ADP Desirability Rankings: QB

Rethinking running back rankings to order players by how desirable they are at current ADP

Something about typical fantasy rankings has been bothering me lately. By listing all relevant players in order of draft desirability, we still don't really have anything actionable until we add a denominator of ADP. If I tell you a player is my #5 quarterback, that doesn't tell you whether I would recommend drafting him or not. When you add the dimension of ADP, it becomes clear right away who my rankings recommend targeting and who my rankings recommend avoiding. This leads to an experiment idea of rethinking rankings. Instead of ranking players by draft desirability (or projected end of year finish), why not rank players by desirability of drafting them at ADP? This table will show you the rough ADP of a player, and where I would consider drafting the player. This ranking should help when prioritizing targets pre-draft and understanding the next best outcomes when targeted players go off the board ahead of you. Any and all feedback welcome!

Note: Industry ADP tends to lag behind actual drafts, so don't feel wedded to the ADP or estimation when a particular one is worth drafting. Your league might see these players go off of the board earlier and require earlier picks, but he relative order of the attractiveness of drafting at ADP (whatever that adjusts to in your league) should be relatively accurate.

    Projected ADP Worth Drafting In?
1 Tom Brady/NE 7th/8th 6th
2 Carson Palmer/ARI 12th-13th 10th-11th
3 Ben Roethlisberger/PIT 5th 5th
4 Philip Rivers/SD 9th/10th 9th/10th
5 Sam Bradford/PHI 10th-11th 10th-11th
6 Andy Dalton/CIN 13th 13th
7 Tony Romo/DAL 7th 8th
8 Russell Wilson/SEA 4th 5th
9 Jay Cutler/CHI 12th-13th 13th
10 Andrew Luck/IND 1st/2nd late 2nd
11 Matt Ryan/ATL 6th 8th
12 Ryan Tannehill/MIA 8th/9th 10th
13 Eli Manning/NYG 8th 10th
14 Aaron Rodgers/GB 2nd late 3rd
15 Jameis Winston/TB 12th-13th 15th or later
16 Teddy Bridgewater/MIA 10th-11th 12th
17 Matthew Stafford/DET 7th/8th 10th
18 Colin Kaepernick/SF 10th-11th 13th-15th
19 Cam Newton/CAR 6th 9th
20 Drew Brees/NO 4th/5th 8th
21 Peyton Manning/DEN 3rd/4th 6th
22 Joe Flacco/BAL 10th-11th 15th or later