On August 17th, the Footballguys staff completed a 12-team 32-round IDP, PPR mock draft. Below are the league's scoring and bylaws. Our Dan Hindery provides an unbiased summary of each team's picks and strategies.
- 12 teams
- 32 roster spots
- Starting Lineup
- 1 quarterback
- 2 running backs
- 3 wide receivers
- 1 tight end
- 1 offensive flex (running back, wide receiver, or tight end)
- 1 defensive tackle
- 2 defensive ends
- 3 linebackers
- 2 cornerbacks
- 2 safeties
- 1 defensive flex (defensive tackle, linebacker, cornerback or safety)
- Offensive Players
- 4 points - passing touchdown
- 6 points - rushing/receiving touchdown
- 1 point - reception
- 0.04 points - passing yard
- 0.1 points - rushing/receiving yard
- Individual Defensive Players
- 10 points - safety
- 6 points - defensive or return touchdown
- 6 points - blocked field goal
- 6 points - blocked punt
- 6 points - blocked extra point
- 5 points - sack
- 4 points - defensive interception
- 3 points - fumble recovery
- 3 points - forced fumble
- 2 points - tackle
- 1 point - assist
- 2 points - pass defensed
The Draft Order
1. Cian Fahey
2. Mark Wimer
3. Devin Knotts
4. Aaron Rudnicki
5. Justin Howe
6. Jene Bramel
7. Daniel Simpkins
8. John Norton
9. Matt Bitonti
10. Jeff Haseley
11. Sigmund Bloom
12. Matt Waldman
Starting with Cian Fahey from the 1.01 spot, we will go over each person's selections in the mock draft.
Cian Fahey - slot 1
OVERALL STRATEGY Cian Fahey
LeSean McCoy (4.12). McCoy is positioned to have a big season in Buffalo if he can just stay healthy for 16 games. The Bills are likely to lean on their ground game and McCoy should see 20 touches per game. He has the talent to produce strong RB1 numbers with that type of volume.
Von Miller (3.01). Miller does not produce enough tackles to put up big IDP numbers at the LB position. This is almost a wasted pick as Miller may not even be a weekly starter in this format.
Cian’s offensive roster is lacking elite players due to his using two of his three premium picks on defensive players. He may not get enough bang for the buck from those selections.
Mark Wimer - slot 2
|13.02||146||WR||Willie Snead IV||NOS|
OVERALL STRATEGY Mark Wimer
Rashad Jennings (12.11) Jennings somewhat quietly took on a workhorse role in the Giants offense down the stretch of the 2015 season. In the final quarter of the 2015 season, Jennings was a top-five running back. He looks poised to maintain that role heading into 2015 and has sneaky RB1 upside in what should be an explosive Giants offense. Brian Cushing (31.02) also looks like a potential late-round steal. He is fully healthy for the first time in years and was flying around making plays in preseason action with six tackles in just over a quarter against the Saints.
Travis Kelce (6.11) and Coby Fleener (7.02). While the value was solid on both of these guys purely as tight ends, Mark should have picked one or the other and then moved on to another position. Neither player profiles as a strong flex and that is what Mark has to be banking on when drafting both. Even in a relatively strong 2015 season, Kelce averaged just 11 points per game and was not a strong flex option. Players like Emmanuel Sanders (8.05) and Michael Crabtree (9.05) were much better flex options.
Using three of his top seven picks on QB or TE left him weak at RB and DL. He may be able to overcome those challenges if Rashad Jennings or Ryan Mathews is able to exceed expectations and stay healthy.
Devin Knotts - slot 3
|31.03||363||WR||Will Fuller V||HOU|
OVERALL STRATEGY Devin Knotts
Will Fuller V (31.03). Fuller has emerged early in camp as the starting receiver opposite of DeAndre Hopkins for the Texans. Despite being the second-highest receiver drafted in the 2016 draft, Fuller has flown under the radar in redraft leagues (perhaps due to early reports that Jaelen Strong would start). Fuller has the pedigree and opportunity to be a steal in the final rounds of this draft.
Devontae Booker (18.10). Taking a flier on Booker this late in a draft is perfectly fine. Drafting him as your RB2 puts you in a major hole. With only one starting RB (Hyde), Devin will be forced to start either Devontae Booker, Kenneth Dixon or Jordan Howard Week 1.
Devin had a fantastic start with his first five picks. The selections of Jordan Reed (4.10) and Carlos Hyde (5.03) at the 4/5 turn was especially impressive. His 6/7 picks were strong as well. But he is putting a lot of his eggs in the basket of rookie RBs who were drafted in the 4th round or later.
