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Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 14

Weekly Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread)

By Will Grant
December 10, 2015
Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 14
Photo: Tommy Gilligan, USA Today Sports

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We are proud to bring you the return of the Footballguys.com Staff Confidence Pool Challenge. 22 Staff members will pick the winner of each NFL game, and rank each choice from most confident (16 points) to least (1 point). As a tie-breaker, the person who is closest to the total points scored on the last Monday Night game will be the winner. Winners will be announced from week to week and the best overall record will be crowned Confidence pool Champion. Picks and ranks are due on Wednesday, so any late-breaking news may not be reflected in the choices. Also please note that no point spread is taken into account with these picks – it is a straight up pick of which NFL team will win this week. See the other confidence pools for picks against the spread (ATS) or Survivor / Eliminator style.

WEEK 11 RESULTS

Thanks to the 17 points of scoring in the final 90 second of the Monday Night game, Jeff Haseley and Maurile Tremblay tied this week with 107 confidence points. However, despite missing the Monday night game by picking Washington, Haseley hung on to the win because his tie-breaker of 42 points was closer to the combined 35 points that Washington and Dallas scored, giving him the win. Congrats to both guys. Both staffers only missed four games each, but their losses were quite different with Maurile losing the early games with Baltimore and Jacksonville, and Jeff losing Washington and Oakland. Both missed on Chicago and New England, and it cost them pretty heavily as it did the majority of the players this week. Impressive wins just the same. It wasn't a slam dunk week by any stretch. 

