DraftKings Consensus Rankings Playoffs Week 2

An overview of collaborative rankings that lists the top value-based picks of the week selected by various staff members. 

Ten members of the Footballguys DraftKings staff compiled value-based rankings for Week 2 of the NFL Playoffs. Those results are shown below with the highest ranking at the top. Each position is ranked as follows: (A dash indicates that player was not ranked).

Quarterback - Top 8
Running Back - Top 12
Wide Receiver - Top 12
Tight End - Top 8
Defense - Top 5

To determine the average ranking, any player not ranked received a value of the lowest rank for that position, plus 1 (LR+1). For example, the Top 8 quarterbacks are ranked by each staff member. If one staff member did not rank a particular quarterback, but others did, the ranking for that quarterback is 8+1 or 9. Instead of displaying a 9 in the table, a dash is used to show that player was not ranked, after average rank was obtained.

The value-based, collaborative results provide a window into which players are the best options for this week's slate of games. I'll explain why certain players are ranked as they are and also provide additional commentary volunteered by various staff members.

DRAFTKINGS CONSENSUS RANKINGS: QUARTERBACK

Player Matchup Opp Price Haseley Wood Brimacombe Hindery Knotts Grant Alexander Howe Mamula Feery Avg
Dak Prescott DAL GB 6000 3 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 1.4
Russell Wilson SEA at ATL 6900 1 3 3 3 5 6 3 3 3 3 3.3
Matt Ryan ATL SEA 7000 4 6 5 2 2 7 4 2 2 2 3.6
Aaron Rodgers GB at DAL 8200 2 4 2 4 6 4 5 5 4 4 4.0
Tom Brady NE HOU 7600 5 5 7 6 1 2 6 4 5 6 4.7
Alex Smith KC PIT 5400 7 2 4 7 7 3 2 6 6 7 5.1
Ben Roethlisberger PIT at KC 6500 6 8 6 5 4 5 7 7 7 5 6.0
Brock Osweiler HOU at NE 5000 8 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7.9

The consensus is high on Dak Prescott ($6,000) this week. His low price is appealing considering this game is the highest point total for oddsmakers in Vegas at 52.5 over/under. Dallas alone has a team total of 28.5 points. Prescott is at his best when he can command the offense with ball control and timely passes when it counts. That most likely will be the game plan against Aaron Rodgers and the potent Packers offense. Rodgers is $2,200 more in price and this game could come down to the wire. The shark move appears to be the cheaper Prescott. 

Russell Wilson ($6,900) and Matt Ryan ($7,000) are #2 and #3 on the rankings this week. They will play each other in the second highest projected scoring total of the week, 51.5 points. In the previous game against Atlanta in Week 6, Wilson had 270 yards passing with 0 touchdowns. The Seattle ground game took over, scoring three touchdowns. I have a feeling Wilson will come alive for this battle. We already heard that he plans to shed his knee brace this week. We may see him have more freedom to run, which also increases his value. Ryan threw for over 300 yards with three scores in the earlier meeting at Seattle. He also has the home advantage here and is only $100 more than Wilson. Both are excellent options this week and will likely have a high ownership percentage. Picking the right one could be the difference in cashing or not cashing. My gut says Wilson is the better play. I like his matchup against Atlanta more than I do Ryan against Seattle's defense. Wilson has been clutch in big games before and this definitely qualifies as a big game. If the yardage is there, he'll produce. I don't see Atlanta slowing down the passing game. 

Howe

Dak PrescottHe brings the week's best value as a cheap play against the Packers' ultra-leaky secondary.

Alex SmithThe Steelers are often done in by short, efficient passing, which is all Smith can really do. With YAC weapons at his disposal, he could be an absolute steal.

Alexander

Dak PrescottThe Packers are a dream matchup for quarterbacks. Prescott has a 25+ point ceiling and will be a forgotten man with all the star quarterbacks on this slate.

Alex SmithSmith is barely priced above Brock Osweiler, giving him 4x potential in a home game Kansas City is favored to win.

Aaron RodgersOver 300 yards with four touchdowns in three straight games. He's the highest priced quarterback for a reason.

Wood

Dak PrescottIt pains me to say this, but Dak is the play of the week

Alex SmithPricing is a bit tighter than normal this week, so saving on a QB makes sense

Ben Roetlhisberger - He's going to be highly owned but is a) hurt, b) on the road, c) the O/U implies a low scoring game

Feery

Dak PrescottThe rookie will find some success against the Packers secondary, and his low price affords you a ton of flexibility. 

