Footballguys Mock Draft #8: 12-Team FPC Scoring

Photo: Kim Klement, USA Today Sports

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On August 5th, the Footballguys staff completed a 12-team FPC rules mock draft with dual flex spots. Below is the league's scoring and bylaws.

LEAGUE PARAMETERS

• 12 teams 

• 20 roster spots

• Starting Lineup

• 1 quarterback

• 2 running backs

• 2 wide receivers

• 1 tight end

• 2 flex (either a running back, wide receiver, or tight end)

• 1 place kicker

• 1 team defense

LEAGUE SCORING

• Offensive Players

• 4 points - passing touchdown

• -1 points - interception thrown

• 6 points - rushing/receiving touchdown

• 0.05 points - passing yard

• 0.1 points - rushing/receiving yard

• 1 point - receptions (QB/RB/WR)

• 1.5 points - receptions (TE)

• Place Kickers

• 3 points - field goal up to 30 yards

• 0.1 points - each additional yard beyond 30

• 1 point - each extra point

• Team Defense

• 6 points - touchdown

• 2 points - turnover forced

• 5 points - safety

• 1 point - sack

• 12 points - shutout

• 8 points - 1-6 points allowed

• 5 points - 7-10 points allowed

THE DRAFT ORDER

The draft order was randomly generated. After the first round, the draft continues in a regular serpentine manner. Click here for the Full Draft, pick by pick.

1. Justin Bonnema

2. Steve Holloway

3. Austin Lee

4. Chris Feery

5. Aaron Rudnicki

6. Steve Buzzard

7. Jason Wood

8. John Mamula

9. Chad Parsons

10. Cian Fahey

11. John Lee

12. James Brimacombe

Starting with Justin Bonnema from the 1.01 spot, we will go over each person's selections in the mock draft.

JUSTIN BONNEMA - DRAFT POSITION 1

OVERALL STRATEGY:

Traditional Start

BEST PICK:

Russell Wilson, QB3, 6.12. Waiting at quarterback is an industry staple, but being able to add Wilson this late is a luxury nonetheless. The dynamic Seahawks quarterback was sixth in fantasy scoring last season on the wings of his league-leading 849 rushing yards and six touchdowns. His rushing prowess returns, and he has a bona fide weapon in the passing game now—tight end Jimmy Graham.

WORST PICK:

Donte Moncrief, WR49, 10.12. Somehow taking the fourth receiver on his team’s depth chart as the third receiver on your fantasy squad seems like a bad idea. Granted, Moncrief hasn’t been shoved aside just yet, but the Colts haven’t exactly given him a vote of confidence this offseason. Not only did they sign Andre Johnson—whom Bonnema also selected in the draft—but they drafted speedster Phillip Dorsett in the first round of the draft. Along with starting wideout T.Y. Hilton, tight ends Coby Fleener and Dwayne Allen, and running back Frank Gore, Moncrief is going to struggle to see targets this season.

EVALUATION:

Bonnema took three running backs in the first four rounds and five before taking his third receiver. A strong stable should make for big outputs at the position every week, but picking C.J. Anderson first overall was eyebrow raising to say the least. Bonnema was clearly a fan of the Indianapolis passing game, but he may have taken the worst trio possible. Andre Johnson could thrive now that he has a bona fide quarterback, but he is also a big wideout who just turned 34. Coby Fleener outshined Dwayne Allen last season, but only because the latter was injured. Then there is the aforementioned Moncrief debacle.

This team will be strong at quarterback and running back, but it’ll be white-knuckling its way through receivers and tight ends this season.

Post Draft Questions

STEVE HOLLOWAY - DRAFT POSITION 2

OVERALL STRATEGY:

A Gronking to Remember

BEST PICK:

Andre Ellington, RB23, 5.02. You could do worse if you wait at running back.

Last season’s abysmal output could be traced to a foot injury Ellington dealt with for much of the year. He lacked the explosiveness we came to love from his rookie season, and it appears many fantasy owners are still healing after getting burned. Ellington still managed to rank 20th in fantasy scoring last year despite missing four games.

WORST PICK:

Broncos Defense, DST6, 14.11. There are times you need to take a player in the middle of a draft run at the position so that you’re not left choking on the dust. This is not one of those times.

