Dynasty Value Charts: Week 2

Dynasty value charts in both Standard and PPR scoring

Welcome to the second season of these dynasty player value charts at Footballguys. If you followed this column last year, you'll notice some changes to the format this year. Before we got into the charts I wanted to spend a brief moment talking about what the changes are and why they were implemented.

The first set of changes are all happening under the hood, as I've updated the algorithms used to improve cross-positional comparisons. The 2015 player values were built using fantasy data from a broad cross-section of leagues during the 2014 season. The problem is that every season is somewhat unique. Last year, for instance, was a terrible year for running back injuries. It also featured a lot of upheaval among early-round quarterbacks. 2014, on the other hand, was a very stable year for quarterbacks and tight ends.

Over the offseason I had a chance to extend my research, collecting data from leagues in 2015 and even a few in 2013. Incorporating this allows me to base player values on a broader range of outcomes, and does a lot to solve one of the biggest issues with last year's charts, in my opinion— just how much higher quarterbacks and tight ends wound up ranking compared to dynasty consensus.

The next change is purely cosmetic. Last year, my charts didn't have any scale, the value outputs simply were what they were. A 600 in one chart might be comparable to a 900 in another chart. The numbers were confusing and all over the place. This year, I've indexed all player value on a 100-point scale relative to the most valuable player in that particular format. If someone scores a 32, for instance, that means they are 32% as valuable as the top player in the format.

The final change will perhaps be the most controversial. Last year, I provided value charts for various different mindsets— contenders, rebuilders, balanced owners. I also provided in each chart several different measures of value— value over baseline, value over an average starter, and a combination of the two.

By doing this, I felt like I was giving the process a veneer of objectivity. But this is not at its heart an objective process. I have tried to take a rigorous and quantifiable approach to valuing players, but the end result is still the output of a wide variety of assumptions— Bob Henry's assumptions about player performance this year, and my own assumptions about how that projection relates to their true skill level.

Further, while I ultimately provided 18 different value comparisons, I myself did not feel like many of those comparisons were the best approach. The contender values I provided I personally felt were too short-sighted. The rebuilder values I provided were too far-sighted. It would be entirely possible for someone, using the subjective tools that I created to best reflect my own beliefs, could draw conclusions that I did not think should be drawn.

More than that, I think the result was again rather confusing. I had many people contact me asking me which values they should be using. I had people asking how to compare across charts, such as when one person was rebuilding and the other was contending. The point of a value chart is to make comparisons easier, not harder.

To that end, I've decided this year to eliminate the 18 different value measures and just provide two— one for PPR and one for standard. These are the player valuations that I officially endorse and recommend you use for best results. You can read more on how these values were compiled right here.

As always, thank you to everyone who has contacted me via email at Harstad@Footballguys.com or via twitter at @AdamHarstad. Your input and feedback has helped improve and refine these charts, and any further input and feedback is always appreciated. I'm always striving to make something that is maximally useful.

I'll write more about the process at arriving at these new weights and numbers through the year, but there's been enough delay already. Without further ado, here are the new and improved, easier-to-use, easier-to-understand dynasty value charts.