Mamula

Dak PrescottGreat price point vs. an exploitable Packers secondary

DRAFTKINGS CONSENSUS RANKINGS: running back

Player Matchup Opp Price Haseley Wood Brimacombe Hindery Knotts Grant Alexander Howe Mamula Feery Avg
Ezekiel Elliott DAL GB 8500 1 3 1 1 1 3 6 1 1 2 2.0
Devonta Freeman ATL SEA 5900 2 2 3 3 4 6 1 3 2 1 2.7
Le'Veon Bell PIT at KC 10500 3 4 2 2 2 1 8 2 3 4 3.1
Spencer Ware KC PIT 5200 5 1 7 6 3 7 3 5 5 5 4.7
LeGarrette Blount NE HOU 5800 6 5 4 11 8 4 10 4 4 3 5.9
Thomas Rawls SEA at ATL 6900 9 6 5 10 5 2 11 7 6 6 6.7
Tevin Coleman ATL SEA 4500 7 7 9 8 7 9 4 6 7 8 7.2
Ty Montgomery GB at DAL 5300 8 8 6 4 6 12 9 10 8 7 7.8
Dion Lewis NE HOU 3900 4 9 11 9 9 8 2 8 10 9 7.9
Lamar Miller HOU at NE 5600 10 11 8 7 10 5 7 9 9 10 8.6
James White NE HOU 3400 11 10 10 5 11 10 5 12 11 12 9.7
Christine Michael GB at DAL 4300 12 - 12 12 - 11 12 - 12 11 12.1
DeAngelo Williams PIT at KC 3200 - - - - - - - 11 - - 12.8
Aaron Ripkowski GB at DAL 3200 - - - - 12 - - - - - 12.9
Alex Collins SEA at ATL 3500 - 12 - - - - - - - - 12.9

Leveon Bell was a man among boys last week and many weeks this year. Can he do it again, on the road aganst a tough defense in Kansas City? You're betting he can if you invest the $10,500 it costs to pencil him into your lineup. A road game with a tough matchup may be too much for my taste, which may be why he's the #3 ranked value running back this week. 

Topping Bell this week is Ezekiel Elliott ($8,500) and Devonta Freeman ($5,900). Both have home games and will be key pieces to their team's offense. Elliott has not had a game this year where he didn't either score or reach 100 total yards. He produces consistent numbers every week and is an excellent value at $8,500 considering Bell is $2,000 more. Freeman may not be as consistent as Elliott, but he's capable of a big game any given week. At $5,900 his price affords you to pay up elsewhere and still have a capable back who could reach paydirt and get you much needed receptions in the DraftKings scoring format. 

Spencer Ware ($5,200) is along the lines of Devonta Freeman-lite and is slightly less in price. If you can't fit Freeman into your cap, consider Ware who is $700 cheaper. He can get you scores and good rushing/receiving numbers, plus he'll be playing at home where running backs have proven to thrive in the playoffs. LeGarrette Blount ($5,800) is someone who may not have a high ownership percentage, but could see multiple touchdowns, especially if New England leans on the ground game this week against Houston. Blount is dealing with flu symptoms in the early part of the week so monitor his health before gametime to be sure he's 100%. 

Dion Lewis ($3,900) is a cheap back to consider. We all know New England can be tricky with their running game, particularly who gets the majority of the touches based on the matchup and what the defense allows. Lewis came on strong at the end of the year and showed that he's over his knee injury and can be relied upon when his number is called. If his number is called this week, he's a bargain at only $3,900.  

Howe

Ezekiel ElliottElliott projects to similar rushing production to Le'Veon Bell's, with sneaky three-down usage. And it all comes at a big discount.

Tevin ColemanThe dual threat could easily out-value Devonta Freeman, who should be largely bottled up at the line. Two or three splash plays and a touchdown could make Coleman the weekend's top value.

Alexander - Devonta FreemanSeattle is a tough running back matchup, but pricing Freeman $1,000 below Thomas Rawls is a bit too reactionary. Eight touchdowns in his last four home games.

Dion LewisNew England broke Lewis in over the final three games of the season, feeding him an average of about 16.5 touches per game. LeGarrette Blount should finish the Texans off, but Lewis will likely get the blowout started.

Spencer WareWe like running backs on home favorites and Ware comes at a significant discount compared to the rest of the starters on the slate. Should be well rested after sitting out Week 17 and the bye.