Taking a defense this early makes a lot more sense in best-ball situations, namely because you will need to take at least two to be successful. Given this wasn’t a best-ball mock draft, however, it was a bit of a head-scratcher to see a run in the 14th round, culminating with the Denver Broncos, of all teams.

EVALUATION:

Go big or go home, that’s the Hollo-way. Taking Rob Gronkowski and Andrew Luck with his first two picks in this format, Holloway likely has the top scorer at the tight end and quarterback positions, respectively. He probably could have chanced taking Luck after the turn—it wasn’t good value in the second round, especially in hindsight—but DeAndre Hopkins was a nice consolation in the third. This draft strategy was a much more comfortable to go “Zero RB”—take a couple of guys in the middle rounds while asserting yourself elsewhere early. Even better, those two guys should be heavily involved in the passing game.

Assuming health, Gronk and Luck will buoy this team throughout the season.

Post Draft Questions

AUSTIN LEE - DRAFT POSITION 3

OVERALL STRATEGY:

Checking All the Boxes

BEST PICK:

Drew Brees, QB5, 9.03. Considering Andrew Luck was taken so early, it’s a wonder Drew Brees lasted this late, even in a draft among experts. Lee was able to snag a top-five option at the position in the ninth round while vacuuming up value at running back and receiver in the process. He also kicked off the first major run at the quarterback position in the draft.

WORST PICK:

Devonta Freeman, RB32, 7.03. Running backs were drying up, so it’s understandable why Lee jumped on Freeman here. But what good is he going to do behind Tevin Coleman—who was the 31st running back off the board in this draft—on the depth chart?

Granted, we don’t know that’s going to happen, but Freeman didn’t do much to stake claim to the starting gig as a rookie, and the Falcons did him no favors by taking Coleman in the third round this year.

EVALUATION:

Lee did almost everything right in this draft in order to field a balanced team. His first four picks were an excellent mix of upside and stability, and he did a nice job filling out the roster all around.

Eschewing the quarterback position didn’t hurt Lee one bit given Brees fell to him in the ninth round, and Larry Donnell should fill in nicely at tight end while Lee awaits Antonio Gates’ return from suspension. Lee even waited until the last two rounds to draft his defense and kicker, something we should all strive to do in traditional redraft formats.

Post Draft Questions

CHRIS FEERY - DRAFT POSITION 4

OVERALL STRATEGY:

Stockpiling youth

BEST PICK:

Joe Flacco, QB21, 16.09. We’ll get into Feery’s first pick at quarterback in a minute, but I have a feeling his second choice might see the starting lineup a good amount this season. That’s because Joe Flacco is poised to break out in the fantasy realm under new offensive coordinator and fabled quarterback whisperer Marc Trestman.

WORST PICK:

Teddy Bridgewater, QB9, 11.04. Feery got a bit cute taking Owen Daniels as his second tight end, but he ultimately didn’t lose a starting quarterback to the strategy. With Cam Newton, Ryan Tannehill, Philip Rivers and even Eli Manning still on the board, Feery was going to get great value. Instead he took Teddy Bridgewater.

True, Bridgewater had a nice second half and got an upgrade to his arsenal this offseason, but why forego Newton? They both have some upside as rushers, but the latter uses that rushing ability with purpose and great effect in the fantasy realm. He should have a big bounce-back, too, assuming he doesn’t break another rib this preseason.

EVALUATION:

There is plenty of youthful depth at running back and wide receiver here. That will be especially helpful as Le’Veon Bell makes his way back from a reduced, two-game suspension and a balky knee that was still not 100 percent heading into training camp. At receiver, Brandin Cooks and Jarvis Landry will be PPR maniacs in 2015, and Amari Cooper provides some serious upside as a rookie.

The decision to take four tight ends was a curious one, even in this format. Teams can start two, but taking almost as many tight ends as Feery did wideouts was a bit of a head-scratcher.

