ADP Desirability Rankings: WR

Rethinking wide receiver rankings to order players by how desirable they are at current ADP

Something about typical fantasy rankings has been bothering me lately. By listing all relevant players in order of draft desirability, we still don't really have anything actionable until we add a denominator of ADP. If I tell you a player is my #5 wide receiver, that doesn't tell you whether I would recommend drafting him or not. When you add the dimension of ADP, it becomes clear right away who my rankings recommend targeting and who my rankings recommend avoiding. This leads to an experiment idea of rethinking rankings. Instead of ranking players by draft desirability (or projected end of year finish), why not rank players by desirability of drafting them at ADP? This table will show you the rough ADP of a player, and where I would consider drafting the player. This ranking should help when prioritizing targets pre-draft and understanding the next best outcomes when targeted players go off the board ahead of you. Any and all feedback welcome!

Rank Player Team Projected ADP Worth Drafting In?
1 Jarvis Landry MIA 6th 5th
2 Eric Decker NYJ 9th/10th 7th/8th
3 John Brown ARI 8th/9th 7th
4 Steve Johnson SD 13th-15th 11th-12th
5 Markus Wheaton WR 13th-15th 11th-12th
6 Allen Robinson JAX 7th 6th
7 Julio Jones ATL Late 1st Late 1st
8 Calvin Johnson DET Early 2nd Early 2nd
9 Randall Cobb GB Mid 2nd Mid 2nd
10 A.J. Green CIN Mid 2nd Mid 2nd
11 Charles Johnson MIN 8th/9th 7th/8th
12 Antonio Brown PIT Mid 1st Late 1st
13 Eddie Royal CHI 15th or later 11th-12th
14 Josh Huff PHI 15th or later 13th-15th
15 Cole Beasley DAL 15th or later 13th-15th
16 Phillip Dorsett IND 15th/16th 13th-15th
17 Donte Moncrief IND 15th 13th-15th
18 Mike Evans TB Early 3rd Mid 3rd
19 Vincent Jackson TB 6th/7th 6th
20 Larry Fitzgerald ARI 8th 7th/8th
21 Demaryius Thomas DEN Late 1st Early 2nd
22 Odell Beckham NYG Late 1st Early 2nd
23 Dez Bryant DAL Mid 1st Late 1st
24 Andre Johnson IND Late 4th Late 4th
25 Keenan Allen SD 5th 5th
26 Julian Edelman NE 5th 5th
27 Mike Wallace MIN 7th 7th
28 Roddy White ATL 7th/8th 7th/8th
29 Torrey Smith SF 9th 9th
30 Cody Latimer DEN 12th/13th 12th
31 T.Y. Hilton IND Early 3rd Mid 3rd
32 Nelson Agholor PHI 7th 8th
33 Brandin Cooks NO Late 3rd Mid 4th
34 Davante Adams GB 4th-5th 5th-6th
35 DeVante Parker MIA 11th 11th-12th
36 Dorial Green-Beckham TEN 13th 13th-15th
37 Rueben Randle NYG 12th/13th 13th-15th
38 Marques Colston NO 10th 10th-11th
39 Steve Smith BAL 10th 11th-12th
40 Anquan Boldin SF 10th 11th-12th
41 Marvin Jones CIN 12th 13th-15th
42 Brian Quick STL 12th 13th-15th
43 Pierre Garcon WAS 11th 13th-15th
44 Kendall Wright TEN 11th 13th-15th
45 Jordan Matthews PHI Early 4th 5th
46 Terrance Williams DAL 12th 13th-15th
47 DeAndre Hopkins HOU Mid 3rd Mid 4th
48 Emmanuel Sanders DEN Mid 3rd Mid 4th
49 Alshon Jeffery CHI Early 3rd Late 3rd
50 Brandon Marshall NYJ 5th 6th
51 Desean Jackson WAS 5th 6th
52 Percy Harvin BUF 12th 15th or later
53 Michael Crabtree OAK 12th 15th or later
54 Victor Cruz NYG 8th/9th 11th-12th
55 Michael Floyd ARI 9th/10th 12th
56 Jeremy Maclin KC 6th 8th
57 Amari Cooper OAK 5th 7th
58 Golden Tate SEA 5th 7th
59 Sammy Watkins BUF Early 5th 7th
60 Brandon LaFell NE 9th 13th-15th

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