Ezekiel ElliottTorched Green Bay for 157 yards in Lambeau back in Week 6. The only game plan that makes sense for Dallas is to keep Aaron Rodgers off the field with a healthy dose of Elliott.

Lamar MillerThe strength of New England's defense is the rush, Miller has been mostly inefficient this season, and he's likely to face the worst possible game script for a running back.

Le'Veon BellKansas City has the 26th ranked rush defense (DVOA). The Steelers offense may not be in great spot collectively, but Bell is immune to negative game script. 

LeGarrette BlountIf ever there were an implied Vegas script that pointed to a Blount game...

Thomas RawlsRawls' monster wild card game is reflected in his price, but the Falcons are a great matchup. If you believe Seattle wins in Atlanta, Rawls is a must-play.

Christine MichaelLooked like the Packers best running back in the Wild Card round. Possible he gets more carries with Ty Montgomery banged up.

Grant

Le'Veon BellChiefs allowing 4.4 YPC in the regular season but don't give up many TDs

James WhitePatriots should spread the ball around in this game

Wood

Spencer WareHe's half the price of Bell, is a workhorse, playing at home, against a suspect defense

Le'Veon BellThe price is massive, but so too is the upside

LeGarrette BlountAssumes he's a full go (currently labeled as questionable)

Dion LewisSuper high risk, high reward flier. Ideal for differentiated GPP lineups

Feery

Devonta FreemanSeahawks will not slow down the Falcons too much on their home turf, and Freeman should be able to make some noise. 

Hindery

Devonta FreemanFreeman leads the Falcons with 17 red zone targets this season. He makes for a nice stack with Matt Ryan.

Tevin ColemanColeman has scored 8 touchdowns in his 13 games this season. He has sneaky upside in GPPs this week.

Mamula

Devonta FreemanFreeman has 10 home TDs as compared to 1 TD on the road

LeGarrette BlountPositive game script for the NFL's TD leader. 105 yds and 2 TDs last time he played Hou

DRAFTKINGS CONSENSUS RANKINGS: wide receiver

Player Matchup Opp Price Haseley Wood Brimacombe Hindery Knotts Grant Alexander Howe Mamula Feery Avg
Davante Adams GB at DAL 7000 1 1 1 3 1 2 4 4 1 1 1.9
Dez Bryant DAL GB 6600 2 3 2 1 6 1 8 7 2 2 3.4
Antonio Brown PIT at KC 9600 3 8 4 4 4 6 - 2 3 4 5.1
Julio Jones ATL SEA 8400 7 2 5 6 2 4 - 1 6 7 5.3
Randall Cobb GB at DAL 5700 6 7 11 5 3 - 2 3 4 9 6.3
Julian Edelman NE HOU 6800 9 10 7 2 8 3 5 11 8 3 6.6
Doug Baldwin SEA at ATL 8100 5 6 6 9 5 5 - 6 5 6 6.6
Jeremy Maclin KC PIT 4300 12 - 3 8 12 8 6 8 10 5 8.5
Tyreek Hill KC PIT 5500 8 4 8 - 7 - 11 9 7 10 9.0
DeAndre Hopkins HOU at NE 5800 4 9 10 7 11 7 - - 9 8 9.1
Paul Richardson Jr SEA at ATL 4100 11 12 - - 9 9 9 - 11 - 11.3
Terrance Williams DAL GB 3100 - 11 - - - - 1 - - - 11.6
Will Fuller V HOU at NE 3600 - 5 - 11 - - 12 12 12 - 11.7
Eli Rogers PIT at KC 3900 - - 12 10 - 10 10 - - 11 11.8
Jermaine Kearse SEA at ATL 3300 - - - - - - 3 - - - 12.0
Geronimo Allison GB at DAL 3900 - - - 12 - 12 - 5 - - 12.0
Mohamed Sanu ATL SEA 4000 - - - - - - 7 - - - 12.4
Taylor Gabriel ATL SEA 4400 - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 12.4
Cole Beasley DAL GB 5000 - - 9 - - - - - - - 12.6
Malcolm Mitchell NE HOU 4700 10 - - - - - - - - - 12.7
Michael Floyd NE HOU 3800 - - - - - 11 - - - 12 12.7

With Jordy Nelson looking doubtful for this game, Davante Adams ($7,000) and Randall Cobb ($5,700) will see an increase in targets and opportunities. Aaron Rodgers has thrown for four touchdowns in three consecutive games. He's hot right now and his receiver playmakers are cashing in with big games. 

