The Post Draft Bloom 100

A look at the top 100 rookies in deep IDP dynasty leagues after we learned their draft stock and destinations

The Bloom 100 is ranked with the following type of dynasty fantasy football league in mind:

  • Full IDP lineups including DT and CB
  • PPR, start 3 WR
  • Deep lineups and rosters

Of course, depending on your league scoring and settings, the placement of some positions can change, but the tier breaks and rankings within positions should be good to use across all league formats.

I'll be updating my rankings at Footballguys.com all summer, so remember this is just a snapshot of where we are right after the draft. Feel free to hit me on Twitter @SigmundBloom if you have any specific questions for your rookie draft and I'll do my best to get to them all.

1(1). Kyle Pitts, TE, ATL

Pitts was the highest-drafted tight end in NFL history. He was the first tight end to be the first non-quarterback drafted. He’s that good folks. He’ll be a foundational offensive player at a position of major fantasy production scarcity. Go get him.

2(2). Najee Harris, RB, PIT

Harris got a landing spot we wanted with full opportunity to be a three-down back for at least the next five years. The neurotic Steelers fan in me is worried that they won’t be able to open holes and doom Harris to a sub-four yards-per-carry, but his involvement in the passing game and goal-line work should make up for that. The real fear is that the team won’t find a long-term quarterback soon, but the defense should still create enough scoring and game-salting opportunities to keep Harris in the high floor RB2 tier at worst.

3(3). Ja'Marr Chase, WR, CIN

Even though he only went one pick before Waddle, the gap between Chase and Waddle on rookie draft boards is significant. Chase is reunited with his college quarterback in a three-wide offense that should run through Burrow behind an improved offensive line. He is a true No. 1 who can make a difference in every area of the field, with route running, after the catch, and when the ball is in the air. Chase landed in an ideal spot and he is the best wide receiver prospect we’ve seen since Amari Cooper.

**Tier Drop**

4(4). Jaylen Waddle, WR, MIA

If you are in a 1QB league, you want to get into the top three of your rookie draft. If you can’t, Waddle isn’t a bad consolation. He’ll be reunited with his college quarterback (for now) and Will Fuller V will only be a temporary obstacle to playing time and targets.

5(5). DeVonta Smith, WR, PHI

It’s heartening that the Eagles traded up for Smith and he already has chemistry with Jalen Hurts. For this year, his outlook could be dimmed if the Eagles keep Zach Ertz, and Hurts isn’t exactly a ball-distributing point guard that can juke volume numbers for a player like Smith. Long term, Smith should level off as the clear No. 1 target and a 90- to 100-catch per season player, assuming Hurts hits or the Eagles bundle their significant draft resources to take a quarterback next year.

6(14). Trey Lance, QB, SF

The dream came true. Remember what Robert Griffin III III did as a rookie with a poor supporting cast? Consider that the baseline for Lance once he takes over, which should be by the end of this season. Where Lance and Shanahan are going, we won’t need roads. Lawrence will still go ahead of Lance in most rookie drafts, so when you see Lawrence go, get ready to trade up for Lance if you need a quarterback. If Lance falls to you in the late first, even if you have a QB1, don’t overthink it, cash in the pick for a commodity that will help you win fantasy matchups.

7(16). Javonte Williams, RB, DEN

Williams landed with a team that obviously loves him and he should take over the backfield no later than Week 1 of 2022. He doesn’t have Etienne’s pass-catching upside, but he also doesn’t have to share with James Robinson for the next three years. The Broncos offense could also take off if they land Aaron Rodgers.

8(6). Travis Etienne, RB, JAX

I suspect that if I was on the clock and Etienne was the top player left on my board, I would probably try to trade down, but I also think he will go before Lance and Williams in every 1QB rookie draft, so I won’t have to worry about it. James Robinson is going to be better than him at getting the tough yards, including at the goal line, and no matter how much Urban Meyer invested in Etienne, he hopefully won’t be so dense as to overlook that at the expense of his team’s well-being. Robinson isn’t going away, but the Jaguars are making a lot of noise about Etienne as a receiver, so that could help make up the gap of landing in a backfield with an already established good running back with three cheap years of control. Etienne is here because you have to play first-round running back draft capital by the book, but this could go the way Miles Sanders' tenure has so far in Philadelphia.

