Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 4

Weekly Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread)

We are proud to bring you the return of the Footballguys.com Staff Confidence Pool Challenge. 22 Staff members will pick the winner of each NFL game, and rank each choice from most confident (16 points) to least (1 point). As a tie-breaker, the person who is closest to the total points scored on the last Monday Night game will be the winner. Winners will be announced from week to week and the best overall record will be crowned Confidence pool Champion. Picks and ranks are due on Wednesday, so any late-breaking news may not be reflected in the choices. Also please note that no point spread is taken into account with these picks – it is a straight up pick of which NFL team will win this week. See the other confidence pools for picks against the spread (ATS) or Survivor / Eliminator style.

WEEK 3 RESULTS

Missed it by that much. Andy Hicks took a shot and put 1 confidence point on the Dallas Cowboys this week. The Cowboys looked like they might win the game, but eventually the Falcons pulled it out. Hicks hit every other pick correctly last week and finished with an impressive 135 points out of 136. Aaron Rudnicki missed two games for a total of six confidence points to finish second with 130. A BIG difference from last week's top score of just 95. 

Staffer WAS CIN SD OAK ATL TB PHI PIT NO IND JAX SF CHI BUF DEN KC TOT
NYG BAL MIN CLE DAL HOU NYJ STL CAR TEN NE ARI SEA MIA DET GB Pts
Hicks NYG CIN MIN OAK DAL HOU PHI PIT CAR IND NE ARI SEA BUF DEN GB 135
  7 12 13 8 1 9 2 3 4 10 5 11 14 6 15 16  
Rudnicki NYG CIN SD CLE ATL HOU PHI PIT CAR IND NE ARI SEA BUF DEN GB 130
  12 5 2 4 7 11 1 9 10 8 16 14 15 3 6 13  
Gray NYG CIN MIN CLE ATL HOU NYJ PIT CAR IND NE ARI SEA MIA DEN GB 128
  7 2 5 4 6 8 3 10 12 9 16 14 15 1 11 13  
Wood WAS BAL MIN OAK ATL HOU PHI PIT CAR IND NE ARI SEA MIA DEN GB 125
  2 5 6 3 7 8 1 11 10 12 16 9 15 4 13 14  
Bitonti WAS CIN MIN OAK ATL TB NYJ PIT CAR IND NE ARI SEA BUF DEN GB 125
  2 1 9 3 15 4 5 6 7 8 16 14 13 12 11 10  
Pasquino NYG BAL MIN OAK ATL HOU PHI PIT NO IND NE ARI SEA MIA DEN GB 124
  1 4 8 6 2 13 12 11 7 9 16 14 15 3 5 10  
Holloway NYG BAL MIN OAK ATL HOU NYJ PIT CAR IND NE ARI SEA MIA DEN GB 124
  4 3 5 1 6 8 7 10 12 11 16 13 14 2 9 15  
Miglio NYG BAL MIN CLE ATL HOU PHI PIT CAR IND NE ARI SEA MIA DEN GB 121
  5 3 4 11 10 13 2 8 6 9 16 7 15 1 14 12  
Garda NYG CIN MIN OAK ATL HOU NYJ STL CAR IND NE ARI SEA MIA DEN GB 120
  11 14 12 8 7 6 10 5 3 2 15 4 16 1 13 9  
Larkin NYG BAL MIN CLE ATL HOU NYJ PIT CAR IND NE ARI SEA MIA DEN GB 120
  4 3 6 7 9 2 5 11 12 10 16 14 15 1 8 13  
Brimacombe NYG BAL MIN CLE ATL HOU PHI PIT CAR IND NE ARI SEA MIA DEN GB 117
  12 4 3 5 2 6 8 7 9 11 16 13 15 10 1 14  
Tuccitt NYG CIN MIN CLE DAL HOU NYJ PIT CAR IND NE ARI SEA BUF DEN GB 117
  5 4 2 8 1 9 10 15 7 6 14 11 16 12 3 13  
Haseley NYG BAL MIN CLE DAL HOU PHI PIT CAR IND NE ARI SEA BUF DEN GB 117
  6 7 4 9 3 13 1 5 12 10 16 11 15 2 8 14  
Grant NYG BAL MIN CLE DAL HOU NYJ PIT CAR IND NE ARI SEA BUF DEN GB 117
  11 3 4 8 1 12 7 6 10 5 16 14 15 2 9 13  
Hindery WAS CIN MIN CLE ATL HOU PHI STL CAR IND NE ARI SEA MIA DEN GB 115
  5 4 6 8 3 13 2 1 9 12 16 11 15 7 10 14  
Feery NYG CIN SD OAK DAL TB NYJ PIT CAR IND NE ARI SEA BUF DEN GB 114
  1 10 3 6 7 4 8 5 12 13 16 15 14 9 11 2  
Buzzard NYG BAL MIN CLE ATL HOU NYJ PIT CAR IND NE ARI SEA MIA DEN GB 114
  12 5 3 7 2 10 4 1 8 9 15 13 16 6 11 14  
Howe NYG CIN MIN OAK DAL HOU NYJ STL CAR TEN NE ARI SEA BUF DEN GB 112
  3 4 13 5 7 11 10 6 12 1 16 14 15 2 9 8  
Lee NYG BAL SD CLE DAL HOU NYJ PIT CAR IND NE ARI SEA MIA DEN GB 101
  1 4 8 6 2 13 12 11 7 9 16 14 15 3 5 10  
Wimer NYG CIN MIN CLE DAL TB NYJ PIT CAR IND NE ARI SEA MIA DEN GB 95
  10 9 8 12 7 6 13 5 11 4 16 15 14 3 2 1  
Heiser WAS CIN SD CLE ATL HOU PHI PIT NO TEN NE ARI SEA BUF DEN GB 98
  12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 16 2 15 1 14 13  
Tremblay WAS CIN MIN CLE DAL HOU NYJ PIT CAR TEN NE ARI SEA BUF DEN GB 80
  6 4 9 12 11 5 13 10 16 14 1 15 2 8 3 7  
Away WAS CIN SD OAK ATL TB PHI PIT NO IND JAX SF CHI BUF DEN KC  
Total Pts 27 80 23 40 84 14 35 149 11 167 0 0 0 57 191 0  
Home NYG BAL MIN CLE DAL HOU NYJ STL CAR TEN NE ARI SEA MIA DET GB  
Total Pts 112 41 120 110 40 177 107 12 189 18 322 262 314 42 0 248  

