Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 5

Weekly Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread)

We are proud to bring you the return of the Footballguys.com Staff Confidence Pool Challenge. 22 Staff members will pick the winner of each NFL game, and rank each choice from most confident (16 points) to least (1 point). As a tie-breaker, the person who is closest to the total points scored on the last Monday Night game will be the winner. Winners will be announced from week to week and the best overall record will be crowned Confidence pool Champion. Picks and ranks are due on Wednesday, so any late-breaking news may not be reflected in the choices. Also please note that no point spread is taken into account with these picks – it is a straight up pick of which NFL team will win this week. See the other confidence pools for picks against the spread (ATS) or Survivor / Eliminator style.

WEEK 4 RESULTS

Last week shows why it's important to manage risk properly. Andrew Garda finished at the top of the weekly board by 1 point, despite missing two more games than John Lee did. What killed John was that he put 15 confidence points on the Cardinals. Garda lost more games, but the Cardinals and Cowboys were the two lowest confidence points that he had. Nice job to both of them. 

Staffer BAL NYJ JAX HOU KC NYG OAK PHI CAR CLE MIN GB STL DAL DET TOT
  PIT MIA IND ATL CIN BUF CHI WAS TB SD DEN SF ARI NO SEA Pts
Garda BAL NYJ IND ATL CIN BUF OAK PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI DAL SEA 97
  7 8 12 11 10 9 6 5 14 4 3 13 2 1 15  
Lee BAL NYJ IND ATL CIN BUF CHI PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI NO SEA 96
  4 5 13 10 8 7 1 2 6 9 11 14 15 3 12  
Buzzard BAL NYJ IND ATL CIN BUF OAK PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI NO SEA 96
  5 2 15 10 7 8 1 4 6 12 9 13 11 3 14  
Feery PIT NYJ IND ATL CIN BUF OAK WAS CAR SD DEN GB ARI DAL SEA 95
  1 9 8 11 10 7 3 6 5 4 14 13 12 2 15  
Heiser PIT NYJ IND ATL CIN BUF OAK PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI DAL SEA 93
  5 6 9 11 10 3 2 1 7 8 13 14 12 4 15  
Hindery BAL MIA IND ATL CIN BUF OAK PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI NO SEA 93
  1 2 15 9 7 6 4 3 5 11 13 10 12 8 14  
Howe PIT NYJ IND ATL CIN BUF OAK PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI NO SEA 92
  5 4 13 10 9 8 2 6 3 11 12 14 7 1 15  
Wood PIT MIA IND ATL CIN BUF CHI PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI NO SEA 91
  3 2 15 10 8 7 1 4 9 11 6 12 13 5 14  
Tuccitt PIT NYJ IND ATL CIN BUF OAK PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI DAL SEA 89
  4 6 11 12 7 8 3 2 9 5 10 14 13 1 15  
Larkin BAL MIA IND ATL CIN BUF OAK WAS TB SD DEN GB ARI NO SEA 89
  1 3 11 15 10 9 2 4 5 8 7 14 12 6 13  
Wimer PIT NYJ IND ATL CIN BUF OAK WAS CAR SD DEN GB ARI DAL SEA 89
  1 7 11 13 6 5 12 4 15 9 8 14 10 3 2  
Grant BAL NYJ IND ATL CIN BUF OAK PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI DAL SEA 88
  3 4 8 11 7 9 2 6 5 12 13 10 14 1 15  
Rudnicki PIT MIA IND ATL CIN BUF OAK PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI DAL SEA 88
  3 1 15 11 8 7 5 4 6 12 9 13 10 2 14  
Holloway PIT NYJ IND ATL CIN BUF OAK PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI NO SEA 88
  2 3 11 9 7 5 6 4 8 10 12 14 15 1 13  
Miglio BAL NYJ IND ATL CIN BUF OAK PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI DAL SEA 87
  4 3 13 8 2 6 9 5 10 7 11 14 12 1 15  
Haseley PIT NYJ IND ATL CIN BUF OAK PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI DAL SEA 87
  7 1 12 5 6 3 2 8 10 11 14 13 9 4 15  
Gray PIT MIA IND ATL CIN BUF OAK PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI DAL SEA 83
  1 2 10 12 6 8 4 5 9 7 11 15 14 3 13  
Pasquino BAL NYJ IND HOU CIN NYG OAK PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI DAL SEA 82
  4 3 6 1 7 2 8 5 10 9 12 14 13 11 15  
Tremblay PIT NYJ IND ATL CIN BUF OAK WAS CAR SD DEN GB ARI DAL SEA 78
  3 5 6 7 15 10 4 9 2 8 1 14 13 12 11  
Hicks BAL MIA IND HOU CIN BUF OAK PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI DAL SEA 78
  4 1 5 3 8 2 10 6 12 13 7 14 9 11 15  
Bitonti BAL NYJ IND ATL CIN BUF OAK PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI DAL SEA 76
  10 13 8 4 2 1 15 5 7 3 6 14 12 11 9  
Brimacombe PIT MIA IND ATL KC BUF OAK PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI DAL SEA 72
  3 4 15 14 5 13 2 12 6 11 7 10 8 1 9  
Away BAL NYJ JAX HOU KC NYG OAK PHI CAR CLE MIN GB STL DAL DET  
Total Pts 43 79 0 4 5 2 102 87 164 0 0 290 0 68 0  
Home PIT MIA IND ATL CIN BUF CHI WAS TB SD DEN SF ARI NO SEA  
Total Pts 38 15 242 203 160 141 2 23 5 195 209 0 248 27 288  

