![Vegas Value Chart: Week 8](https://footballguys.imgix.net/nfl-action-photos/BrowAJ00_H.jpg?auto=format,compress&w=730)
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Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.
Updated on Sunday, November 1st @ 6 AM (EST)
[Blue font indicates games *not* on the DFS main slate.]
Team | Opponent | Odds | Game Total | Team Total | Passing | Running | Team Defense |
Kansas City | NY Jets | -20 | 49 | 34.5 | ««« | ««« | ««« |
Tennessee | Cincinnati | -7 | 51 | 29 | «« | ««« | |
Tampa Bay | NY Giants | -12.5 | 45 | 28.75 | «« | ««« | «« |
Seattle | San Francisco | -3 | 53.5 | 28.25 | «« | «« | |
Green Bay | Minnesota | -6.5 | 49.5 | 28 | «« | «« | |
Philadelphia | Dallas | -11 | 43 | 27 | « | «« | «« |
Carolina | Atlanta | -1.5 | 51.5 | 26.5 | « | « | |
Indianapolis | Detroit | -3 | 49.5 | 26.25 | « | « | |
San Francisco | Seattle | 3 | 53.5 | 25.25 | |||
Cleveland | Las Vegas | -2 | 48 | 25 | « | « | |
Baltimore | Pittsburgh | -4 | 46 | 25 | |||
Atlanta | Carolina | 1.5 | 51.5 | 25 | |||
LA Rams | Miami | -3.5 | 45.5 | 24.5 | |||
LA Chargers | Denver | -3.5 | 44.5 | 24 | |||
New Orleans | Chicago | -4 | 42.5 | 23.25 | « | ||
Detroit | Indianapolis | 3 | 49.5 | 23.25 | |||
Las Vegas | Cleveland | 2 | 48 | 23 | |||
Buffalo | New England | -4.5 | 40.5 | 22.5 | « | ||
Cincinnati | Tennessee | 7 | 51 | 22 | |||
Minnesota | Green Bay | 6.5 | 49.5 | 21.5 | |||
Pittsburgh | Baltimore | 4 | 46 | 21 | |||
Miami | LA Rams | 3.5 | 45.5 | 21 | |||
Denver | LA Chargers | 3.5 | 44.5 | 20.5 | |||
Chicago | New Orleans | 4 | 42.5 | 19.25 | |||
New England | Buffalo | 4.5 | 40.5 | 18 | |||
NY Giants | Tampa Bay | 12.5 | 45 | 16.25 | |||
Dallas | Philadelphia | 11 | 43 | 16 | |||
NY Jets | Kansas City | 20 | 49 | 14.5 | |||
Washington | BYE | ||||||
Arizona | BYE | ||||||
Jacksonville | BYE | ||||||
Houston | BYE |
SUMMARY
3-STARS
- Quarterback: Patrick Mahomes II (Chiefs), Aaron Rodgers (Packers), Ryan Tannehill (Titans)
- Running Back: Clyde Edwards-Helaire/LeVeon Bell (Chiefs), Jamaal Williams (Packers), Derrick Henry (Titans), Ronald Jones II/Leonard Fournette (Buccaneers)
- Receivers: Tyreek Hill/Demarcus Robinson/Travis Kelce (Chiefs), Davante Adams/Marquez Valdes-Scantling/Robert Tonyan Jr (Packers), A.J. Brown/Corey Davis/Jonnu Smith (Titans)
- Defense: Chiefs
2-STARS
- Quarterback: Russell Wilson (Seahawks), Tom Brady (Buccaneers), Baker Mayfield (Browns)
- Running Back: Carlos Hyde (Seahawks), Kareem Hunt (Browns)
- Receivers: Tyler Lockett/DK Metcalf/Greg Olsen (Seahawks), Mike Evans/Tyler Johnson/Scotty Miller/Rob Gronkowski (Buccaneers), Jarvis Landry/Rashard Higgins/David Njoku/Harrison Bryant (Browns)
- Defense: Buccaneers
1-STAR
- Quarterback: Philip Rivers (Colts), Teddy Bridgewater (Panthers)
- Running Back: Jonathan Taylor (Colts), Mike Davis (Panthers)
- Receivers: T.Y. Hilton/Zach Pascal/Trey Burton (Colts), D.J. Moore/Robby Anderson/Curtis Samuel (Panthers)
- Defense: Bills, Eagles