Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 10

Weekly Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread). NFL Office Pool Cheat Sheet

Looking to dominate your office pool this season? 18 Footballguys.com staff members are here to help you out. Each week they will pick the winners of every NFL game, and rank their selections based on how confident they are that the team will win. The most confident pick gets 16 points, and the least confident gets just 1. We'll even total up everyone's picks so you can get an 'overall consensus' on who our staff think will be the most likely winners. Each week we'll announce the weekly winners, and track the overall record for the entire season. A couple of things to note before we get to the picks:

  • Picks for this pool are straight up (no point spread considered). 
  • Picks are due on Wednesday nights, and may not reflect late-breaking news. If your league allows for last minute changes, please make adjustments to your office pool accordingly. 
  • Our staffers also play in weekly picks Against The Spread, and Survivor Style 'Pick one Winner each week' formats as well. Check out the other weekly articles for more help with those type of games. 

RESULTS FROM LAST WEEK

This week's contest was all about managing risk. Both Will Grant and Chris Kuczyns missed just two games this week, but Grant only lost 12 points and Kuczyns lost 14. It was Grant's first win this season. 

Staffer ATL DAL PHI PIT NYJ DET JAX CAR NO TEN IND DEN BUF MNF TOT
  TB CLE NYG BAL MIA MIN KC LAR SF SD GB OAK SEA TOT Pts
Grant ATL DAL NYG BAL MIA MIN KC CAR NO SD GB OAK SEA 41 79
  5 11 1 3 8 2 12 7 6 9 10 4 13    
Kuczynski ATL DAL NYG PIT MIA DET KC CAR NO SD GB OAK SEA 30 77
  11 13 3 9 4 2 12 7 10 8 5 1 6    
Heiser ATL DAL NYG PIT MIA DET KC CAR NO SD GB OAK SEA 32 76
  6 5 4 3 2 9 13 1 10 7 12 8 11    
Garda ATL DAL NYG PIT MIA MIN KC CAR NO SD GB OAK SEA 44 75
  11 12 3 6 2 5 13 8 9 4 7 1 10    
Knotts ATL DAL NYG PIT MIA MIN KC CAR NO SD GB OAK SEA 43 72
  13 12 2 5 11 6 10 4 3 9 8 1 7    
Bitonti ATL DAL NYG PIT NYJ DET KC CAR NO TEN GB OAK SEA 46 71
  12 13 6 5 1 2 7 8 9 3 11 4 10    
Miglio ATL DAL NYG BAL MIA MIN KC CAR NO SD GB OAK SEA 41 71
  5 11 1 3 8 2 12 7 6 9 10 4 13    
Gray ATL DAL NYG PIT MIA MIN KC LAR NO SD GB OAK SEA 38 69
  6 12 4 3 7 5 10 1 11 8 13 2 9    
Wood TB DAL PHI PIT MIA MIN KC CAR NO SD GB OAK SEA 37 68
  5 13 2 3 6 4 11 10 7 1 9 8 12    
Feery ATL DAL NYG PIT NYJ MIN KC CAR NO TEN GB OAK SEA 42 66
  8 13 3 2 1 6 11 7 5 4 12 9 10    
Brimacombe ATL DAL PHI PIT NYJ DET KC CAR NO SD GB DEN SEA 47 66
  6 7 5 4 3 2 8 9 10 11 1 12 13    
Pasquino ATL DAL PHI PIT MIA MIN KC CAR NO SD GB DEN SEA 33 64
  7 13 2 5 8 9 12 4 6 3 10 1 11    
Mamula ATL DAL NYG PIT MIA MIN KC CAR NO SD GB OAK SEA 38 63
  7 12 6 5 4 10 3 8 9 2 13 1 11    
Hicks TB DAL NYG BAL MIA MIN KC LAR SF SD GB OAK SEA 37 63
  4 9 6 8 7 10 12 2 1 13 11 3 5    
Tuccitto ATL DAL NYG PIT MIA MIN KC CAR NO SD GB DEN SEA 49 63
  6 10 2 1 7 11 13 5 3 9 12 4 8    
Larkin ATL DAL PHI BAL NYJ MIN KC LAR NO SD GB DEN SEA 38 61
  6 12 1 5 2 9 13 3 7 8 11 4 10    
Roberts ATL DAL PHI BAL MIA MIN KC CAR NO TEN GB DEN BUF 42 61
  11 13 3 7 5 6 12 4 9 8 10 2 1    
Wimer ATL DAL PHI PIT MIA MIN KC LAR NO TEN GB OAK SEA 37 58
  9 13 4 3 2 7 10 6 12 5 8 1 11    
Away ATL DAL PHI PIT NYJ DET JAX CAR NO TEN IND DEN BUF    
Total Pts 129 204 17 54 7 15 0 89 132 20 0 23 1    
Home TB CLE NYG BAL MIA MIN KC LAR SF SD GB OAK SEA    
Total Pts 9 0 41 26 81 92 194 12 1 101 173 47 170    

The only major upset this week was Green Bay, taking down 173 total confidence points on one of the shortest weeks of the season. Minnesota's loss was also a hit, but most of the staff didn't risk a lot and some even chose Detroit given the Vikings recently losing streak. 

OVERALL RANKINGS

With Wimer taking a big loss this week, he dropped from second to fourth this week. Knotts climbed into second and Larkin's lead slipped a bit. He still had a 38 point lead going into the second half of the season though. 

