Beyond the Stats: Week 6

Each week I uncover some interesting stats, tidbits and information that you may or may not know about. This week I take a look home vs. road splits and explain why it's better to be a running back at home and a wide receiver on the road. Plus, much more. 

Did You Know?

Something's gotta give - The Chiefs have allowed a league high 13 touchdown passes this season, 11 to wide receivers. This week they travel to Minnesota where Teddy Bridgewater has all of two touchdown passes. 

Something's gotta give II - Miami has one sack this year. One. The face the Titans this week who have allowed 14 sacks in 4 games (3.5 sacks per game).

Start your quarterbacks against these teams - Jay Cutler and the Bears travel to Detroit this week who are allowing a 116.2 QB rating to opposing quarterbacks. Other notably bad pass defenses according QB rating against include SF (108.9), NO (108.2), TB (105.7), CHI (105.1), KC (102.3), CLE (101.9), JAC (100.5) and PIT (100.2). 

Trends suggest Matt Forte and Mark Ingram will score this week. The Lions and Falcons have both allowed a league high 8 rushing touchdowns this year. Chances are good that Forte and Ingram will find the end zone. 

On the opposite side of that trend - CIN, NYJ, PHI and PIT have each allowed only one rushing touchdown. This suggests it will be tough sledding for BUF, WAS, NYG and ARI this week. 

Is this the week C.J. Anderson comes alive? (Or maybe Ronnie Hillman) - The Broncos play at Cleveland who have allowed an NFL high 747 yards rushing this year (a full 68 yards more than the next worst team). 

Rushing clash at Lambeau this week?  The Packers and Chargers are each allowing over 5.0 yards per rush this year. First worst and third worst in the league. 

The FanDuel helper - Oakland has allowed a league high 14 field goals in five games (2.8 per game). Remember that next week for San Diego because Oakland is on a bye. The Saints, Ravens and Jaguars are right behind with 13 field goals allowed. Target ATL, SF and HOU for kickers this week. 

Zero field goals allowed - Tennessee hasn't allowed a single field goal this year, which doesn't bode well for Dolphins kicker Andrew Franks this week.

Now if only he could get some rushing yards - Lions running back Theo Riddick already has 30 receptions in five games (6 per game). 

Shootout coming in Philly for MNF? The Giants (217) and Eagles (215) have given up the 2nd most and 3rd most pass attempts this year. 

Similar shootout in Pittsburgh? The Cardinals (193) and Steelers (189) have given up the 8th most and 9th most pass attempt this year. 


Points allowed per drive (Week 6 opponent)
 

  • 2.57 NO (ATL)
  • 2.41 SF (BAL)
  • 2.33 CLE (DEN)
  • 2.33 DET (CHI)
  • 2.28 KC (at MIN)
  • 2.25 CHI (at DET)
  • 2.25 TB (bye)
  • 2.24 JAC (at HOU)
  • 2.21 DAL (bye)
  • 2.13 OAK (bye)
  • 2.10 BAL (at SF)
  • 2.00 IND (NE)
  • 1.98 ATL (at NO)
  • 1.96 MIA (at TEN)
  • 1.96 SD (at GB)
  • 1.92 HOU (JAC)
  • 1.84 NYG (at PHI)
  • 1.76 MIN (KC)
  • 1.74 PIT (ARI)
  • 1.73 NE (at IND)
  • 1.72 WAS (at NYJ)
  • 1.67 BUF (CIN)
  • 1.67 TEN (MIA)
  • 1.65 CIN (at BUF)
  • 1.61 STL (bye)
  • 1.51 SEA (CAR)
  • 1.50 GB (SD)
  • 1.48 PHI (NYG)
  • 1.48 ARI (at GB)
  • 1.45 CAR (at SEA)
  • 1.14 DEN (at CLE)
  • 0.98 NYJ (WAS)

Points scored per drive (Week 6 opponent)
 