 Standard Scoring Value Charts

Overall RankNameAgePositionPositional RankValue
1 Odell Beckham Jr Jr 24 WR 1 100.0
2 Ezekiel Elliott 21 RB 1 95.2
3 Todd Gurley 22 RB 2 90.5
4 David Johnson 25 RB 3 88.2
5 Julio Jones 27 WR 2 83.0
6 Antonio Brown 28 WR 3 82.4
7 Le'Veon Bell 24 RB 4 77.2
8 DeAndre Hopkins 24 WR 4 71.6
9 Cam Newton 27 QB 1 69.1
10 A.J. Green 28 WR 5 68.9
11 Lamar Miller 25 RB 5 67.2
12 Allen Robinson 23 WR 6 65.7
13 Andrew Luck 27 QB 2 64.5
14 Rob Gronkowski 27 TE 1 64.3
15 Mike Evans 23 WR 7 63.3
16 Amari Cooper 22 WR 8 60.8
17 Alshon Jeffery 26 WR 9 58.0
18 Sammy Watkins 23 WR 10 57.7
19 Russell Wilson 28 QB 3 55.8
20 Devonta Freeman 24 RB 6 55.5
21 C.J. Anderson 25 RB 7 53.3
22 Brandin Cooks 23 WR 11 50.9
23 Doug Martin 27 RB 8 46.4
24 Carlos Hyde 25 RB 9 44.5
25 Mark Ingram II 27 RB 10 44.5
26 Keenan Allen 24 WR 12 44.0
27 T.Y. Hilton 27 WR 13 44.0
28 Aaron Rodgers 33 QB 4 43.8
29 Melvin Gordon III 23 RB 11 43.4
30 Eddie Lacy 25 RB 12 43.3
31 Tyler Eifert 26 TE 2 41.8
32 Dez Bryant 28 WR 14 41.8
33 Jeremy Hill 24 RB 13 40.8
34 Jordan Reed 26 TE 3 40.6
35 Donte Moncrief 23 WR 15 39.7
36 Kelvin Benjamin 25 WR 16 39.3
37 Adrian Peterson 31 RB 14 37.9
38 Blake Bortles 25 QB 5 37.8
39 Sterling Shepard 22 WR 17 37.5
40 Derrick Henry 22 RB 15 37.4
41 Ameer Abdullah 23 RB 16 36.6
42 Laquon Treadwell 21 WR 18 35.3
43 Jameis Winston 22 QB 6 35.3
44 Randall Cobb 26 WR 19 34.4
45 Willie Snead IV 24 WR 20 34.2
46 Jamaal Charles 30 RB 17 33.8
47 Corey Coleman 22 WR 21 33.8
48 Jarvis Landry 24 WR 22 33.6
49 Demaryius Thomas 29 WR 23 33.2
50 Jeremy Langford 25 RB 18 33.1
51 Jordan Matthews 24 WR 24 32.8
52 Tajae Sharpe 22 WR 25 32.5
53 Will Fuller V 22 WR 26 32.1
54 LeSean McCoy 28 RB 19 31.9
55 Jordy Nelson 31 WR 27 31.9
56 Latavius Murray 25 RB 20 31.8
57 Isaiah Crowell 23 RB 21 30.8
58 Kevin White 24 WR 28 30.0
59 Josh Doctson 24 WR 29 30.0
60 Thomas Rawls 23 RB 22 30.0
61 Travis Kelce 27 TE 4 29.9
62 Tevin Coleman 23 RB 23 29.8
63 Jeremy Maclin 28 WR 30 29.4
64 Dion Lewis 26 RB 24 29.3
65 Marvin Jones Jr 26 WR 31 28.8
66 Brandon Marshall 32 WR 32 28.3
67 Tyler Lockett 24 WR 33 28.1
68 Josh Gordon 25 WR 34 28.0
69 Eric Decker 29 WR 35 27.6
70 Stefon Diggs 22 WR 36 27.1
71 Drew Brees 37 QB 7 27.1
72 DeMarco Murray 28 RB 25 26.7
73 Doug Baldwin 28 WR 37 26.7
74 Giovani Bernard 25 RB 26 26.5