Post Draft Questions

1. You selected two running backs to begin your draft. Explain why you chose this approach and how it can be beneficial?

It was mainly the way this particular draft played out. Selecting from the No.4 spot in Round 1, I was pretty confident going in that Rob Gronkowski would be selected with one of the first three picks, guaranteeing me one of my top three picks at running back. Gronkowski went off the board at No.2 and several stud RBs were still available at No.4 when I chose Le’Veon Bell. As with any draft, I have a game plan going in but ultimately have to see how the rest of the draft plays out and adapt accordingly. When it was time for my round two pick, nine RBs had already been selected and the top two tight ends in this TE-friendly league were already off the board. Wide receiver is very deep, I was confident there would still be solid choices available for the next two rounds and I would be able to find a good quarterback in later rounds. Jeremy Hill, who I view as a top ten back for this year, was available and I viewed it as a great opportunity to solidify my team with two top ten backs. I may have gone wide receiver if only backs outside of my top ten were on the board, but Hill was available so I pulled the trigger. The benefit is that I solidified the running back position early and did not place myself in a position where I overvalued my second running back with a player I may not be as high on. Running back locked and loaded, I was able to focus on balancing out the rest of my team over the remainder of the draft.  

2. What factors are most important to you when selecting your defense? 

The ability to generate turnovers and place pressure on the quarterback are my top two factors, followed by opponents on schedule for the upcoming season. Turnovers are pretty hard to predict on a year-to-year basis but a good defensive scheme that can generate pressure is easy to spot. In a perfect world, I’d like a top five projected defense. In this particular draft, four defenses had come off the board before my round fourteen pick. If I wanted one of my top five defenses, now was the time to move and the Houston Texans happened to be available. The prospect of J.J. Watt plus the added bonus of a defense that has to play well if the team has any prayer of chasing a wild card were too good to pass up. If selecting a top five defense doesn’t break right, I’ll look to defenses that will be facing several projected weak offenses for the upcoming season. Poor offenses create opportunities for even the lesser-regarded defenses. Teams with a few of them on their schedule could be a nice source of points for your team.

3. What late round wide receivers are you targeting in drafts this year?  Explain why you have high expectations for them?

Wide receiver is extremely deep but there are several on my short list as drafts turn into the double-digit rounds. I love the upside for both Markus Wheaton and Reuben Randle in particular this season. I’m viewing the Steelers as a potential top 5 offense and the Giants could surprise some people with their potency in year two of the Ben McAdoo offense. Both quarterbacks have given the aforementioned receivers glowing reviews this offseason and have also commented on their expectations for high-scoring offenses in 2015. Even if both turn out to be the third wide receiver for their teams, there will be plenty of targets to go around and they provide great upside for later round wide receivers. For the much later rounds, I’m high on two receivers from the NFC South. Leonard Hankerson has been impressive this offseason for Atlanta and appears to be locked in as the third wide receiver. While the Falcons will go with a more balanced approach this season, I expect Hankerson to receive his fair share of opportunities – especially with an aging Roddy White as the second option. An intriguing late-round flyer from New Orleans is also on my radar. Brandon Coleman, a 6’6’ 225 lb. undrafted free agent, has been turning heads at Saints camp and could be in the mix for the third wide receiver role. We’ll have to see how it continues to play out through the preseason, but he could be the next Saints wide receiver to seemingly come out of nowhere and be a productive part of the offense.  

AARON RUDNICKI - DRAFT POSITION 5

OVERALL STRATEGY:

Having the Best Draft

BEST PICK:

Alfred Blue, RB48, 11.05. This may prove to be nothing if the Texans decide to sign Chris Johnson or Ray Rice or Arian Foster somehow makes it back in September. But it was a bit of a shock to see Alfred Blue fall so far given the current situation in Houston. Blue could wind up being waiver wire fodder, or he could put up a top-20 fantasy season.

WORST PICK:

Jay Cutler, QB20, 16.08. This was an excellent draft, so it’s difficult to pinpoint a bad pick. Perhaps David Cobb as Rudnicki’s third running back would do here, but Rudnicki was clearly trying to throw late-round darts at the position on purpose.

Rudnicki could have gone without a second quarterback. Or he could have gone with someone other than Jay Cutler, who is just as liable to put up a goose egg when called to action than do anything great. Joe Flacco was still available. Just saying.

EVALUATION:

Pass-catching volume runners? Check. Target hogs at receiver and tight end? Check. A quarterback with top-five potential? You betcha.

There wasn’t much to dislike about this draft. Rudnicki got his two starting running backs with PPR upside early, then he sat back and let the draft come to him. Who cares that his depth is questionable? That’s what the waiver wire is for.