  • 3.24 NE (at IND)
  • 2.78 ARI (at PIT)
  • 2.55 CIN (at BUF)
  • 2.55 ATL (at NO)
  • 2.35 GB (SD)
  • 2.28 NYG (at PHI)
  • 2.11 SD (at GB)
  • 2.09 TEN (MIA)
  • 2.00 BUF (CIN)
  • 2.00 CLE (DEN)
  • 1.96 PIT (ARI)
  • 1.92 CAR (at SEA)
  • 1.90 BAL (at SF)
  • 1.89 OAK (bye)
  • 1.86 NYJ (WAS)
  • 1.77 NO (ATL)
  • 1.72 PHI (NYG)
  • 1.72 MIN (KC)
  • 1.71 DAL (bye)
  • 1.70 TB (bye)
  • 1.67 WAS (at NYJ)
  • 1.66 KC (at MIN)
  • 1.64 IND (NE)
  • 1.62 CHI (at DET)
  • 1.59 JAC (at HOU)
  • 1.56 DEN (at CLE)
  • 1.53 HOU (JAC)
  • 1.52 SEA (CAR)
  • 1.45 SF (BAL)
  • 1.35 STL (bye)
  • 1.29 DET (CHI)
  • 1.26 MIA (at TEN)

Receptions to Running Backs - Leaders
 

  • 49 DET
  • 47 NO
  • 44 DAL
  • 42 PHI, OAK
  • 36 SD
  • 34 BAL, HOU
  • 31 NE, NYG
  • 30 CLE
  • 28 ATL
  • 27 TB
  • 26 WAS
  • 25 KC
  • 23 PIT
  • 22 CIN, JAC
  • 21 SEA, NYJ
  • 20 CHI, STL
  • 18 TEN, GB, BUF
  • 17 SF
  • 16 IND, MIA
  • 15 MIN, CAR
  • 14 ARI
  • 13 DEN

Receptions to wide receivers - Leaders
 

  • 92 HOU, DEN
  • 75 DET
  • 74 ATL, NO
  • 73 IND
  • 71 SD, JAC
  • 70 ARI, WAS
  • 69 GB
  • 68 NYG
  • 67 OAK
  • 65 NYJ
  • 64 MIA, PIT
  • 63 CLE
  • 62 BAL
  • 61 CIN
  • 58 PHI, NE
  • 57 KC, SEA
  • 53 BUF
  • 52 CHI
  • 49 SF
  • 47 MIN
  • 45 DAL, TB
  • 38 STL
  • 35 TEN
  • 31 CAR

Receptions to tight ends - Leaders
 

  • 36 DAL
  • 33 SD
  • 32 NYG
  • 31 CHI
  • 30 WAS
  • 29 CLE, SF, TEN
  • 27 NE, KC, SEA
  • 25 BAL, BUF
  • 24 CIN, IND
  • 23 STL
  • 22 DET
  • 21 NO, CAR, GB
  • 20 PHI
  • 18 ATL
  • 17 MIA
  • 16 OAK, PIT
  • 15 DEN, MIN
  • 14 JAC, TB
  • 13 ARI
  • 11 HOU
  • 2 NYJ

Home vs. Road Reception Splits

running backs +65 more receptions at home vs. road (home 450, road 385)
wide receivers +0 more receptions at home vs. road (home 985, road 985)
tight ends +35 more receptions at home vs. road (home 371, road 336) 

Home vs. Road Rushing Splits (running backs)

running backs +710 more rushing yards at home vs. road (home 7,425, road 6,715)
First half running backs +521 more rushing yards at home vs. road (home 3,690, road 3,169)
Second half running backs +188 rushing yards at home vs. road (home 3,645, road 3,457) 

Home vs. Road Receiving Splits (wide receivers)

wide receivers +212 receiving yards on road vs. home (home 12,497, road 12,709)
First half wide receivers +673 receiving yards at home vs. road (home 6,220, road 5,547)
Second half wide receivers +861 more receiving yards at road vs. home (home 6,225, road 7,086)

Takeaways

  1. It's better to be a running back at home vs. on the road at any time of the game. The first half especially favors the home running backs
  2. wide receivers are dead even in receptions at home vs on the road
  3. wide receivers on the road gain more receiving yards, especially in the second half. 

 

Questions, suggestions and comments are always welcome to haseley@footballguys.com


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