Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread): Week 1

Weekly Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread)

We are proud to bring you the return of the Footballguys.com Staff Confidence Pool Challenge. 22 Staff members will pick the winner of each NFL game, and rank each choice from most confident (16 points) to least (1 point). As a tie-breaker, the person who is closest to the total points scored on the last Monday Night game will be the winner. Winners will be announced from week to week and the best overall record will be crowned Confidence pool Champion. Picks and ranks are due on Wednesday, so any late-breaking news may not be reflected in the choices. Also please note that no point spread is taken into account with these picks – it is a straight up pick of which NFL team will win this week. See the other confidence pools for picks against the spread (ATS) or Survivor / Eliminator style.

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week.

Staffer
PIT
GB
SEA
CLE
CAR
KC
MIA
IND
NO
DET
BAL
TEN
CIN
NYG
PHI
MIN
MNF
NE
CHI
STL
NYJ
JAX
HOU
WAS
BUF
ARI
SD
DEN
TB
OAK
DAL
ATL
SF
TOTAL
Rudnicki
NE
GB
SEA
NYJ
JAX
KC
MIA
IND
ARI
SD
DEN
TB
CIN
DAL
PHI
MIN
42
 
15
16
12
7
1
2
14
9
5
3
13
4
8
10
11
6
 
Miglio
NE
GB
SEA
NYJ
JAX
HOU
MIA
IND
ARI
SD
DEN
TB
CIN
DAL
PHI
SF
42
 
16
15
14
9
6
3
13
12
8
4
10
5
7
2
11
1
 
Garda
NE
GB
SEA
NYJ
CAR
HOU
MIA
IND
ARI
SD
DEN
TB
CIN
DAL
PHI
MIN
50
 
15
14
13
8
7
5
12
10
2
6
16
1
3
9
11
4
 
Hicks
NE
GB
SEA
NYJ
JAX
HOU
MIA
IND
ARI
SD
DEN
TB
CIN
DAL
PHI
MIN
42
 
16
15
14
13
12
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
 
Heiser
NE
GB
SEA
NYJ
JAX
KC
MIA
IND
ARI
SD
DEN
TB
CIN
NYG
PHI
MIN
42
 
15
16
11
9
6
5
14
13
3
2
1
4
7
8
10
12
 
Feery
NE
GB
SEA
NYJ
JAX
KC
MIA
IND
NO
SD
DEN
TB
OAK
NYG
PHI
MIN
41
 
13
12
8
9
3
11
16
10
4
6
14
5
1
2
15
7
 
Gray
NE
GB
SEA
NYJ
JAX
HOU
MIA
IND
ARI
SD
DEN
TB
CIN
DAL
PHI
MIN
45
 
12
16
15
8
1
2
10
14
6
3
13
7
11
9
4
5
 
Hindery
NE
GB
SEA
NYJ
CAR
HOU
MIA
IND
NO
DET
DEN
TB
CIN
DAL
PHI
MIN
46
 
14
16
11
9
5
4
15
3
1
2
13
8
10
12
6
7
 
Tuccitt
NE
GB
SEA
CLE
CAR
KC
MIA
IND
ARI
DET
DEN
TEN
OAK
DAL
PHI
SF
49
 
16
15
12
2
10
6
11
8
7
4
13
3
1
14
9
5
 
Larkin
NE
GB
SEA
NYJ
CAR
KC
MIA
BUF
ARI
SD
DEN
TB
OAK
DAL
PHI
MIN
48
 
14
15
9
11
8
6
13
5
12
4
7
2
1
16
10
3
 
Brimacombe
NE
GB
SEA
NYJ
JAX
KC
MIA
IND
ARI
DET
DEN
TB
CIN
DAL
PHI
MIN
45
 
4
16
15
7
6
5
8
10
3
2
11
12
13
14
9
1
 
Wood
NE
GB
SEA
NYJ
CAR
KC
MIA
IND
NO
DET
DEN
TEN
CIN
DAL
PHI
MIN
43
 
12
14
16
11
6
13
15
5
3
2
9
1
8
10
7
4
 
Haseley
NE
GB
SEA
NYJ
CAR
HOU
MIA
BUF
ARI
SD
DEN
TB
CIN
DAL
PHI
MIN
40
 
13
15
14
12
10
1
11
4
7
3
8
5
2
16
9
6
 
Pasquino
NE
GB
SEA
NYJ
CAR
KC
MIA
IND
ARI
DET
DEN
TB
OAK
DAL
PHI
MIN
41
 
16
8
9
3
6
1
13
12
11
5
15
7
2
14
10
4
 
Lee
NE
GB
SEA
NYJ
JAX
KC
MIA
IND
ARI
SD
DEN
TB
OAK
DAL
PHI
MIN
40
 
16
15
12
14
2
5
9
8
7
6
11
4
3
13
10
1
 
Howe
NE
GB
SEA
NYJ
CAR
KC
MIA
BUF
ARI
SD
DEN
TEN
CIN
DAL
PHI
MIN
40
 
10
15
7
14
5
13
9
1
3
4
11
2
16
6
8
12
 
Wimer
PIT
GB
SEA
NYJ
CAR
KC
MIA
IND
ARI
DET
DEN
TB
CIN
DAL
PHI
SF
35
 
11
15
12
10
9
8
13
14
7
6
16
5
4
3
2
1
 
Bitonti
NE
GB
SEA
NYJ
CAR
HOU
MIA
IND
ARI
SD
DEN
TB
CIN
DAL
PHI
MIN
55
 
16
14
13
11
9
2
12
10
7
6
5
4
3
15
8
1
 
Tremblay
NE
GB
SEA
NYJ
CAR
HOU
WAS
BUF
NO
SD
DEN
TB
CIN
DAL
PHI
SF
40
 
6
15
16
2
9
10
4
3
5
7
12
1
13
14
8
11
 
Holloway
NE
GB
SEA
NYJ
CAR
HOU
MIA
IND
ARI
SD
DEN
TB
OAK
DAL
PHI
MIN
45
 
11
16
15
12
6