9(21). Trey Sermon, RB, SF

You couldn’t have asked for much more in Sermon’s landing spot. Day two draft capital, a trade-up from a team that already has a thin draft wallet, a great running game landing spot, and no obstacles to starting in 2022. The message of this ranking is that if you want Sermon, be ready to take him in the late first.

**Tier Drop**

10(10). Micah Parsons, LB, DAL

Where to take Parsons in your rookie draft is a function of your scoring system and lineups. If linebackers score like wide receivers and you start three or four of them, Parsons should go no lower than 10th, and going in the Top 5 to 6 is defensible. If top linebackers score only 75% of top wide receivers, you might want to be a little less aggressive. He’s clearly the top fantasy linebacker in all formats.

11(19). Jamin Davis, LB, WAS

Davis gained more value than any other defensive player, and any offensive player other than Trey Lance and Trey Sermon. Washington is an ideal spot for him, playing behind a ridiculously good defensive line for a coach that knows how to max out linebacker productivity. Smart IDP players will take him over gaudier names on offense.

12(13). Trevor Lawrence, QB, JAX

The Travis Etienne pick could help Lawrence as it signals less of a commitment to a methodical approach in the running game and more weapons on the field for him. The Walker Little pick could be a home run if he returns to pre-injury form. All in all, it was a good draft for Lawrence, although I can’t say it gave me more confidence in Meyer - not that it will matter if Lawrence hits his ceiling. Feel good about taking Lawrence higher if you need a quarterback.

13(15). Justin Fields, QB, CHI

Is Chicago a good offense that was just held back by their quarterback? We’ll see. Matt Nagy hasn’t exactly inspired confidence with how he has managed the team, but Fields will be Jalen Hurts at worst for fantasy, and he could be closer to Lamar Jackson when the dust settles.

14(7). Elijah Moore, WR, NYJ

Landing with Zach Wilson is a plus for Moore, all things considered, especially if the Jets say bye-bye to Jamison Crowder and his 10 million dollar price tag. Moore is a high floor pick, but his upside is still limited by his likely slot-only profile. As much as I liked him predraft, it’s difficult to picture him topping out as more valuable than say, Tyler Boyd, and the Jets offense is still in rebuilding mode, and they are still the Jets.

15(8). Terrace Marshall Jr Jr., WR, CAR

Marshall fell a little farther than expected, as the Panthers' patience was rewarded after they snagged him following two trade downs. He should replace David Moore in three-wide sets in short order and provide derring-do on downfield passes from Sam Darnold that weren’t there with Teddy Bridgewater. Between Marshall, D.J. Moore, and Robby Anderson, the Panthers have a great trio for Darnold’s downfield passing play extending ways. Marshall could be the No. 2 receiver in 2022 if Robby Anderson isn’t brought back in free agency.

16(12). Rondale Moore, WR, ARI

Moore’s draft capital went as expected, with a dropoff in performance in 2020 and injury worries causing a first-round talent to fall to the mid-second. I like the pick for Arizona as he’s an element their offense lacked, but Kyler Murray isn’t exactly a quick-trigger, prolific passer to get Moore’s volume up. This is DeAndre Hopkins’ neighborhood and that’s going to limit Moore’s ceiling, although if Moore returns to freshman year form, he’ll demand more touches and make anyone who took him in a rookie draft look very smart.

17(18). Zaven Collins, LB, ARI

Arizona loves Collins and used a valuable pick on him at No. 16, but I don’t know if I trust Vance Joseph to get the most out of him. Will they use his ability to drop into coverage to free up blitzers? Will they use him primarily as an outside linebacker, limiting his ceiling outside of sack-heavy leagues?