Another receiver to look at includes Dez Bryant ($6,600) who seems underpriced considering the opponent and his history in the second half of the season. Since Week 8 Bryant has 7 touchdowns and didn't play Week 17. He has at least 70 yards receiving or a score in 7 of the last 9 games. He's someone who could light up your lineup with a big game that isn't too expensive at only $6,600. 

Antonio Brown ($9,600) and Julio Jones ($8,400) are two high-talent receivers with the potential to put up good numbers for us this weekend. Brown is coming off a big wildcard game with two scores and 100+ yards. In Week 4 against Kansas City he also had two scores. Pittsburgh will look to throw to their prized receiver and they have the offense to produce against the toughest of opponents. Jones has the benefit of playing at home, but Seattle is not a defense that will allow opposing receivers to run rampant on them. Atlanta averages over 30 points per game at home and Jones is considered matchup-proof. He's someone to target, especially if you expect a shootout to occur. The Vegas over/under is 51.5, so it's safe to say the oddsmakers think it will be a close game with both teams putting up strong point totals. 

Julian Edelman ($6,800), Doug Baldwin ($8,100) and Jeremy Maclin are next on the rankings list. New England is not known for calling off the dogs if the point margin rises. With that in mind, Edelman is a player who could see consistent targets all game long, especially in the first half. Baldwin is Russell Wilson's top target this year and the matchup against Atlanta is favorable. A multiple touchdown game is not far-fetched.Jeremy Maclin has 6, 3, and 4 receptions in the last three games. There's a chance he could be a reliable target for Alex Smith where he could see over five receptions, especially if the Chiefs need to overcome a deficit. I envision a close game that may not be as high scoring as the last outing, that Pittsburgh won 43-14. 

Howe

Davante AdamsAdams may or may not be Aaron Rodgers' #1 target this weekend, but he'll be the top outside receiver and see plenty of splash-play opportunity.

Jeremy MaclinTyreek Hill or no, Maclin remains Alex Smith's most dependable target, and one who could run circles around the Steelers' shaky secondary.

Alexander

Terrance WilliamsWilliams should be able to get behind Green Bay's dismal secondary for a big play or two while the Packers focus defensive attention on Dez Bryant. At $100 over the min-price, Williams offers 6x upside and considerable salary relief.

Randall CobbJordy Nelson is almost assuredly out, which means more targets for Cobb. Expecting another three touchdown game would be foolish, but Cobb is cheap and Dallas has struggled to defend slot receivers this year (including Cobb who went 7-53-1 against them in Week 6).

Jermaine KearseAtlanta allowed 45% more fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers than the league average over the last five weeks of the regular season. Like Williams, his upside is 6x his salary.

Davante AdamsGets a bump with Jordy sidelined -- high touchdown probability.

Julian EdelmanEdelman will lead the division round in targets and it won't be close.

Dez BryantDez is a solid bet to abuse Green Bay's depleted secondary and is still relatively affordable.

Wood

Davante AdamsHe'll be the chalk play at this price, with Nelson out

Julio Jones$1.2K cheaper than Antonio Brown, playing at home vs Brown on road

Will Fuller VCall it gut, but I see Fuller as being a potential GPP winning asset this week

Doug BaldwinHis price is higher than I would like, or he would rank higher

Randall Cobb3 TDs will inflate his ownership, so better to fade but not completely

Feery

Davante AdamsAdams will see a plethora of targets this week, and the Cowboys have shown some leaks in the secondary. 

Hindery

Geronimo AllisonAllison has played at least 40 snaps in each of the Packers last three games. He should see the field extensively against Dallas with Jordy Nelson likely out.

Mamula

Davante AdamsIf Jordy Nelson is out, Adams will be a "target hog." 12 targets last week

Dez BryantGreat price point at $6,600 on DK. Will be throwing up the "X" in the end zone at least once this weekend

