown 8 28 36
4 DeAndre Hopkins 6 28 34
5 A.J. Green 7 27 34
6 Julio Jones 7 27 34
7 Michael Thomas 5 24 29
8 Stefon Diggs 5 24 29
9 Keenan Allen 5 24 29
10 T.Y. Hilton 4 22 26
11 Corey Davis 1 21 22
12 Amari Cooper 2 20 22
13 Brandin Cooks 3 19 22
14 Dez Bryant 4 16 20
15 DeVante Parker 2 14 16
16 Davante Adams 2 14 16
17 Alshon Jeffery 3 12 15
18 Allen Robinson 0 15 15
19 Jarvis Landry 3 12 15
20 Mike Williams 1 12 13
21 Doug Baldwin 3 9 12
22 Kelvin Benjamin 3 9 12
23 Demaryius Thomas 3 8 11
24 Tyreek Hill 2 9 11
25 Adam Thielen 3 7 10
26 Golden Tate 3 7 10
27 Will Fuller V 2 8 10
28 Michael Crabtree 3 6 9
29 Chris Hogan 3 5 8
30 Jordy Nelson 4 4 8
31 Devin Funchess 1 6 7
32 Kenny Golladay 0 7 7
33 Sterling Shepard 1 6 7
34 Randall Cobb 1 6 7
35 John Ross 0 7 7
36 Cooper Kupp 1 5 6
37 JuJu Smith-Schuster 1 5 6
38 Emmanuel Sanders 2 4 6
39 Corey Coleman 1 5 6
40 Sammy Watkins 0 6 6
41 Martavis Bryant 1 5 6
42 Pierre Garcon 2 3 5
43 Larry Fitzgerald 3 1 4
44 Nelson Agholor 1 3 4
45 Taywan Taylor 0 4 4
46 Rishard Matthews 1 2 3
47 DeSean Jackson 1 2 3
48 Donte Moncrief 1 2 3
49 Marvin Jones Jr 1 2 3
50 John Brown 1 2 3
51 Terrelle Pryor 1 2 3
52 Josh Doctson 0 3 3
53 Curtis Samuel 0 3 3
54 Jamison Crowder 0 3 3
55 Tyrell Williams 1 2 3
56 Chris Godwin 0 3 3
57 Tyler Lockett 0 3 3
58 Marqise Lee 0 2 2
59 Jordan Matthews 1 1 2
60 Laquon Treadwell 0 2 2
61 Willie Snead IV 1 1 2
62 Mack Hollins 0 2 2
63 Robby Anderson 1 1 2
64 Paul Richardson Jr 0 1 1
65 Julian Edelman 0 1 1
66 Dede Westbrook 0 1 1
67 Zay Jones 0 1 1
68 Mohamed Sanu 0 1 1
69 Allen Hurns 0 1 1
70 Josh Reynolds 0 1 1

Tight End

RankName2017FutureValue
1 Rob Gronkowski 6 20 26
2 Travis Kelce 4 16 20
3 Zach Ertz 4 16 20
4 Evan Engram 2 12 14
5 Hunter Henry 1 9 10
6 David Njoku 0 9 9
7 O.J. Howard 0 9 9
8 Jordan Reed 2 5 7
9 Austin Seferian-Jenkins 2 4 6
10 Tyler Eifert 0 5 5
11 Kyle Rudolph 1 4 5
12 Austin Hooper 1 3 4
13 Greg Olsen 1 3 4
14 George Kittle 1 3 4
15 Cameron Brate 1 2 3
16 Gerald Everett 0 3 3
17 Jack Doyle 1 2 3
18 Martellus Bennett 1 2 3
19 Delanie Walker 1 1 2
20 Jimmy Graham 1 1 2
21 Adam Shaheen 0 2 2
22 Jonnu Smith 0 2 2
23 Tyler Kroft 1 1 2
24 Jason Witten 1 0 1
25 Charles Clay 1 0 1
26 Jared Cook 0 0 0
27 Zach Miller 0 0 0
28 Eric Ebron 0 0 0
29 Tyler Higbee 0 0 0
30 Jesse James 0 0 0