Update: Collins has been installed as an inside linebacker and the Cardinals have given Jordan Hicks permission to seek a trade. Collins should be a three-down player from day one, and he has been moved up a tier.

18(17). Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, LB, CLE

Owusu-Koramoah fell to the mid-second because teams weren’t sure what to do with him, but the Browns and Joe Woods get it and they will be happy to deploy him as a weak-side linebacker who makes plays sideline-to-sideline.

**Tier Drop**

19(24). Zach Wilson, QB, NYJ

There’s still bust risk here as I trust smarter people than me who thought Wilson wasn’t worthy of the No. 2 pick because the NFL will expose flaws in his game that weren’t as apparent at his level of competition, but I like what the Jets did for him. His fantasy ceiling isn’t that far below the top three quarterbacks, so don’t hesitate to take him as a best-player-available in the second no matter your quarterback situation.

20(38). Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR, DET

I don’t think there was a better spot for St. Brown to land than Detroit. He should lead the team in targets and become the new Kupp to be filled by Goff. An 80- to 90-catch rookie year is incoming. Think Miami Jarvis Landry.

21(9). Rashod Bateman, WR, BAL

Maybe the Ravens will unleash Lamar Jackson as a passer a la Josh Allen in Year 3, shrug. I don’t trust Greg Roman to do it. Bateman is good and he will make the most of his opportunity, but can he get ahead of Marquise Brown and Mark Andrews in the pecking order? I doubt it, and that’s not pretty for fantasy.

22(11). Kadarius Toney, WR, NYG

First-round draft capital is great, but Jason Garrett is not the offensive coordinator you wanted Toney to land with, and this Giants offense already has more passing game elements than they know what to do with, or what Daniel Jones knows how to maximize. This team could be going back to square one at quarterback soon and Toney also has a high bust risk…

23(40). Michael Carter II II, RB, NYJ

Carter may look greatly underrated at this ranking if he takes over the Jets backfield and defies his draft capital and a small frame for an every-down back. He is good enough to do that, so I get reaching for him as the RB5 if you are hurting at the position.

24(32). Josh Palmer, WR, LAC

Palmer got the second-day draft capital we were looking for, the player ahead of him (Mike Williams) is due to hit free agency next year, and he’ll be married to a young quarterback who can maximize his strengths (Justin Herbert). I won’t blame you for taking him over Toney or Bateman even though draft capital dictates otherwise.

25(20). Jaelan Phillips, DE, MIA

Miami is a good spot for Phillips, staying home in a defense on the rise with some good talent around him on the defensive line. There’s still a major health bust risk, but if your league prioritized defensive end production, there’s an argument to take him at the top of this tier, if not a little higher.

26(25). Nick Bolton, LB, KC

Bolton was actually a fantasy winner in the draft, landing in a spot where he can be an entrenched middle linebacker in a 4-3. He will need to improve in downfield coverage to be a three-down linebacker, so that’s why he’ll be available later than a player with his draft capital and opportunity is usually taken.

**Tier Drop**

27(23). Kwity Paye, DE, IND

Paye isn’t an exciting pick, but he should have plenty of opportunities and a high IDP floor. His ceiling is well below Phillips, but he doesn’t have the medical bust risk.

28(35). Joe Tryon, DE, TB

Tryon will take patience behind Shaq Barrett and Jason Pierre-Paul for this year, but he has first-round draft capital, Pierre-Paul is a free agent next year, and this is a great situation for a 4-3 end.

29(37). Gregory Rousseau, DE, BUF

Rousseau will get to play for a winning team, which upped his stock. He might not get full starter opportunity for a few years, but the idea of a pass rush of Rousseau, 2020 second-rounder A.J. Epenesa, Ed Oliver, and this year’s second-round pick Boogie Basham on third down is exciting.

30(55). Pete Werner, LB, NO

Werner is going to be slotted on the weak side and might be a starter from day one. He can easily cement his role as a third-down linebacker as long as he isn’t a liability in coverage.

