DFS Roundtable: Players Who Will Rebound on Thanksgiving Day

Which players who struggled in Week 11 will rebound or continue to struggle on Thanksgiving Day?

Week 11 saw some star players struggle, with Golden Tate 3/32/0, Stefon Diggs 4/32/0, Evan Engram 1/9/0, and Dak Prescott 145 passing yards/4 turnovers. All of these players will be on the 3-game Thanksgiving Slate. Pick one of these players and explain why you think they can rebound this week? Pick another and explain why they could struggle once again this week?

Phil AlexanderThe rebound player is clearly Engram. He won't have to deal with a quarterback throwing through 30+ mile per hour wind gusts this week and the matchup is pristine. Washington ranks dead last in pass success rate, yards per pass attempt, and receiving yards allowed to opposing tight ends. Last week, they even managed to remind us Coby Fleener (5-91-0) is still in the NFL. Prior to his Week 11 dud, Engram had scored between 15 and 19 fantasy points in every game since Week 6, defying the variance typically associated with tight end scoring in fantasy football. He'll be a popular option but may not get piled on as much as you'd think. Entrants will chase the tight end vs. Giants narrative (Vernon Davis) and Engram's 1.9-point stinker is still fresh in everyone's heads.

The only one of the group I'd be leery of using is Prescott, but only if Pro Bowl offensive tackle Tyron Smith -- who is expected to return -- can't suit up again. Without Smith the last two weeks, Prescott has been sacked 12 times. The Cowboys will need all hands on deck to protect Prescott against a fierce Chargers pass rush led by Melvin Ingram III and Joey Bosa.

John MamulaI have to agree that Engram is the clear choice from that list as the most likely player to rebound. Prior to last week, Engram had averaged 9.5 targets and scored in each of his past four games. As 7.5 point underdogs, the Giants should be playing from behind throughout the game which will lock in a solid amount of targets for Engram. The only negative is that Engram will most likely be the most popular TE on the three-game slate. 

Expect Stefon Diggs to struggle again this week as he will find himself matched up in tough coverage with Darius Slay. The Lions cornerback has quietly excelled against some of the best wide receivers this season. In Week 8 versus Pittsburgh, Antonio Brown had 5 receptions for 70 yards, less than most weeks for the superstar wide receiver. In Week 6 versus New Orleans, Michael Thomas had 3 receptions for 11 yards. 

Justin Bonnema: I’m on Prescott so he’s my pick for a bounce-back game. Even if Smith doesn’t play, the Cowboys once again established that they can run the ball. That is going to do wonders for Prescott, especially against a Chargers’ pass rush that ranks third in sacks and fifth in interceptions. I trust the Cowboys’ coaches to develop a different game plan going forward to protect their quarterback and generate success moving the ball. 

I agree with John that Diggs could have problems against the Lions. So could Adam Thielen. I’m not as sure Slay will shadow Diggs, but if that’s the case, then he’s likely in for another quiet day. I also wouldn’t be surprised to see Slay chase Thielen around. If I’m the Lions defensive coordinator, allowing Quandre Diggs to matchup to Thielen in the slot would make me nervous.
Jason Wood: As I alluded in our prior question, it's Dak Prescott. Prescott has been exposed a bit the last two games without Tyron Smith anchoring the line. Luckily, Smith is supposed to be back for Thanksgiving and that means Prescott will return to form. He also gets to play a Chargers defense that is beatable as long as they can't dominate off the edges. If Tyron Smith is healthy, he can neutralize the Chargers best defensive assets. 

Stefon Diggs has never been a personal favorite. I was one of the few staffers who expected Adam Thielen to be the more valuable receiver, and that has proven accurate. Thielen is a better player in virtually all respects. To my mind, Diggs is best suited as the team's third (behind Thielen and Rudolph) or fourth option.
Chris FeeryEvan Engram is my top choice for a bounce-back game. This game has sneaky shootout potential, and we know that there should be plenty of targets for Engram if that comes to fruition. If we add in the fact that the Giants are expected to be playing catch-up, we can easily add Engram to our lineups and move on down the list. The obvious fear stems from the fact that he offered up atrocious output last week. If he does that here on a short slate, your lineup could be dead in the water. It’s a risk I’m willing to take, as Engram has showed some nice chemistry with Eli Manning - last week aside, of course. 

James Brimacombe: Evan Engram looks to be the favorite here to bounce back and put together a strong game on Thanksgiving. After four straight games with touchdowns, Engram let us down with a 1 catch game for 9 yards on 6 targets last week against Kansas City. Washington is the third worst defense against opposing tight ends allowing at average of 6 receptions for 76 yards and 0.6 touchdowns per game. All signs are pointing to Washington putting up points against the Giants as they are 7-point favorites so that will also force extra targets to Engram if they are playing from behind.

I am going to go with Dak Prescott as my player I think may struggle once again this week. The Chargers are the nineth best team against the quarterback position allowing only 14 touchdowns (12 passing, 2 rushing) to the position. If Prescott was to hit value this week I think he would have to find the endzone with a rushing touchdown. Tom Brady, Carson Wentz, and Derek Carr all combined for a total of three touchdowns (a single touchdown pass each) between them against the Chargers. All that being said, it might be hard to fade Prescott for the other options on this three game slate.

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