The Sharp Report: Week 1

An in-depth analysis of the best DFS NFL players and what they deem most important in the lineup-building process.

The Sharp Report

One of the most proficient gamblers that sportsbooks have ever seen, Haralabos Voulgaris, is on record saying the main reason he retired from professional gambling is that he was gradually losing his edge against the sportsbooks. Voulgaris explains that every time he placed a bet, he gave the sportsbook a metaphoric piece to the puzzle that, once solved, would completely erase his edge to the point where he would no longer be a profitable bettor. The same way sportsbooks learned from Voulgaris' bets and eroded his edge, daily fantasy sports players can learn from their top competitors and eat away at their edge. These top competitors, known as sharps, typically play DFS at a much higher level and for much more money than others. These players normally have very advanced and accurate projection systems that give them their edge over the field. Fortunately, every time they enter a contest the sharp players' lineups are available to the public to be broken down, analyzed and learned from. The Sharp Report will be a weekly article that uses all available and applicable data to draw conclusions regarding how the industry's smartest decision makers and their projections systems come to their final conclusions when building lineups. Over the course of the entire season, The Sharp Report's goal will be to project what the best players in the industry will do in upcoming contests and, in turn, figure out what it is that gives these high-level players their edge over the field.

Throughout each week, more and better information regarding things like player availability, individual matchups, and depth charts will become available. The section of this article projecting which player is likely to be rostered by most of the sharp players next week will be updated by Saturday afternoon each week after all applicable information has become available. If enough data reveals itself that a completely new player is deemed worthy of being mentioned as Next Week's Sharp Play, the original section will appear in red font and the new section will appear in green font. If all available information leads to the same conclusion made earlier in the week, the original section will be changed from black font to green font.

Without any sharp team data to evaluate ahead of Week 1, The Sharp Report this week will feature more in-depth breakdowns of the two Projected Sharp Plays. The second Projected Sharp Play will be added in on Friday afternoon when the initial play is either adjusted (after being put in red font) or confirmed (in green font.)

Before diving into the Projected Sharp Plays for Week 1, it is worth noting that The Sharp Report has consistently succeeded at identifying situations the sharpest NFL DFS players target when building lineups. While the results of strictly cash games are evaluated in the article, Sharp Plays also provide signal regarding what players are worth building around in single-entry tournaments, as well as players worthy of significant exposure in mass-multi-entry tournaments. On the season, the Projected Sharp Plays were rostered by an average of 65.6-percent of players in high-stakes cash games on DraftKings.

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