75 Matt Forte 31 RB 27 25.1
76 Phillip Dorsett 23 WR 38 25.0
77 Allen Hurns 25 WR 39 25.0
78 Marcus Mariota 23 QB 8 24.8
79 Michael Thomas 23 WR 40 24.8
80 Tom Brady 39 QB 9 24.3
81 Eric Ebron 23 TE 5 23.8
82 Greg Olsen 31 TE 6 23.5
83 Kenneth Dixon 22 RB 28 22.9
84 Tyler Boyd 22 WR 41 22.5
85 Michael Floyd 27 WR 42 21.6
86 Matthew Stafford 28 QB 10 21.4
87 Charles Sims 26 RB 29 20.6
88 John Brown 26 WR 43 20.1
89 Theo Riddick 25 RB 30 19.9
90 Ryan Mathews 29 RB 31 19.8
91 Matt Jones 24 RB 32 19.0
92 Julius Thomas 28 TE 7 18.9
93 Emmanuel Sanders 29 WR 44 18.6
94 Jonathan Stewart 29 RB 33 18.2
95 Arian Foster 30 RB 34 18.0
96 Carson Wentz 24 QB 11 18.0
97 Ben Roethlisberger 34 QB 12 17.8
98 Larry Fitzgerald 33 WR 45 17.8
99 DeSean Jackson 30 WR 46 17.3
100 Spencer Ware 25 RB 35 17.1
101 Eli Manning 35 QB 13 16.9
102 Duke Johnson Jr 23 RB 36 16.3
103 Tavon Austin 25 WR 47 16.2
104 Jared Goff 22 QB 14 16.2
105 Breshad Perriman 23 WR 48 16.0
106 Rashad Jennings 31 RB 37 15.7
107 Michael Crabtree 29 WR 49 15.5
108 Paxton Lynch 22 QB 15 14.8
109 Kirk Cousins 28 QB 16 14.6
110 T.J. Yeldon 23 RB 38 14.6
111 Danny Woodhead 31 RB 39 14.6
112 Dwayne Allen 26 TE 8 13.8
113 Golden Tate 28 WR 50 13.6
114 Zach Ertz 26 TE 9 13.3
115 Carson Palmer 37 QB 17 12.9
116 Delanie Walker 32 TE 10 12.8
117 Frank Gore 33 RB 40 12.3
118 Ryan Tannehill 28 QB 18 12.3
119 Hunter Henry 22 TE 11 12.2
120 Derek Carr 25 QB 19 11.9
121 Andy Dalton 29 QB 20 11.7
122 DeAngelo Williams 33 RB 41 10.8
123 Dak Prescott 23 QB 21 10.5
124 Julian Edelman 30 WR 51 10.3
125 Travis Benjamin 27 WR 52 9.8
126 LeGarrette Blount 30 RB 42 8.9
127 Chris Ivory 28 RB 43 8.6
128 Devontae Booker 24 RB 44 8.0
129 Jerick McKinnon 24 RB 45 8.0
130 Alex Smith 32 QB 22 7.2
131 Antonio Gates 36 TE 12 6.2
132 Jason Witten 34 TE 13 6.0
133 Coby Fleener 28 TE 14 6.0
134 Tyrell Williams 24 WR 53 5.8
135 Philip Rivers 35 QB 23 5.3
136 Christine Michael 26 RB 46 4.9
137 Austin Hooper 22 TE 15 4.1
138 Jimmy Garoppolo 25 QB 24 3.7
139 Mohamed Sanu 27 WR 54 3.7
140 Kyle Rudolph 27 TE 16 3.2
141 Austin Seferian-Jenkins 24 TE 17 2.6
142 Torrey Smith 27 WR 55 2.4
143 Ladarius Green 26 TE 18 2.1
144 Vincent Jackson 33 WR 56 2.0
145 Tyler Ervin 23 RB 47 1.8
146 Gary Barnidge 31 TE 19 1.5
147 Zach Miller 32 TE 20 1.4
148 Vance McDonald 26 TE 21 1.2