The Cardinal were a big hit to the entire board with everyone losing something on that game. As mentioned above, Garda only risked 2 points though, which was a big part of why he won this weeks contest. Buffalo and Oakland were also tough losses, but the board was less confident in the games. 

OVERALL RANKINGS

Wood and Larkin remained #1 and #2 on the overall board. Wood actually extended his lead a couple points finishing with 91 compared to Larkin's 89. Bitonti took a beating and fell to the middle of the pack. Grant moved into 3rd, but fell another point behind Larkin and another 3 behind Wood. 

Staffer W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13 W14 W15 W16 W17 Total
Wood 99 60 125 91                           375
Larkin 111 50 120 89                           370
Grant 106 51 117 88                           362
Tuccitt 100 54 117 89                           360
Garda 92 50 120 97                           359
Howe 109 42 112 92                           355
Buzzard 100 45 114 96                           355
Haseley 101 49 117 87                           354
Bitonti 98 52 125 76                           351
Hindery 94 48 115 93                           350
Holloway 90 45 124 88                           347
Tremblay 92 95 80 78                           345
Hicks 82 50 135 78                           345
Gray 88 46 128 83                           345
Miglio 85 51 121 87                           344
Rudnicki 93 33 130 88                           344
Pasquino 87 44 124 82                           337
Feery 81 43 114 95                           333
Lee 96 39 101 96                           332
Wimer 86 42 95 89                           312
Brimacombe 81 40 117 72                           310
Heiser 72 18 98 93                           281

Heiser had another good week, but it will be awhile before he can climb out of the bottom. 

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week.