There were still a couple upsets this week, most prominent being the Eagles and the Raiders. But those combined losses by the Jets and the Browns cost the field just 227 toal confidence points vs. the 1700 that we lost last week. Maurile took some big risks this week and they didn't payoff as well as last week, and he finished on the opposite end of the weekly standings. 

OVERALL RANKINGS

With Maurile's tough week, he tumbled from the top spot down to 6th. Jason Wood had a solid week with 125 points and moved from 3rd to first in the overall standings. Larkin remained in second and Bitonti moved up into 3rd with a solid week as well. 

Staffer W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13 W14 W15 W16 W17 Total
Wood 99 60 125                             284
Larkin 111 50 120                             281
Bitonti 98 52 125                             275
Grant 106 51 117                             274
Tuccitt 100 54 117                             271
Tremblay 92 95 80                             267
Haseley 101 49 117                             267
Hicks 82 50 135                             267
Howe 109 42 112                             263
Garda 92 50 120                             262
Gray 88 46 128                             262
Buzzard 100 45 114                             259
Holloway 90 45 124                             259
Hindery 94 48 115                             257
Miglio 85 51 121                             257
Rudnicki 93 33 130                             256
Pasquino 87 44 124                             255
Feery 81 43 114                             238
Brimacombe 81 40 117                             238
Lee 96 39 101                             236
Wimer 86 42 95                             223
Heiser 72 18 98                             188

Bear had another rough week, and slid a little farther behind the overall pack. 

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week.