2
13
10
5
4
9
8
1
14
7
3
 
Buzzard
NE
GB
SEA
NYJ
CAR
HOU
MIA
IND
ARI
SD
DEN
TB
CIN
DAL
PHI
MIN
37
 
15
16
12
4
5
2
10
7
3
9
13
8
11
14
6
1
 
Grant
NE
GB
SEA
NYJ
CAR
HOU
MIA
IND
ARI
SD
DEN
TB
CIN
DAL
PHI
SF
42
 
13
16
14
10
9
3
12
7
6
5
15
4
8
11
2
1
 
Away
PIT
GB
SEA
CLE
CAR
KC
MIA
IND
NO
DET
BAL
TEN
CIN
NYG
PHI
MIN
 
Total Pts
11
325
274
2
104
75
253
171
13
21
0
6
128
10
175
78
 
Home
NE
CHI
STL
NYJ
JAX
HOU
WAS
BUF
ARI
SD
DEN
TB
OAK
DAL
ATL
SF
 
Total Pts
278
0
0
193
37
45
4
13
110
79
241
99
9
219
0
19
 

HEAVY FAVORITES

The first week of the season is always hard to predict, but there were several teams that the staff strongly expect to win. Green Bay, Seattle, Denver and Philadelphia were all picked to win by all 22 staff members. Although the Packers have an average weight of 14.77 confidence points and the Eagles have just 7.95. The Patriots, Jets, Dolphins, Buccaneers, Bengals, and Cowboys are also heavy favorites this week.

DUAL SUPPORT

Most of the games this week have a clear favorite with the staff this week, but some of them are closer than others. The Chiefs are expected to beat the Texans at home, but several people on staff picked Houston to pull off the win at home. With 97 total points, the Monday night game between Minnesota and San Francisco is the least confident game of the week with the Vikings being a decent favorite to win. The Chargers and Panthers are both favorites from the staff, but the Lions and Jaguars also have plenty of backers.

ODDS AND ENDS

Make sure to check out the Survivor and Pick'em ATS staff contests as well. The Survivor format is based on picking one winner each week but you can't use the same team twice in a season. The ATS league takes into account the vegas spread when picking winners. Between these three articles, we should have every office pool covered.

Maximum points for this week is 136. As we get ino bye weeks, that number will drop.

IMPORTANT NOTE: These artciles come out on Thursday morning so that you can have them in time for the Thursday night game. However, that means that the staff must make their picks by Wednesday night, meaning any news that comes out later in the week will not be factored into these contests. If your league allows you to make changes right up until game time, make sure to keep an eye on the news reports and make your adjustments accordingly.

STAFF COMMENTS

Each week, we invite the FBG staff to provide comments on any of their picks. Here are this week's comments:

Mark Wimer

I struggled with the New Orleans/Arizona picks this week - I can see arguments for that game going either way - straight up or even against the spread.

I suggest most people fade this game in their confidence pools as it looks really even up/coin flip to me

Will Grant

The first week is always hard because you don't really know what team is going to show up. I went against the grain on Monday Night with the late game in San Francisco. This is going to be a low scoring game and I think the the Niners will be able to pull it out being at home.  

Clayton Gray

Here are the games, I'm completely positive about:

Yeah - that's right. Predicting the Week 1 confidence pool with...well...confidence is not possible. People think they know what's going on, but until we see these teams on the field in a game that counts, it's more guesswork than knowwork.

Good luck this weekend!