Staffer GB CIN BAL ATL SEA ARI SF NYJ JAX HOU DEN KC CAR PHI IND DAL MNF TOT
  DET CLE MIA TB MIN STL CHI NYG TEN BUF SD OAK NO NE PIT WAS TOTAL Pts
Haseley GB CIN MIA TB SEA ARI CHI NYJ TEN BUF DEN OAK CAR NE PIT WAS 42 107
  14 15 13 9 12 11 10 8 5 4 3 2 6 16 7 1    
Tremblay GB CIN BAL TB SEA ARI CHI NYJ JAX BUF DEN KC CAR NE PIT DAL 45 107
  3 15 2 7 6 10 11 9 4 8 14 5 13 12 16 1    
Miglio GB CIN MIA TB SEA ARI CHI NYG TEN BUF DEN OAK CAR NE PIT WAS   105
  12 16 10 9 6 11 8 5 2 4 13 1 15 14 7 3    
Larkin GB CIN MIA TB SEA ARI CHI NYJ JAX BUF DEN OAK CAR NE PIT WAS   97
  10 16 11 9 6 14 13 4 3 2 12 1 5 15 8 7    
Tuccitto DET CIN MIA TB SEA ARI CHI NYJ TEN BUF DEN KC CAR NE PIT WAS   96
  2 15 6 1 3 13 14 5 4 7 11 10 9 16 12 8    
Buzzard GB CIN MIA TB MIN ARI CHI NYJ TEN BUF DEN KC CAR NE PIT WAS   96
  8 16 11 2 1 9 14 3 4 6 7 5 12 15 13 10    
Grant GB CIN MIA TB SEA ARI CHI NYJ JAX BUF DEN KC CAR NE PIT WAS   95
  4 13 9 2 1 11 15 5 7 8 10 6 14 16 12 3    
Howe DET CIN BAL TB MIN ARI SF NYJ JAX BUF DEN KC CAR NE IND WAS   95
  8 14 6 11 5 13 3 12 2 7 10 9 16 15 1 4    
Hindery GB CIN MIA TB MIN ARI CHI NYJ JAX HOU DEN KC CAR NE PIT WAS   94
  6 15 13 4 3 11 12 7 2 1 10 5 14 16 9 8    
Garda GB CIN BAL TB SEA ARI CHI NYJ TEN HOU DEN OAK CAR NE PIT DAL   91
  6 15 4 2 3 14 13 10 8 5 11 7 12 16 9 1    
Pasquino GB CIN BAL ATL SEA ARI CHI NYJ TEN HOU DEN OAK CAR NE PIT WAS   91
  10 14 1 2 3 13 4 5 16 9 11 6 12 15 7 8    
Lee GB CIN MIA ATL SEA ARI CHI NYJ JAX BUF DEN KC CAR NE PIT WAS   91
  6 15 14 5 7 12 13 4 2 3 10 1 8 16 11 9    
Rudnicki GB CIN MIA TB SEA ARI CHI NYJ JAX BUF DEN KC CAR NE PIT WAS   90
  9 12 7 6 4 14 15 3 2 1 10 5 11 16 8 13    
Brimacombe GB CIN MIA ATL SEA ARI CHI NYG JAX BUF DEN KC CAR NE PIT WAS   90
  11 10 9 2 8 7 6 5 4 3 12 1 13 15 16 14    
Heiser GB CIN MIA TB SEA ARI CHI NYJ JAX HOU DEN KC CAR NE PIT WAS   86
  14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 15 1 16    
Feery DET CIN BAL TB MIN ARI CHI NYJ JAX BUF DEN KC CAR NE PIT DAL   85
  9 15 6 7 10 11 8 5 2 3 13 12 14 16 1 4    
Wood GB CIN MIA ATL SEA ARI CHI NYJ JAX HOU DEN OAK NO NE PIT WAS   85
  16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1    
Bitonti DET CIN MIA TB MIN ARI CHI NYJ JAX BUF DEN OAK CAR NE PIT WAS   85
  2 16 9 10 8 7 11 4 3 5 13 1 15 14 6 12    
Hicks GB CIN MIA TB SEA STL CHI NYJ JAX HOU DEN KC CAR NE PIT WAS   82
  6 14 3 4 9 10 15 12 8 7 11 2 16 13 5 1    
Wimer GB CIN MIA ATL MIN ARI CHI NYJ JAX BUF DEN OAK CAR NE PIT WAS   81
  9 14 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 15 12 16 13 10 11    
Gray DET CIN MIA TB MIN ARI CHI NYJ TEN HOU DEN OAK CAR NE PIT WAS   80
  3 15 5 8 7 10 13 2 6 1 11 4 14 16 9 12    
Holloway DET CIN MIA TB MIN ARI CHI NYG TEN HOU DEN OAK CAR NE PIT WAS   78
  1 14 8 4 3 13 9 5 2 6 12 7 15 16 10 11    
Away GB CIN BAL ATL SEA ARI SF NYJ JAX HOU DEN KC CAR PHI IND DAL    
Total Pts 144 317 19 29 90 229 3 117 55 41 229 64 252 0 1 6    
Home DET CLE MIA TB MIN STL CHI NYG TEN BUF SD OAK NO NE PIT WAS    
Total Pts 25 0 162 106 43 10 226 15 47 62 0 46 4 319 179 152    

Chicago and New England were the big upsets this week. The Patriots took down over 300 confidence points when the were upset by the Eagles at home. Washington was a heavy favorite to win the Monday night game, but there were not as many confidence points on the outcome.  

OVERALL RANKINGS

Miglio\ finished 3rd this week and might have won again if Washington had won on Monday night. He extended his lead on Larkin by 8 points this week and has an impressive 11 point lead with just four weeks go to. Larkin has a 30 point lead on Tuccitto for 3rd, so unless something drastic happens in the next week or two, it's down to Miglio and Larkin for the overall crown. 