Staffer BAL NYJ JAX HOU KC NYG OAK PHI CAR CLE MIN GB STL DAL DET MNF
PIT MIA IND ATL CIN BUF CHI WAS TB SD DEN SF ARI NO SEA TOT
Rudnicki PIT MIA IND ATL CIN BUF OAK PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI DAL SEA 46
  3 1 15 11 8 7 5 4 6 12 9 13 10 2 14  
Miglio BAL NYJ IND ATL CIN BUF OAK PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI DAL SEA 43
  4 3 13 8 2 6 9 5 10 7 11 14 12 1 15  
Garda BAL NYJ IND ATL CIN BUF OAK PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI DAL SEA 45
  7 8 12 11 10 9 6 5 14 4 3 13 2 1 15  
Hicks BAL MIA IND HOU CIN BUF OAK PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI DAL SEA 41
  4 1 5 3 8 2 10 6 12 13 7 14 9 11 15  
Heiser                                
  x                              
Feery PIT NYJ IND ATL CIN BUF OAK WAS CAR SD DEN GB ARI DAL SEA 42
  1 9 8 11 10 7 3 6 5 4 14 13 12 2 15  
Gray PIT MIA IND ATL CIN BUF OAK PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI DAL SEA 47
  1 2 10 12 6 8 4 5 9 7 11 15 14 3 13  
Hindery BAL MIA IND ATL CIN BUF OAK PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI NO SEA 33
  1 2 15 9 7 6 4 3 5 11 13 10 12 8 14  
Tuccitt PIT NYJ IND ATL CIN BUF OAK PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI DAL SEA 49
  4 6 11 12 7 8 3 2 9 5 10 14 13 1 15  
Larkin BAL MIA IND ATL CIN BUF OAK WAS TB SD DEN GB ARI NO SEA 38
  1 3 11 15 10 9 2 4 5 8 7 14 12 6 13  
Brimacombe PIT MIA IND ATL KC BUF OAK PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI DAL SEA 44
  3 4 15 14 5 13 2 12 6 11 7 10 8 1 9  
Wood PIT MIA IND ATL CIN BUF CHI PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI NO SEA 45
  3 2 15 10 8 7 1 4 9 11 6 12 13 5 14  
Haseley PIT NYJ IND ATL CIN BUF OAK PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI DAL SEA 42
  7 1 12 5 6 3 2 8 10 11 14 13 9 4 15  
Pasquino BAL NYJ IND HOU CIN NYG OAK PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI DAL SEA 44
  4 3 6 1 7 2 8 5 10 9 12 14 13 11 15  
Lee BAL NYJ IND ATL CIN BUF CHI PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI NO SEA 44
  4 5 13 10 8 7 1 2 6 9 11 14 15 3 12  
Howe PIT NYJ IND ATL CIN BUF OAK PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI NO SEA 41
  5 4 13 10 9 8 2 6 3 11 12 14 7 1 15  
Wimer PIT NYJ IND ATL CIN BUF OAK WAS CAR SD DEN GB ARI DAL SEA 38
  1 7 11 13 6 5 12 4 15 9 8 14 10 3 2  
Bitonti BAL NYJ IND ATL CIN BUF OAK PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI DAL SEA 42
  10 13 8 4 2 1 15 5 7 3 6 14 12 11 9  
Tremblay PIT NYJ IND ATL CIN BUF OAK WAS CAR SD DEN GB ARI DAL SEA 42
  3 5 6 7 15 10 4 9 2 8 1 14 13 12 11  
Holloway PIT NYJ IND ATL CIN BUF OAK PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI NO SEA 38
  2 3 11 9 7 5 6 4 8 10 12 14 15 1 13  
Buzzard BAL NYJ IND ATL CIN BUF OAK PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI NO SEA 43
  5 2 15 10 7 8 1 4 6 12 9 13 11 3 14  
Grant BAL NYJ IND ATL CIN BUF OAK PHI CAR SD DEN GB ARI DAL SEA 39
  3 4 8 11 7 9 2 6 5 12 13 10 14 1 15  
Away BAL NYJ JAX HOU KC NYG OAK PHI CAR CLE MIN GB STL DAL DET  
Total Pts 43 73 0 4 5 2 100 86 157 0 0 276 0 64 0  
Home PIT MIA IND ATL CIN BUF CHI WAS TB SD DEN SF ARI NO SEA  
Total Pts 33 15 233 192 150 138 2 23 5 187 196 0 236 27 273  

HEAVY FAVORITES

There are several teams that are favored by a touchdown or more, so it's not a surprise to see the confidence pool picks follow with some high ranked teams. Green Bay, Seattle, Arizona and Indianapolis were all chosen by everyone in the field, and all three have over 230 confidence points wagered on them. San Diego and Denver were also unanimous choices by the entire board. The Falcons, Bengals, Bills, Raiders and Panthers were all heavily favoed by the field as well. 

DUAL SUPPORT

There are a couple games that have a lot of question marks due to injury, and the board didn't really show confidence in either team. Tonight's game between Baltimore and Pittsburgh split he field pretty well and the were only 76 total confidence points wagered on the night. It is the least confident match of the week. Dallas vs. New Orleans was another low-confidence match of the week, with only 91 total confidence points allocated to a game that could feature 2 backup QBS. 

ODDS AND ENDS

With the Patriots and Titans on a bye week, the top score is only 120 points. As we move deeper into the season, we'll see that number shrink down, making it harder for people to move up or down the board. 

Bear missed the deadline to get his picks in this week, but his totals will be included in the final results next week. 

Good luck this weekend!