Aaron Rudnicki - slot 4
OVERALL STRATEGY Aaron Rudnicki
Jeremy Langford (12.09) Langford is a prime example of a player for whom the “hate” went too far. He certainly had his fair share of struggles as a rookie. But it has been clear that the Bears really like him and he seemed to win his teammates (especially the offensive linemen) over as a rookie. He looks like a player poised to make significant improvements in his second season and should be the workhorse back in Chicago. Andrew Luck (7.04) was also a nice value.
Dion Lewis (5.03). Hindsight is 20/20 and of course Aaron did not know at the time of the draft that Lewis’ injury would require another surgery. However, this situation can serve as a reminder to try to price in some risk when drafting players who we do not have clarity on in terms of health.
Justin Howe - slot 5
|11.05||125||S||Ha Ha Clinton-Dix||GBP|
OVERALL STRATEGY Justin Howe
T.Y Hilton (3.05). Justin’s first four picks were all strong selections that set him up to have arguably the best starting receivers in the league. A.J. Green, Alshon Jeffery and T.Y. Hilton all have realistic WR1 upside and the trio should combine to score a lot of fantasy points.
Dont’a Hightower (18.08). While the specific pick of Hightower was okay, Justin is lacking upside and depth at the crucial position of LB. He is at risk of being badly outscored each week at the position and does not have a strong flex option in a league where ideally you can run four top linebacker options out there each week.
Justin is loaded offensively. His strength at WR should win him a lot of games. But he would have been well-served drafting a legitimate top LB in the early rounds instead of Golden Tate or Matt Forte.
Jene Bramel - slot 6
|7.06||78||RB||Duke Johnson Jr||CLE|
OVERALL STRATEGY Jene Bramel
Vontaze Burfict (16.07). Burfict was the seventh-highest scoring IDP player over the second-half of the 2015 season after spending the early part of the season on the PUP list recovering from micro fracture surgery. He should be an elite IDP option in 2016. Jene also got tremendous value by waiting at QB and TE. Blake Bortles (15.03) and Zach Ertz (13.06) are strong starting options and waiting allowed Jene to load up at the premium positions of RB and WR.
John Brown (6.07). Jene put together a fantastic draft, so it is hard to pinpoint any one pick as a negative. Brown has been had some issues with injuries his first two seasons and is battling concussion issues in camp. He is a solid value in the 6th round, but there were some slightly better options than Brown available given the injury concerns.
Jene’s team is loaded and my pick as the league favorite. He has elite options at RB and LB and no real weaknesses at other positions. He proved that you can successfully start RB-RB as long as you hammer the WR value in the early rounds and take advantage of the depth of the QB and TE positions.
Daniel Simpkins - Slot 7
OVERALL STRATEGY Daniel Simpkins
Jordan Hicks (12.06). Hicks is a prime breakout candidate in IDP leagues. The second-year linebacker flashed major potential as a rookie and could put up big numbers as the middle linebacker in Jim Schwartz’s 4-3 defense. If Hicks picks up the new scheme quickly and stays healthy, he could be one of the steals of the mid-rounds.
DeVante Parker (7.07). Daniel loaded up on WRs, with six in the first nine rounds. He was able to pull off the strategy by finding some nice IDP values in the mid-rounds. But for the strategy to fully work, he’ll need some of his younger receivers to emerge as fantasy stars. Parker has had a slow start to camp. Kenny Stills has been a bigger deep threat on the outside and Ryan Tannehill still looks to Jarvis Landry as his first read on most plays.
Daniel did a nice job of finding value in the mid-late rounds. He used six early picks on wide receivers and is banking on a couple of the young guys having breakout seasons.
John Norton - slot 8
|6.05||65||WR||Marvin Jones Jr||DET|
OVERALL STRATEGY John Norton
Paul Posluszny (12.05) John is loaded with intriguing options at LB and did not have to spend a premium pick at the position. Posluszny has always had a high floor in IDP leagues and if he stays healthy, should be a strong weekly starter for John. The pick of Marvin Jones Jr (6.05) was savvy. Jones is going to see a lot of targets in the Lions’ pass-heavy scheme and he has the talent to make the most of those opportunities.
Jeremy Hill (5.08). Gio Bernard splits time with Hill in the Bengals backfield and Bernard is the primary option in the passing game. In PPR leagues, it is tough to justify drafting Hill this high when players like Jonathan Stewart (11.11), Jeremy Langford (12.09) and Matt Jones (13.11) are going off the board so much later. John whould have waited on his RB3 because his starting duo of Devonta Freeman and Doug Martin is formidable.