 


 

PPR Player Values

Overall RankNameAgePositionPositional RankValue
1 Odell Beckham Jr Jr 24 WR 1 100.0
2 Julio Jones 27 WR 2 88.8
3 Antonio Brown 28 WR 3 88.3
4 DeAndre Hopkins 24 WR 4 87.0
5 Allen Robinson 23 WR 5 74.2
6 A.J. Green 28 WR 6 70.7
7 Amari Cooper 22 WR 7 68.2
8 David Johnson 25 RB 1 67.3
9 Mike Evans 23 WR 8 63.6
10 Sammy Watkins 23 WR 9 59.0
11 Ezekiel Elliott 21 RB 2 58.4
12 Le'Veon Bell 24 RB 3 57.8
13 Brandin Cooks 23 WR 10 56.1
14 Rob Gronkowski 27 TE 1 55.4
15 Todd Gurley 22 RB 4 55.1
16 Alshon Jeffery 26 WR 11 53.3
17 Donte Moncrief 23 WR 12 51.8
18 Cam Newton 27 QB 1 51.5
19 Keenan Allen 24 WR 13 50.0
20 Andrew Luck 27 QB 2 48.1
21 Lamar Miller 25 RB 5 47.1
22 Jarvis Landry 24 WR 14 41.9
23 Russell Wilson 28 QB 3 41.6
24 Dez Bryant 28 WR 15 40.4
25 T.Y. Hilton 27 WR 16 39.8
26 Jordan Reed 26 TE 2 38.0
27 Randall Cobb 26 WR 17 37.2
28 Willie Snead IV 24 WR 18 37.1
29 Sterling Shepard 22 WR 19 36.6
30 Jordan Matthews 24 WR 20 35.7
31 C.J. Anderson 25 RB 6 34.9
32 Tyler Eifert 26 TE 3 34.6
33 Corey Coleman 22 WR 21 33.5
34 Laquon Treadwell 21 WR 22 33.3
35 Aaron Rodgers 33 QB 4 32.7
36 Travis Kelce 27 TE 4 32.6
37 Jeremy Maclin 28 WR 23 32.0
38 Devonta Freeman 24 RB 7 31.9
39 Demaryius Thomas 29 WR 24 31.3
40 Will Fuller V 22 WR 25 31.3
41 Kelvin Benjamin 25 WR 26 31.0
42 Jordy Nelson 31 WR 27 30.6
43 Doug Baldwin 28 WR 28 30.3
44 Marvin Jones Jr 26 WR 29 30.2
45 Brandon Marshall 32 WR 30 30.0
46 Kevin White 24 WR 31 29.8
47 Tajae Sharpe 22 WR 32 29.3
48 Stefon Diggs 22 WR 33 29.3
49 Tyler Lockett 24 WR 34 28.8
50 Eric Decker 29 WR 35 28.7
51 Blake Bortles 25 QB 5 28.1
52 Dion Lewis 26 RB 8 26.3
53 Jameis Winston 22 QB 6 26.3
54 Josh Doctson 24 WR 36 26.1
55 Josh Gordon 25 WR 37 25.9
56 Greg Olsen 31 TE 5 25.5
57 Mark Ingram II 27 RB 9 25.2
58 Tyler Boyd 22 WR 38 25.1
59 Eric Ebron 23 TE 6 24.6
60 Doug Martin 27 RB 10 24.5
61 Michael Thomas 23 WR 39 24.2
62 Theo Riddick 25 RB 11 23.1
63 Charles Sims 26 RB 12 22.7
64 Jamaal Charles 30 RB 13 22.6
65 Larry Fitzgerald 33 WR 40 22.6
66 Emmanuel Sanders 29 WR 41 22.3
67 Tavon Austin 25 WR 42 22.1
68 Derrick Henry 22 RB 14 21.8
69 Phillip Dorsett 23 WR 43 21.1
70 Michael Floyd 27 WR 44 21.1
71 Golden Tate 28 WR 45 21.0
72 Allen Hurns 25 WR 46 20.7
73 Jeremy Langford 25 RB 15 20.6
74 Giovani Bernard 25 RB 16 20.3
75 Drew Brees 37 QB 7 20.2
76 Julius Thomas 28 TE 7 20.0
77 Michael Crabtree 29 WR 47 20.0
78 John Brown 26 WR 48 19.9
79 Breshad Perriman 23 WR 49 19.8
80 Adrian Peterson 31 RB 17 19.5
81 Thomas Rawls 23 RB 18 19.1
82 Matt Forte 31 RB 19 18.7
83 Marcus Mariota 23 QB 8 18.5
84 Julian Edelman 30 WR 50 18.1
85 Tom Brady 39 QB 9 18.1
86 LeSean McCoy 28 RB 20 16.7
87 Matthew Stafford 28 QB 10 15.9
88 Latavius Murray 25 RB 21 15.7
89 Carlos Hyde 25 RB 22 15.7
90 Zach Ertz 26 TE 8 15.4
91 Melvin Gordon III 23 RB 23 15.2
92 Jeremy Hill 24 RB 24 15.1
93 Eddie Lacy 25 RB 25 14.8
94 DeMarco Murray 28 RB 26 14.8
95 Delanie Walker 32 TE 9 13.8
96 Carson Wentz 24 QB 11 13.4
97 Tevin Coleman 23 RB 27 13.4
98 Ben Roethlisberger 34 QB 12 13.3
99 Duke Johnson Jr 23 RB 28 13.1
100 Dwayne Allen 26 TE 10 12.9
101 Danny Woodhead 31 RB 29 12.6
102 Eli Manning 35 QB 13 12.6
103 Ameer Abdullah 23 RB 30 12.1
104 Jared Goff 22 QB 14 12.0
105 DeSean Jackson 30 WR 51 11.9
106 Travis Benjamin 27 WR 52 11.8
107 Paxton Lynch 22 QB 15 11.0
108 Kirk Cousins 28 QB 16 10.9
109 Hunter Henry 22 TE 11 10.6
110 Carson Palmer 37 QB 17 9.6
111 Ryan Tannehill 28 QB 18 9.2
112 Jason Witten 34 TE 12 8.9
113 Arian Foster 30 RB 31 8.9
114 Derek Carr 25 QB 19 8.9
115 Andy Dalton 29 QB 20 8.7
116 Mohamed Sanu 27 WR 53 8.2
117 Kenneth Dixon 22 RB 32 8.0
118 Dak Prescott 23 QB 21 7.9
119 Jerick McKinnon 24 RB 33 6.0
120 Antonio Gates 36 TE 13 5.8
121 Alex Smith 32 QB 22 5.4
122 Isaiah Crowell 23 RB 34 5.1
123 Christine Michael 26 RB 35 4.5
124 Austin Hooper 22 TE 14 4.5
125 DeAngelo Williams 33 RB 36 4.5
126 Coby Fleener 28 TE 15 4.5
127 Frank Gore 33 RB 37 4.2
128 Kyle Rudolph 27 TE 16 4.0
129 Philip Rivers 35 QB 23 3.9
130 Austin Seferian-Jenkins 24 TE 17 3.2
131 Jimmy Garoppolo 25 QB 24 2.8
132 Rashad Jennings 31 RB 38 2.6
133 Ladarius Green 26 TE 18 2.6
134 Ryan Mathews 29 RB 39 1.7
135 Zach Miller 32 TE 19 1.6
136 Tyler Ervin 23 RB 40 1.3
137 Gary Barnidge 31 TE 20 1.1

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