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STEVE BUZZARD - DRAFT POSITION 6

OVERALL STRATEGY:

Team "Small Receiver"

BEST PICK:

Danny Woodhead, RB45, 10.07. This might seem counterintuitive considering Buzzard took fellow Chargers running back Melvin Gordon in the third round. Both might be found in his starting lineup on occasion this season, though.

That’s because Woodhead still figures to be a big part of the offense, namely in the passing game. That much was true two years ago, when the diminutive back ranked 12th in PPR scoring in his first season with the Chargers.

WORST PICK:

Packers Defense, DST15. This isn’t a best-ball league. Sure, there are deep benches, but there is really no reason to take two defenses in traditional formats.

EVALUATION:

This was easily the most interesting draft of all.

Buzzard not only went Zero RB to a degree—taking only rookie Melvin Gordon in the early rounds at the position—but he did so in order to stockpile small receivers. Antonio Brown, Randall Cobb and Emmanuel Sanders all happen to be a few of the 12 receivers under six feet tall who have scored over 200 standard fantasy points in NFL history. The problem here is that no diminutive receiver has ever repeated the feat.

Taking Arian Foster in the eighth round is one of those genius-or-insane moves we will know more about in a few weeks.

Post Draft Questions

1. You drafted four wide receivers in the first five picks of the draft. Explain why you chose this strategy and how it can be beneficial? 

This is actually not a strategy I usually take but wanted to try something different. My goal was to load up on wide receivers early since I could start up to four.  With the transition to a more pass heavy league it is often wise to start a wide receiver in your flex spots, plus they are cheaper. On the running back side I wanted to get a solid running back like Melvin Gordon or Frank Gore and then add Arian Foster for cheap later in the draft which would give me a top end team for the playoffs, if I got there. Until Foster came back I would use some cheap running backs that could compile cheap stats or running backs that have solid upside if the lead back went down. Unfortunately I didn't quite pull the trigger early enough on some of my key low end running backs like Chris Ivory. Overall, I like where things turned out but with a few breaks it would have worked perfectly.

2. Choose two players that you selected later in the draft and explain why you have interest in them this year. 

A lot of my success will rely on how long Arian Foster is out and how he performs when he gets back. I may have pulled the trigger a little early on Foster but I am a big believer in playing very aggressively in your fantasy leagues. My goal isn't to just put together a good team. It's to put together a team that can crush the others and win a championship. There is no easier way than by taking chances on guys like Arian Foster. 

3. Does your drafting strategy change knowing you can make in-season waiver pick ups? Explain why this could be beneficial. 

Absolutely! I wouldn't have tried this strategy at all in a best ball league. If the league has in-season moves it allows me to take some strategic risks where if I end up short at a specific position I can cobble together some guys off the waivers or make a trade. Both of which have been key to many of my championships over the years. 

JASON WOOD - DRAFT POSITION 7

OVERALL STRATEGY:

Take the Value, Leave the Cannoli

BEST PICK:

Tony Romo, QB8, 10.06. Wood had a fine draft, but there wasn’t one pick that screamed value. Philip Rivers might have qualified had Wood not taken a quarterback two rounds earlier.

That quarterback was Tony Romo, who was a pretty good pick all the way in the 10th round. I might have taken Cam Newton here, but Romo has top-five upside as long as he can stay healthy.

WORST PICK:

Vikings Defense, DST8, 15.07. What’s worse than taking a defense too early? How about taking two?

As we have already stated, there is little reason to take two defenses in a traditional formats. taking two before the 16th round is just throwing value out the window. (Incidentally, so is taking a kicker before the last round, which Wood also did.)

EVALUATION:

Julio Jones and Jimmy Graham will buttress this team nicely out of the first two round in this format—assuming they can stay healthy—while Lamar Miller and Mark Ingram provide some stability at running back in the next two. Allen Robinson’s value evaporated as he continues to get talked up, but he should be a nice second wideout.

Unfortunately, this draft seems like a low-ceiling, high-floor deal. Without a waiver wire stud, this team is doomed to solid-but-unspectacular scoring every week that is vulnerable to the ravages of bad luck.

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JOHN MAMULA - DRAFT POSITION 8

OVERALL STRATEGY:

Dominate Through the Air

BEST PICK:

Cam Newton, QB10, 11.08. The quarterback position might have been devalued in this draft, but this is just highway robbery.

