Let's talk about this year's crop of rookie signal-callers. Who is your top quarterback in a normal fantasy league? In most fantasy leagues, is there one worth drafting? Does your answer change in a dynasty league?
If A.J. Green is healthy, Burrow is the odds on favorite as he has a strong set of weapons to compliment Green in the form of Joe Mixon, Tyler Boyd, second-round pick Tee Higgins, and John Ross. Cincinnati should also return left tackle Jonah Williams to bolster the offensive line. However, at a fraction of the price, Justin Herbert could be viable in deeper leagues, with a good supporting cast in Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, Hunter Henry, and Austin Ekeler. For a quarterback to be viable as a rookie, they either need to be an elite passer in the Peyton Manning mold or have the ability to score points with their legs. Burrow is the better runner but a Josh Allen-like approach, where Herbert runs aggressively is not out of the question for Herbert as a rookie. Tua Tagovailoa projects for a slow start coming back from his injury with capable veteran Ryan Fitzpatrick on the roster. Even if he gets the week one nod, Tagovailoa has the worst set of weapons and the lowest rushing upside of the three.
I agree with Jordan. I won't be surprised if Tagovailoa has a better career depending on whether the Bengals or Dolphins personnel departments make better decisions in the next few years, but for 2020 it's hard to dislike Burrow. He'll step into the lineup immediately and has a deep receiving corps, whereas Tagovailoa has the hip concern, and a less-complete supporting cast. I don't think it's unreasonable for Miami to given Fitzpatrick the nod initially, and let Tagovialoa take over mid-season when the risk-reward of building for 2021 takes over. Burrow and the Bengals don't have the same veteran alternative.
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