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Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.
Updated Sunday, September 27th @ 7:00 AM (EST)
[Blue font indicates games *not* on the DFS main slate.]
Team | Opponent | Odds | Game Total | Team Total | Passing | Running | Team Defense |
Seattle | Dallas | -5 | 56.5 | 30.75 | ««« | ««« | |
Arizona | Detroit | -5.5 | 55.5 | 30.5 | ««« | ««« | |
Baltimore | Kansas City | -3.5 | 54.5 | 29 | ««« | ««« | |
New Orleans | Green Bay | -3 | 53 | 28 | ««« | ««« | |
Indianapolis | NY Jets | -11.5 | 44 | 27.75 | «« | ««« | «« |
New England | Las Vegas | -6.5 | 47 | 26.75 | «« | «« | |
Tennessee | Minnesota | -3 | 50.5 | 26.75 | «« | «« | |
Jacksonville | Miami | -3 | 49 | 26 | «« | «« | |
Cleveland | Washington | -7 | 45 | 26 | «« | ««« | « |
Dallas | Seattle | 5 | 56.5 | 25.75 | « | « | |
Philadelphia | Cincinnati | -4 | 47 | 25.5 | « | « | « |
Kansas City | Baltimore | 3.5 | 54.5 | 25.5 | « | « | |
Atlanta | Chicago | -3 | 47 | 25 | « | « | |
LA Chargers | Carolina | -6.5 | 43.5 | 25 | « | « | « |
Detroit | Arizona | 5.5 | 55.5 | 25 | « | « | |
Green Bay | New Orleans | 3 | 53 | 25 | « | « | |
Pittsburgh | Houston | -4 | 46 | 25 | « | « | |
Buffalo | LA Rams | -2 | 47 | 24.5 | « | « | |
Tampa Bay | Denver | -6 | 42.5 | 24.25 | « | « | « |
Minnesota | Tennessee | 3 | 50.5 | 23.75 | |||
Miami | Jacksonville | 3 | 49 | 23 | |||
San Francisco | NY Giants | -3 | 42.5 | 22.75 | « | ||
LA Rams | Buffalo | 2 | 47 | 22.5 | |||
Chicago | Atlanta | 3 | 47 | 22 | |||
Cincinnati | Philadelphia | 4 | 47 | 21.5 | |||
Houston | Pittsburgh | 4 | 46 | 21 | |||
Las Vegas | New England | 6.5 | 47 | 20.25 | |||
NY Giants | San Francisco | 3 | 42.5 | 19.75 | |||
Washington | Cleveland | 7 | 45 | 19 | |||
Carolina | LA Chargers | 6.5 | 43.5 | 18.5 | |||
Denver | Tampa Bay | 6 | 42.5 | 18.25 | |||
NY Jets | Indianapolis | 11.5 | 44 | 16.25 |
SUMMARY
3-STARS
- Quarterback: Kyler Murray (Cardinals), Russell Wilson (Seahawks)
- Running Back: Kenyan Drake (Cardinals), Chris Carson (Seahawks), Jonathan Taylor (Colts)
- Receivers: DeAndre Hopkins/Larry Fitzgerald/Christian Kirk (Cardinals), Tyler Lockett/DK Metcalf/Greg Olsen (Seahawks)
- Defense: None
2-STARS
- Quarterback: Philip Rivers (Colts), Cam Newton (Patriots), Carson Wentz (Eagles)
- Running Back: Sony Michel/James White (Patriots), Miles Sanders (Eagles), Nick Chubb/Kareem Hunt (Browns), Austin Ekeler/Joshua Kelley (Chargers)
- Receivers: T.Y. Hilton/Zach Pascal/Mo Alie-Cox (Colts), Julian Edelman/NKeal Harry/Damiere Byrd (Patriots),
- Defense: Colts
1-STAR
- Quarterback: Dak Prescott (Cowboys), Baker Mayfield (Browns), Matt Ryan (Falcons), Justin Herbert (Chargers), Ryan Tannehill (Titans), Josh Allen (Bills), Tom Brady (Buccaneers), Matthew Stafford (Lions), Ben Roethlisberger (Steelers)
- Running Back: Ezekiel Elliott (Cowboys), Todd Gurley (Falcons), Derrick Henry (Titans), Devin Singletary/Zack Moss (Bills), Ronald Jones II/Leonard Fournette (Buccaneers), Adrian Peterson/Kerryon Johnson/DAndre Swift (Lions), James Conner (Steelers)
- Receivers: Amari Cooper/Michael Gallup/CeeDee Lamb/Dalton Schultz (Cowboys), Odell Beckham/Jarvis Landry/Austin Hooper (Browns), Julio Jones/Calvin Ridley/Russell Gage/Hayden Hurst (Falcons), Keenan Allen/Mike Williams/Hunter Henry (Chargers), A.J. Brown/Corey Davis/Adam Humphries/Jonnu Smith (Titans), Stefon Diggs/John Brown/Cole Beasley (Bills), Mike Evans/Chris Godwin/O.J. Howard (Buccaneers), Kenny Golladay/Marvin Jones/Danny Amendola/T.J. Hockenson (Lions), JuJu Smith-Schuster/Diontae Johnson/James Washington/Chase Claypool/Eric Ebron (Steelers)
- Defense: 49ers, Chargers, Browns, Buccaneers, Eagles