FanDuel's Sunday Million Week 12 Recap

Taking an in-depth look at FanDuel's Week 12 Sunday Million Contest.

FanDuel was back at it again with their massive Week 12 Sunday Million contest, requiring a $25 entry fee with 13,538 people getting paid out at least $40. This massive $1,250,000 million GPP tournament had 58,823 entries and ended up overlaying by 2,030 entries as only 56,793 entered. This is the fourth week in a row that this contest has been set at the $1,250,000 million mark.  While the overlay has been great in previous weeks for the consumer it probably hasn't been the best for FanDuel itself and every week there is overlay this particular contest seems to get smaller and smaller. Each week FanDuel will be running a Sunday Million GPP Contest and we will break it down here at Footballguys.com and see what the keys were to having the top lineup on the week and taking home the top prize of $200,000.  

Here's how Week 12 of the Sunday Million shook out.

 

DFS Screen Name Points Prize Money
1st hctrucker89 191.70 $200,000
2nd bhy101 183.60 $100,000
3rd ocdobv 182.00 $50,000
4th mbomb44 181.04 $30,000
5th aejones 179.74 $20,000

The winner of FanDuel's Week 12 Sunday Million was hctrucker89 who beat at the second place team bhy101 by 8.10 points to take home the $200,000 top prize. His team was built around a $60,000 salary cap leaving no salary on the table. It all started with Drew Brees at quarterback and a $8,600 price as he was 9.6% owned and scored 32.50 points. Throughout the year we have seen the Sunday Million winner have a QB/WR stack and that is what happened here with the Drew Brees and Michael Thomas stack. Brees was only 9.6% owned and Thomas was at 10.7% owned making for a clever high/low priced stack.

At running back he went the chalky David Johnson at $9,500 who continues to be the most reliable fantasy option throughout the season as he finds ways to put up points no matter the game script or outcome. Johnson was owned by 40.6% of the field and scored you 26.10 points and he was paired with Mark Ingram II at just $6,000 and only 0.3% ownership and scored 29.20 points. So although he got the super chalky RB in David Johnson he also got the complete opposite in his RB2 in Mark Ingram II at just 0.3% ownership and he hit a home run. He essentially had a super stack of Drew Brees, Mark Ingram II and Michael Thomas for the Saints and it hit in a big way as they combined for 89.00 points total, averaging nearly 30 points each. 

The other two wide receivers that he went with were Mike Evans in a tough matchup on paper against the Seattle Seahawks and he delivered with a big game at his $7,900 salary as he went for 26.40 fantasy points and was very low owned at 7.5%. Often times the Seahawks defense scares people off of the star players on the opposing teams and although Evans has been a league leader in targets this year, he ended up getting over looked here due to his matchup. The WR3 option was Rishard Matthews for $6,200 who put up 13.90 fantasy points at a 12.1% ownership

The last three positions are often three of the hardest spots to predict week to week and he did just enough to help him get the win. At tight end he went with the pick of Tyler Eifert in a solid matchup against the Ravens and with A.J. Green out, it was likely that Eifert would see more targets and that was the case this week as he had 5 catches for 68 yards and a touchdown. At kicker he went with a minimum priced Mike Nugent who did just enough to get up 6 points and even if he would have put up a zero he still would have won this tournament due to his other strong plays. The team was rounded out with the Kansas City Chiefs defense at 4.0% ownership in the Sunday Night Football game and the return touchdown from speedster Tyreek Hill and the 5 sacks lead the Chiefs to 15.00 points.

Position Player Salary FanDuel Points % Owned
QB Drew Brees $8,600 32.50 9.6%
RB David Johnson $9,500 26.10 40.6% 
RB Mark Ingram II $6,000 29.20 0.3% 
WR Mike Evans $7,900 26.40 7.5%
WR Michael Thomas $6,400 27.30  10.7% 
WR Rishard Matthews $6,200 13.90  12.1% 
TE Tyler Eifert $6,400  15.30 5.5% 
K Mike Nugent $4,500  6.00 1.1% 
D Kansas City Chiefs $4,500  15.00  4.0% 
    $60,000 191.70   

WHAT WORKED?

Super Stacking -- The top three placed teams in this tournament had a super stack from the New Orleans Saints with a QB/RB/WR. On two of those three teams it was Drew Brees, Mark Ingram II, and Michael Thomas while the 2nd place team had the Brees and Thomas combo along with Tim Hightower at RB instead of Ingram. 

David Johnson -- Despite Johnson's super high ownership (40.6%) he continues to do it all on the field in both the running and passing game as he had 8 receptions for 103 yards and a touchdown and 58 more yards on the ground. He finished the day with 26.1 points and that was in a game where the Cardinals eventually lost by 19 points so it goes to show you that Johnson can be productive in a game where his team has the lead or when his team is trailing and playing catchup.

WHAT FAILED?

The Chalk in Seattle -- There were so many chalky plays this week that crashed and burned and it started with the Seattle Seahawks offense. The likes of Russell Wilson, Thomas Rawls, Doug Baldwin, and Jimmy Graham were all very highly owned and the Seahawks fell on their face with a 14-5 loss to Tampa Bay. 

Jay Ajayi -- Ajayi was owned by 34.5% of the field and had the perfect matchup against the 49ers run defense but he only managed to put up 12.1 points while the likes of David Johnson and LeSean McCoy went off for well over double that production. Some weeks we just look at the numbers and the matchup and plug in any RB who is playing soft run defenses such as San Francisco, Indianapolis, New Orleans, or Cleveland and this week it just didn't turn out in your favor.

Finish Score QB RB1 RB2 WR1 WR2 WR3 TE K DEF
1 191.70 Brees Johnson Ingram Evans Thomas Matthews Eifert Nugent KC
2 183.60 Brees Johnson Hightower Evans Thomas Coleman Walker Tucker BAL
3 182.00 Brees Johnson Ingram Fitzgerald Thomas Edelman Eifert Succop NYG
4 181.04 Kaepernick McCoy Gordon Fitzgerald Thomas Sanders Eifert Bryant NYG
5 179.74 Kaepernick Johnson McCoy Evans Crabtree Sanders McDonald Lambo SD
6 178.64 Kaepernick Johnson Gordon T.Williams Thomas Matthews Eifert Gostkowski NYG
7 178.24 Kaepernick Johnson Hyde Fitzgerald Thomas Pryor Eifert Gostkowski NYG
8 175.54 Kaepernick Johnson Hyde Brown Hill Beckham Eifert Hauschka NYG
9 175.30 Tannehill Freeman Gordon T.Williams Hill Beckham Eifert Catanzaro NYG
10 174.40 Brees Johnson Coleman Evans Thomas Marshall Kendricks Tucker MIA

***FanDuel's Week 13 Sunday Million will drop by $50,000 in the total prize pool as Week 12 was set at a $1,250,000 total prize pool and this week it will drop down to $1,200,000. The payouts at the top will be first place taking home $200,000 and second place $100,000 with 13,013 out of the total 56,470 entries winning at least $40. So far the 13 weeks of the Sunday Million have been about half the size of last years contest and if you are looking to crack the top 10 your odds are much better this year.

Head over to FanDuel now and catch the action for Week 13.


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