Footballguys Staff Mock Draft 5, 12 team FPC scoring TE 1.5 PPR, Dual Flex

Photo: Peter van den Berg, USA Today Sports

LEAGUE PARAMETERS

• 12 teams
• 20 roster spots
• Starting Lineup
• 1 quarterback
• 2 running backs
• 2 wide receivers
• 1 tight end
• 2 flex (either a running back, wide receiver, or tight end)
• 1 place kicker
• 1 team defense

LEAGUE SCORING

• Offensive Players
• 4 points - passing touchdown
• -1 points - interception thrown
• 6 points - rushing/receiving touchdown
• 0.05 points - passing yard
• 0.1 points - rushing/receiving yard
• 1 point - receptions (QB/RB/WR)
• 1.5 points - receptions (TE)
• Place Kickers
• 3 points - field goal up to 30 yards
• 0.1 points - each additional yard beyond 30
• 1 point - each extra point
• Team Defense
• 6 points - touchdown
• 2 points - turnover forced
• 5 points - safety
• 1 point - sack
• 12 points - shutout
• 8 points - 1-6 points allowed
• 5 points - 7-10 points allowed

THE DRAFT ORDER

The draft order was randomly generated. After the first round, the draft continues in a regular serpentine manner. Click here for the Full Draft, pick by pick.

1. BJ Vanderwoude
2. Dan Hindery
3. Danny Tuccitto
4. Justin Howe
5. Will Grant
6. Clayton Gray
7. Andrew Katz
8. John Mamula
9. Chris Feery
10. Cian Fahey
11. Chris Kuczynski
12. John Lee 

Starting with BJ Vanderwoude from the 1.01 spot, we will go over each person's selections in the mock draft.

BJ Vanderwoude - Slot 1

Overall Strategy

Completely balanced.

Best Pick

Greg Olsen, 2.12, TE3. Maybe the rest of the draft was asleep at the wheel, but the FFPC rules put a premium on tight ends. That is especially true for high-volume guys like Greg Olsen. The big Panthers tight end has averaged 115 targets per year with a 65.6 percent catch rate since joining the Panthers in 2012, and his target count has gone up each season. Olsen finished as the fifth-best tight end in this format last season, but only because three of the four ahead of him scored more touchdowns.

Worst Pick

Mark Ingram, 3.01, RB9. Following Olsen up with Mark Ingram seemed like a huge letdown. Drafting at the turn means having to make tough positional decisions early in the draft. Running backs are even less valuable in FFPC scoring, and Ingram is a risky proposition given his injury history and a crowded Saints backfield. Drafting another receiver would have meant dipping into a lower tier of running backs, to be sure, but Vanderwoude could have had an elite pass-catching start to his draft. That and Doug Martin was still available.

Evaluation

It seems Vanderwoude is stuck on the first pick of these mock drafts. This is one of the trickiest spots to draft because forecasting what other drafters might do takes a crystal ball. Vanderwoude drafted a solid squad headlined by Greg Olsen and Russell Wilson, who was a fantastic pick at the 6/7 turn. Depth at tight end could be a concern, especially considering fantasy owners can start two in this format. Dwayne Allen isn’t going to blow anyone away as a weekly option, and Vance McDonald dropped the phone when Vanderwoude called to say he was drafted.

post-draft questions

1. What was your strategy going into this draft with FPC rules and scoring? What one piece of advice would you give to someone drafting in an FPC league?

A.) The FPC scoring made me think long and hard about taking Rob Gronkowski with the first overall pick, but even with the 1.5 ppr for tight ends, I still felt Antonio Brown was the correct pick. I was targeting a tight end-- either Greg Olsen or Jordan Reed--at the second and third round swing picks, so I was happy to get Olsen. With the ability to play up to three tight ends in your starting lineup, it is very important to make sure you have at least two starting caliber options at the position, as it then gives you the flexibility to target the best player available in the second half of your drafts.

2. What players are you targeting in nearly all of your drafts this year? Explain why you're high on these players.

I have been drafting Doug Baldwin as my WR2/3 in most drafts and while it is surprising that he is consistently available to me, I am not in any way complaining. Baldwin broke out in a big way in 2015, finishing the season with 78 receptions for 1,069 yards and 14 touchdowns. This included an epic four game run where Baldwin scored 10 receiving touchdowns. Seattle's identity in the Pete Carroll era has been that of a run first team who depended on their defense to set them up with advantageous field position, but that was when they had Marshawn Lynch beast-modeing his way through the NFC West. With Lynch now retired, Seattle will lean on Russell Wilson much more in the passing game, and Baldwin will be the direct beneficiary as his #1 target. Baldwin saw six or more targets in 11 games last year, so with a much more open offensive game plan, he should have no problem duplicating his success of last season and finishing as one of the better values at the wide receiver position.

3. What's the most important factor when deciding who to draft as your starting quarterback for your team? What about your backup quarterback?

In one word, consistency. That goes for both your primary and secondary options. I look at quarterback as the one spot you do not want to be losing ground to each week, and that is due in main part to the myriad of valuable options available at the position. Consistency can be found in several different ways, whether it be by padding points through rushing yards and touchdowns (Cam Newton, Russell Wilson, Tyrod Taylor), wide open spread offenses (Carson Palmer, Tom Brady, Andrew Luck) or by focusing on teams that play from behind (Drew Brees, Blake Bortles, Matthew Stafford). In H2H formats, I factor in weekly consistency first, then upside second, as a way to differentiate between players who have similar projections.