Sure, Newton was a fantasy disaster for much of last season after being injured all offseason and easing his way into action behind an atrocious offensive line and throwing to a new crop of receivers. He still managed to score the eighth-most points per game.

WORST PICK:

Dwayne Bowe, WR62, 14.05. It’s not that Dwayne Bowe is a terrible value as the 62nd wide receiver off the board. It’s that he stinks, and so will that Cleveland Browns passing game.

EVALUATION:

Jordy Nelson and Odell Beckham Jr. will provide some serious fantasy fireworks for this squad, a nice 1-2 punch to start the draft. Greg Olsen was a nice value in the fourth round considering he’ll be getting 1.5 points per reception, and his quarterback was a screaming steal.

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CHAD PARSONS - DRAFT POSITION 9

OVERALL STRATEGY:

Late Round Quarterbacking

BEST PICK:

Marques Colston, WR52, 11.09. Parsons certainly went with a youthful array of wide receivers, but oldest entry might have been the best value.

Colston is no spring chicken at 32, and neither is his quarterback, Drew Brees. But the duo should be good for some big games this season, especially given Brees’ safety blanket was traded away this offseason.

WORST PICK:

Joique Bell, RB26, 5.09. It was a bit surprising to see Parsons take Joique Bell over rookie Ameer Abdullah, especially in this PPR format. Bell’s stock has steadily declined this offseason while Abdullah has impressed, and the latter has the pass-catching upside Bell does not possess. This pick was especially tough to like considering Parsons already had three running backs.

EVALUATION:

Holy running backs, Batman! This was the opposite of the “Zero RB” draft, not that there’s anything wrong with that.

Parsons took a whopping five backs in the first six rounds, choosing to stockpile young receivers and fortify a fragile position. The trouble is in finding them “playing time”—while you can theoretically start four every week, that seems sub-optimal in a format that favors tight ends and receivers.

Parsons stuck to his guns at quarterback, waiting all the way until the 14th round to snag an injury-prone guy with massive upside. If Sam Bradford can stay healthy, he’ll be huge in Chip Kelly’s offense and Parsons’ starting lineup.

Post Draft Questions

1. You selected three rookie wide receivers (Breshad Perriman, DeVante Parker and Dorial Green-Beckham. Explain which one you are most high on this year?

Breshad Perriman is my favorite blend of ceiling and floor as a WR3/4 this season. Perriman has Julio Jones-light qualities to his prospect profile, the Baltimore depth chart is wide open for a high snap count, Marc Trestman added to the mix, and Joe Flacco is a functional quarterback. Parker will likely be a slow starter, but with Odell Beckham-like potential in terms of mid-season impact. Green-Beckham is more of the boom-bust option where his touchdown upside rivals most at the position, but the weekly inconsistency and being completely unusable are likely road blocks.

2. You waited until the 14th round to select your only quarterback (Sam Bradford). Explain why you chose this strategy and why you like Bradford.

Quarterback is an easy position to wait on this year. Even with 10-15 quarterbacks off the board, options like Eli Manning, Sam Bradford, Joe Flacco, and Carson Palmer are readily available. Going with the late-round approach allows an owner to load up at other positions, plus no commitment to wait out a slow start from the low investment selection. Bradford is an ideal upside shot with an enticing Week 1 matchup and an up-tempo offense. If I do not like what I see, Bradford can be recycled to the waiver wire for a trendy Week 2 matchup or a hot quarterback from Week 1 with limited waiver wire competition from owners with a higher-level draft investment in their signal-caller.

3. Who is one player that you are avoiding in drafts this year? Explain why you're staying away.

Brandon Marshall is a player I will avoid at nearly all costs. Historically, wide receivers changing teams are poor bets to do anything but drop substantially in production the following season. Marshall is on the wrong side of the age curve and now enters a fantasy wasteland with the Jets. Geno Smith, Ryan Fitzpatrick, and Bryce Petty are arguably the worst quarterback trio in the NFL and fueling anything more than WR3/4 production, at best, for the top receiver is a significant leap of faith. Eric Decker is another functional receiver in the mix, sapping Marshall’s upside as well.