Tyreek HillIf Hill gets in the open field, the Steelers aren't catching him

DRAFTKINGS CONSENSUS RANKINGS: tight end

Player Matchup Opp Price Haseley Wood Brimacombe Hindery Knotts Grant Alexander Howe Mamula Feery Avg
Jason Witten DAL GB 3500 3 2 3 1 2 2 1 3 2 1 2.0
Travis Kelce KC PIT 6100 1 3 2 3 3 1 3 5 1 3 2.5
Jared Cook GB at DAL 3900 7 5 6 2 5 3 2 2 4 2 3.8
Martellus Bennett NE HOU 4000 2 6 1 6 6 4 5 1 3 5 3.9
Jimmy Graham SEA at ATL 4900 5 1 4 4 4 5 4 4 5 4 4.0
C.J. Fiedorowicz HOU at NE 3600 4 4 5 5 1 6 6 6 6 6 4.9
Jesse James PIT at KC 2800 - 7 9 9 7 - 7 7 7 - 7.7
Austin Hooper ATL SEA 2900 9 9 7 - - 7 9 - - 7 8.0
Ryan Griffin HOU at NE 2600 6 - - 7 9 9 - 9 9 9 8.2

The consensus is high on Jason Witten ($3,500) at home vs. Green Bay. Witten is the perfect receiver for Dak Prescott if Dallas is aiming for a ball-controlled game and high percentage pass attempts and routes run. Dez Bryant (and Ezekiel Elliott) may be the front-runners in the red zone, but Witten will command a lot of touches between the 20's. The value is almost too good to pass up. 

Travis Kelce ($6,100) has taken a big step forward this year and is the clear top option in the receiving game for Alex Smith and the Chiefs. Green Bay's secondary is a known weak spot that undoubtedly will be exploited. Look for Kelce to put up big numbers, especially if he starts off strong in the first half. 

Other options to consider include Martellus Bennett ($4,000) and Jared Cook ($3,900). Bennett has been dealing with lingering ankle issues for most of the season, however the bye week off most definitely helped him recover and recouperate to hopefully full strength. New England's potent offense has been known to use Bennett in several different ways. He is one to consider this week as a tight end who could pay big divdends. Jared Cook may see more targets, especially if Jordy Nelson is going to be out. Cook has come on strong at the end of the season and has earned the targets that are coming his way (third most on the team since Week 14). 

Howe

Martellus BennettBennett is priced appropriately and carries as strong a chance to catch a touchdown as any Patriot.

Jared CookWith Jordy Nelson out, Cook would almost certainly benefit from a 40-attempt Aaron Rodgers day.

Alexander

Jason WittenAnother undervalued piece of the Dallas passing game, Witten easily has 4x in his range of outcomes.

Jared CookDallas was eviscerated by tight ends over the last five weeks of the season, giving up 335% more fantasy points per game to the position than the league average.

Jimmy GrahamThis year's cumulative TE1 is well worth paying up for in a plus home matchup.

Wood

Ryan GriffinTD dependent but will be low owned, thus gives you needed differentiation

Feery

Jason WittenThe masses will flock to Kelce, but I'll save some money and bank on the Cowboys passing game having some nice upside on this short slate. 

Mamula

Travis KelceThe top option at TE and it's not that close

DRAFTKINGS CONSENSUS RANKINGS: defense

Player Matchup Opp Price Haseley Wood Brimacombe Hindery Knotts Grant Alexander Howe Mamula Feery Avg
New England NE HOU 4000 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Kansas City KC PIT 3400 2 2 3 4 3 4 2 3 2 3 2.8
Pittsburgh PIT at KC 2900 4 6 2 3 6 2 4 4 3 2 3.6
Atlanta ATL SEA 2600 5 4 4 2 2 5 5 2 5 5 3.9
Dallas DAL GB 2700 3 5 5 6 4 3 6 5 4 4 4.5
Seattle SEA at ATL 3000 6 3 6 5 5 6 3 6 6 6 5.2

The consensus is unanimously in favor of New England ($4,000) at home vs. Houston as the defense play of the week. The Patriots are favored by more than two touchdowns and there is no other standout play to compete with. New England shut out Houston earlier in the season with Jacoby Brissett under center. It would be a giant upset if Houston is competitive. I'm expecting plenty of turnover opportunities especially if New England makes Houston one-dimensional. They are the chalk play this week and will be highly owned.

If you elect to go a different route other than New England, hoping for a defensive score or special teams play, take a look at Kansas City ($3,400). They are at home, where their crowd will be behind them. Ben Roethlisberger is dealing with a sore foot/ankle and Tyreek Hill looms as a punt returner who can do damage anytime he touches the ball. 

Grant

New England - Most expensive, but worth it vs. struggling Texans

Feery

New England - No need to overthink this one, the Patriots will have a field day with Osweiler. 

Mamula

New England - The Patriots defense will be the chalk this week

 

Questions, suggestions and comments are always welcome to haseley@footballguys.com


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