31(27). Jabril Cox, LB, DAL

Cox fell to the fourth round, but the landing spot is still very good with Jaylon Smith no sure thing to be with the team in 2022. Cox will take a little patience but he is a ready-made three-down linebacker, which is becoming more and more difficult to find in today’s NFL.

32(30). Nico Collins, WR, HOU

If Collins hits, he can become the Texans' No. 1 receiver in short order because Brandin Cooks is due 12 million next year. Who will Collins be catching passes from? Will this offense become a fantasy wasteland? Why didn’t Collins play up to his measurables consistently? These questions will keep me from reaching for him.

33(42). D’Wayne Eskridge, WR, SEA

Maybe there won’t be much for the WR3 in Seattle after they returned to their conservative ways in the second half of the year. Maybe Seattle reached for Eskridge in the second. Either way, he landed with a highly efficient quarterback, and Tyler Lockett isn’t known for staying healthy.

34(26). Azeez Ojulari, LB, NYG

Ojulari is still a great edge rush prospect, but he’ll be a 3-4 OLB with the Giants, which limits his fantasy upside. He’ll be underrated in sack-heavy leagues and could still end up being the best sack artist in this class.

35(36). Odafe Oweh, LB, BAL

Oweh should be the premier outside pass rusher for the Ravens, still a winning team and one that creates pass rush opportunity. That’s enough to offset the disappointment of landing as an OLB instead of a DE for IDP leagues.

36(88). Payton Turner, DE, NO

Turner was a bit of a surprise in the first if you weren’t paying attention to draft coverage this week. The Saints are set at defensive end for now, but if Marcus Davenport doesn’t pan out, Turner won’t just be a rotational player, and Davenport isn’t known for his durability. Turner’s ability to kick inside on passing downs will get him on the field quickly.

37(UR). Derrick Barnes, LB, DET

The Lions liked Barnes enough to give up a fifth and a 2022 fourth (which will be early in the round) for his edge rush/developing inside linebacker skillset. They have plans for him.

Update: I've moved Barnes up after learning that he'll be installed as a middle linebacker. He has a clear path to a three-down role on a team that loves him.

**Tier Drop**

38(43). Jacob Harris, TE, LAR

Harris gained a lot of speculative value when he was announced as a tight end. The Rams have a lot of talent at wide receiver and Tyler Higbee isn’t going away, but if Harris hits as a tight end, he will still be able to transcend that in fantasy leagues sooner or later.

39(34). Amari Rodgers, WR, GB

What in the heck do we do with Rodgers? As a Randall Cobb type landing with Aaron Rodgers, his destination should have pushed him up 10 spots or more. With strong indications that Aaron Rodgers is done with the Packers, he would move down 10 spots or more if that comes to pass… Let your take on the outcome of the Rodgers situation determine your angle here.

40(39). Kenneth Gainwell, RB, PHI

Gainwell is one to watch as the current regime might not be sold on Miles Sanders. He’s a good pass catcher and explosive and could turn this into a committee in short order.

41(UR). Kylen Granson, TE, IND

The Colts paid a pretty penny in draft stock for a receiving specialist at tight end. The way this offense uses the position and lack of entrenched options makes him worth a speculative stash pick late, especially in TE premium leagues.

Update: It has come out that Frank Reich hand-picked Granson and lobbied strongly for the team to take him. He has moved up 20+ spots.

42(31). Dyami Brown, WR, WAS

The potential for three-wide sets with Curtis Samuel and Terry McLaurin is exciting for this offense, but the long-term quarterback uncertainty and lack of big short-term opportunity hold down Brown’s appeal in rookie drafts.

43(59). Anthony Schwartz, WR, CLE

The Browns will remain a run-first team, but Schwartz’s raw speed could make a big impact on play-action shot plays. If you think Odell Beckham Jr is washed, you should make Schwartz a priority. He’s a boom/bust prospect in the mold of Troy Williamson.