Staffer Wk01 Wk02 Wk03 Wk04 Wk05 Wk06 Wk07 Wk08 Wk09 Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17 Total
Miglio 85 51 121 87 81 74 72 86 63 31 84 108 105         1048
Larkin 111 50 120 89 74 75 68 79 60 39 79 96 97         1037
Tuccitto 100 54 117 89 88 66 81 84 55 33 71 73 96         1007
Howe 109 42 112 92 84 66 91 81 41 40 62 90 95         1005
Rudnicki 93 33 130 88 85 73 75 82 53 28 69 98 90         997
Grant 106 51 117 88 76 68 72 88 49 29 74 84 95         997
Buzzard 100 45 114 96 75 72 81 85 52 26 69 81 96         992
Haseley 101 49 117 87 83 64 72 63 59 34 72 78 107         986
Tremblay 92 95 80 78 75 49 70 88 50 47 68 86 107         985
Garda 92 50 120 97 78 73 61 72 48 36 70 91 91         979
Pasquino 87 44 124 82 76 65 77 69 46 44 68 97 91         970
Wood 99 60 125 91 80 85 75 60 39 39 47 76 85         961
Lee 96 39 101 96 82 71 63 72 56 36 69 88 91         960
Hindery 94 48 115 93 74 65 83 78 33 28 74 79 94         958
Bitonti 98 52 125 76 79 76 74 91 56 22 65 57 85         956
Gray 88 46 128 83 70 82 79 83 41 28 64 80 80         952
Holloway 90 45 124 88 75 76 68 78 40 29 74 79 78         944
Hicks 82 50 135 78 71 66 83 70 48 38 36 101 82         940
Brimacombe 81 40 117 72 72 74 71 64 57 31 76 81 90         926
Wimer 86 42 95 89 79 68 79 68 52 33 65 80 81         917
Feery 81 43 114 95 89 51 70 71 50 31 58 76 85         914
Heiser 72 18 98 93 70 65 64 82 51 51 68 82 86         900