CIAN FAHEY - DRAFT POSITION 10

OVERALL STRATEGY:

Boom or Bust

BEST PICK:

Marshawn Lynch, RB6, 1.10. Sure, some are chalking up Lynch’s success over the past few years to good luck—he hasn’t had any injury woes to speak of, after all. His injury luck may have certainly played a part, but Lynch has also been a top-four fantasy scorer each of the past three seasons because he is pretty good, and his offense plays to his strengths. That won’t change much in 2015.

WORST PICK:

Julius Thomas, TE7, 5.10. This could have been Christine Michael, who could be on the roster bubble in Seattle. But he only cost a 15th-round pick—it’s Julius Thomas, a new member of quarterback purgatory in Jacksonville, who was a bad value.

Fahey not only took Thomas too early, he took the big tight end a round after having taken Travis Kelce. Granted, his strategy was clearly aimed at starting both, but a whole lotta good that’s going to do him when Thomas falls to the rest of the pack with Blake Bortles throwing him the ball this year instead of Peyton Manning.

EVALUATION:

Banking on tight ends isn’t a bad idea in this format, but it can backfire quickly if you take the wrong ones. Travis Kelce has all the upside in the world, but his volume—or lack thereof—might nullify the advantages in scoring. We’ve already discussed Thomas’ downside.

Fortunately, Fahey should have some stability at running back and wide receiver thanks to Lynch and Calvin Johnson. Beyond his first two picks, though, his roster is largely of the “boom or bust” variety.

Post Draft Questions

JOHN LEE - DRAFT POSITION 11

OVERALL STRATEGY:

Shoot from the Hip

BEST PICK:

Aaron Rodgers, QB2, 3.11. Again, it seems illogical to call a quarterback a great pick when so many fell so far, but Rodgers a full round after Andrew Luck is a win for Lee. Rodgers has been a top fantasy producer for a while now, a reliable starter whose only issue has been the occasional injury. He and Luck are ahead of the pack heading into 2015.

WORST PICK:

Rashad Jennings, RB28, 6.02. There is a good chance the new Thunder and Lightning—that would be Andre Williams and Shane Vereen—will eat up most of the touches in New York this season. That would be bad news for Rashad Jennings, whom Lee took early in the sixth round here. He would have been better off taking Vereen, who went a round later.

EVALUATION:

It almost seems like Lee panicked a bit when running backs flew off the board in the fourth and fifth rounds. Taking Jennings and Chris Ivory in consecutive picks so early were suboptimal moves that could hurt a team like this early.

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JAMES BRIMACOMBE - DRAFT POSITION 12

OVERALL STRATEGY:

Catch the Upside

BEST PICK:

Peyton Manning, QB7, 9.12. Peyton Manning is criminally underrated this season, and that proved true here. Few quarterbacks provide more upside in format that reward more passing yards than the 39-year-old. Heck, if he runs like he has in practice, it’ll be a nice bonus.

Reactions to Peyton Manning running the ball? Priceless. (pic via @Broncos) pic.twitter.com/AQAC3tqLaB

— Nicki Jhabvala (@NickiJhabvala) August 8, 2015

Despite an injury-fueled late-season decline that cost his fantasy owners dearly last year, Manning remains one of the best in the league. He could threaten 5,000 yards and 50 touchdowns yet again if health is a non-issue.

WORST PICK:

Richard Rodgers, TE19, 12.01. Sure, tight ends hold more value in this format, but does that mean anyone should take Richard Rodgers this early?

The Green Bay Packers haven’t exactly been a bastion of fantasy scoring at the position ever since Jermichael Finley roamed Lambeau Field. Heck, even in his heyday, Finley only ever exceeded five touchdowns once. Rodgers has some appeal because of his eponymous quarterback, but it’ll be impossible to tell when to start him effectively.

EVALUATION:

Brimacombe took two home run hacks at the turn when Dez Bryant fell to him alongside Demaryius Thomas. Those two are invaluable in PPR leagues, and Brimacombe was sitting pretty right out of the gate. Combined with Martavis Bryant—assuming his demotion isn’t somehow permanent—this should be a fun receiving corps with the capability to go nuclear each week.

Brimacombe might have some trouble at tight end unless Dwayne Allen can stay healthy, and his running back situation is on the edge of a cliff. But this is a high-upside team with a strong pass-catching corps, one of the most solidly constructed teams in this draft.

Post Draft Questions

Questions, suggestions and comments are always welcome to haseley@footballguys.com

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