44(85). Tutu Atwell, WR, LAR

Atwell, like Van Jefferson, will fall pretty far in rookie drafts for a second-round pick. His light weight will certainly create skepticism, but the Rams clearly have a plan for him. He is a big-play specialist and could destroy our threshold for wide receiver BMI to have a fantasy impact.

45(45). Chazz Surratt, LB, MIN

The Vikings probably have Surratt ticketed to the weak side, where he can use his athleticism to make plays. He has a high ceiling and will be underrated in tackle-heavy formats.

46(74). Christian Barmore, DT, NE

Barmore isn’t a sure thing, but he has great pass rush ability on passing downs, and he could play a role as an end on early downs based on how Belichick uses his defensive linemen. I really liked this spot to maximize his fantasy value in leagues that start one defensive tackle.

47(46). Sammis Reyes, TE, WAS

John Bates doesn’t scare me even though the Football Team spent a fourth on him. Reyes has a high ceiling and that’s enough for me to bite in the fourth round or later if bench length allows you to hold a player for a few years and not feel like you are losing great waiver wire opportunity in the process.

48(41). Mac Jones, QB, NE

What is Jones worth in 1QB leagues? Shrug. At best, he’s Kirk Cousins, and that’s far from a guarantee. He did land in a good spot, but not as good as San Francisco.

49(49). Chuba Hubbard, RB, CAR

Obviously, Hubbard isn’t going to get starting opportunity behind Christian McCaffrey, but he could easily make a Tony Pollard level impact and set up his dynasty value to grow on a team that obviously likes him.

50(90). Monty Rice, LB, TEN

The news that Rashaan Evans' fifth-year option won’t be picked up came just in time for rookie drafts. Rice’s third-round draft capital and game vs. the run shows that the Titans see him as a future starter.

51(51). Cornell Powell, WR, KC

Powell became a little more fascinating when the Chiefs took him, even if it was in the fifth round. If Mecole Hardman continues to frustrate and Powell develops in year one, he could be poised to take over as the WR2 for Patrick Mahomes II with Byron Pringle both free agents next year.

52(53). Rhamondre Stevenson, RB, NE

Stevenson projects as a more versatile LeGarrette Blount in the Patriots offense, but you’ll likely be carrying a player who is a healthy scratch for most of the year a la Damien Harris.

53(29). Pat Freiermuth, TE, PIT

Yawn. Freiermuth has a low fantasy ceiling, and once he’s fully incorporated into the offense in year two, who is his quarterback going to be? This is a wide receiver-centric offense and potentially soon a very inefficient passing offense.

54(28). Brevin Jordan, TE, HOU

There’s an opportunity here unless 2019 third-rounder Kahale Warring hits, but the Texans offense is in shambles. Jordan could also become the latest in a revolving door of draft picks at a position the Texans can’t get right.

55(75). Baron Browning, LB, DEN

The Broncos like Browning’s diverse skillset, but like Ossai, it’s hard to know where this good football player will fit in a defense that has entrenched players on the edge. Browning could be a very impactful player on the field on a handful of plays if he’s used correctly, but not on the stat sheet.

Update: I've moved Browning up after learning that the Broncos plan on early downs is for him to play inside linebacker, where he can easily displace Josey Jewell.

56(70). Elijah Mitchell, RB, SF

If Trey Sermon flames out, Mitchell could become very valuable in short order. Try to hedge your early Sermon pick with a Mitchell pick later.

57(22). Tylan Wallace, WR, BAL

Wallace is a great fit for the Ravens. He could make some game-winning plays. Sadly, fourth in the pecking order (at best) in a low-volume pass offense is the equivalent of a fantasy gulag.

58(58). Jaelon Darden, WR, TB

Darden’s fourth-round draft stock is nice, but he’ll need Chris Godwin to move on next year to have a chance to realize any of his potential any time soon.

59(33). Cade Johnson, WR, SEA

Johnson doesn’t have a tough depth chart to crack, but the Seahawks did sign a few other UDFAs who will make for a very interesting camp competition.