John has a strong overall roster. He is banking on Tyler Eifert (7.08) returning early in the season from his ankle injury, because he has very little depth behind him. If Eifert is able to return in the first couple weeks, John has one of the stronger rosters in the league.
Matt Bitonti - slot 9
|7.09||81||LB||Telvin Smith Sr||JAC|
|9.09||105||RB||Melvin Gordon III||SDC|
|15.09||177||WR||Sammie Coates Jr||PIT|
OVERALL STRATEGY Matt Bitonti
Balanced, Early QB and TE
Doug Baldwin (6.04). Everyone is quick to talk about touchdown regression and how Baldwin is unlikely to repeat his torrid second-half of 2015 pace. However, the regression is more than priced into Baldwin’s ADP. Even if his production comes back to earth a bit, he still should return fourth-round value.
Cam Newton (3.09). Every draft plays out differently. Thus, you have to know your league mates and their tendencies to really dominate your draft. With the depth at quarterback this season and drafting against a savvy group of owners who are likely to sit back and wait on quarterback, the third round was too early for Newton. When you look at the values other owners were able to achieve at the position (Andrew Luck in the 7th, Tom Brady in the 12th, Blake Bortles in the 15th, etc.), it’s tough to justify Newton in the third.
It can be difficult to take both a tight end and quarterback (deep positions with plenty of mid-round values) early without seriously hurting yourself elsewhere. By getting nice values on Eddie Lacy and Doug Baldwin, Matt was able to overcome some of those issues. His roster at wide receiver is weak after his top two and he could struggle a bit at the DL positions.
Jeff Haseley - slot 10
|3.10||34||RB||Mark Ingram II||NOS|
|18.03||207||WR||Ted Ginn Jr||CAR|
|25.10||298||LB||Melvin Ingram III||SDC|
OVERALL STRATEGY Jeff Haseley
Tie: Arian Foster (12.03) and Chris Ivory (14.03). Jeff was able to land a pair of solid veteran backs with upside late in the draft. The duo provides a major boost to his running back depth chart at a low cost. Odds are high that both runners begin the year as the starters on their respective teams. Landing Mark Ingram II (3.10) and Jarvis Landry (4.03) was also great value near the 3-4 turn.
Demarcus Lawrence (19.03). It is difficult to find much fault with any of Jeff’s picks. He was able to land most of his players at or below ADP and took a balanced approach that left his team without any major weaknesses (though he is probably lacking a true WR1). But he may have gone a bit too heavy on some defensive positions. Jeff will have to carry Lawrence through his four-week suspension. Jeff would have got more bang for his buck with a WR like Phillip Dorsett (20.02).
Sigmund Bloom - slot 11
OVERALL STRATEGY Sigmund Bloom
Zero RB, TE by Committee, LB-Heavy
Jason Pierre-Paul (10.02). Pierre-Paul has been an elite IDP option whenever he is healthy and reports from Giants camp have been glowing about Pierre-Paul’s play. He can be a difference-maker at the DL position. Sigmund did well in building RB depth in the mid-rounds (a necessity when employing the Zero-RB approach in a league with deep rosters). Getting Jonathan Stewart (11.11), Matt Jones (13.11) and Bilal Powell (17.11) as late as he did could make his overall approach work.
Kam Chancellor (18.02) and Marcus Mariota (21.11). While the value on Mariota and Chancellor was fine, Bloom left himself at a disadvantage over the first four weeks (while Tom Brady is suspended) by waiting this long to draft a second quarterback. Taking Matthew Stafford (19.02) or Derek Carr (19.07) in the 18th to pair with Brady would have been a better move.
Matt Waldman - slot 12
|3.12||36||LB||Jamie Collins Sr||NEP|
OVERALL STRATEGY Matt Waldman
Derrick Henry (20.01) While many are skeptical of the entire Tennesee offense, landing Henry this late is a steal. If DeMarco Murray goes down with an injury (increased risk due to heavy workloads in recent years), Henry can be a league winner down the stretch of the season. He has looked great early in the preseason.
Ameer Abdullah (11.12). While the value with Abdullah in the 11th was decent, Matt is going to be weak at RB2 early in the season. Abdullah is going to be sharing touches with Theo Riddick in the passing game and could lose goal line work to Zach Zenner.
Thanks to Dan Hindery for his unbiased team summaries and evaluations.
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