Staffer W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13 W14 W15 W16 W17 Total
Larkin 120 104 67 64 70 79 98 63 61                 726
Knotts 88 82 83 66 73 77 78 65 72                 684
Brimacombe 74 87 82 85 63 89 87 46 66                 679
Wimer 83 90 89 80 63 79 70 64 58                 676
Bitonti 90 64 78 67 85 79 71 69 71                 674
Tuccitto 87 92 80 66 63 75 79 68 63                 673
Miglio 88 94 69 65 67 74 85 60 71                 673
Hicks 64 105 69 83 62 87 78 50 63                 661
Heiser 82 55 69 68 72 86 92 58 76                 658
Garda 87 98 76 71 60 60 70 58 75                 655
Kuczynski 98 79 68 73 61 69 68 58 77                 651
Gray 85 88 58 71 53 87 76 62 69                 649
Mamula 79 99 46 67 78 78 70 62 63                 642
Grant 75 84 65 74 66 65 64 59 79                 631
Feery 72 83 66 59 63 74 69 71 66                 623
Wood 86 87 45 56 66 65 92 49 68                 614
Roberts 88 89 70 70 60 65 67 43 61                 613
Pasquino 84 90 59 57 59 73 74 52 64                 612

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week

Staffer CLE MIN DEN HOU LAR CHI GB KC ATL MIA SF DAL SEA CIN MNF
  BAL WAS NO JAX NYJ TB TEN CAR PHI SD ARI PIT NE NYG TOT
Miglio BAL WAS NO HOU NYJ TB GB CAR PHI SD ARI PIT NE NYG 48
  13 10 5 8 7 9 11 3 2 6 14 1 12 4  
Garda BAL WAS DEN HOU NYJ TB GB CAR ATL SD ARI DAL NE NYG 40
  13 12 11 10 2 7 6 4 3 5 14 8 1 9  
Hicks BAL WAS NO HOU NYJ TB TEN KC PHI SD ARI DAL NE NYG 53
  14 11 4 5 6 3 2 8 1 7 13 9 10 12  
Heiser BAL WAS NO JAX NYJ CHI GB CAR ATL SD ARI PIT NE NYG 42
  12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 13 14 3 2 1  
Feery BAL MIN NO HOU NYJ TB GB CAR ATL SD ARI DAL NE NYG 45
  14 4 10 3 2 1 7 9 11 5 13 8 12 6  
Kuczynski BAL WAS DEN HOU LAR TB GB CAR ATL SD ARI DAL NE NYG 41
  12 4 2 8 1 7 13 3 11 9 14 5 10 6  
Gray BAL WAS NO HOU NYJ TB GB CAR ATL SD ARI DAL NE NYG 51
  14 2 3 11 6 7 10 4 8 12 13 1 9 5  
Tuccitto BAL WAS NO HOU NYJ TB GB CAR PHI SD ARI PIT NE NYG 49
  13 3 1 4 10 8 7 6 2 11 14 5 12 9  
Larkin BAL MIN DEN HOU NYJ CHI GB CAR ATL SD ARI PIT NE NYG 45
  13 2 5 8 7 1 11 3 12 9 14 4 10 6  
Knotts BAL WAS NO HOU NYJ TB GB KC ATL SD ARI PIT NE NYG 48
  14 6 5 2 7 9 13 1 8 12 11 3 10 4  
Brimacombe BAL MIN NO HOU NYJ TB GB CAR PHI SD ARI PIT NE CIN 52
  13 3 2 7 8 4 12 11 1 6 14 9 10 5  
Wood BAL MIN NO HOU LAR TB GB CAR ATL MIA ARI DAL NE CIN 53
  5 12 7 8 4 3 9 10 11 2 14 6 13 1  
Pasquino BAL MIN DEN JAX NYJ CHI TEN KC PHI SD ARI DAL NE CIN 47
  13 8 10 7 4 5 9 11 1 2 14 3 12 6  
Mamula BAL MIN NO HOU NYJ TB GB CAR ATL SD ARI DAL NE NYG 45
  12 8 5 4 3 2 11 1 10 7 14 9 13 6  
Roberts BAL WAS NO HOU NYJ CHI TEN CAR ATL MIA ARI DAL SEA NYG 51
  13 12 8 7 9 6 3 5 11 2 14 4 1 10  
Wimer BAL WAS NO HOU NYJ TB GB CAR ATL MIA ARI DAL NE NYG 49
  13 10 9 8 7 6 11 5 12 4 14 3 2 1  
Bitonti BAL WAS NO HOU LAR TB GB CAR ATL SD ARI DAL NE NYG 52
  14 4 10 7 1 9 3 2 8 11 13 6 12 5  
Grant BAL WAS DEN HOU NYJ CHI GB KC ATL SD ARI DAL NE NYG 46
  13 8 5 11 9 2 7 3 4 10 14 1 12 6  
Away CLE MIN DEN HOU LAR CHI GB KC ATL MIA SF DAL SEA CIN  
Total Pts 0 37 33 111 6 21 137 23 113 8 0 63 1 12  
Home BAL WAS NO JAX NYJ TB TEN CAR PHI SD ARI PIT NE NYG  
Total Pts 228 93 79 16 95 75 14 71 7 125 245 25 162 90  

HEAVY FAVORITES

Baltimore and Arizona are the big winners this week with both teams being unanimous selections and both receiving over 220 confidence points. Other heavy favorites include Houston, Green Bay, Atlanta, San Diego, New England, and the Giants on Monday night. 

DUAL SUPPORT

Dallas is decent favorite this week as they travel to Pittsburgh, but the overall confidence points for the game is just 88, making it one of the closest contests to call this week. Tampa Bay is favored to beat Chicago and Carolina is favored to beat Kansas City, but there isn't a lot of confidence in these games either. Both are under 100 total confidence points this week. 

ODDS AND ENDS

As we start the second half of the season, the number of teams on a bye week is decreasing. This week only four teams are out, meaning 105 is the top possible score.  

Good luck this weekend!