60(44). Seth Williams, WR, DEN

Williams' late draft status shows that teams are very wary of him, and he’ll have to be patient to find opportunity on the Broncos roster. As good as Williams looks at his best, this feels like Hakeem Butler, but easier to see coming.

61(50). Tamorrion Terry, WR, SEA

Terry is much more talented than a typical UDFA, but he is also obviously a massive bust risk. Russell Wilson is an ideal quarterback to harvest what value he can create, so consider Terry a deep league special.

62(54). Jalen Camp, WR, JAX

Camp has the size/speed ceiling we love to stash at the end of our benches, but he will have to leapfrog Collin Johnson to have the opportunity that will open up when Marvin Jones Jr moves on in a year or two.

63(62). Simi Fehoko, WR, DAL

Fehoko has time to develop in Dallas and a great pass offense to grow into on the outside if he is up to the task.

64(72). Kenny Yeboah, TE, NYJ

Yeboah went undrafted, but the Jets gave him a $200,000 guarantee that is around what fifth-round picks get. He only has to overcome Chris Herndon if he can make the team and Yeboah has the wide receiver-esque traits we look for in a fantasy tight end.

65(63). Mike Strachan, WR, IND

Strachan could be poised to take over T.Y. Hilton’s spot if he develops, but the Colts have similar guys in Ashton Dulin and 2020 sixth-rounder Dezmon Patmon for him to overcome. If he has a good camp and beats them out, take notice.

66(64). Hunter Long, TE, MIA

Long isn’t exciting for fantasy even though he had third-round draft capital invested. It was a pick that could signal that Mike Gesicki is not coming back next year, so maybe Long can flirt with that low fantasy TE1 status Gesicki had back in 2020.

67(60). Kawaan Baker, WR, NO

Baker was a savvy late pick and he could easily make the team as the WR5. I am a Marquez Callaway fan and the team likes Deonte Harris a lot, but Tre'Quan Smith is in his walk year, so there could be an opportunity brewing at wide receiver in New Orleans.

68(82). Javian Hawkins, RB, ATL

Hawkins could be lightning with Mike Davis’s thunder, but he’s not a long-term answer at running back and is still a UDFA. The opportunity is worth chasing in deep leagues.

69(UR). Caleb Huntley, RB, ATL

Huntley is a big back with decent movement skills. He could enter the season as the backup to Mike Davis on early downs if he beats out Qadree Ollison, who was a pick of the previous regime.

70(84). Trevon Grimes, WR, PHI

Grimes went undrafted, but the Eagles wide receiver depth chart is full of opportunity.

71(67). Patrick Surtain II, CB, DEN

The Broncos have the pass rushers to bring the ruckus and create big-play opportunities for Surtain. He’ll be an instant starter in IDP leagues that start 2 corners, but startable corners are usually available on the wire in almost every league.

72(UR). Caleb Farley, CB, TEN

Farley should be ready for Week 1 and start for the Titans. If you take him this late and he isn’t, then you didn’t lose much. He can step up in run support and get home as a blitzer, so the fantasy ceiling is good enough to take on the durability risk. He wasn’t in the pre-draft 100 because I was waiting to see if his durability issues dropped a clear first-round talent out of the first.

73(UR). Kellen Mond, QB, MIN

Mond has fantasy potential as a runner and if the Vikings don’t make other plans at quarterback and he satisfies them in his development, he could be starting in 2023.

74(UR). Dez Fitzpatrick, WR, TEN

Fitzpatrick should have a chance to be the starter outside in 2022 if he has a good year of development and Josh Reynolds doesn’t impress. He’s not a high ceiling player, but he did have a higher yards-per-catch than Tutu Atwell at Louisville last year.

75(66). Dazz Newsome, WR, CHI

Newsome could be fun with Justin Fields if the Bears move on from Anthony Miller. He could actually be in a decent-sized role sooner than later if the Bears don’t lock up Allen Robinson next year.

