Unlock More Content Like This With A
Footballguys Premium Subscription
"Footballguys is the best premium
fantasy football only site on the planet."
Matthew Berry, NBC Sports EDGE
Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.
[Blue font indicates games *not* on the DFS main slate.]
Updated Sunday, December 13th @ 6 AM (EST)
Team | Opponent | Odds | Game Total | Team Total | Passing | Running | Team Defense |
Green Bay | Detroit | -7.5 | 55.5 | 31.5 | ««« | ««« | |
Seattle | NY Jets | -14.5 | 47.5 | 31 | ««« | ««« | «« |
Tennessee | Jacksonville | -7.5 | 52.5 | 30 | «« | «« | |
Tampa Bay | Minnesota | -7 | 52.5 | 29.75 | «« | «« | |
Kansas City | Miami | -7.5 | 50.5 | 29 | «« | ««« | |
Indianapolis | Las Vegas | -3 | 52.5 | 27.75 | « | « | |
Buffalo | Pittsburgh | -2 | 49 | 25.5 | |||
New Orleans | Philadelphia | -8 | 42.5 | 25.25 | « | ||
Baltimore | Cleveland | -3 | 47 | 25 | |||
LA Chargers | Atlanta | -1 | 49 | 25 | |||
Las Vegas | Indianapolis | 3 | 52.5 | 24.75 | |||
Arizona | NY Giants | -2.5 | 46.5 | 24.5 | |||
Atlanta | LA Chargers | 1 | 49 | 24 | |||
Carolina | Denver | -3.5 | 44.5 | 24 | |||
LA Rams | New England | -4.5 | 43.5 | 24 | « | ||
Detroit | Green Bay | 7.5 | 55.5 | 24 | |||
Houston | Chicago | -2 | 46 | 24 | |||
Pittsburgh | Buffalo | 2 | 49 | 23.5 | |||
San Francisco | Washington | -3 | 43.5 | 23.25 | |||
Dallas | Cincinnati | -3 | 43 | 23 | « | ||
Minnesota | Tampa Bay | 7 | 52.5 | 22.75 | |||
Jacksonville | Tennessee | 7.5 | 52.5 | 22.5 | |||
Cleveland | Baltimore | 3 | 47 | 22 | |||
Chicago | Houston | 2 | 46 | 22 | |||
NY Giants | Arizona | 2.5 | 46.5 | 22 | |||
Miami | Kansas City | 7.5 | 50.5 | 21.5 | |||
Denver | Carolina | 3.5 | 44.5 | 20.5 | |||
Washington | San Francisco | 3 | 43.5 | 20.25 | |||
Cincinnati | Dallas | 3 | 43 | 20 | |||
New England | LA Rams | 4.5 | 43.5 | 19.5 | |||
Philadelphia | New Orleans | 8 | 42.5 | 17.25 | |||
NY Jets | Seattle | 14.5 | 47.5 | 16.5 |
SUMMARY
3-STARS
- Quarterback: Aaron Rodgers (Packers), Ryan Tannehill (Titans), Russell Wilson (Seahawks)
- Running Back: Aaron Jones (Packers), Derrick Henry (Titans), Chris Carson/Carlos Hyde (Seahawks), Clyde Edwards-Helaire (Chiefs)
- Receivers: Davante Adams/Allen Lazard/Robert Tonyan Jr (Packers), A.J. Brown/Corey Davis/Jonnu Smith (Titans), DK Metcalf/Tyler Lockett (Seahawks)
- Defense: None
2-STARS
- Quarterback: Tom Brady (Buccaneers), Patrick Mahomes II (Chiefs)
- Running Back: Ronald Jones II/Leonard Fournette (Buccaneers)
- Receivers: Mike Evans/Chris Godwin/Rob Gronkowski (Buccaneers), Tyreek Hill/Sammy Watkins/Travis Kelce (Chiefs)
- Defense: Seahawks
1-STAR
- Quarterback: Philip Rivers (Colts)
- Running Back: Jonathan Taylor (Colts)
- Receivers: T.Y. Hilton/Michael Pittman/Trey Burton (Colts)
- Defense: Saints, Rams, Cowboys