Staffer IND WAS CHI CLE SEA JAX NO STL BUF ARI DEN NE SF PIT MNF
  HOU ATL KC BAL CIN TB PHI GB TEN DET OAK DAL NYG SD TOTAL
Rudnicki HOU ATL KC BAL CIN TB PHI GB BUF ARI DEN NE NYG SD 44
  1 11 9 6 5 3 2 13 8 7 10 14 12 4  
Miglio IND ATL KC BAL CIN TB PHI GB BUF ARI DEN NE NYG SD 50
  2 14 9 8 6 5 1 13 3 4 11 12 10 7  
Garda IND ATL KC BAL CIN JAX NO GB BUF ARI DEN NE NYG SD 40
  10 14 7 6 4 8 5 11 3 9 13 12 2 1  
Hicks HOU ATL KC BAL CIN JAX PHI GB BUF ARI DEN NE NYG SD 55
  3 10 14 9 4 6 1 8 7 11 5 13 12 2  
Heiser HOU ATL KC BAL CIN JAX PHI GB TEN ARI OAK NE NYG SD 46
  9 14 8 7 6 5 4 13 3 10 2 11 12 1  
Feery IND ATL KC BAL CIN JAX NO GB BUF ARI DEN NE NYG SD 46
  7 14 4 6 5 2 1 13 9 11 12 10 8 3  
Gray HOU ATL KC BAL CIN JAX PHI GB BUF ARI OAK NE NYG SD 49
  2 14 10 11 4 3 5 9 7 6 1 12 13 8  
Hindery HOU ATL KC BAL CIN TB PHI GB TEN ARI DEN NE NYG SD 45
  2 11 14 8 4 3 7 12 1 5 10 13 9 6  
Tuccitt IND ATL KC BAL CIN TB PHI GB BUF ARI DEN NE NYG PIT 49
  1 10 13 4 3 2 8 9 6 12 5 11 14 7  
Larkin IND ATL KC BAL CIN JAX NO GB TEN ARI DEN NE NYG SD 42
  8 14 10 7 5 4 3 13 1 2 11 12 9 6  
Brimacombe HOU ATL KC BAL SEA TB PHI GB BUF ARI DEN NE NYG SD 54
  5 8 14 7 6 4 9 10 3 2 11 13 12 1  
Wood IND ATL KC BAL SEA JAX NO GB BUF ARI DEN NE NYG PIT 48
  13 14 6 12 2 4 1 11 7 10 9 8 3 5  
Haseley IND ATL KC BAL CIN TB PHI GB BUF ARI DEN NE NYG PIT 48
  9 13 12 10 6 5 3 14 2 7 4 11 8 1  
Pasquino IND ATL KC BAL CIN JAX PHI GB BUF ARI DEN NE NYG SD 47
  5 13 9 10 11 4 3 12 2 1 7 14 8 6  
Lee IND ATL KC BAL CIN JAX PHI GB BUF ARI DEN NE NYG PIT 46
  6 13 11 10 5 2 4 14 8 3 7 9 12 1  
Howe                              
  x                            
Wimer HOU ATL KC CLE SEA TB PHI GB BUF ARI DEN NE NYG PIT 48
  9 10 11 5 6 7 8 12 4 3 2 13 14 1  
Bitonti HOU ATL KC BAL CIN JAX PHI GB BUF ARI DEN NE NYG SD 45
  4 11 10 9 5 2 7 12 6 3 8 13 14 1  
Tremblay HOU ATL KC BAL CIN TB PHI GB BUF ARI OAK DAL NYG PIT 49
  3 6 7 10 14 5 11 8 2 13 1 9 12 4  
Holloway HOU ATL KC BAL CIN JAX NO GB BUF ARI DEN NE NYG SD 44
  4 12 11 9 5 2 1 14 8 6 7 13 10 3  
Buzzard HOU ATL KC BAL CIN TB PHI GB BUF ARI DEN NE NYG SD 44
  1 11 14 9 3 4 7 13 2 5 8 12 10 6  
Grant IND ATL KC BAL CIN JAX NO GB BUF ARI DEN NE NYG SD 43
  3 11 8 10 1 2 4 14 7 6 9 13 12 5  
Away IND WAS CHI CLE SEA JAX NO STL BUF ARI DEN NE SF PIT  
Total Pts 64 0 0 5 14 44 15 0 94 136 149 239 0 19  
Home HOU ATL KC BAL CIN TB PHI GB TEN DET OAK DAL NYG SD  
Total Pts 43 248 211 168 96 38 80 248 5 0 4 9 216 60  

HEAVY FAVORITES

Atlanta, KC, Green Bay, New York Giants, Arizona were all unaminous selections this week. The Cardinals are the least confident of that group though with just 136 confidence points vs. more than 200 for the others. The Patriots are also a heavy favorite, with 239 confidence points, but a few people picked Dallas to upset them at home. Buffalo and Philadelphia were also heavy favorites in their respective games, but with much less confidence than the other teams we've mentioned here. 

DUAL SUPPORT

San Diego is favored to beat the Steelers on Monday night, but that contest was the one with the lowest total confidence points this week. With only 79 total points from the field, you might want to move this game down a peg or two in your office pool. Jacksonville and Tampa are basically a coin toss, with only 81 total confidence points, but both teams weighted about equal. Tonight's game with Indy and Houston is filled with question marks. See below for more on that. 

ODDS AND ENDS

The picks were due on Wednesday night - before Matt Hasselbeck was officially announced as the starter for the Colts. Hasselbeck is also sick, so who knows who will be under center by game time. The line on that game has shifted to Houston being a 4 point favorite and it will likely move a little more as the day progresses. Please be careful when making your picks.

With 4 teams off this week on a bye, 105 points is the maximum amount of confidence points that any player can win this week. 

Justin missed the deadline to get his picks in this week, but his totals will be included in the final results next week. 

Good luck this weekend!