76(UR). Davis Mills, QB, HOU

Mills could easily lead the Texans in games started this year. Will he ever be a fantasy-relevant quarterback? I doubt it, but the early reveal and chances of being an NFL starter are worth something.

77(56). Divine Deablo, LB, LV

We have already heard this story before. The Raiders drafted a safety/linebacker tweener to convert him to weakside linebacker, a potentially juicy spot in IDP leagues. Is Tanner Muse on a roster in your IDP league right now? Deablo is a different player, but fool me once…

78(57). Hamsah Nasirildeen, LB, NYJ

Nasirildeen fell farther than expected, but the good news is that it looks like the Jets are going to try to make him a linebacker. His fantasy outlook isn’t that different than Divine Deablo, but Deablo’s draft capital makes him a better bet to make them. Nasirildeen will have lesser competition and could become a three-down inside linebacker in Robert Saleh’s scheme, so destination and opportunity could beat out draft capital in this case.

79(UR). Tre' McKitty, TE, LAC

I am more of a Donald Parham fan, but McKitty has a high ceiling, his main value is as a pass-catcher and the Chargers obviously love him after spending a third-round pick on him. There could be something here by year two or three, so take note in TE premium leagues.

80(UR). Javon McKinley, WR, DET

The Lions gave McKinley a $100,000 guarantee, so they like him the most of their UDFA wide receiver class after not taking an outside receiver in the draft. They have the thinnest depth chart in the league at the position.

81(96). Ihmir Smith-Marsette, WR, MIN

Smith-Marsette has speed and not much competition to become the top backup outside receiver in Minnesota.

82(47). Trevon Moehrig, S, LV

I like Moehrig to be an every-down player very soon in the Raiders defense and he’s obviously what they needed, but with the lack of coverage ability in their other safeties, Moehrig isn’t going to spend a lot of time near the line of scrimmage.

83(80). Richie Grant, S, ATL

Like Moehrig, Grant should be a full-time player very early in his career, but he should also be marooned in deep coverage, which is a death knell for a fantasy safety’s value.

84(99). Jevon Holland, S, MIA

The Dolphins clearly love Holland, but like the other second-round safeties, his game just doesn’t match up with the IDP hot zone.

85(78). Jaycee Horn, CB, CAR

Horn projects more as a shutdown corner who doesn’t make a splash in run support, so even though he was the first corner off of the board in the draft and will start right away, he’s not as exciting as Patrick Surtain II and probably a few other rookies who will benefit from the rookie corner rule in IDP leagues.

86(52). Joseph Ossai, LB, CIN

I’m excited for Bengals fans to get Ossai’s endless energy on the field, but I’m not excited for his fantasy potential with an uncertain role. He doesn’t really fit well in any of the prescribed roles in the Bengals defense.

87(65). Demetric Felton, RB/WR, CLE

I really like Felton as a player and think he will outlast many of the players ahead of him on this list, but I’m not sure how much opportunity he can get unless the Browns don’t extend Nick Chubb, which would be unwise. In deeper PPR leagues, he could eventually have emergency play value.

88(95). Larry Rountree III, RB, LAC

Rountree has a limited ceiling, but I won’t be shocked if he emerges as the RB2 for the Chargers eventually if Kalen Ballage was able to secure that role last year.

89(70). Jermar Jefferson, RB, DET

Jefferson could poach Kerryon Johnson’s spot with a great camp, or force the team to keep four backs, but his ceiling is still too low to prioritize stashing him.

Update: I've moved Jefferson up after the Lions decided to release Kerryon Johnson

90(92). Andre Cisco, S, JAX

Cisco is ticketed to start and his big-play profile is what we look for in IDP leagues. He also might start slow coming back from an ACL, and developmental safeties aren’t exactly my cup of tea in dynasty leagues.

91(93). Kene Nwangwu, RB, MIN

Nwangwu will definitely make the team as a returner and RB3, but he’s a work in progress as a running back, so that makes him less exciting than his fourth round draft capital indicates.

