Finding the Quarterback With the Most Value for Week 8

Which of The Top Quarterbacks Have the Best Matchup in Week 8? 

BJ VanderWoude: Carson Wentz, Dak Prescott, Cam Newton, Kirk Cousins and Philip Rivers all have excellent matchups this week against opposing defenses that are weak against the pass. Using a PP$ approach, which of these quarterbacks do you see having the best value this week?  Are there any that you are staying away from? 

Jason Wood: By order of expected FFPT/$...

FanDuel: 1) Wentz, 2) Prescott, 3) Cousins, 4) Newton, 5) Rivers

DraftKings: 1) Wentz, 2) Prescott, 3) Newton, 4) Cousins, 5 Rivers

I can't see myself playing Newton or Rivers much, because I like the other matchups better and feel more confident about the respective floors for Wentz, Prescott and Cousins. 

James Brimacombe: Carson Wentz would have to be the top guy on my list right now, coming off a 4 touchdown performance against Washington and getting the 49ers at home looks like a prime spot for him once again. Wentz does an excellent job of spreading the ball around to all of his receiving options and for him to not get another multi- touchdown performance would be shocking. I would put both Dak Prescott and Kirk Cousins next as I feel that they are in for a shootout type of game against each other. Philip Rivers is close behind those two as the Patriots defense still has plenty of question marks associated with it. Cam Newton would be the last ranked out of the five quarterbacks listed as he has been up and down so far this year and I am having a hard time 100% trusting him.

Phil Alexander: If we're talking points per dollar, the clear answer on DraftKings is Cousins, who is the cheapest of the players listed despite checking in with similar projections. It's much closer on Fanduel, where he's only $100 less than Wentz and the same price as Newton, but the argument could be made Cousins is the best play there also.

According to Austin Lee's Normalized Strength of Schedule, the Cowboys have allowed the fifth-most schedule adjusted fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks. The last time a Washington running back topped 50-yards on the ground in a game was back in Week 2, leaving Cousins to do all the heavy lifting for the team on offense. Cousins has had great passing matchups in three of his last four games (Oakland, San Francisco, Philadelphia) and scored at least 28 DraftKings points in all of them. Why shouldn't we expect Cousins to 4x his salary (DraftKings) at home, against a weak defense, in a game with the week's highest over/under?

John Mamula: Of the quarterbacks listed, Carson Wentz is the best option and the most likely candidate to reach value. Wentz has five games with multiple touchdowns and 11 touchdowns over his past three games. Dak Prescott is a close second on the list as he has also been very impressive in his second season. Prescott has five games with multiple touchdowns and is also a factor on the ground with three rushing touchdowns on the season. Bump Prescott up if Josh Norman is out again this week. Both Wentz and Prescott should continue to flourish and should be considered in cash games and GPP tournaments. Kirk Cousins, Philip Rivers, and Cam Newton are at least a tier below Wentz and Prescott. You can make a case for any of these quarterbacks due to their matchups but I would consider them for GPP tournaments only. 

Dan Hindery: Carson Wentz, Dak Prescott, Cam Newton, Kirk Cousins and Philip Rivers all have excellent matchups this week against opposing defenses that are weak against the pass. Using a PP$ approach, which of these quarterbacks do you see having the best value this week?  Are there any that you are staying away from? 

Carson Wentz is the safest option. Over the past five weeks, San Francisco has given up at least 17.3 FanDuel points to every opposing quarterback. Dak Prescott (29.96) and Kirk Cousins (28.80) have had huge games over the past two weeks. Wentz has been on fire despite facing some relatively tough matchups. He has thrown for 10 touchdowns over the last three weeks against Arizona, Carolina and Washington. 

Justin Howe: This looks like a pretty clear-cut Cousins week for me. He’s on an absolute tear; he’s thrown multiple touchdowns in 4 straight games and topped 300 yards in 3 of those. This matchup isn’t especially enticing – the Cowboys have allowed just a single 300-yard passer all season, after all. But Cousins is looking at both great volume (37 and 40 attempts in his last 2 games) and scoring opportunity (a 50.5-point Vegas projection for the game). That gives him both floor and ceiling and makes him, to me, the clear-cut top value on the board as it stands mid-week.

Wentz isn’t far behind; I actually prefer him to Cousins in raw points, though Cousins’ discount is extremely helpful on DraftKings. (They’re virtually the same price on FanDuel, where I’ll be using Wentz). Holy touchdown progression: Wentz’s sheer inability to throw touchdowns as a rookie has overcorrected majorly, and he’s also reached 300 yards 3 times in 7 games after just 4 such lines as a rookie. Yes, that logic points to an eventual regressionat some turn, but it won’t be this week. It’s a bit concerning that he just lost his star left tackle for the year, but this matchup is exceptionally high-paced and absolutely packed with strong one-on-one advantages.

Prescott and Newton make for solid plays as well, but the former has skyrocketed (rightfully) in price, while the latter remains wildly inconsistent and is no more than a GPP stab.
 

 


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