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week

Staffer MIN DET PIT NO IND SD WAS SF TEN ATL SEA BUF OAK DAL NE NYG MNF
  ARI STL CIN TB JAX KC CHI CLE NYJ CAR BAL PHI DEN GB HOU MIA TOT
Rudnicki ARI DET CIN TB IND KC CHI SF NYJ CAR SEA BUF DEN GB NE NYG 45
  11 7 5 8 6 13 4 3 9 12 15 1 10 16 14 2  
Miglio ARI STL CIN TB JAX KC CHI CLE NYJ CAR SEA PHI DEN GB NE MIA 47
  15 1 9 6 4 11 7 2 8 16 12 5 14 13 10 3  
Garda ARI DET CIN TB IND KC CHI SF NYJ CAR SEA BUF DEN GB NE NYG 40
  12 9 11 8 7 6 5 4 10 16 13 3 14 15 2 1  
Hicks ARI STL CIN TB JAX KC CHI CLE NYJ CAR SEA BUF DEN GB HOU MIA 41
  14 4 6 3 5 16 2 1 12 13 10 8 15 7 9 11  
Heiser ARI DET CIN TB JAX KC WAS SF TEN CAR SEA BUF DEN GB NE MIA 46
  12 11 10 9 8 16 7 6 5 15 14 4 3 13 2 1  
Feery ARI DET CIN TB JAX KC CHI SF NYJ CAR SEA BUF DEN GB NE NYG 49
  5 12 8 11 3 15 2 4 10 14 13 6 9 7 16 1  
Gray ARI DET CIN TB IND KC CHI SF NYJ CAR SEA BUF DEN GB HOU NYG 47
  16 3 9 7 4 12 8 5 11 15 13 2 14 10 1 6  
Hindery ARI DET CIN TB JAX KC CHI SF NYJ CAR SEA PHI DEN GB HOU MIA 42
  13 5 8 10 7 15 6 4 11 14 16 3 9 12 2 1  
Tuccitto ARI DET CIN TB IND KC CHI SF NYJ CAR SEA BUF DEN GB NE NYG 49
  16 1 7 8 3 11 5 2 12 10 15 6 9 13 14 4  
Larkin ARI DET PIT TB JAX KC CHI CLE NYJ CAR SEA BUF DEN GB NE MIA 44
  16 8 3 7 4 15 6 2 10 14 13 5 11 12 9 1  
Brimacombe ARI DET CIN TB IND KC CHI SF NYJ CAR SEA PHI DEN GB NE MIA 48
  16 1 2 15 4 14 5 3 13 12 11 6 9 10 8 7  
Wood ARI DET PIT NO JAX KC CHI SF NYJ CAR SEA PHI DEN GB NE NYG 51
  16 11 8 1 4 15 5 2 12 9 14 6 3 10 13 7  
Haseley ARI DET CIN TB IND KC CHI CLE NYJ CAR SEA BUF DEN GB NE MIA 48
  15 12 11 9 1 16 5 3 13 10 14 2 8 6 7 4  
Pasquino ARI DET CIN TB JAX KC WAS SF NYJ CAR SEA BUF DEN GB NE MIA 43
  14 6 1 7 4 15 3 16 10 12 9 2 11 13 8 5  
Lee ARI STL CIN TB JAX KC CHI CLE NYJ CAR SEA BUF DEN GB NE NYG 47
  13 2 4 5 7 14 8 6 10 16 12 3 11 15 9 1  
Howe ARI DET CIN TB JAX KC CHI SF NYJ CAR SEA PHI DEN GB NE MIA 48
  13 3 1 5 7 15 4 2 9 12 16 6 10 14 11 8  
Wimer ARI DET CIN TB JAX KC CHI SF NYJ CAR SEA BUF DEN GB NE MIA 45
  13 7 6 11 5 10 4 3 12 16 9 2 15 14 8 1  
Bitonti ARI DET CIN TB JAX KC CHI SF NYJ CAR SEA BUF DEN GB NE NYG 42
  11 12 1 5 6 13 7 2 10 14 9 3 15 16 8 4  
Tremblay ARI STL CIN TB JAX KC CHI SF NYJ CAR SEA BUF DEN GB NE MIA 47
  15 5 1 16 10 14 8 2 13 12 9 4 11 3 7 6  
Holloway ARI STL PIT TB JAX KC CHI CLE NYJ CAR SEA BUF DEN GB HOU MIA 44
  14 3 2 7 4 12 8 9 11 13 10 6 16 15 1 5  
Buzzard ARI DET CIN TB IND KC CHI CLE NYJ CAR SEA BUF DEN GB NE NYG 39
  15 1 8 7 5 16 6 4 10 13 12 2 14 11 9 3  
Grant ARI DET CIN TB IND KC CHI CLE NYJ CAR SEA BUF DEN GB NE MIA 46
  11 9 6 12 5 15 4 1 13 8 16 3 10 7 14 2  
Away MIN DET PIT NO IND SD WAS SF TEN ATL SEA BUF OAK DAL NE NYG  
Total Pts 0 118 13 1 35 0 10 58 5 0 275 62 0 0 169 29  
Home ARI STL CIN TB JAX KC CHI CLE NYJ CAR BAL PHI DEN GB HOU MIA  
Total Pts 296 15 114 176 78 299 109 28 229 286 0 26 241 252 13 55  

HEAVY FAVORITES

Vegas has some pretty big point spreads this week, leading to a large number of unaminous choices in the confidence pool this week. Arizona, Kansas City, Carolina, Seattle, Denver and Green Bay were all picked by every staffer to win their games and by a pretty convincine point spread. With 1649 combined confidence points, you can bet that these games will be highly weighted in your local confidence pools as well. Tampa Bay and the New York Jets were also strong choices this week, with just a couple staffers selecting New Orleans and Tennessee for the upset win.  

DUAL SUPPORT

This week, the Monday Night Football game will probably not decide who wins the weekly contest. With only 84 combined confidence points on the game, it's the lowest confidence game we have with Miami a slight favorite over the Giants. San Francisco at Cleveland and Buffalo at Philadelphia were also well under 100 combined confidence points with the 49ers and the Bills both drawing a little more support on the road.  

ODDS AND ENDS

Four weeks to go. Hopefully you're still in the hunt for the overall prize in your league. Look at the games like the ones mentioned above in Dual Support for potential places to pick up a few extra points this week. 

Good luck this weekend!

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