92(91). Chris Evans, RB, CIN

Evans’ superior size and the fact that the Bengals drafted him could give him a leg up over UDFA Pooka Williams as a passing-down back. Both are good enough to overtake Trayveon Williams as the RB3.

93(48). Kylin Hill, RB, GB

Hill at least got drafted, but being stuck behind Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon isn’t a great spot for opportunity and basically has UDFA draft stock. I would like him more if the Packers cut him and he is snatched up by a team with a better opportunity in the backfield.

94(76). Josh Imatorbhebhe, WR, JAX

He’s a fun UDFA to track because of his superhuman leaping ability, but Jalen Camp is the preferred deep Jaguars receiver to track from this class.

95(97). Jonathan Adams Jr., WR, DET

Adams got almost as money guaranteed ($90,000) as McKinley did as a UDFA. He has size and game at the catch point, but needs to show he can do it at a higher level of competition after playing at Arkansas State.

96(100). Frank Darby, WR, ATL

Darby is mostly good only in the deep ball highwire act, but if Julio Jones is dealt this summer, he might have an inside track at a role in the offense as a rookie.

97(68). Jaret Patterson, RB, WAS

Going undrafted wasn’t great for Patterson and he’ll have to overtake Peyton Barber and Lamar Miller to make the team. He could be a practice squad stash that gets poached by a team with more opportunity at running back.

98(69). Khalil Herbert, RB, CHI

We’d be more excited about Herbert if the Bears hadn't signed Damien Williams. If he makes the team, he’ll be worth the late pick it takes to get him.

99(72). Tommy Tremble, TE, CAR

Tremble has a clear opportunity to start soon, but in an offense that is not exactly known for throwing to the tight end.

100(80). Pooka Williams, RB, CIN

Williams will have to beat out Chris Evans, who the Bengals obviously liked more than him, and Trayveon Williams, to make the team. He’s dynamic, but a long shot.

Dropped out

61. Marquez Stevenson, WR, BUF
76. Greg Newsome II, CB, CLE
78. Austin Watkins, WR, SF
82. Tre Nixon, WR, NE
85. Dylan Moses, LB, JAX
86. Matt Bushman, TE, LV
93. Ben Skowronek, WR, LAR
97. Isaiah McDuffie, LB, MIN

2QB/Superflex stashes

Developmental quarterbacks aren’t worth carrying in even the deepest of 1QB dynasty leagues, but the rise of 2QB/Superflex leagues makes them worth knowing even if they aren’t Bloom 100 material.

Kyle Trask, TB

Here’s your heir apparent to Tom Brady, although, much like with Mond, I wonder if the team will make other plans at quarterback before the time comes to hand the torch to their 2021 draft pick.

Ian Book, NO

Sean Payton said he sees himself in Book. That alone should give him a chance to start in 2022 if Jameis Winston and Taysom Hill don’t measure up.

Sam Ehlinger, IND

I suspect that if Carson Wentz gets hurt, the team was ok with Jacoby Brissett will probably prefer Ehlinger to Jacob Eason once they see Eason play.

Jamie Newman, PHI

Newman should make the team as a third quarterback behind Joe Flacco and have a chance to show that he can at least be a good NFL backup.

Superflex Top 20

The complexion of rookie draft pick value is very different in superflex/2-QB league in any year, but especially this year with five quarterbacks set to go in the first half of the first round.

1. Trey Lance
2. Trevor Lawrence
3. Kyle Pitts
4. Justin Fields
5. Najee Harris
6. Ja'Marr Chase
7. Zach Wilson
8. Jaylen Waddle
9. De’Vonta Smith
10. Javonte Williams
11. Travis Etienne
12. Trey Sermon
13. Elijah Moore
14. Terrace Marshall Jr
15. Rondale Moore
16. Mac Jones
17. Rashod Bateman
18. Amon-Ra St. Brown
19. Kadarius Toney
20. Michael Carter II II


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